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Would You Move to Space?

garyebickford asks: "Slashdot discussions on the SpaceShipOne flight talked about whether folks would take the flight if offered. It reminded me of a question that used to go around. If you were offered the opportunity to move permanently into space - perhaps an orbital environment, or asteroid (mining?) or another planet, etc. - and you had an 80% chance of living five years, would you take it? What if your chances were 50%?"

41 of 145 comments (clear)

  1. Costs:Benefits analysis by aleonard · · Score: 4, Insightful

    80% chance of living for five years, and reaping the tremendous bounty of mining an asteroid? I might just take up that offer. It'd be a hell of a ride, whether or not I make it alive.

    Also, just imagine the view every morning when you wake up. Every. Single. Morning. I'd risk my life for that, yes.

    It'd be nice to live free for once.

    --
    "In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, 'Make us your slaves, but feed us.'" -Dostoevsky
    1. Re:Costs:Benefits analysis by Scarblac · · Score: 2, Funny

      Also, just imagine the view every morning when you wake up. Every. Single. Morning.

      There would be no such thing as a "morning" anymore.

      --
      I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
    2. Re:Costs:Benefits analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      There's such a thing as morning *now*?

      What is this "sunlight" people keep telling me about?

    3. Re:Costs:Benefits analysis by Des+Herriott · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you're out in space mining an asteroid, then you're going to be a minor employee of some large corporation. Unless you, yourself, are capable of reaching said asteroid and claiming it.

      So don't kid yourself that you'll be living free, or indeed reaping any kind of "bounty" other than the montly paycheck from your employers. Granted, the first few individuals to do this sort of work are likely to get some highly lucrative danger money; but if & when asteroid mining becomes routine, it'll be a pretty unglamorous life.

    4. Re:Costs:Benefits analysis by aleonard · · Score: 2

      If you're out in space mining an asteroid, then you're going to be a minor employee of some large corporation.

      Yes, but not working for minimum wage. It's extremely risky work, using extremely expensive equipment which will require costly training. Anyone working on an asteroid will be paid well.

      --
      "In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, 'Make us your slaves, but feed us.'" -Dostoevsky
    5. Re:Costs:Benefits analysis by gl4ss · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the problem with this proposal is exactly that.. every single goddamn morning - same view - same chores - doing jobs that mission control on earth schedules for you - excitement? sure it would be nice to be the first person on mars, but doing the same thing for every day-cycle for 5 years, without connection to real people, without holidays, without alcohol, without tobacco, without fresh porn, without football, without (most)hobbies.

      sad thing is, it would be boring in reality. after a while it would be hard to stay even sane for most people...

      and 'free'???????? free in a tin can not being able to decide where you even go? that's free? damn, I must be the most free person on earth then.

      If you want freelancing free sail the seven seas type of free life you're better off staying on earth for now.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    6. Re:Costs:Benefits analysis by aleonard · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Out where the asteroids are, you're so far from Earth that it would look similar to how Venus looks from here.

      Near-earth asteroids. I don't know if anyone really thinks mining the asteroid belt will be doable for a very, very long time. But there are thousands of large rocks near the Earth (like one which the BBC has said is estimated to hold, at current prices, $20 trillion in minerals), and we can be mining those for a very long time before ever touching the Mars-Jupiter belt.

      --
      "In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, 'Make us your slaves, but feed us.'" -Dostoevsky
    7. Re:Costs:Benefits analysis by justanyone · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This interests me. I've heard about mining asteroids, and speaking of the percent of them that are iron, nickel, copper, platinum, etc.

      I have questions
      1. In gold mines, what percentage is ore vs. gold?
      2. Likewise platinum mines?
      3. what method is used to separate gold from the ore?
      4. what techniques could be used to separate desired metals from the ore, given constraints of lifting smelter equip. to space, and operating in zero or generated (centriptal) "gravity"?
      5. how much energy is required to heat iron to boiling, and given that, has anyone tried (in an actual college-experiment) to ionize it and run it through a high-impulse engine?
      6. would the constraints of a space-based nuclear-thermal powerplant be sufficient to run this king of engine?

