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Ward Hunt Ice Shelf Breaks In Two

heidi writes "CNN has this story on the breakup of the largest ice cap. A permanent feature for the previous 3,000 years, it has broken into two pieces. "The Ward Hunt Ice Shelf, on the north coast of Ellesmere Island in Canada's Nunavut territory, broke into two main parts, themselves cut through with fissures. A freshwater lake drained into the sea, the researchers reported.""

50 of 785 comments (clear)

  1. So sad by daeley · · Score: 4, Funny

    Giant Arctic ice shelf breaks up

    In a statement, the Giant Arctic ice shelf hoped they would be able to remain friends despite the breakup. ;)

    --
    I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser gate.
    1. Re:So sad by gerardrj · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No.. global warming is not a myth, there is solid data to show that the averge global temperature is rising.
      What isn't certain is WHY.

      Is it "greenhouse gassses"?
      Is it that humans are generating more heat through burning of fuels, and throwing off the balance? IE: even if "green house gasses" were brought to 100 year ago levels, temps would still rise
      Is is that the Earth is going through a "warmer" part of the Galaxy/Universe?
      Is it that there is some change in the Earth's core causing more heat?
      Is the Sun putting out more energy on some long period that we don't yet know about?
      Is it all those satellites that capture energy that normally passes the planet and direct some of back at us?
      It it aliens beaning an interplanetery "slow death ray" at us?
      Is it something else we can't think of yet?

      --
      Article X: The powers not delegated... by the Constitution...are reserved...to the people
    2. Re:So sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny
      So global warming is still a myth ? Let's try to keep it that way.

      Global Warming is more than a myth, it is a European plot to undermine the US economy! They're all out to get us, because they're jealous of our way of living. That's why they've been drilling holes in the ice shelf for the last decade!

      So hop into your SUV, drive home, turn up all your air conditioners (my hasn't it been hot lately), and relax! Overconsumption is your patriotic duty. Any more of this talk about anthropogenic climate change, and we'll send you to Camp X-ray, where you belong you terrorist!

    3. Re:So sad by Capsaicin · · Score: 4, Funny

      Clearly Occam's Razor dictates that we go with the alien slow death ray theory!

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    4. Re:So sad by kfg · · Score: 4, Funny

      Oh, I thought it was all the hot gasses wafting out from SCO.

      I told them they should avoid the brown acid and cut back on the burritos, but would they listen?

      Nooooooooooooooooo!

      KFG

    5. Re:So sad by SubtleNuance · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, global warming is simply something that happens... The earth gets warmer for a few millenia, then it gets colder for a few millenia.

      Well, yes and no... what you describe, the natural cycle of the planet, warming and cooling, does happen.

      But, what is ALSO happening, is that humans are creating the Green House Effect. This is due to our releases of gases into the atmosphere.

      just because what you describe is true, does NOT mean that the Green House Effect, caused by humans is untrue.

      Even though this article says that one of the researches isnt comfortable IMMEDIATELY pointing the finger @ the Green House Effect (GHE) doesnt mean that the GHE hasnt been contributing to warming in Northern Canada.

      in short, the GHE *is* warming the planet, AND the Planet's climate cycles.

    6. Re:So sad by Gilmoure · · Score: 4, Funny

      While humans are pumping a lot of greenhouse type gasses into the atmosphere, it's by no means certain that this is directly responsible for global warming. A good Krakatoa size eruption can dwarf 100 years of human output in a day, concerning CO release. And don't forget the giant caldera volcano under Yellowstone is scheduled to erupt 'any time now'.

      Personally, I'm just bummed I never got to see the great central sea that covered the great plains. Stupid climactic variation. Why can't everything stay exactly as it was, the day I was born? Except for computers, of course. And space exploration (wait a minute, we went to the moon a year after I was born). And internet porn. And tv channels. Need more channels. And surround sound. My 5.1 setup is so outdated, women who wouldn't have noticed me before and now really not noticing me. But wait until I get my 7.1 setup. Then they'll...still ignore me. But I'll have 7.1 channels of surround sound, with which I'll enjoy...Road Trip? Dare Devil? Gaahh! Movies suck!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    7. Re:So sad by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Informative
      A good Krakatoa size eruption can dwarf 100 years of human output in a day, concerning CO release.

