Slashdot Mirror


Is 3G Irrelevant?

An anonymous reader writes "Network Magazine asks 'Are We Better Off Without 3G?' in which the author notes that many networkers are giving up on 3G as a data services alternative due to high deployment costs and slower speeds vs. Wi-Fi. Given these issues, are we likely to see carriers like Nextel bypassing 3G for 4G technologies such as OFDM (Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing) by Flarion Technologies?"

22 of 252 comments (clear)

  1. what 3g? by fragged+one · · Score: 5, Interesting

    hell, we don't even have 3g in the us at this time. we're still on 2.5g, hopefully to have 3g by the end of 2004-2005. with ntt docomo testing true 4g in japan recently, it makes you wonder why even bother with 3g?

    --
    if it wasn't for that horse, i wouldn't have spent that year in college.....
    1. re:what 3g? by ed.han · · Score: 3, Interesting

      this is what we get for taking so long re: GSM. and remember, japan's mighty small: upgrading the infrastructure in an area the size of connecticutt (or is it rhode island) is vastly easier than it is elsewhere.

      ed

    2. Re:what 3g? by goofrider · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's an unfair analogy. Japan might be small, but most of the major cities in Japan has much higher population density that even Manhattan.

      And of course, the Japanese customers are generally more welcoming to new technologies altogether.

      The combination of smaller size and higher population and lower barrier makes it a hotbed for new wireless technologies.

      On another note, Three UK and Three HK will have limited 3G service in their repective markets by the end of 2003 / start of 2004.

  2. Forget high deployment costs! by Abalamahalamatandra · · Score: 5, Interesting

    How about high USE costs? AT&T Wireless seems to think that I personally am going to pay the entire cost of building their network - $5.99 for a megabyte of data a month?

    And meanwhile they're happily signing up Blackberries with unlimited data for peanuts.

    Is it any wonder the average joe is telling them what to do with it?

  3. There will always be early adopters by bhsx · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why give up on it? Surely the outlandish pricing will come down, as that is set for early adopters to offset the research costs. 3G has had this crowd drooling for 1.5yrs (at least), someone will cash in on that cow.

    --
    put the what in the where?
  4. Fix the voice first. by Zaphod+B · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I'd like to see mobile providers concentrate more on getting their 2G (voice) networks rolled out and matured across America and Canada. You in Europe are lucky -- you have almost 100% coverage. Here in America that is patently not the case - even in large cities such as San Francisco, Dallas, and Los Angeles.

    Have you SEEN the GSM map of the US? Looks like a road atlas with smudges.

    Fix what you have, mobile providers, and then start dreaming of 3G.

    --
    Zaphod B
    When duplication is outlawed, only outlaws will have /bin/cp
  5. Naw.... by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It's not any more irrelevent than IPv6 or .

    Seriously, there will always be standards and technologies that make it from being in the right place at the right point of the implementation/budget curve and those that end up being skipped or never really fully implemented because it doesn't make sense for most to do so.

    The end result of course is, if you didn't spend years on the standard yourself and your company isn't betting the farm on it, then: "Who cares?"

    --
    The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
  6. 3G is a pathetic disappointment... by WIAKywbfatw · · Score: 3, Interesting

    At least that's the view here in the UK, where the 3G services available here so far are being sold on the strength of picture messaging and video phone calls.

    Unsurprisingly, sending a picture message or making a video call costs a lot more than sending a text message or making a regular call. New services generally command a price premium, so I guess that's to be expected, but what really gets my goat is how utterly useless (beyond the novelty factor) picture messaging and video calls are. Why use a picture message when a text message is so much clearer and 10-30 times cheaper? Why make a video call when a voice one will suffice at a fraction of the cost?

    I'm sorry, but I want more from my next generation handset than just postage stamp sized pictures. And, if the current take up of 3G phones here and elsewhere is anything to go by, so does everyone else.

