Slashdot Mirror
Earthquake Prediction Months In Advance
eegad writes "A UCLA seismologist named Vladimir Keilis-Borok claims earthquakes can be predicted months in advance. In the article at the University of California Newswire, he claims that the "team including experts of pattern recognition, geodynamics, seismology, chaos theory, statistical physics and public safety ... has developed algorithms to detect precursory earthquake patterns." It also says "the team's current predictions have not missed any earthquake, and have had its two most recent ones come to pass." They predict "an earthquake of at least magnitude 6.4 by Sept. 5, 2004, in a region that includes the southeastern portion of the Mojave Desert, and an area south of it." We'll see if they're right."
They got rid of the old guy with his knee that "acts up" right before an earthquake?
well, it's nothing one behind the ear wouldn't cure
They just can't seem to get their results to agree with the computer's results on that one inverted gamma factor
Still no cure for cancer
Coming soon to a TV near you: The earthquake channel! Get your 10 day seismic activity forecast!
clifgriffin > blog
They predict "an earthquake of at least magnitude 6.4 by Sept. 5, 2004, in a region that includes the southeastern portion of the Mojave Desert, and an area south of it." We'll see if they're right.
C'mon schwartz.... c'mon schwartz!
Scientists have known about these advanced prediction techniques for decades...
Unfortunatly, the original research was destroyed in an earthquake in 1987.
How do we know this guy isn't some sort of evil arch villian with an earthquake machine? How?? Huh? How??
Who remembers the San Jose earthquake back in the early 90s? who here knew that there was a conference on Seismology there that same day.
probably the same number of seismologist that knew an earth quake was coming.
BTW, the conference was cut short.
Wow, I knew grep is powerful, but not that powerful;-)
Oh well, that were easy carma points up for grabs
As in, hey two weeks from friday, leave the area for a day or two.
Dear Greater Los Angeles Metro Area ,
It has come to our attention that there is a high risk of an earthquake of magnitude 8 or greater strking the Greater Los Angeles Metro Area in the next 24-48 hours. While we understand you may be concerned about the prospect of this earthquake, rest assured that the vast majority of earthquakes that strike the Greater Los Angeles Metro Area region are no greater than magnitude 5 , and we do not expect this magnitude 8 earthquake to cause any unusual disruption to your daily schedule. In general, we only advise evacuation in the event of a magnitude 7 or greater earthquake. This magnitude 8 earthquake is certainly no cause for alarm.
Once again, thank you for subscribing to our automated Earthquake Alert Service, Greater Los Angeles Metro Area !
Obliteracy: Words with explosions
I predict that:
I'll be more impressed if they can predict a quake on the less-active, but violent, New Madrid fault.
sigs, as if you care.
Predicting earthquakes is easy. I'd like to see them predict the release date for Doom 3. Then I'll be impressed.
I remember when legal used to mean lawful, now it means some kind of loophole. - Leo Kessler
One thing bothers me, however. Okay, so we know that there's going to be an earthquake somewhere in the world. The question is, what can we do?
Bubble wrap! Miles and miles of bubble wrap.
If these scientists really want attention they will have to release their predictions using vague and eery language.
For Mojave: "Beneath the sands in the month of Labor a great movement will startle those not of the slashed dot"
Even better if they did this on television wearing period clothing and staring into a crystal ball or caldron of some sort. It could be quite dramatic.