      Reality check:

      I can't seem to find direct figures on CO2 release from Krakatoa. However, we can do a ballpark estimate. Various sources state that it ejected 5 cubic miles of material. Other sources indicate that magma saturated with volatile compounds holds up to 6% compressed gasses, most of it water. Let's assume that Krakatoa's magma was 2% CO2. So that's 2% of 5*1609^3 = 416 million cubic meters of CO2. At 1070 kg/m^3 (liquid phase), that's 445 megatons of CO2.

      Even if my estimates are off by a factor of 10, Krakatoa spewed no more than a few thousand megatons of CO2.

      As for human emissions, the estimates I find are 6,500 megatons of carbon per year (about 1 ton per person on the planet), which when combined with oxygen make about 24,000 megatons of CO2.

      So you say that the Krakatoa eruption dwarfs 100 years of human activity, and I calculate that Krakatoa ~== 1 week of human activity. My estimates would have to be off by 3-1/2 orders of magnitude if your statement were correct. If you can find any numbers to back up your assertion, I would be happy to see them.

  2. [Correction] Largest *ARTIC* ice shelf by Meridun · · Score: 5, Insightful
    The poster obviously missed a significant point, that this is the largest arctic ice shelf, not the largest ice shelf. While still quite significant, that is not quite as ominous as the article would indicate

    1. Re:[Correction] Largest *ARTIC* ice shelf by ChozCunningham · · Score: 5, Funny

      The poster obviously missed a significant point, that this was the largest arctic ice shelf.

  3. Ploy by Pompatus · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's all a ploy by Microsoft in their new "kill the penguin" buisness strategy.

    --

    ----
    Squirrel ... It's not just for breakfast anymore
    1. Re:Ploy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Psst... there are no penquins in the arctic.

  4. huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    so why should we believe that this ice shelf actually broke, or even existed to begin with? because some environmentalists say so? call me a skeptic but i'll believe this when i hear it in church

  5. Shit happens. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Anyway, oil will run out. Then you'll WISH we had global warming.

  6. Global Warming & The One World Government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It is probably a good time to post this:

    Bush covers up climate research (again)

    1. Re:Global Warming & The One World Government by wagonlips · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Even if the pollution our industries create isn't causing this, plenty of reasons to not dump pollution into our environment exist. It's obvious, really. The debate over global warming can be a sort of smoke-screen obscuring the simple truth: don't sh*t in your own backyard. And when you think about it, it's all our backyard.

      Here's another good one: EPA definitely full of sh*t

  7. The global conveyer by MrLint · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I wonder what, if any, effect the draining of the fresh water lake into the sea will have on "the global conveyer. There was some speculation that the melting ice caps will release so much fresh water into the system the salinity and temperature difference that dries this engine will break down, and the CO2 that it deposits in the deep water will also stop. Is anyone an oceanologist?

    1. Re:The global conveyer by DCowern · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I, too, spent some time with geology and I prefer the "pack up the coastal cities scenario" to the "Snowball Earth" scenario (or even an ice age on the magnitude of the last one, for that matter).

      In short, it's postulated that a "snowball Earth" occured approximately 600-700 million years ago (shortly before the Cambrian explosion) where glacial ice spaned from the polar regions to the equator. Several theories have emerged to explain this but they all revolve around the idea that something happened to cool the Earth (e.g. severe drops in the levels of greenhouse gasses) which lead to more land being exposed which in turn lead to a lessened absorption on solar radiation which lead to even lower temperatures, more land being exposed, even less solar radiation, etc, etc, etc.

      Seriously though, I don't think we fully understand the role that natural forces such as tectonics, volcanism, and global weather patterns play in the Earth's climate. While it's pretty obvious that polluting the atmosphere is a Bad Thing, our contribution is probably just a drop in the bucket.