    --

    "Accept that some days you are the pigeon, and some days you are the statue." - David Brent, Wernham Hogg
  7. Unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Given the huge investment in 3G licensing throughout Europe which nearly bankrupted many of the phone companies (and incidently made goverments such as the UK lots of £££)
    I don't see 3G going away too quickly, the phone companies have too much invested to throw it all away and start again, video services are just starting to be offered, the companies CANT afford to use alternate systems.
    {[ www.insightdynamiks.com ][ psychedelic trance parties]}

  8. tech, who has it?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I don't get it.
    Are the USA the most technological advanced country on the planet or not?
    If not, who is?
    My view of the USA has changed indeed the last months.

    1. Re:tech, who has it?? by uradu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > home appliances in the US are vastly superior

      That's funny, I (and most people I know that have experienced both) think the opposite. American stoves and ovens are extremely crude, with controls and looks straight out of the 50s. Washing machines are even worse--practically everything you buy here in the states is driven by a mechanical program wheel, hardly any microprocessor driven washing machines at all. And they all use water like there's no tomorrow. Of course, water being much cheaper than in Europe, that doesn't matter as much. Fridges OTOH are nice and big in the US--not technologically more advanced, but bigger. Of course, since you HAVE to shop for a week at a time (given that the supermarket is half a fuel tank away), that makes sense. Even so, when living in Europe I could have always done with a larger fridge.

      Overall, on average I'd say that living in Europe you tend to come into more contact with high-tech stuff than in the US: smart-card driven public phones, fancy ticket vending machines, automated public transportation, cell-phone-driven vending machines, etc. While you find some of this stuff in the US, it tends to be less prevalent. Of course, Japan has us way beaten on all of that stuff, but hey!

  9. 3G by Neophytus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    3G put huge debt every uk telecoms provider who signed up for it. Mobiles had stopped bringing in much *new* money, so new services seemed the next big step. As such, they acutely overpaid.

  10. The problem is the charging model by Beautyon · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The discussions have been going on for years in the comms newsgroups, and the consensus from below is that its insanity to try and charge by the amount of data you use. Still, 3G has been rolled out with precisely this charging model.

    Everyone is already acclimated to flat rate charging for internet; the idea of having to watch how much you are using makes 3G unnatractive; you have to keep "looking over your shoulder", and you dread the size of your bill at the end of the month.

    Combine this with no killer app in site, and you have a pretty unnatractive package. Texting hoever continues to grow and grow...but you know this.

    --
    ATH0 Bitcoin: 1DnwFLXczVZV8kLJbMYoheUrpqHesjxrSi
  11. 4G by spaic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    4G is the future. It's supposed to be a combination of all these techniques. When I'm in a city I'm connected trought high speed Wi-Fi, when I get out of range i move seemless over to 2 Mbit UMTS (3G) getting further away I'm on 115k GPRS.

    All this is great. The problem is how to get operators to cooperate, so I can move seemlessly between different networks and know what price i pay.

  12. Re:Well... by posa · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "Technical superiority is only one small part of the puzzle these days"

    Yes, you right on that. But as a teacher ones said to me then I asked if 3G was out of date before it had been deployed "Never underestimate the power of a standard".
    Of course there are better technology today than it was for ten(?) years then 3G became a standard. But it is like buying a new computer "Hey, Intel will realese a new processor that will be better. I wait just a title bit longer". So, if we are to use a better technology, than we have to wait another ten years. That's the time it take to develop a new standard and make the equipment.
    It still is only a small part of the job to choose whatever to use super-duper modulation or hexaquad modulation.

    The problem with 3G is money. It will be interesting to se how many tele companies that will go under.

  13. Good point. by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2, Interesting

    FYI, Flarion has some excellent whitepapers on their site describing their tech, and the idea of OFDM in general.

    If all goes well I'll be a Flarion employee in a month or so. (Getting laid off, applying for a position at Flarion which is 20 minutes away from here, and coming into the application with great references, as my current company and Flarion are both spinoffs from Lucent's wireless division in Whippany.) So I've done quite a bit of research into the company and their tech. :)

    FYI, European digital TV broadcasts use OFDM modulation. The iBiquity IBOC radio broadcasting standard (Yet Another Lucent Spinoff) uses OFDM. IBOC was recently approved by the FCC as the standard for digital audio broadcasting in the US, although unfortunately for iBiquity, the economic downturn has caused nearly all broadcasters to cancel upgrade plans for the time being.

