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The Future of Money

Snuggums writes "Apparently some major forces at play in the tech money world. People like Vint Cerf, Tim O'Reilly, Andre Durand, and Cory Doctorow are teaming up with Tom Frey and the futurist think tank, DaVinci Institute, to dive into the forces at play with a Future of Money Summit later this year. They've even tapped a Nobel Prize winner and Visa founder, Dee Hock. They're hoping to answer questions like; what kind of money you'll be putting into vending machines 25 years from now; when will cash disappear; when will our current banking system become obsolete; and who gets to own money in the future?"

23 of 406 comments (clear)

  1. Hehe. by lukew · · Score: 5, Funny

    "Apparently some major forces at play in the tech money world."

    Apparently some english majors at play in the Slashdot world.

  2. Did George Washington and Benjamin Franklin... by Quaoar · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...walk around saying, "Dude, I am so money"?

    --
    I'll form my OWN solar system! With blackjack! And hookers!
  3. Future of Money Summit by mikeophile · · Score: 5, Funny
    Cost:

    $995 per person before April 15, 2003

    $1,195 after April 15, 2003 up to the day of the event.

    That's not the future of my money.

  4. Dont you know? by Junky191 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Dont you know that cash is unpatriotic? Please refrain from using it anymore. Make everything electronic so we have an excellent paper trail to ensure domestic security and civility. What you don't like it? You must be one of them...

    1. Re:Dont you know? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Isn't there some sort of contradiction in avoiding paper cash to ensure the quality of the paper trail?

  5. AS long as thay have anonomous cash by Unknown+Poltroon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ill be happy. Or would you be comfortable paying by credit card for a copy of 2600? How long before ashcroft starts checking up on those "obvious" criminals.

    --
    All Troll + "offtopic" mods are meta moderated as "Unfair", because you abused the system.
    1. Re:AS long as thay have anonomous cash by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You'd have to be out of your mind to buy a copy of 2600 with a credit card. Are you oblivious to the digital slime trail that your daily activities are leaving behind you? How many lists do you think you're on?

      Some idiots in the government recently examined all of Safeway's California customer relations management files and compiled a list of people in California who had bought hummus of all things. You think they won't ask Barnes and Noble for a list of people who have purchased copies of 2600? The goons who are searching for hummus eaters will certainly find you. Think you have nothing to hide? Then you'll have no problem with letting them in when they show up at your door after the 4th Amendment has been legislated away!

      You've probably got a big red flag next to your name in a number of databases. But maybe you can repair the damage. I suggest you get your CC out right now and use it to buy 50 copies of "A Charge To Keep". This will prove to the Attorney General that you're one of the sheep who won't cause any trouble and who deserves to keep his citizenship after PATRIOT II passes.

      Next time you buy 2600, make sure you've got your tinfoil hat on first!

  6. The ./ obsession with a cashless society? by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Where does this Slashdot obsession with a cashless/e-gold/alternative currency come from?

    Money has been around for 3200 years. Trade "I'll give you 2 sheep for one cow" has been around for thousands more.

    I remember hearing these "cashless society" arguments in 1980. I look in my wallet 23 years later, and I still have a wad of cash in there, along with a credit card and ATM card. Sure, much of my purchasing is electronic, but it's far from cashless.

    Now people are again saying "We'll be a cashless society in 25 years", and I still don't believe them. I've heard it before.

    It reminds me of the "computers will solve all your paperwork problems. We will be a paperless society in 25 years." Cash is not going away anytime soon just because some money-geeks think they found an alternative.

    As Ivanova from Babylon 5 said:
    "Every time somebody says we're coming into a paperless society, I get 10 more forms to fill out."

    --
    "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
    1. Re:The ./ obsession with a cashless society? by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 4, Interesting

      To be 100% honest, I can't even remember the last time I was in a store that didn't take plastic.

      In the Bay Area, I find that some of the smaller hole-in-the-wall resturants and several of the larger produce stores don't take plastic. The food at the resturants is good, and the ATM is nearby, so I keep going.

      Some large places that don't take plastic: Zachary's Pizza in Oakland and Berkeley, Monterey Produce Market in Berkeley. Thousands of people go through each place every week, and the owner's attitude is "Plastic is a hassle, and 5% of purchases are fradulent, therefore I don't bother."

