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Japanese Mars Probe Failing

Anonymous Coward writes "After months of silence and a week of hopeful half-truths, Japanese space officials have finally confirmed that their Mars-bound Nozomi probe is teetering on the brink of failure in its five-year quest to explore the Red Planet. The Nozomi orbiter is one of four spacecraft that are due to converge on Mars in the next two months. The other three probes -- the European Space Agency's Mars Express and NASA's two Mars Exploration Rovers -- are still on track and in good working order, according to the latest status reports. Mars Express is due to enter Martian orbit on Christmas Day and send a British-built Beagle 2 lander to the surface, while the NASA rovers should arrive on Jan. 3 and Jan. 24."

26 of 242 comments (clear)

  1. the question is... by zr-rifle · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...will it commit harakiri?

    --
    Hack your mind out of its sandbox.
    1. Re:the question is... by G-Man · · Score: 4, Funny
      Perish the thought! This is an interplanetary probe, carrying the honor and dignity of the Japanese nation. It will commit seppuku , as befitting a spacecraft of its' station. It would never commit hari kiri like some common communications satellite.

      Of course, I'm not sure who will be the "second". Perhaps one of the other satellites or the Martians can finish the thing off...

  2. What's the point? by Typingsux · · Score: 4, Funny
    The Martians are now wise to us and will just shoot the rest down. That's what has happened to all the others.

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    The above post is an editorial, the poster cannot and will not be held responsible for all or in part for it's contents
  3. Real contamination risk would be small by RobertB-DC · · Score: 4, Interesting

    From the article:
    Friday's JAXA statement denied one Tokyo press report that probe was doomed to impact Mars and possibly contaminate the planet. Such a scenario would violate an international "space quarantine" treaty.

    I know we've had a lot of cool reports that microbes have survived exposure to hard vacuum for extended periods, but do we really have to worry about "contaminating" Mars? The craft was probably sterilized pretty well before being launched. Then, a year and a half ago, it got hit with a solar flare strong enough to make it miss Mars the first time... that should have baked any hitchiking bugs pretty well. And then, there's the latest round of Solar hiccups to take into account.

    Finally, if the craft does hit Mars, it's going to do it in a totally uncontrolled manner -- 'cause if they get any control, they'll steer it away. That implies a high velocity, which even in the thin Martian atmosphere should melt the craft into slag.

    Extremophile bacteria at molten sulfur vents is one thing, but hitchiking in a blob of ablating steel?

    And as far as that "space quarantine" treaty... what exactly is the punishment for sneezing in space?

    --
    Stressed? Me? Of course not. Stress is what a rubber band feels before it breaks, silly.
    1. Re:Real contamination risk would be small by kippy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah, I raised my eyebrow when I read that too. What I thought was funny was how they mentioned Mars Express is due to enter Martian orbit on Christmas Day and send a British-built Beagle 2 lander to the surface, while the NASA rovers should arrive on Jan. 3 and Jan. 24

      So they are worried about a man made meteor seeding the planet but sending rovers to the surface is somehow alright???

      hey, if we do "contaminate" the surface, that will save genetic engineers a lot of trouble if we ever try to terraform. "space quarantine treaty", now there's a treaty we've got to get rid of.

    2. Re:Real contamination risk would be small by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      >>So they are worried about a man made meteor >>seeding the planet but sending rovers to the >>surface is somehow alright???

      By Jove i think you've got it! Not.

      The japanese probe was never intended to touch down so was never decontaminated.

      The laders were intended to reach the surface, and so were decontaminated appropriately.

    3. Re:Real contamination risk would be small by snake_dad · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Bacteria survived being on the moon for years. Parts from (IIRC) a Surveyor probe were brought back by an Apollo mission. Granted, these bacteria were found inside an instrument, but since the Japanese probe may shatter on impact there is a contamination risk, I think.

      About the reentry, I'm not sure it will burn up completely. Meteorites crashing on Earth are said to be warm, not scalding hot. Could some rocket scientist jump in and give his view on the reentry? Metal vs stone, Earth vs Mars atmosphere? (Hmm.. re-entry sounds wrong. It's going to enter the Mars atmosphere for the first time)

      --
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    4. Re:Real contamination risk would be small by ch-chuck · · Score: 3, Interesting

      do we really have to worry about "contaminating" Mars?

