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Nanotechnology: Lessig, Sherman and Drexler Speak

An anonymous reader writes "Reporting from The Foresight Institute's "Vision Weekend", Glenn Reynolds (aka Instapundit) discusses the future of nanotechnology and the politics behind it. Also featuring a video interview of Lessig, Sherman and nanotech pioneer Eric Drexler."

21 of 114 comments (clear)

  1. Still a viable field by mao+che+minh · · Score: 4, Informative
    The author is right, interest in nanotechnology never really waned, despite the economic calamaties:

    1. A list of nanotechnology companies in general

    2. In Canada, alot is being spent on R&D for nanotechnology: Nanotechnology R&D Initiatives in Canada

    3. And they are crazy about it in Asia (many PDF reports)

    Since the topic of SPAM was recently at hand, I wonder long it will be before we start getting: "***enlarge your penis*** Rapid PENIS ENLARGEMENT through the use of amazing NANOTECHNOLOGY advances "***enlarge your penis*** "

    1. Re:Still a viable field by Otter · · Score: 3, Insightful
      My (outsider's) impression, though, is that the stuff that's really working and holding promiser in the nanotech is far from the Drexler / Diamond Age nanoscale machinery that Reynolds seems to think is still synonomous with "nanotechnology".

      Glenn is obviously a smart guy, but he's there as a futurism enthusiast, not an expert. I get the feeling he's been taken in by people using the real accomplishments of others to justify their own unrealistic hype.

  2. Prior art! by MrBoombasticfantasti · · Score: 3, Funny

    You can't patent nanotechnology, as Robin Williams has prior art in the cult series "Mork and Mindy"! ;-) "Nano, nano!"

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  3. I was also there by worst_name_ever · · Score: 3, Funny

    I attended the nanotechnology conference also, and I'll report on what I saw just as soon as I can wash off this gray goo...

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    In Soviet Rush, today's Tom Sawyer gets high on you.
  4. Ah I can see it now by Timesprout · · Score: 5, Funny

    Nano bots will be part of Palladium, your PC will not respond unless you have the correct embedded bots. Any attempt to circumvent DRM or any EULA conditions will be punished by the bots relaxing you sphlincter muscles at the most inapropiate of times and most probably in a public place. God help any geek who has a girlfriend as violations may be additionally be punished by relaxation of other muscle groups.

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  5. scientists and possibility by sssmashy · · Score: 4, Informative

    many scientists ... want to undermine fears of advanced nanotechnology by simply taking the subject off the table. You'd think, though, that at least some of these people would beware of Arthur C. Clarke's observation that when a distinguished scientist says that something is possible, he is almost certainly right, but when he says that something is impossible, he is often wrong.

    Unless the scientists are advancing agendas that have nothing to do with science... for example, when a "Creation Scientist" maintains that it is "possible" the Earth is only thousands of years old, or a scientist in the pay of industry maintains that it is "possible" that emissions have no effect on global warming.

    Actually, Arthur C. Clarke's axiom still holds true, because none of the above examples are "distinguished" scientists.

    1. Re:scientists and possibility by PhilHibbs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm afraid that so often have "scientists" stood up and said that their emloyer's activities (I'm thinking PCBs here) are safe and clean, that I just don't believe them any more. A scientist in the employ of a multinational conglomerate is more likely to be lying than telling the truth, IMO. Same with journalists, I'm afraid, they're all looking at their future employment prospects with the big networks.

  6. Something for nothing? by Bendy+Chief · · Score: 3, Insightful
    There's discussion in the article about property rights and nanotech, particularly relating to the advanced, at this point imaginary, construction of complex mechanisms through nanobots.

    However, I believe they may be putting the cart ahead of the donkey, considering the need of resources for the bots. That is, unless you don't mind nanobots eating your kids and reconstituting them into Nanobot Green. ;)

  7. Site seems slow, or it could just be me. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    As I promised last week, I attended the Foresight Institute's "vision weekend" relating to nanotechnology, and I have a report. (If you don't know much about nanotechnology, read this for some general background.)

    The good news is that interest in nanotechnology doesn't seem to have suffered as much as it might have in light of the economic woe that has swept Silicon Valley. Though I saw a lot of "space available" and "for lease" signs as I drove around Palo Alto, attendance at the conference was only slightly below last year's.

    There was less Extropian-style enthusiasm about the long-term prospects that nanotechnology might lead to near-immortality, and more talk about near-term developments and venture capital. And I guess that's the biggest shift in the field. When talk about nanotechnology was new, the long-term prospects dominated. They're still important, and people are still talking about them (who doesn't want to live a long time - er, besides Leon Kass, that is?) but the big buzz was over startups that are promising to deliver interesting new nanodevices within the year. Venture capitalists were talking about nanotechnology-related products that they're backing, and there was more discussion of products that can be brought to market in the near term. (One fallout of the dotcom bubble's bursting is that the venture-capital community seems very interested these days in companies that will produce customer revenue sooner rather than later)

    People were also interested in the politics of nanotechnology, politics that are taking place both within the scientific community and within the greater polity. Within the scientific community, the "nanotech isn't possible" argument, which seemed dead a couple of years ago, seems to have enjoyed a modest resurgence. This isn't because any new experimental evidence has appeared; but rather, most people seem to think, because many scientists - fearful of criticism by Luddites and technophobes - want to undermine fears of advanced nanotechnology by simply taking the subject off the table. This probably won't work, for reasons that I outlined in last week's column, but it's a natural instinct, I suppose. You'd think, though, that at least some of these people would beware of Arthur C. Clarke's observation that when a distinguished scientist says that something is possible, he is almost certainly right, but when he says that something is impossible, he is often wrong.

