Birth of Black Hole Possibly Being Observed
TheTXLibra writes "Robert Roy Britt reports on
Space.com that we may now be witnessing the earliest stages of black hole development. Star SN 1986J, began to collapse in 1983 into a neutron star, resulting in a supernova explosion in 1986. If the mass of the neutron star reaches 1.4 times the mass of Earth's Sun, it will theoretically collapse into a black hole, if not, it will stabilize as a neutron star."
Aren't they really gravastars rather than holes? Why do people still call them black holes?
Not only is it a cool picture, but this is a pretty interesting thing to witness. In my initial reaction I thought "How can we see this in our lifetimes?" It seems that, as mentioned in the article, "[t]his collapse is extremely fast, and the core collapses into a neutron star in about one second."
The collapse into a black hole in such a short time (also in the article) is somewhat expected, because the gravity will be so strong. This should be a pretty neat and real way to verify if our view on black hole formation and the associated astro-physics that accompany it are mostly correct.
There are only 10 kinds of people in this world... those who understand binary and those who don't
In your example we assume that it's 1/6 because there are six sides on the die because the only factor we know is that it has six sides and we assume that it will land with one side facing up. We don't know if the die's mass is assymetrical so that it tends to land with the same side down. We don't know if there's something about the surface that we are using that might cause it to land one way or another. We don't know if the surface is uneven so that the die could come to rest with an edge facing up. We don't know which side is up while it's being held and we don't know if there's something about how it is released that will predispose it to land in a certain way.
Since all we know is that the die has six sides we can simplify it to say that the odds are 1 in 6. And since we believe that there are two possible outcomes for this star, we assume that the odds are 1 in 2.