      Besides, even if we do screw things up so badly that we suffocate ourselves, the Earth has shown a remarkable resiliency in it's geologic past. In a couple million years, things will be pretty much back to normal and the race of uber intelligent cockroaches will be wondering how these silly bipedal organisms in the fossil record went extinct. ;-)

    2. Re:The global conveyer by daniel_howell · · Score: 5, Informative

      No, but I do have a PhD in modelling glacial systems during the last Ice Age, so I'll give it a go (appolgies for only using examples from the gulf stream in the N.E.Atlantic, that's the region that I know).

      There is a potential risk to the warm surface currents from the loss of floating ice, though it isn't to do with a one-off influx of fresh water. This will rapidly disperse over the ocean and make no perceptable difference.

      However, the 'pump' driving the global conveyer is the constant differential melting and freezing at the base of the sea ice. Sea ice is essentially floating fresh water. If you freeze part of sea water into fresh water you are left with dense, cold, salty water. This sinks to the bottom, and then flows south from the arctic. Warm, surface water then flows north to replace it, forming the Gulf Stream (and other similar currents around the world).

      Over the last few decades the extent of sea ice in the Arctic has shrunk noticably. There must be a point at which this will have an effect on these currents[1].

      It is not clear what the level of sea-ice required to maintain the currents is, nor on quite how the currents will respond (gradually decreasing or simply shutting down). However there is evidence from the sedimentary record of the last interglacial that the gulf stream in the North East Antlantic, at least, switched on and off a number of times, and that the switch from 'on' to 'off' was very rapid.

      There is thus the possibility that current climate trends will result in a situation in which the flow of warm water to the N.E.Atlantic may cease (or dramatically reduce) over a timespan of years or decades, producing dramatic climate changes in north Western Europe (especially Iceland and North Norway, but Britain, Ireland and France are also major beneficaries of the Gulf Stream). The lack of transfer of heat from the warmer regions may also result in higher sea-surface temperatures in those regions, which in turn could provide more energy for severe bad weather and hurricanes. There are futher possible effects from the lack of the cold water current. These are important in carrying oxygen around the oceans, and when they upwell against continental shelves they bring nutrients from the deep ocean to the surface, producing rich fishing grounds.

      [1] It is also, incidentally, having a major effect on polar bears, which rely on sea ice in their hunting.

  8. Amazing by Henry+V+.009 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Local warming of the climate is to blame, they said -- adding that they did not have the evidence needed to link the melting ice to the steady, planet-wide climate change known as global warming.
    My God, an actual declaration of their limited knowledge. I never expected to see those words in a CNN article on polar ice melting. How did this happen? Someone needs to stop these people before they piss away more millions in grant money.
    1. Re:Amazing by Malcontent · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes. We should all sit on our asses and do nothing until we are 100% sure.

      --

      War is necrophilia.

  9. Out of curiosity... by kevinatilusa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How much more serious of an issue would this have been if a shelf of the same size broke off in Antarctica (where the ice is anchored to land) than in the Arctic (where it was floating before and thus won't raise sea levels)?

  10. Truly Terrifying by foo+fighter · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've been on large, frozen lakes before ice-fishing when they split. I forget the technical term, but basically a huge, long crack appears out of nowhere with a horrifying sound. (Devils Lake, ND is the second largest closed basin lake in North America, after the Great Salt Lake. When Devils Lake splits you don't want to be near it. I was on it when it happened a few years ago, and I damn near literally shit my pants.)

    I can't even imagine the terror of an entire ice shelf splitting. The reuters article doesn't mention if this was a slow or fast occurance.

    Even scarier, we're several thousand years past due on the next ice age. This "global warming" thing could actually be the precursor to the beginning of the next, depending on which cadre of scientists you believe.

    --
    obviously no deficiencies vs. no obvious deficiencies
    1. Re:Truly Terrifying by YOU+LIKEWISE+FAIL+IT · · Score: 4, Informative
      I forget the technical term, but basically a huge, long crack appears out of nowhere with a horrifying sound.

