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Internet Traffic Still Growing Quickly

Posted by ryuzaki0 on from the mostly-files-sent-in-order-to-have-your-advice dept.

linuxscrub writes "I guess the previous articles about internet traffic doubling/[time period] being wrong were wrong? A new IDC report states that internet traffic will nearly double annually until 2007. They even use /.'s favorite unit of capacity/storage, the LOC. They predict that internet traffic will be 64,000 LOC/day! Wow, 64000 LOC, that sure sounds impressive!!"

9 of 164 comments (clear)

  1. Tell a non techie by Isbiten · · Score: 5, Interesting

    How much is 1 loc in gigabytes?

    And in the article they talk about petabits. Im confused :)

    --
    I fought the corporate America, and the corporate America bought the law.
  2. Internet Traffic... by Kr3m3Puff · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Of course the traffic may not be to chase after obscure documents, but simply more larger files, more peer-to-peer, more p0rn, etc...

    I wonder if the traffic can be correlated back to the actual number of "transactions" that are being done on the Internet? Like when I visit a website, a lot of the traffic (large banners, pop-up, etc) aren't really what I am doing or after.

    Is this simply a bandwith increase or are we talking about more real transactions? Probablly a bit of both...

    --
    D.O.U.O.S.V.A.V.V.M.
    1. Re:Internet Traffic... by Motherfucking+Shit · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I wonder if the traffic can be correlated back to the actual number of "transactions" that are being done on the Internet? Like when I visit a website, a lot of the traffic (large banners, pop-up, etc) aren't really what I am doing or after.

      Is this simply a bandwith increase or are we talking about more real transactions? Probablly a bit of both...
      I'm sure it's a bit of both, but from my own experience, I really think the majority of the "growth" is the ever-increasing size of websites.

      One example I like to use is uo.stratics.com. Check out how this site looked a few years ago, courtesy of the Wayback Machine. It was about a 60KB download even then, but it's grown extensively since. I just saved the current version of the site as a "Web archive, single file" (.mht) in Internet Explorer, and it comes out to 491KB. That's without the two Flash ads - I have IE set not to load that junk, and it didn't save in the .mht, either.

      So, over the course of 4 years or so, a page that was once about 60KB is now >500KB if you add in the Flash banners. Is it any wonder that internet traffic keeps doubling, when the sizes of common web destinations keep increasing so much?
      --
      "BSD: Free as in speech. Linux: Free as in beer. Windows 10: Free as in herpes." --Man On Pink Corner in #52607549.
  3. New much more interesting unit of measurement by Johan+Veenstra · · Score: 5, Interesting

    5.175 petabits is about 1 bit per square centimeter of earth.

    Johan Veenstra

  4. Lifetime of thoughts = 37Gb by RobotWisdom · · Score: 4, Interesting
    James Joyce's Ulysses is supposed to offer a full day's thoughts by Leopold Bloom. I did some calculations and concluded that the overall size of 1.5Mb is about right... so a full lifetime of thoughts is just 37 gigabytes.

    If the Library of Congress is 10 terabytes that's less than 300 lifetimes' worth. (Which 300 people should be included?)

    Another useful measure is the EB, or Encyclopaedia Britannica, which is about 200Mb. So one LoC = 50,000 EBs = 300 lifetimes.

    1. Re:Lifetime of thoughts = 37Gb by Twistor · · Score: 5, Interesting
      I agree that the Library of Congress ("LOC") is a extremely rough measure, and so this thread is a bit silly ... but let not that stop a correction or two on slashdot!

      From 1986 to 2000 I worked part-time/full-time in the stacks in the Adams Building. I worked in the General Collections which, when I left, had 240 miles of shelving assigned to it. (The General Collections was/is contained in the Adams and Jefferson Buildings as well as several off-Capitol Hill storage facilities.) In all three buildings there were about 530 miles of shelving for all of the collections (General + Special Collections.)

      Trust me - when I left we were shelving books on the floor on every deck in both buildings. The 240 mile estimate for the General Collections is low. I only viewed two of the Special Collections up close - some of the Music Division & Law Library, and they too had storage problems - they routinely took some of our shelves for their own overflow material. But, of course, not all shelves contain the same amount of data, so (again) the memory estimate of the "LOC" is going to be suspect - don't think I didn't try many times (in those long ago hours of boredom shelving those books!) to quantify an average. Its close to impossible.

      The Library did try an estimate - they even asked us to suggest "typical" shelves in the General Collections with which to measure - but the final estimate did not satisfy me and I fear the typical LOC unit measure is itself low.

      If you ever get stack-access go down to Deck 8 North and look through the Encyclopedias - I would estimate the length of one set of EB to be 10 feet. There are 2,798,400 feet in 530 miles, so there are 279,840 EB's per LOC (and again that LOC measure is suspect...), or 1679 lifetimes.

      --
      I flee dead people.
  5. Look at peering statistics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Have a look at the traffic statistics of the public peering points in Europe:

    LINX - London - 25Gbit/s
    AMSIX - Amsterdam - 11Gbit/s
    DECIX - Frankfurt - 10Gbit/s

    If you look at it most of them double traffic even faster than in 12 month. I think it's closer to 9 month.

    --
    Andre

  6. Bizarre math? Fuzzy math? by petrilli · · Score: 5, Interesting

    180 petabits per day? What kind of measurement is that? Where was it measured? How was it measured? Who was included? Were bits counted twice?

    Just to give you an idea, I work for a large IP carrier, and we peak around oh, 200Gbps aggregate traffic entering the network. Gigabits/second is a good measurement of traffic, as is total gigabytes/terabytes... but to use the term petabit, implies they're using bandwidth, not data, and that asks where that was measured and how? There's not a lot of 200Gbps networks in the world.

  7. Some Calculations by hburch · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Current data:
    180 petabits/day = 22.5 petabytes/day = 273 gigabytes/sec.

    Presuming 250 million people using the Internet, that's 1118 bytes/sec for each person, or 92 MB/day. Are you doing your part?

    2007 prediction:
    5,175 petabits/day = 650 petabytes/day = 7.66 terabytes/sec.

    Presuming 1 billion people using the Internet, that's 7,850 bytes/sec per person, or 647 MB/day. An average of one CD per day per person.