      --
      "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
    2. Re:The ./ obsession with a cashless society? by urbazewski · · Score: 4, Informative
      I don't where slashdot gets the obsession, but a lot of the hype about e-money and a "cashless society" comes from financial institutions desire to be in the business of "creating alternative currency." When you put money in a bank, the bank loans it out to other people at interest. (This, of course, is how & why the bank pays you interest to deposit money.) Many ideas for e-money basically ask you to deposit money in a bank or somewhere else (though it goes under the label of "putting money on the card") with zero interest. The French cards discussed earler today were like that, they get your cash now, you get to spend the money later. Traveller's checks are like that also --- most of the revenue comes from interest American Express collects between in the time elapsed between when the checks are bought and when they are spent. (At least traveller's checks provide some insurance --- few money cards do.) Of course, a traveller's check issuer will not typically loan the money out themselves, they will invest in financial instruments that derive their ultimate value from loans or direct investment.

      I'm not sure what the banking requirements for e-money schemes would be like, but banks are only required to keep a small fraction of deposits in reserve. If that applied to e-money as well it would expand the investment options for the money collected by e-money firms.

      Of course, consumers understand this logic perfectly well --- why should I pay for the privilege of spending my own money? why not just use a debit card and cut out the intermediate steps? That's one reason why these ideas have been floating around since the 1980's without really catching on.

      My point: a lot of hype about a "cashless society" is coming from firms with an interest in replacing the current system with one in which they effectively "issue currency" and make money off of the float, as well as from percentage based and flat fees. They don't mean "cashless"--they mean "use our cash instead of theirs."

      arrrggh, I never thought it would come to this, but...

      1) issue alternative currency
      2) ????
      3) Profit!

      except that in this case ????? = collect interest.

      blog-O-rama

      --
      foldplay your photos won't know what hit them.
  7. Re:A bigger question. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, people have, over and over again. The banks' answer was always that they use the interest on your money to cover the cost of the transaction. Thankfully, my bank (ABN Amro) has changed their ways. Instead of delaying transactions, my money is transferred instantly from one account to the other, but the rent date on the account where the money was withdrawn from is back-dated two days. The bank get their rent, and I don't have to wait for my money to arrive in my second account. Suits me just fine.

    As for the future of money... I don't see cash disappearing in the next 25 years. Cash is still very convenient for a numbe of purposes and I carry some with me at all times. Cash is useful for person-to-person transactions on the spot, and as a safeguard against overdrawn accounts, broken electronic wallets and the debit card / ATM / CC verification server being down. If any of these happen to you while you're checking out in the supermarket, you'll be glad to be carrying soe cash.

    I think we will see a form of Internet (micro) payments such as Paypal coming into being in the next 25 years. It'll be less clunky and more fail-safe than Paypal as it will be run by proper banks and institutions. Most likely it will be seen as a regular banking transaction system, and be subject to the susual government regulations, scrutiny and taxes where applicable.

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  8. The future of money is already here... by Chester+K · · Score: 4, Interesting

    what kind of money you'll be putting into vending machines 25 years from now

    I already rely on cash only as much as absolutely necessary. With a debit card, I can pay for any credit card transaction directly out of my checking account, and more and more places are accepting credit cards every day. Hell, in bigger cities, you can even use a credit card in places like a Jack in the Box drive thru. In 25 years it'll be even more pervasive.

    Some places now are even supporting debit cards directly and require me to enter my PIN... all the better, that extra layer of security is a little comforting. If my card is ever stolen though, I'm limited in liability to $50, thanks to credit card laws that apply even though it technically isn't a credit card, and I keep a little nest egg tucked away in an unrelated account to tide me over while the bank tracks down and fixes any unauthorized use of my main account.

    Sure, it's not exactly a model of privacy since every purchase I make is logged on my account, but I consider the security of my money more important as a real issue than the nebulous fear that someone, somewhere is going to exploit the fact that I like buying cheeseburgers for lunch.

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    NO CARRIER
  9. Cash is good if you're a consultant by BoomerSooner · · Score: 4, Funny

    A rule where I worked was we'd all go out to eat lunch as a group but you had to have cash for your part because there is nothing worse than a table of 6 people all paying with debit cards. See your server in an hour.

    A manager would rip you a new one if you constantly paid with a CC/debit card.

  10. What is BEHIND that money... that is the question. by davinc · · Score: 5, Interesting

    E-money is the ultimate form of Fiat if you ask me. All fiat has a history of corruption and collapse (the american dollar and other world currencies are heading that way as well). Fiat money is the money of the statist, since it allows those in charge of the press to create as much money as they need, while dilluting what the rest of us hold.

    The question isn't "what form will money be in", the question should be "what assets will back our money". I don't care if its in the form of rice crispies, as long as it is backed by an asset (gold, food, land, space rocks) and has real value.

  11. Re:a problem by Mononoke · · Score: 4, Insightful
    How can we instill hardworking qualities in our young people while denying them the right to use their money as they choose?
    Because it's not their money. It's the bank's money, and they are just loaning it. I don't know anyone under 18 that I'd loan money to.