      Leads? There's a word for the actual cracking and fracturing process "calving", but I think that only applies to glaciers and icebergs.

      YLFI

      --
      One god, one market, one truth, one consumer.
  11. Re:Global Warming by Martin+Blank · · Score: 4, Informative

    RTFA, in particular the following two passages:

    Local warming of the climate is to blame, they said -- adding that they did not have the evidence needed to link the melting ice to the steady, planet-wide climate change known as global warming.

    "There's a regional trend in warming that cycles back 150 years," Mueller said in a telephone interview. "I am not comfortable linking it to global warming. It is difficult to tease out what is due to global warming and what is due to regional warming."

    The Arctic region is warming far faster than the rest of the world (I seem to recall estimates of five times faster), if the rest of the world is indeed warming at all, and its related to natural shifts in water and wind currents. Even if the world temperature was stagnant, this area would still likely be warming, and the shelf would have cracked anyway.

    --
    You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  12. Now remember kiddies by Gortbusters.org · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The ice is already in the water (ocean), so melting it is not going to increase the sea levels. Remember, water expands when it freezes and it goes back down when you melt it. If you don't believe me, fill a glass full of water and put it in the freezer.

    As the earth is still coming out of its last ice age, we shouldn't be too concerned about global warming. What we should be concerned about is desertification due to the lack of vegitation and depletion of the Ozone. Given the natural course of things, the earth will make big dinosaurs, not silly monkeys who play on computers and bitch at eachother.

    Anyone else up for a nice honda civic hybrid yet? :)

    --
    --------
    Free your mind.
  13. If I were a LONG-TERM investor... by product+byproduct · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'd buy a beachfront property on Ellesmere Island while it's cheap, and start building a tropical resort there.

  14. 3000 years is nothing. by Tristan+Tzara · · Score: 4, Informative

    On the geological timescale, 3000 years of solid Ward Hunt Ice Shelf is really just a little blip. For all the worries about human greenhouse gases, we should probably also take a serious look at natural cycles. Only 12,000 years ago, you could walk out to the Farallon Islands outside SF.

  15. All part of the cycle? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Had we been living 50,000 years ago, I wonder if we would have blamed the melting of the Bering Strait ice bridge on global warming.

  16. Northwest Passage by SiliconEntity · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The fabled Northwest Passage is at hand, reducing voyages from Europe to Asia by 5000 miles.

    It's been sought by adventurers and explorers for hundreds of years, and only now is the northern boundary of the American continent becoming free of ice to allow passage. No longer will the Panama Canal or Cape Horn be the only routes between the Atlantic and the Pacific.

    Not all changes are bad. Sometimes the world actually changes for the better, contrary as this is to the worldview with which we have been indoctrinated.

  17. Re:God more fuel for the obsessives by fmaxwell · · Score: 4, Informative
    How long until the pro-global warming myth lot start blaming this on global warming?

    According to the article, Derek Mueller of Laval University said "It is difficult to tease out what is due to global warming and what is due to regional warming." He didn't call global warming a "myth." He accepted global warming as fact and only said that there was impossible to say whether it, or regional warming, was the cause of this particular event.

    Here's an excerpt from the EPA's web site:
    What's Known for Certain?
    Scientists know for certain that human activities are changing the composition of Earth's atmosphere. Increasing levels of greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide (CO2 ), in the atmosphere since pre-industrial times have been well documented. There is no doubt this atmospheric buildup of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases is largely the result of human activities.

    It's well accepted by scientists that greenhouse gases trap heat in the Earth's atmosphere and tend to warm the planet. By increasing the levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, human activities are strengthening Earth's natural greenhouse effect. The key greenhouse gases emitted by human activities remain in the atmosphere for periods ranging from decades to centuries.

    A warming trend of about 1F has been recorded since the late 19th century. Warming has occurred in both the northern and southern hemispheres, and over the oceans. Confirmation of 20th-century global warming is further substantiated by melting glaciers, decreased snow cover in the northern hemisphere and even warming below ground.
    If the EPA web site under Bush/Cheney (who are pawns of the oil industry) acknowledges global warming as fact, that should give you head-in-the-sand types a clue. Wouldn't it be terrible if we reduced pollution and it didn't fix global warming? Oh the horror!
  18. This is serious stuff folks ... by whjwhj · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is not a good development for the ecosystem of our planet.

