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Mercury Probe Delayed by Ten Weeks, and Two Years

Gogo Dodo writes "Spaceflight Now reports that NASA's MESSENGER probe launch has been delayed by 10 weeks. Unfortunately, this means MESSENGER will not arrive at Mercury until 2011, a two year delay."

17 of 35 comments (clear)

  1. Taking bets... by Gothic_Walrus · · Score: 4, Funny
    How long before "Ten weeks != Two Years" is posted by some moron?

    Remember, kiddies: Earth isn't the only planet that orbits the Sun!

    --
    Goo goo g'joob.
    1. Re:Taking bets... by Neil+Blender · · Score: 4, Funny

      How long before "Ten weeks != Two Years" is posted by some moron?

      But don't 10 metric weeks equal 2 Imperial years?

    2. Re:Taking bets... by Tango42 · · Score: 2, Funny

      That would all depend on what the hell you're talking about.

    3. Re:Taking bets... by freuddot · · Score: 2, Funny

      Maybe "Ten weeks != Two Years", but according to the article :

      Unable to meet that schedule, the mission will use its backup window that begins July 30 and extends 15 days.

      [...]

      Launch on July 30 will occur during a 12-second window opening at 2:17:44 a.m. EDT (0617:44 GMT) from pad 17B at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station

      So, it still looks like a 12 second == 15 days. ;-)

      Does I then qualify as "some moron" ?

    4. Re:Taking bets... by Gothic_Walrus · · Score: 2, Informative
      I was actually referring to the delays...the launch window has been moved back ten weeks, and the new ETA to Mercury is two years later than the original one.

      And since I'm in a good mood...no, you're not a moron. :)

      --
      Goo goo g'joob.
  2. Ironic: Slow Boat to the Fleet-Footed by G4from128k · · Score: 4, Funny

    Its ironic that a mission to the fleet-footed god of messages should take so long. I guess its revenge by those ancient Roman gods.

    I'm just glad that the mission was not scrubbed.

    --
    Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
  3. An Understandable Shame by Embedded+Geek · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I think it's a shame they'll miss the better window, but giving more time to check out the on board diagnostics seems like a dang fine reason. I'd hate to see the thing get all the way to Mercury and then go dead. If the program mangers want this breathing space (and you can be sure they'd only consider this if they were getting a lot of warnings from within the ranks), they'd be fools not to take it. Still, the extra Venus flyby would have been nice (2 vs. 3).

    I'm kinda concerned about the budget hit, though. Maintaining an engineering infrastructure on the ground for an additional two years, even one in "standby," is going to be costly. Sure, they can loan out personell to other projects during the interim, but you're going to see two more years of attrition and then retraining costs to catch up. A boom or bust in the tech cycle will simply agravate the situation (boom=more people leaving, bust=fewer new engineers to fill vacated slots).

    The delay is probably acceptable, but let's hope the added budget doesn't hurt another probe.

    --

    "Prepare for the worst - hope for the best."

    1. Re:An Understandable Shame by Ahotasu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I bet the budget hit won't be significant --at least not due to engineering infrastructure. As an interplanetary mission (with some tricky orbital mechanics to boot), things have already been very thoroughly documented to mitigate the risk of losing knowledge about the system as time progresses. Engineering staff will (still) be busy in the first month or two following launch, then will move off onto other projects. Thus, a boom or a bust in the industry will have little to no effect on the engineering costs associated with this slip.

      There's simply not enough work to keep the engineers busy while the bird flys to Mercury--automated data processing as well as monitoring by Operatins staff will take over the job of monitoring health and safety. If problems occur, then the engineers are brought back only long enough to deal with the problems. This has doubtlessly been the plan all along.

      Where the cost really goes up, though, is in Mission Operations. Antenna time, operations staff, etc will eat some of the budget. I bet that's fairly trivial, though, compared to your scenario of a 'marching army'. I wonder how MESSENGER's doing in terms of budget reserves (these 'little' dollar signs NASA forces you to hedge)...

      --
      --- Standard disclaimer applies.
  4. Re:Why 2 years? by Neil+Blender · · Score: 5, Informative

    Mercury goes around the sun in 87 days. Assuming that the orbits are circles (they're pretty close) it should never be more than 86 days for the planet to be in an optimal position to launch a probe. So, why would it be off by two years? What am I missing here?

    Uh, maybe an in depth knowledge of how the gravity of all the planets affects trajectories?

  5. Re:Why 2 years? by eingram · · Score: 5, Informative

    This may answer your question. Either that or just confuse you more. ;P

  6. Re:Why 2 years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    What am I missing here?


    a degree in astrophysics.


  7. Re:Why 2 years? by CXI · · Score: 3, Informative

    Because they're planning to swing around Venus to get there, and more than once.

  8. Re:Why 2 years? by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 5, Informative

    The links already posted answer the question, but the short, simple answer is "angular momentum". Specifically, the need to dump a lot of it (and, equivelently, a lot of energy). The energy changed needed to get to Mercury is actually greater than that needed to reach Pluto. This means that it's better to use the inner planets (Earth, Venus, and/or Mercury) in gravitational slingshots (but backwards of how we usually use them) to save fuel. In theory, if you jacked up NASA's budget, you could go straight there once a synodic (not sideral: it doesn't matter how often Mercury orbits, but how long it takes to get back to the same relative arrange with Earth) period. But NASA, alas, has a finite budget for this sort of thing, so slow and cheap is the way to go.

  9. Relativistic effects on the craft & orbit by RobertB-DC · · Score: 3, Interesting

    To what extent does the "warping" of space near an object as massive as the sun affect this little spacecraft's orbital calculations? I know (but don't fully understand) that there are relativistic effects on Mercury's orbit that aren't described by pure Newtonian physics.

    To what extent do the mission planners have to account for this effect? Can they even know for sure until they see what happens as they pass by Mercury those three times before orbital insertion? Or will the effect be negligible compared to the solar wind and other "normal" forces? The link above notes that Newton is only off by 43 arcseconds out of 5600, but it seems like even 0.77% could add up pretty quick.

    --
    Stressed? Me? Of course not. Stress is what a rubber band feels before it breaks, silly.
    1. Re:Relativistic effects on the craft & orbit by egomaniac · · Score: 3, Insightful

      To what extent do the mission planners have to account for this effect? Can they even know for sure until they see what happens as they pass by Mercury those three times before orbital insertion?

      Of course they can. We know the speed of the Sun and planets relative to us, and we know all of their masses. That's everything you need to do full relativistic calculations.

      And yes, these are astrophysicists we're talking about. Of course they take this into account.

      --
      ZFS: because love is never having to say fsck
  10. Re:Who comes up with these? by irokitt · · Score: 4, Funny

    MeSSEnGeR or NOAA or ECHO or SOHO

    So how long until we see names like M3553n93R or N044 or 3(H0 or 50|-|0?

    --
    If my answers frighten you, stop asking scary questions.
  11. Re:Why 2 years? by joggle · · Score: 2, Informative

    You're correct. It needs to loose about 62% of its angular momentum, which is a pretty significant amount of energy. This is in addition to the amount of energy needed to reach earth's escape velocity in the first place and to insert into an orbit around Mercury.