      Nature sure doesn't worry, and man is definitely a product of nature. Life spreads by 'contamination', that's what makes it life! Heck, how do we know that all life on earth didn't start by a passing visitor from Alphi Centauri landing, taking a whizz on some rock, declare the place uninhabitable and take off? Those who would stop exploration by complaining about 'human contamination' should get off their high moral horse, put aside their cosmic guilt complex and allow the spread of life to go on, whether by building moon bases or stowaway mold spores. I'll bet that every successful interstellar alien race has a policy of 'conquor first, ask questions later', while the 'kind peace loving don't interfere' races end up as their raw protein and amino acid supply.

      --
      try { do() || do_not(); } catch (JediException err) { yoda(err); }
  4. I see by Joe+the+Lesser · · Score: 4, Funny

    So hopefully the British rover will have tea ready for us when we get there. Jolly good.

    --
    "I only speak the truth"
    Karma: null(Mostly affected by an unassigned variable)
    1. Re:I see by D-Cypell · · Score: 5, Funny

      Sure, laugh at us!

      Do you have any idea how much of the great british public's tax money went on the research required to get water boil correctly in those kind of inhospitable conditions...

      Not to mention the whole earl grey vs english breakfast fiasco!

  5. Contamination? by Meat+Blaster · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I'm starting to wonder if we should be sending all these probes out without any chance of recovery or destruction. While it's probable there isn't any other sentient life out there, it's also probable that our efforts to explore our surroundings are affecting or destroying living and non-living celestial evidence.

    I keep thinking about those fish that live in caves that we believed were blind from birth, but were actually blinded by our observations, which required orders of magnitude of light more than they were ever accustomed to. Who knows how much Earth biology survives in these probes when they crash land?

    Maybe we should put a halt to sending out any more of these things for now and work more on passive observation techniques.

    1. Re:Contamination? by BJH · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't underestimate the power of Hello Kitty!

  6. Re:Conspiracy theory anyone? by mikerich · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Maybe I listen to Art Bell too much, but it seems pretty strange that so many probes to Mars have failed in some fashion. Perhaps the Martians don't want us messing up their planet?

    Or maybe Mars is a long way away and it's really hard to build a machine that can be expected to work for months on end whilst being baked and simultaneously frozen after being placed in a vacuum and bombarded with radiation. Then to put this complicated device on top of hundreds of tonnes of high explosive so that you can get it moving fifteen times faster than a rifle bullet with the objective of placing it somewhere near a body only slightly larger than the Moon?

    Best wishes,
    Mike.

  7. Probe Redundancy by MonkeyCookie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    At least there's quite a bit of redundancy with the martian probes. With four going there at once it's quite likely that at least one of them will get there.

    The martian probe success rate is so bad that maybe space agencies should launch multiple smaller ones with the expectancy that some will fail to reach their destination than put all their hopes on one larger probe.

  8. Re:Conspiracy theory anyone? by ultramk · · Score: 3, Funny

    Two points:

    1. If you even know who Art Bell is, then you listen too much.

    2. Mars is a very long way away. A Very, Very long way away. It's moving, too, at a good clip. This distance allows more to go wrong on the way than going somewhere closer, like the moon, by an exponential factor. ...and why, yes, this is rocket science.

    (One more reason why Mars is no place to raise a kid. Ooooo, I'm channeling Shatner!)

    m-

    --
    You catch enchiladas by picking them up behind the head and holding them underwater until they don't kick anymore -VeGas
  9. Contamination risk would be real by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I don't suppose you've heard of common earth organisms like Deinococcus Radiourans? This bug has such potent DNA-repair mechanisms that it survives very heavy irradiation (it apparently evolved them to recover from DNA damage during long periods of dryness, but they work for radiation-induced breakages too). And substantial parts of a spacecraft survive even an uncontrolled atmospheric entry; look at how much of Columbia came down, including large pieces of astronauts.