    The larger world is taking notice, too. That's both a good thing and a bad thing. The good thing is that some - like Professor Lawrence Lessig of Stanford Law School - want to help "inoculate" nanotechnology against excessive legal interference, something that was the subject of Lessig's talk at the conference.

    And some policymakers like Rep. Brad Sherman (D-CA), who attended the conference in its entirety, are taking nanotechnology rather more seriously than, say, Prince Charles. Sherman has drafted legislation calling for the National Academy of Sciences to study the impact of nanotechnology and wants to see far more attention paid to issues of economic, social, and political impact.

    One Sherman-offered amendment to the current nanotechnology bill, HR766, called for 5% of nanotechnology funding to be set aside for such studies. That one didn't get adopted. But another, which was unanimously adopted, calls for a National Academy of Sciences study on the possible regulation of self-replicating machines, the release of such machines in natural environments, the distribution of molecular manufacturing development, the development of defensive technologies, and the use of nanotechnology to extend the capabilities of the human brain. (Sherman solicits your advice, and says you can email him at Brad.Sherman@mail.house.gov - with the subject line "Science" - if you like.)

    The military aspects of nanotechnology have gotten more attention: In a speech last week, President Bush emphasized the role of technology in American military success, and noted that we are seeing wea

  8. Usefull? by mobileskimo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Is it just me or did that article have very little information that I didn't know or that I didn't already suspect. Venture capitalist are looking for shorter turnaround on their investment? Wasn't that news like a year or two ago? Potential military application? Political and legislation problems? Appreciate if the other attendants could provide some more focused details about the topics and perhaps your own insights and conclusions you have drawn from the discussions and presentations.

    I found the links from the replies more informative. Thanks fellas.

    --
    "Last one in is a rotten goblin!" - Kepp
  9. Nanodangers. by caquillo · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Has anyone noticed that most of the nanodangers people are worried about are far-future sort of scenarios. Though I'm no Nanotechnician, I've got enough of a passing interest in the subject to know that scientists are not so much saying that nanotechnology is impossible(like the author of this article seems to suggest) but that self replicating nanotechnology is impossible. Now, while I know if it is actually impossible, I strongly believe that self-replicating nanotechnology is beyond our mortal grasp, and without self-replicating nanomachines, most of the other really big nano-dangers ( and many of the nanodreams ) become nigh on impossible.

    For Instance, take any sort of nanomachine that affects a human body. Nanomachines are very small and very hard to make. Our body is made of many, many cells. To kill, or change, or even repair a signifigant number of those cells, you need an obscene number of nanomachines. Without self-replicating nanos, you're going to be using alot more resources to make the nanos than it will take to achieve the same ends through other means.

    Most of the current Nanotech seems to be centered around production methods of non-nano devices, sensors of different sorts, computing, and biotechnology. (Biotech being it's own can of worms and a very different matter from nanotech, indeed.)

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  10. Excellent Smithers... by Joe+the+Lesser · · Score: 4, Funny

    mastery of nanotechnology could lead to the kind of military supremacy that mastery of steam power and repeating firearms gave the West in the 19th Century.

    Good, soon we can conquer all those pesky third world countries in a few days instead of a few weeks.

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    1. Re:Excellent Smithers... by Skyshadow · · Score: 3, Insightful
      mastery of nanotechnology could lead to the kind of military supremacy that mastery of steam power and repeating firearms gave the West in the 19th Century.

      It seems to me that the availability of nanotech would actually completely outmode the current definition of military mastery.

      Nuclear weapons accomplished (or are accomplishing) this to a very limited extent, but they're really hard to build and require exotic and hard-to-find elements and impressive amounts of infrastructure.

      Nanotech, OTOH, seems like just an advance in manufacturing techniques. Given a properly advanced state of the art, it seems like it would be fairly impossible to limit access it the tech once things got rolling.

      So, what we'll have is yet another dramatic inflation of the 9-11 effect, where once again the idea of how many people can be killed by a single determined person rises dramatically. It's been a historical trend over the last few hundred years, but I foresee an increase by a level of magnitude in our near future...

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  11. Drexler r0x0Rz by tomzyk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Engines of Creation is a good read about the possibilities we have with nanotech. It's also pretty cool that this was published in 1986 (several years before the internet really was available to most people) and he wrote about having online forums and large reositories of books/information like exists today. (and he even published the book online in hopes more authors would do the same.)