      In terms of which asteroid to use, more questions:
      1. has anyone made an actual list of viable cantidate asteroids?
      2. what conceivable delta-v could we impart to a hunk of rock that's medium sized, say 100 to 500 meters diameter?
      3. what is the ideal asteroid size for such a venture? Probably small so we could get it done before, oh, say, NEVER...
      4. Do we have a list of near Earth asteroids that fit the description, or is 100 meters too small to find?
      5. presuming we'd want to drill into the asteroid to set up temporary shelter (radiation protection, etc.), has anyone worked out how to do this with shaped charges, directed energy (reflected light), or other drilling techniques?
      Just some musings / wonderings / ideas, here...

      I had an idea for a smelter once: break off a chunk of asteroid, wrap it in silvered mylar to reflect radiant heat back in, put it at the center of a giant parabolic reflector dish, melt it using solar energy, spin it to generate gravity, and the densest materials will condense on the outside at the equator, right? Of course, if you seal it up ahead of time the outgassing may include oxygen, nitrogen, etc., which you can separate by liquid diffraction (?).

      -- Kevin J. Rice (justanyone.com)
  2. Depends by The+Clockwork+Troll · · Score: 3, Funny

    Do they have cable modems in space?

    --

    There are no karma whores, only moderation johns
    1. Re:Depends by thegrassyknowl · · Score: 2, Funny

      I guess they could run the fibre up the elevator shaft :-p

      --
      I drink to make other people interesting!
  3. L.A.? by CyberVenom · · Score: 5, Funny

    An 80% chance of living 5 years? Isn't that the same as L.A.? Between the freeways, the gangs, and the smog, it sounds about right to me...

  4. Kum-by-ya. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    "If you were offered the opportunity to move permanently into space - perhaps an orbital environment, or asteroid (mining?) or another planet, etc. - and you had an 80% chance of living five years, would you take it? What if your chances were 50%?""

    What if there was peace, love and understanding on the Earth, so we wouldn't feel the pressure to leave?

    1. Re:Kum-by-ya. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You greatly misunderstand the basics of human nature. Certainly pain, distrust, and conflict are responsible for much of our current technological development, but there is also the matter of insatiable curiosity. Unless you can block the sky from view, man will always look up at the twinkling stars, wondering what they are.

      We want to go there. It isn't a pressure away from Earth, it's a pull to the unknown.

    2. Re:Kum-by-ya. by reallocate · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >>"What if there was peace, love and understanding on the Earth, so we wouldn't feel the pressure to leave?"

      We are what we are; we will take our problems with us. People imagine that some magic ideology and some kind of all-knowing government will change things, but that's a fantasy.

      --
      -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
  5. Perhaps by dtfinch · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Being a college nerd with poor social skills, I'm tempted to say yes to just about anything if there was a good chance of getting laid with a healthy member of the opposite sex. But I'm sure I'd regret it as I die in the vacuum of space. So no, I probably wouldn't even under such ideal conditions as I've only imagined but were not mentioned as perks.

  6. Yes. by feidaykin · · Score: 3, Insightful
    and you had an 80% chance of living five years, would you take it? What if your chances were 50%?

    Yes and yes. Those aren't great odds but the odds of being safe inside a automobile aren't great either... I'd rather die doing something that no humans have ever done...

    Kind of reminds of what someone much wiser than myself said on a similar subject here.

    --

    "To confine our attention to terrestrial matters would be to limit the human spirit." -Stephen Hawking

  7. Yeah, of course by rice_web · · Score: 2, Funny

    But it'd probably get old, just like the Spice Girls. It seems like great fun at first, but you later realize that they really didn't deserve a movie, nor a nation-wide release. But hey, get back to me with the next big thing, like Furby 2.0 and maybe I'll be interested.

    --
    The Political Programmer
  8. Before The Wife and Kids... by Wetware · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yes and yes, in a heartbeat. Now, I don't think so. Maybe if the children were grown up. I would have to check with the boss though...

  9. the final frontier by pizza_milkshake · · Score: 4, Funny
    i hear space is lovely this time of year. low pollution, few politicians, low crime rates and low taxes. as long as no one builds a black hole in my space-town.

    but seriously, who wouldn't. even if it sucks, humans are hardwired to explore new places, even if it's dangerous or they're not wanted.

    for further reading on human nature see the works of Smith, Agent.