    First, I must mention that those who rush to blame anything and everything on climate change are just as irrational and stupid and those who rush to the assumption that climate change has nothing to do with anything. Both assumptions are erronous, unlearned, and emotionally modivated.

    What we need to do hear folks is educate ourselves. As one who has done a fair amount of reading on the subject, I can assure you that although the world isn't going to end tomorrow, the effects of climate change (and man's contibution to climate change) are well worth taking seriously. Instead of blowing it all off as has been done with this subject on this forum in the past, I think we all need to grow up and at least seriously consider the very real possibility that this is in fact a very real problem and that perhaps we should rethink our dependence on fossil fuel and the rest. Because let me tell you folks, if it's half as bad as many scientists predict it is, we'd better get moving on this right now!

    So please put aside your impulsive reactions for a bit and go out and learn more about this subject. It's important enough to offer it the benefit of the doubt.

  19. A slashdot poll by Chuck+Chunder · · Score: 4, Funny

    would no doubt be the perfect tool to solve this conundrum.

    --
    Boffoonery - downloadable Comedy Benefit for Bletchley Park
  20. Article discussed Global Warming by billstewart · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If you RTFA, you'll see them discussing that they don't know whether this is global warming or just regional warming.
    Not mentioned in the article, but relevant, is that in some parts of the Canadian Arctic, I think including this area, the local Inuit had stopped making kayaks for some centuries, and had to relearn in the mid-1800s when the weather got enough warmer that kayaks were useful again. Don't know if that's global warming or just regional either.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  21. Re:certainty by gerardrj · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Coincidence.
    There are a lot of other graphs that show similar growth rates.

    To state that the increase in CO2 is undeniably causing the increase in temperature is just bad science. There's no evidence to back it up. We need experiments and more data before any sound scientific conclusion like that can be made.

    In my list I mentioned at least four very plausible reasons for global temperature rise that do not depend on an increase in CO2. Environmentalists continually shout about the GhGs because it's easy to make slogans out of and it furthers their agenda.

    I have no agenda but to get at truth. In my experince, accepting the first piece of data that fits your assumptions is not the way to get at truth, but a way to sell books and get on the 6:00 news.

    --
    Article X: The powers not delegated... by the Constitution...are reserved...to the people
  22. Notes to self... by LanceDBoyles · · Score: 4, Funny

    To do list:

    Buy Milk.
    Call Dentist.
    Sell all Florida real estate.
    Pick kids up after soccer.
    Mow lawn.

    --
    My .sig field just wouldn't be the same without its .roy
  23. www.climateprediction.net by LarsWestergren · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'm giving up on debating global warming on Slashdot, it seems just about everyone is convinced its bunk. With the weather getting more and more extreme, could you at least understand why we are worried?

    Well, I just wanted to make everyone aware of the new distributed project - www.climateprediction.net.
    Whether you agree with the theory of human caused global warming or not, with this you can help getting the world scientific community more accurate climate models.

    Unfortunately only a Windows client available at the moment, but a Linux one is in development. Personally I think this project and the
    Folding at Home distributed project are much more deserving of peoples' clock cycles than Seti or distributed.net.

    Cheers,
    Lars

    MEDIA KIT: Debunking Pseudo-Scholarship: Things a journalist should know about The Skeptical Environmentalist

    --

    Being bitter is drinking poison and hoping someone else will die

    1. Re:www.climateprediction.net by gerardrj · · Score: 5, Insightful

      All this "Save the environment" stuff is bunk. What people are trying to save is themselves/the human race.
      Regardless of what humans do, short of blasting Earth in to tiny bits, the environment will be fine. In the geologic/astonomical timescale we are insignificant to the planet, and this global warming thing is like a small pimple you had back in 7th grade on Wednesday night.