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  12. How about a SourceForge for Ferraris? by The+Night+Watchman · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If you can make pretty much anything at home, using nanodevices, then information becomes the key input. But how would the auto industry feel about a Napster for Ferraris?

    Not bloody likely. All a company would have to do is design their product to require registration via a serial number for activation purposes, a la Windows XP. Granted, there are cracks aplenty for something like that, so maybe it's not such a hot idea.

    Perhaps the nanoassembler would need to receive permission from the company in order to manufacture a consumer device in the first place, like an RSA key or something of that sort. Of course, once the actual assemble commands are isolated by some third-party hardware, one could just copy them and distribute them freely.

    Then there's the notion of including some manner of rare precious metal in the design of the product, but that can be acquired by other means, and while expensive, the money to buy it wouldn't go to the company in the first place.

    Hmm. Well, there go those ideas. To be honest, I think that nanotech, when it reaches maturity, will unavoidably throw a wrench in our economic system. When people can assemble their own goods for free, it's the designers who have the primary work cut out for them. And that could even turn into an open-source style of system, since if food, clothing, and other essentials can be assembled from only basic raw materials like soil, then the need for money would diminish considerably, and people could design new goods and products as a hobby.

    Of course, one person could begin distributing a super-virus that can kill us all. Then again... umm... ::buries head in sand::

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  13. Clarke's Laws by Noren · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The article somewhat misquotes Clarke's First Law, written in 1962, which actually said:
    When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.
    He continued:
    Perhaps the adjective "elderly" requires definition. In physics, mathematics, and astronautics it means over thirty; in the other disciplines, senile decay is sometimes postponed to the forties. There are, of course, glorious exceptions; but as every researcher just out of college knows, scientists of over fifty are good for nothing but board meetings, and should at all costs be kept out of the laboratory!
    One should keep in mind Asimov's Corrolary to Clarke's Law: (from 1977)
    When, however, the lay public rallies round an idea that is denounced by distinguished but elderly scientists and supports that idea with great fervor and emotion -- the distinguished but elderly scientists are then, after all, probably right.
    Nanotech has some danger of falling under Asimov's corrolary. Clarke's Third Law is actually better known than his first, and may apply here too:
    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.
    All quotes taken from the rec.arts.sf.written FAQ.
  14. Nanobots NO by asadodetira · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm taking a course in nanomechanics this semester and the focus of most ongoing research is not really about nanobots or self replicating machines. In my opinion some of the most interesting outcomes of nanoscience are: -Materials with novel mechanical or electrical properties. -Cheap and small measurement instruments with more capabilities. (For exampe: A chemical or biochemical laboratory on a chip) The medical-nanobot stuff is just to get funding because people think is good to fund science if it will improve our health.

  15. Nanotech and DRM by SiliconEntity · · Score: 3, Insightful

    John Gilmore published an essay a while back that also tied together concerns about nanotech and DRM. Gilmore of course is a long-time champion of online freedom and free software. In his essay he writes about how nanotech could bring an era of plenty to all, but only if there are free designs that people can feed into their nanotech assemblers.

    Gilmore argues that the problems we are facing now with information goods - music, movies, games, software - are just the beginning. In a few decades, all products will be in the same situation. Whatever solutions we find now will be the way we handle physical products in the future.

    If we can build a world where information goods are plentiful and cheap, that is a good sign that nanotech will bring us a similar bounty of physical goods. On the other hand if we end up with an information market built on scarcity and high prices, nanotech won't bring the world the riches that it could potentially provide.

    The ongoing content wars are even more important than they seem. They are putting us on the path that will determine the future economy of the 21st century.

    1. Re:Nanotech and DRM by thinkninja · · Score: 3, Funny

      So the MPA (Materials Producers of America) will be suing college kids for $98 googolplex US because they downloaded Porsches in 20xx? That's progress, baby!

      --
      "The number of Unix installations has grown to ten, with more expected." (Unix Programmer's Manual, 2nd ed.; june 1972)
  16. Re:Very early still by Steve525 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Thank you, thank you, thank you. I work in a related field, and I have to tell you that all this discussion about nanotech is very premature. Except for the simpliest of systems (such as self-assembled super lattices), it's pure science fiction. Might as well talk about the environmental impact of warp drives.

  17. my predicition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Here's where I see this technology heading:

    Somewhere in the next 5-10 years the Military will fund a project to use Nanotechnology to protect us from Terrorism. In fact, some of the work raytheon is already doing is just that.

    15-20 years out commercial entities will be given access to this technology so that they can make a buck off of it. At this point, the media will begin to rabidly suckle at anything with the prefix "nano" attached to it.

    20-25 years from now the economy will surge because everyone and their brother thinks that "the world is really about to change"

    25-30 years from now people will notice that their human condition has not, in fact, changed.

    30-35 years from now all nanotechnology will be produced overseas, and those involved stateside will have a hard time finding work. At this time, the military will fund a project to utilize quantum strings to defend us against time travelers.

    wash, rinse, repeat