  10. Hell yes. by torpor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've been trying to find a quiet, non-NWO spot on this planet to live, but there ain't none left.

    Give me a six-pack worth of O2 and enough water to recycle through myself for 10 years or so, and I'll oversee the robotics on any asteroid you want.

    Of course, the issue of hydroponics - and what you can and cannot grow - would have to be worked out first.

    Just sign me up for the standard "Human Sustenance Science Package" (strictly -NOT- from Ikea, please...) and I'm there. Got my boots on right now.

    The possibilities for freedom on this planet have been long-since removed by the powers that be. Gimme another planet, or some other space body, and watch out. My descendants will be back in 50 years to re-claim Earth! :)

    --
    ; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
  11. Hell yeah, I would. by Mmm+coffee · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In fact, if there was a 100% chance of me dieing within an hour of me getting into orbit, I'd still go if given the chance. I mean, every night I look up at the stars and I just wonder. The chance to experience life outside the womb of mother earth for just one minute... yeah, that's worth trading my life for. I am willing to die just to gaze upon the earth, stars and other galaxies from the outside for just one minute.

    In that one minute I would see, learn, and experience more than most people see, learn, and experience in their entire lives. I would have an idea of my place in the universe that few currently have.

    All of that near infinite universe and the chance to experience it outside the earth? Yeah, that's worth dieing for. An 80% chance of dieing within five years? I'd consider that a bonus - more time to experience it.

    Yeah, I'm an oddball.

  12. No, but by bmac · · Score: 3, Insightful

    it would probably make me happy if
    *you* did. And take your friends, too!
    I mean, really, earth would be a great
    place if it wasn't for the people.

    On a more serious note, though, until
    we can travel at the speed-of-thought
    and *then* find a suitable earth-like
    planet, I'd rather we spent our time
    trying to fix our damaged ecological
    and societal systems.

    Peace & Blessings,
    bmac

  13. For me and for others by Sierran · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes and yes. I'd go. If NASA called and said they had a pre-Challenger O-Ring shuttle that had been sitting in freezing rain for two days and they needed a mission specialist, I'd be on the next plane. Would I live there? If it meant *either* that I could do so undamaged (zero-gee, radiation) by the day-to-day experience, barring accidents; *or* that my doing so would increase the chances others would get to do so, then yes, in a New York Minute, baby.

    --
    A hero is someone who knows when to run away. I am a hero. -Trent the Uncatchable
  14. 80% chance better than our forerathers? by warm+sushi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not that I know the actual stats, but 80% survival rate over 5 years sounds pretty good. What was the survival rate of the early European-American colonists? Accounting for disease, starvation, being stabbed by someone or eaten by something - would it be better than 80%? Probably not.

    So hell yes. I'd go. Anyone with a sense of adventure and courage would go (or in Australia's case, anyone with a criminal record).

    The rewards are potentially massive (better than a tiny farm plot which is all the early colonists got) and the experience?! To have your name recorded as one of the first to colonise off-earth! Immortality is yours! Go and take it!

    I don't think anyone could argue that a shortage of highly motivated and suitable volunteers would be a problem. Rather, the real problem is getting us all up there. At 80% or 50% or even 10%.

    I'm ready now.

  15. Utterly iInfantile religious question by MikShapi · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Being someone who is currently moving his life and family from one side of the world (Israel) to the other (Australia), I can clearly point out that as nostalgically charming as moving into space may sound,

    ** There is more to making such a decision than the presence (or lack thereof) of vaccum around the place we call home **.

    Questions such as these arise:
    * What are the prospects of a quality life there? (which leads to further questions like how we measure quality of life - by the amount of green around our house? the amount of accessible online gadget stores that ship to our location?)
    * What are the prospects of economic prosperity there? Taxation? Salaries?
    * Can I work in my chosen field there?
    * Can I practice my recreation activities there? (Think diving, snowboarding, etc.)
    * What kind of mentality do the people who live there share?
    * WHAT ARE THE ALTERNATIVES?

    Hell, that's just the tip of the iceberg. Would I move into space? Tell me what's waiting for me there and what I'm running from here for starters, and I'll consider it.

    The only people who'd answer such a question offhand are people who are either miserable with their current lives, don't have any, or are very deep into their fantasy worlds.