    If someone sterilized the bird with something like chlorine monoxide it's a different matter, but I've seen nothing about this and an orbiter wouldn't normally need to be sterilized like a lander. That's why Galileo met its fiery end.

  10. Still fingers crossed for Mars Express by mikerich · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Mars Express has to perform one VERY important maneuvre. On December 19th it must eject the Beagle 2 lander whilst still travelling at interplanetary velocity.

    If Mars Express fails to shoot Beagle 2 into space, the retro-engine will not have enough thrust to brake Mars Express into Martian orbit. Both probes would then fly past the planet and into solar orbit.

    Beagle 2 then travels through space for six days before hitting the Martian atmosphere at interplanetary velocity. Beagle 2's onboard transmitter will not come to life until the probe impacts the surface, so you can imagine that those six days will be pretty tense for the ESA teams.

    All being well, Beagle 2 and Mars Express should arrive at their destinations safe and well in the small hours of Christmas morning. By the time we're opening our presents here in the UK, they should have received a signal from the Martian surface.

    So, here's hoping!

    Best wishes,
    Mike.

  11. Strange but seemingly consistent by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I'm starting to get the impression that there is some sort of major hazard somewhere on the way to Mars. It seems that quite a few probes have been getting so beat up as to be partly or completely inoperable on arrival to Martian orbit.

    Does anyone have any hard data on the statistics of spacecraft survival for all known Mars missions? Am I incorrect?

    1. Re:Strange but seemingly consistent by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm starting to get the impression that there is some sort of major hazard somewhere on the way to Mars.

      Yes. It's called human engineering.

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

  12. Battle On! by jmkaza · · Score: 5, Funny

    This is going to be the best episode of Batttlebots ever!

  13. Doesn't matter to me... by tomdarch · · Score: 3, Funny

    Because it's a Nozomi Express Probe, I can't use my JRPass on it!

  14. Re:Conspiracy theory anyone? by ThisIsFred · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Not to mention that no one really has the funds to build the super-probes of yesteryear, so this is unfortunately going to happen with greater frequency. Even looking back at the historic Mars missions where the US sent those super-probes, two out of eight failed before reaching Mars. This shows us that it really has nothing to do with Mars, it's a difficult feat to send probes to Mars even with gobs of cash to spend, and it is no less difficult now than it was decades ago.

    --
    Fred

    "A fool and his freedom are soon parted"
    -RMS
  15. Interesting by nocomment · · Score: 4, Funny

    I guess I'll just stick with their VCR's and TV's.

    --
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  16. solution to contamination? by igny · · Score: 3, Insightful
    There is no solution short of leaving Mars alone. Surely all probes crashed on Mars may have brought bacteria stubborn enough to survive preflight cleaning, the space flight and the entry. They may or may not thrive in future and have some long term effects. If anything, exposure to vacuum and solar flares may only aggravate situation forcing bacteria to mutate.

    But do we need any solution? After all, any manned expedition will surely affect Mars more than any probe before. Exploring Mars and fear of contamination are contradictory. There is a saying in Russia, if you are affraid of wolves, then dont explore the forest, meaning that if you want to explore something, you have to overcome your trivial fears.

    --
    In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is. - Yogi Berra
  17. Re:YOU POMPOUS ASS by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A rare eloquence, a marvelous economy of words; concise, yet expressive; direct, accessible language equally meaningful to the sage and to the barbarian. Moronic, perhaps, yet clear and precise.

  18. Japanese Deception by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I live in Japan and have been hearing frequently deceptive information made by japanese organizations. I am starting to believe that, for some reason, the japanese have a real problem with truth and reality.

    Recently there have been serious problems with radioactive leakage at nuclear reactors and the japanese companies responsible did initially lie to the public (and the government) about the real situation.

    The japanese economy is going through a serious recession and one of the problems is the false statements made from the financial organizations.

    Statistics about social trends and problems are dubituous, not to say manipulated. e.g., AIDS statistics.

    Discrimination and human rights violations are common, yet the reality is covered by the local news and authorities.

    Double standard and unclear laws, even for the japanese themselves, are quite common.

    Due to things like these and some others, I have been loosing respect and trust for the japanese, both at a personal and professional level.