      The environment is self healing. If we cause it to get too hot (and I'm not sure we're responsible), humans and a bunch of other life forms will die off. Evolution and the geoligic processeses will reform the terrain and biosphere such that new life forms will become prevelant, and perhaps dominant.

      The planet seems to have been here for 4.5 billion years, it's traveled trillions upon trillions of miles and been bombarded by untold tons of material large and small. It's been through stages of liquid rock and solid water covering the surface, it likely will go through such stages again.

      As for your project, I have a few problems with it:

      1. It doesn't seem to incorporate any external changes to the system. ie: it treats the Earth as a closed system and ignores interactions with surrounding space and the local star. At least that's what I gather from the brief reading I've done so far.
      2. Its conclusion will be based on the "most popular" result being the most likely. The idea as I see it is: "We'll make a bunch of guesses based on assumptions and very rough modeling, and the most often guessed result is the winner." Sounds a little less than very useful to me.

      --
      Article X: The powers not delegated... by the Constitution...are reserved...to the people
  24. Hello Juan Carlos, this is Jeb by LanceDBoyles · · Score: 4, Funny

    It may not be too late to Give Florida Back to Spain.
    I think we may still have the Receipt around here somehwhere...

    On the other hand, at an average height of just 4 feet above sea level, this may be Governor Jeb's covert attempt at "wetlands" reclamation.

    --
    My .sig field just wouldn't be the same without its .roy
  25. Re:certainty by Daetrin · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I agree it would be a mistake to say that greenhouse gasses are definitely the problem. However we have a theory about how greenhouse gasses could be causing the problem, and it's something we can take relatively easy steps to correct (as opposed to stopping an alien death ray.)

    Therefore it would seem to me to be reasonable to state that greenhouse gasses seem a likely cause and take action to reduce them while simultaneously doing more research on the subject to figure out what the cause is for sure.

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  26. Re:certainty by Znork · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Very nice graph. It does make me wonder however, how does it correlate with, for example, the temperature peak during the medieval warm period when temperatures were on average a degree C warmer than today?

    Personally, I dont think CO2 emissions really make a big difference. Even if we did manage to completely stop all CO2 emissions (which I think we should do anyway) we'd still get global warming. Historical temperature data tends to point out that we're not even in a very warm period for the moment, and with or without human interference we'll get far larger variations than we've seen the last century.

    So, not buying that beachfront property might be a good idea. You never know when mother nature will conspire to make your house an experimental submerged water dwelling.

  27. Re:certainty by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Coincidence.

    The fact that temperature changes coincide with increasing levels of a known greenhouse forcing gas, is actually fairly pursuasive. Or did you mean 'mere coincidence.' ;)

    To state that the increase in CO2 is undeniably causing the increase in temperature is just bad science. There's no evidence to back it up. We need experiments and more data before any sound scientific conclusion like that can be made.

    No serious scientist is arguing 'undeniability.' The large majority of scientists, however, are pursuaded that anthorpogenic carbon dioxide (and other gases) are making a major contribution to the observed climatic changes.

    You are simply wrong about a lack of experimental data. The greenhous forcing potential of CO2 has been recognised since the time of Avernius. The mechanism by which heat is trapped (it's actually diffracted), is also well known. What is more the various indicies of heat forcing potential for CO2 and other 'greenhouse gasses,' has been quantified.

    On the balance of probabilities, it seems to me that right about 10-20 years ago we should have stopped buring the planet's carbon sinks and moved over to nuclear.

    I have no agenda but to get at truth.

    If that is so, the best starting point would be the The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change site. Providing, of course you prefer a scientific gloss on the issue rather than an ideological one.

  28. Re:certainty by thue · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There is a bit more reason to believe CO2 is causing the warmup than corrolation.

    Scientists are running climate models on supercomputers, and simulating the effect with and without the human-emitted CO2. When the scientists recommend cutting CO2 emition is desireable it is probably because they have run the numbers through their simulations.

  29. Re:Interesting ? by robinjo · · Score: 5, Informative

    You, sir, are so wrong it hurts my eyes to read!