    That kind of problem can usually be solved using much simpler methods.

    --
    -
  16. I was nearly an astronaut by keoghp · · Score: 4, Funny

    According to my dad, I was nearly an astronaut.
    He said if he'd pulled out 2 seconds earlier I would have been shot into space.

    --
    For problems, seek only the simplest solution, complexity brings with it more problems.
  17. Life's Short Enough by turgid · · Score: 5, Insightful
    When you're young, life is long, and quite often boring, and any excitement is welcome.

    I'd love to go into space, but I don't see why it has to be risky, or why we should accept high risks in a gung-ho fasion. There is plenty of intelligent and advanced engineering that can be done to minimise risk. I realise that people do dangerous things like mountaineering for sport and for fun, but that's not my cup of tea.

    As I get older, and become more aware of the limited time available for life, I realise that there's lots to do. Anyone can put their body into space, alive or dead, for short periods of time. What I'm saying is there is more to most people than a physical presence.

    I can imagine getting very bored with being in space, cooped up in a tiny craft for any length of time. Many of us don't appreciate the importance to our well-being and sanity of being in the natural environment which we've evolved to be in. Could you imagine being in a tin can for years breathing recycled air, having nothing to eat but a small selection of plants and freeze-dried food? What about experiencing day and night, wind, tide, rain, hearing bird song, the fragrance of flowers and freshly cut grass or a good chicken jalfrezi? What about the company of friends and family? What about gravity? Wouldn't you get bored with floating about all the time and not being able to walk?

    I'd love to go into space, for a week or two, in a safe, reliable and comfortable craft. Some people have that gung-ho spirit and would throw their lives and well-being away for a few minutes of experience that one day will be as common as walking down the street. Whatever floats your boat.

    Personally, I'd prefer a more considered and rational approach, but heck, I'm rapidly becoming and old git.

    1. Re:Life's Short Enough by turgid · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I know, what about experiencing an earth-rise, floating in zero gravity with the entire universe beneath your feet, seeing nebula with the naked eye and stars as bright as diamonds. I mean, you can't just live your life in some crappy space port and expect to see anything as mind-shatteringly cool as that. Err, oh wait...

      Like I said in my post, it would be nice for a week or two, but the novelty would soon wear off and I'd be craving my earthly paradise. For me it's not worth givin up my life to experience. Going into space might make you value what you have right here a lot more. Didn't the NASA astronauts who walked on the Moon come back with a profoundly changed attitude towards the earth?

  18. Too vague to answer. by AlecC · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Five years is a long time. What is the quality of like like, and what am I achieving while I am there?

    Five years sitting inside a small capsule just to prove it can be done - forget it.

    Five years in a moderately cramped environment with good communications, building part of a real space station, participiting in the escape from Earth - you're on.

    While danger is not irrelevant, the cause, the goal, is much more relevant. People have taken huge risks for a cause they believe in - and lost, not infrequently. I believe in trying to ensure that humanity is not limited by the finite resources of the Earth. I want humans to inherit the stars. I am prepared to risk quite a lot of danger, and quite a lot of discomfort, in that goal. But not infinite danger, and not infinite discomfot.

    So - give me a worthwhile job to do, and I'll sign up.

    --
    Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
  19. Armageddon by Vincman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Incidentally, probably the only thing the movie Armageddon has to contribute to society, is the answer to this question. The typical person who would most likely take on an assignment in space, like drilling into an astroid or setting up base there, would have to have little ties like family, be very well paid (at those odds) and more than slightly suicidal. This is not a scientist's (or nerd's) type of job. It involves following instructions to the letter (like: drill here) and very hard and continuous manual labour. After that part is done, people can start to think about *living* in space, at far better odds.

  20. morning by dpilot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Depends on the asteroid's spin. There might even be a morning every hour. Too fast a spin might make working an asteroid impractical. (Coriolis, effective surface gravity, dizziness, etc.)

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  21. Freedom by heikkile · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Several posters here have expressed an opinion that going to space would be the only way to find "freedom", what ever they mean with it. In my humble opinion, things would not be very much different out there for a long time. We would be bringing our earthly culture with us, with even more strict rules and regulations. For a long time any possible habitat would be owned by large corporations, and/or by earthly nations. In any case, they would be sure to insist on their red tape everywhere.