    --
    retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
  14. Re:OFDM != 4G - superiority and patents by HardcoreGamer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The main reason why we are seeing growing implementations of OFDM is because companies want to avoid Qualcomm's CDMA patents and the associated licensing fees.

    Ask anybody in the know (who doesn't have a vested interest in seeing one of these technologies implemented) and they will concede OFDM is not inherently superior to to CDMA, or vice versa.

  15. Re:Irrelevant? Absolutely. I kicked the habit! by maxume · · Score: 2, Interesting
    This point always comes up, and it always makes me wonder: What kept you from turning off the ringer? I can understand the whole spousal checkup thing making it hard to do, but it seems like 'sometimes the ringer will be off' is at least as good as 'I don't have a phone.'

    Maybe I just don't get it because nobody ever calls me...

    --
    Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  16. Re:Irrelevant technology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting
    All new technology is irrelevant until it is taken up by the public.

    ... and in some parts of the world, public acceptance won't come easily.

    I live in Sweden, and here there are several counties that will not grant building permits to any of the 3G service providers because of the uglification of the landscape and people's worries about electromagnetic radiation.

    Then there's the question of what you would use it for.

    Will the 'need' to watch a movie on the bus, as seen in a Nokia commercial from a while back, outweigh the perceived problems, and initially very high costs?

    Selling porn is mentioned a possible 'safe' revenue stream for the service providers, but who wants to watch that on a 2" screen ... on a bus? :-)

  17. WiFi speed is a red herring by PolR · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I have not checked all carriers, but the carrier I know of doesn't pull fibre to install a Wifi hot spot. They connect it to a DSL line instead. Guess where the bottleneck is.

    Although WiFi speed is irrelevant its existence still cause trouble to 3G deployments. WiFi hot spots just eats the bulk of the users in high population density areas and divert associated revenues from 3G. The business case for 3G is severely weakened.

    From a speed point of view, it would make sense for carrier to skip 3G and go directly to 4G. But speed is not enough. They need an attractive application to get customers. Mobile Internet could be it provide they stop billing by usage as other posters have mentionned. They must also understand people will want to use the full potential of real Internet, not just the subset available through AvantGo and other WAP services.

    There is also a need for a cheap PAN that can connect the PDA, the laptop and the mobile phone and also other portable devices such as digital cameras and camcoders as well as MP players. Customer would then move pictures, video and audio recordings over the net.

  18. Re:How much do you actually want to do, while mobi by zapp · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I *can't* switch my land line provider, because Qwest has a local monopoly. There are no other land line providers in the area. period.

    The thing that bothers me is, with absolutely no extra services (no caller ID, call waiting, etc) the basic service is $15 - fine. but they add in $15 in taxes too... I can't believe a 100% markup for taxes.

    --
    no comment
  19. Re:Alright smartypants by TonkaTown · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well here's a few things I do now with my 2.5G phone (Siemens S55), with a better phone like say a Symbian one (P800, 3650) or 3G I'd do more.

    Read email, write email, take pictures of things - the camera is always with me, so it's really off-the-cuff spur of the moment stuff - it's not megapixel but VGA res is good for quick snaps.
    send pictures via email, send pictures via mms,
    send pictures via Bluetooth to other phones and my PC,
    chat on IRC - using Virca a J2ME IRC app,
    chat on IM - using TipicME a J2ME Jabber app,
    write SMS, read SMS,
    surf with WAP - yeah it's not great, but it's pretty quick with GPRS,
    surf the Web - the phone's got a built in XHTML browser so a few web sites work straight out of the box, otherwise I can use a proxy.
    sync entries from my addressbook (the addressbook uses vCards) with other phones via bluetooth,
    sync my addressbook with my PC with bluetooth,
    Send my business card to other bluetooth devices,
    play games,
    update my blog via email.

    There's probably a few more things I do like using it for voice calls too!

    So you've got a computer? What do you do with it, look at websites? Email? Is that all?

    A modern phone is a networked computer that fits in your pocket, if you can't think of anything interesting to do with a tool like that I'm surprised you even managed to find your way to Slashdot!