    Place a big chunk of ice in a container and fill it with water. Then sit back and see how the melting of ice does not rise the water level. Then get back to your physics books and figure out why it doesn't.

    The problem with global warming is not with floating ice. It's with Antarctica where ice is sitting on the continent. Melting of that ice will rise the sea levels.

  30. Re:certainty by God!+Awful+2 · · Score: 5, Insightful


    To state that the increase in CO2 is undeniably causing the increase in temperature is just bad science. There's no evidence to back it up. We need experiments and more data before any sound scientific conclusion like that can be made.

    Good point.

    Let's do a giant experiment using the Earth as a testbed. If the Earth is still habitable in 50 years, you were probably right.

    -a

  31. Re:certainty by Karellen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    To state that the increase in CO2 is undeniably causing the increase in temperature is just bad science

    Well, yes.

    However, it is known that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, and that we release loads of it every year. There also have been some correlations made, even though they've not yet been proven.

    Now, given the potential problems that could be generated by global warming (flooding of coastal cities, alteration and possible destruction of major ecosystems due to changed animal migration or plant survival/dispersal patterns - the latter possibly caused by changes in wind patterns of deep sea current shifts) don't you think it might be a good idea to stop pumping out as much CO2 as we currently to in case it's the problem.

    Or do you want to bet the lives of millions (billions?) of people on the case that it turns out not to be the problem?

    If you have no idea what the result of a course of action is going to be, but are aware that it might affect the whole planet in a very real and negative way, don't do it!

    Please, I don't want to get 20 years down the line, find out CO2 was the problem all along, but that it's too late to do anything about now and is all fucked beyond repair.

    --
    Why doesn't the gene pool have a life guard?
  32. Re:certainty by awol · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The fact that temperature changes coincide with increasing levels of a known greenhouse forcing gas, is actually fairly pursuasive.

    In the absence of other factors that may even be true but in the presence of factors like the percentage of reradiated wavelengths being absorbed by atmosphere being already at 100% for the wavelengths absorbable by CO2 mean that CO2 as cause is a poor explainer at best


    --
    "The first thing to do when you find yourself in a hole is stop digging."
  33. Re:certainty by delong · · Score: 4, Informative

    That's false even by the scientists' own admission. The models are not predictive. Part of the obvious falsity of the claims made by the IPC is that the computer models project warming at the surface, and in the upper atmosphere. The upper atmosphere has actually cooled. If the model is not predictive - it is worthless. The models can not even manage predictiveness for known past climate events.

  34. Spin vs. Facts by Arker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That's your belief. Scientific evidence to support that belief is not in evidence, however.

    Despite politically motivated statements to the contrary by some politically funded researchers with obvious interest in spinning things that way, the evidence suggests instead that human action has little, if any, net affect on the global temperature average. Humans produce greenhouse gasses, yes. Humans also do things with the opposite effect. One good volcanic eruption has a lot more effect than years of human activity.

    We're in an interglacial period. Icepacks are receding. Natural, normal, and on the whole a good thing for humans and most other species as well. Why people want to spin this as some kind of disaster is beyond me, excepting those with an obvious political motivation of course.

    Earths climate is never static. If the icepacks weren't receding, they'd be expanding, and that would be much more like a disaster.

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    1. Re:Spin vs. Facts by Catbeller · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is no "political motivation" to buck the status quo. It takes guts to tell the people of Earth that they must change their ways. There is no up side to telling people what they do not want to hear.

      There is an up side to telling them what they want to hear: "Go on and do whatever you like, and don't listen to these longhaired intellectuals over there".

      The vast majority of scientists qualified to hold an opinion have settled this matter as fact. They have no "political advantage" to uphold; as a matter of fact, the present administration of the US has made it abundantly clear than scientists who hold this unpopular-with-industry opinion are no longer welcome to share their opinions, or even to work for the administration.

      The only "spin" here are those who want to shout down those who calmly stating the facts. The arguments against the accepted facts closely resemble those against natural selection -- ad hominem nonsense.