    Of course at some point said colonies would get their independence, and presumably could offer some "freedom" for newcomers. Of course, acquiring independence has traditionally been a bloody mess, and as often as not has lead to a very unfree dictatorship...

    Once independent, the new colonies would be kindly requested to sign trade treaties etc, and as a condition to doing so, promise protection for intellectual property etc. Until and unless they'd be totally self-sufficient, the colonies would have to agree to limit music downloads and software piracy and everything else the earthlings demand...

    All in all, going to space will happen, it will be exciting, dangerous, and rewarding, but it will not provide much "freedom" in any way. That's my prediction.

    --

    In Murphy We Turst

  22. Re:Slashdot by Peter+Cooper · · Score: 3, Funny

    No, which is one of the many benefits of leaving Earth :-)

  23. Just remember.. by Raven42rac · · Score: 2

    When we are discussing this, remember that the same discussions were held nearly 500 years ago. Replace the word "space" with "the new world" or "the wild west". There is probably an added element of danger with it being space and all. It probably evens out with the pioneer days, animals, weather, etc.

    --
    I hate sigs.
  24. One word: Outland by smchris · · Score: 2, Interesting


    The drugs and hookers would have to be _really_ good. But forgetting to put your helmet on during decompression can be a mind-blowing bummer.

    This overlooked movie has always been my standard to judge all movies about what "fun" it would be to work in the greater solar system.

  25. I've thought about this some... by RevAaron · · Score: 2, Informative

    After reading Kim Stanly Robinson's Red Mars I thought about this a lot. I considered whether or not I'd go to Mars if I had the chance, assuming it meant it was a one-way trip, with a high likelyhood that I would die on Mars, on account of the radiation. Not sure why I had this stuck in my head, there are ways to shield the radiation. But I think I'd do it, though not at this point in my life... I'd have to be older.

    With an 80% chance of survival... I think I'd do it now, as long as my S.O. could go with me, and I think she would. As for 50%... well, let's just say that I'd wait a little while longer until the odds got better. :)

    If you've not read Red Mars, as well as the rest of the series (Green Mars, Blue Mars) I highly reccomend it. KSR is on comissions at NASA and elsewhere for Mars colonization. He certainly knows what he's talking about. The really great thing about Red Mars is that it is very, very realistic- there isn't a lot that we couldn't do now with the right resources. When you read a book that is *so* close to what we could achieve now, it really makes you think, and makes you wish you could be one of the First Hundren. :)

    --

    Working toward a usable PDA environment in the spirit of Newton OS: Dynapad
  26. oh yeah? by emilng · · Score: 2, Funny
    Think about this:

    • Low-G Paintball

  27. for me, before the wife... by way2trivial · · Score: 3, Interesting
    before my marriage, I had a discussion with my wife about things we wanted of each other, my wife had 'demands' and I had one,

    in all sincerity, I expressed the following..
    should the opportunity arise where I could go into space, even on a one-way trip (generation ship, suicide mission, whatever) and she could not go, (denied for whatever reason) I wouldn't go, but if she had the same opportunity, and declined to go,(doesn't want to leave the kids, doesn't want to leave the planet,) I'd go without her. she looked at me, said "ok" and immediately started laughing.

    I meant it, most truly, and remind her about it occasionally..

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    1. Re:for me, before the wife... by gstoddart · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'm betting that she was thinking if that was all you'd want in a prenup, she was fine ....

      She can lay claim to the house, the car, the money, the kids ....

      you can lay claim to any potential space flights which may or may not arise and any start wars action figures you might have brought to the marriage.

      Aim big I say. =)

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
  28. Achilles' choice by raider_red · · Score: 2, Informative

    According to myth, the fates appeared to Achilles and offered him a choice between a short but interesting life, or a long but unremarkable life. He chose the life where people would remember him after he was gone.

    I'd have to take the chance if it was offered. How many people have had the chance to fly in space? Even with all of its risks, I'd have to try.

    --
    It's good to use your head, but not as a battering ram.
  29. Re:Absolutely... by raider_red · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Just remember that wherever you are, your odds of survival are ultimately 0.

    --
    It's good to use your head, but not as a battering ram.