    People under 18 can have checking accounts. That's how you learn how to manage money, by having a finite amount to manage, not by having some open-ended letter of credit.

    --
    NetInfo connection failed for server 127.0.0.1/local
  12. Re:Banks by Forgotten · · Score: 4, Informative

    Credit cards cost even more than debits - you just pay a different way. The fee for using a credit card is 3% MINIMUM, and only a large retailer can get that rate. For small businesses it's more like 10%! That goes directly into the prices you pay.

    The only reason more people aren't aware of this is that government has been in the pocket of the credit card companies for a long time - that's why it's illegal for the retailer to actually put the amount you're paying to Visa or Mastercard on the bill, where it belongs. Some have gotten around that by offering a "cash discount", but it's a legal grey area.

    Credit card companies are the worst of finance industry, and that's really saying something.

    There's overhead to maintaining a cash system too, of course, borne by the government that prints the cash (and polices counterfeiting, etc). But I really wonder how much extra we'll be paying in assorted "service charges" with every new electronic-cash scheme that comes along. If it's coming from banks and other financial empires, you can assume you're being bilked, because the only reason they ever have to offer a new service is to find a new way to skim your money.

    People complain about paying taxes all the time; what I object to is bank charges. And the "take your business elsewhere" is ridiculous - they're all the same (even credit unions are only marginally better these days).

  13. Dee Hock by Animats · · Score: 4, Informative
    Dee Hock is a great guy, but not a Nobel Prize winner.

    It's worth reading Dee Hock's writings. He sounds like a collectivist nutcase at first. But this is the guy who designed how Visa, the organization, works. He got all the big banks to sign on. And he was a mid-level guy at a small bank when he did it.

    Few people outside the banking industry understand what Visa really is, let alone how it's organized and governed. Internet people should. It's a good model for shared infrastructure, like Internet backbones.

    Visa is a major corporation organized as a cooperative. Its members, and owners, are banks. Visa sets standards and runs the backbone network that transfers credit card transactions between banks. Visa doesn't issue credit cards or do financial transactions itself.

    The details of how that works politically are complex. Yet it does work, and a lot better than, say, ICANN. I'm not going into how it's done; read Dee Hock's book.

  14. It may be true... by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Here's a reference which says the rumor is true.

    And I tend to believe Snopes.

    --
    "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
  15. A paperless office... by Exiler · · Score: 4, Funny

    I just like a paperless bathroom, it only works for the Japanese.

    --
    Banaaaana!
  16. What is money? by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 4, Informative

    You are incorrect in associating paper with wealth. There is no connection. That dollar bill in your wallet is no more or less money than a digit in a Wells Fargo computer. Both represent a unit of confidence in the issuing body - the US government. That is all they represent. You cannot redeem that dollar bill for a fraction of preciou metal. You cannot redeem the bill for a piece of a brick of a government building. You are not assured of receiving a set unit of a foreign currency for it either. It is a fiat currency. It has no inherent value. The paper bill is simply a physical container for a fractional unit of confidence in the US government, nothing more or less.

  17. You mean growth in M3, not actual price inflation by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Inflation, or "pricing power" is nonexistant in the economy right now. In fact we are on the verge of deflation. This is due to massive misallocations of capital and oversupply.

    What you are referring to is the growth in the money supply through the Fed down to the fractional reserve banks. M3 money has grown by leaps and bounds in the Greenspan era. This and only this is the source of the stock market bubble.

  18. Re:Banks by mcrbids · · Score: 4, Informative

    I agree with the ideas espoused above, but wanted to correct some factual errors.

    The fee for using a credit card is 3% MINIMUM, and only a large retailer can get that rate. For small businesses it's more like 10%!

    Running a small business in Central California, I had an account with Cardservice Intl and paid 1.59%, with an annual volume somewhere around $80,000-100,000. 10% is simply rediculous, and it's a good idea a credit card merchant account isn't that expensive!

    that's why it's illegal for the retailer to actually put the amount you're paying to Visa or Mastercard on the bill.

    It's not illegal - it's just against the contract that you sign to get your merchant account. The contract actually says that you won't charge extra for credit card transactions.

    You won't go to jail, but you might lose your merchant account!

    --
    I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
  19. Re:It never ceases to amaze me... by stephanruby · · Score: 4, Informative
    "...how O'Reilly repeatedly price their conferences out of the range of most of the people that build, or are likely to build, the very software the conferences are about."

    Most technical conferences give out lots and lots of free complimentary tickets to their events. That's partly why the remaining tickets get to be so expensive. If you don't receive any free complimentary tickets yourself, then it could possibly mean you're not really part of the social fabric of those communities.

    I am not making an assertion, so please don't get upset, I am just making a guess based on my personal experience.