A Step Closer To The Optimum Solar Cell
An anonymous reader writes "Besides cost, solar cell efficiency is the second most critical criteria. Scientists from Berkeley Lab and other institutions, have announced a new solar cell material that may be able to achieve an extraordinary efficiency of about 50 percent -- twice the amount of the current record holder."
The calculated efficiency of a single-junction solar cell made with this material would be a remarkable 57 percent. But while the single-junction architecture is elegantly simple, many questions have to be answered before ZnMnOTe or any of its highly mismatched cousins prove they can do the job.
So not only does it not work yet, but any article that starts off with the words "besides cost..." is obviously talking about an economic impossibility.
We're stuck with cheap oil until it runs out in a few decades. And then we're stuck trying to rebuild civilization with coal.
"Something wrong with nuclear power?"
Oh yeah. It is extremely expensive and dangerous, and the waste is so nasty that no-one has found a safe way to get rid of it yet. Cool down, Mr. Burns.
"Sure, fission-waste is not something you want. But it sure beats the crap out of coal."
Really now? OK. You have a choice. A bucket of fission waste under your bed, or a bucket of coal. Which one do you choose?
When it comes to adoption of solar power, there's only one calculation that really matters:
C = Cost of installing solar panel
R = Revenue generated (or money saved) per year
M = Maintainence costs per year
(R - M) >= C * 20%
In plain english, when you can get (somewhere around) a 20% return on investment from installing a solar panel, you'll start to see them on top of office building, parking garages, and just out in the middle of open fields, soaking up money.
Until then, solar power will be a technical curiosity for use in special situations (outer space) and for those with a political agenda.
Under Socialism, R is also 0, but M might not be. You pay for it alright, just not directly.
So under Socialism there is *no* incentive to use them other than political adgendas.
=Smidge=
Largley because the incremental process tends to catch up with it before the new idea becomes commercialised.
That's what happened to all the funky things we tend to hear about. We don't all have massively parallel computers because Intel etc didn't all get stuck at 4-500MHz as was predicted some time in the mid 90s.
We don't have holographic storage because, quite frankly, it just ain't worth it when magnetic storage can pack hundreds of gigabytes in a device that is, honestly, about as small as you really need it to be.
If there was a demand for these items, even a perceived one, they'd get produced. But there isn't.
Now, a 50% solar cell...?
...it's Chernobil.
In plain english, there are other design criteria other than a very simple equation even an economist could understand. Economies of scale mean that in most cases it is cheaper for a business to get power from a grid, no matter what powers it.
The panels you can buy and use for your house today have a 3-4 year energy payoff. (ie, they make an amount of energy equal to what was put in to them in production)
Which accounts for about half the cost of buying and installing said panels. So you can expect them to pay for themselves in about 8 years - except by then you'll need a new set of batteries. So ~10 years until it starts earning you money.
In fact I think swapping batteries at least 4 times in 30 years will provide a more significant form of pollution.
If there was a demand for these items, even a perceived one, they'd get produced. But there isn't.
Now, a 50% solar cell...?
While demand in the alternative energy market is iffy right now, you'll definitely have demand for more efficient photovoltaics at _any_ price in the space industry.
Lifting mass into space is expensive. If you can get a 2-3x improvement in power to weight ratio of your solar arrays using materials like this, the world will beat a path to your door even if you don't have a way to grow it epitaxially.
As for long-term cost prospects, we're already mass-manufacturing similar highly-mismatched alloys for LEDs (anything with Ga/N/As as constituents, for one), so I'm confident costs will come down eventually.
Very nifty technology.
In many Mediterranian countries, water is heated using solar panels which utilize the greenhouse effect. The idea is that blackened water pipes are running through a glass panel installed on the roof, facing south. Hot water is stored in a tank. In summer, and in many winter months, this removes the need for heating water electrically. Coming to a sunny part of the US, I was pretty astonished not to find that. Well, at least not in Cali. Makes you wonder why how much this new development will be implemented.