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Gates Predicts DVD Obsolete In 10 Years

An anonymous reader writes "Not to say that Mr. Gates has been wrong before (sarcasm), but now he is claiming that DVDs will be obsolete in 10 years. As this post claims, I would have to disagree with the world's richest man and say that compact disk media is here to stay for a while because there is just no substitute for a media that cost cents." (And since SMH is going registration only, thanks to the anonymous reader who points out two non-registration sites -- FlexBeta and Yahoo! -- to read the same wire story, and for the observation that not all of Gates' predictions pan out.)

22 of 668 comments (clear)

  1. 640 DVDs by circletimessquare · · Score: 5, Funny

    640 DVDs ought to be good enough for anyone

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  2. Can we pick the order? by Kombat · · Score: 2, Funny

    There are a few DVDs I'd like to obsolete a little faster than others, if that's at all possible, Bill.

    --
    Like woodworking? Build your own picture frames.
    1. Re:Can we pick the order? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      ahem. Perhaps he can take the trolls with it?

  3. Running on what? by aquabat · · Score: 3, Funny

    What I'd like to know is what Distro he will be running.

    --
    A republic cannot succeed till it contains a certain body of men imbued with the principles of justice and honour.
  4. Re:Nah! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    You sure are an expert in hole diameters!

  5. Previous Words of Wisdom by XScB · · Score: 2, Funny
    This from the man who once said:

    "I believe OS/2 is destined to be the most important operating system,
    and possibly program, of all time
    . As the successor to DOS, which has over
    10,000,000 systems in use, it creates incredible opportunities for
    everyone involved with PCs."
    -- Bill Gates, from "OS/2 Programmer's Guide" (forward by Bill Gates)
  6. Re:Cheaper by Azrael+Newtype · · Score: 3, Funny
    Of course DVD-Rs cost cents when they came out.

    Hundreds of them, but it was still cents. ;)

    --
    I'm always right and I can prove it, because to the best of my knowledge, I've never been wrong.
  7. Hell -- let's throw out the DVD player, honey! by IronChefMorimoto · · Score: 2, Funny

    Damn! Thank you, Mr. Gates! I am SOOOOO friggin' glad to get that timely news. I mean, if I'd learned that DVDs were going to be obsolete in only FIVE years rather than TEN, I'd be pissed at the industry for not giving me enough time to think about what I was going to do with my new DVD player.

    "Honey! Throw out the DVD player at the yard sale this Saturday! We're gettin' the next big thing...a few years from now...but we're gettin' it!"

    Hell -- TEN years to think about what to do with these DVDs and my DVD-ROM drive. Maybe I'll go ahead and toss the DVD-ROM drive and fill the space with one of those 5.25" drive bay Easy-Bake-Ovens -- or a 5.25" drive bay aquarium. Yeah! That's it! Watch two male betas battle it out in my cold cathode-lit case while I frag on Far Cry! And then DOOM3, followed by Half-Life 2, Splinter Cell 4, World of Diablo vs. WarCraft VII, and Star Wars Galaxies III: The Expansion Pack... ...and then whatever replaces DVDs will be mature and ready for end-user consumption! WOOHOO! Oh, wait -- I may not have money for that new piece of hardware after having 10 years to spend money on stuff that I'd not been told was going to be obsolete in 10 years. DAMMIT!

    My only regret -- we didn't get at least 10 years notice that Duke Nuke'Em Forever was in development. On the other hand...we're getting close. :-D

    IronChefMorimoto

  8. predictions? bleh by PhiberOptix · · Score: 2, Funny

    if those were accurate, i would be watching holographic movies inside my flying car today.

  9. In other news... by lpangelrob2 · · Score: 2, Funny
    In other news... Storage companies say Bill Gates will be obsolete in 10 years.

    And in a twist of fate, Microsoft announces Longhorn will release in 2014 on 6 DVDs!

  10. In other newsky... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Soviet Russia Predicts Microsoft Obsolete In 10 Years.

  11. Re:Video on demand? by phats+garage · · Score: 2, Funny
    I have something similar to video on demand.

    However its more like video on request and you have to ask nicely or else you'll get flamed.

  12. Bill Sez: "OS/2 is destined.." by KE1LR · · Score: 3, Funny
    The opening two sentences to the foreword of "Inside OS/2", a book I saved from the trash because its foreword is by the Bill himself:

    "OS/2 is destined to be a very important piece of software.
    During the next 10 years, millions of programmers and users will utilize this system."

    Inside OS/2
    by Gordon Letwin
    foreword by Bill Gates
    Microsoft Press
    ISBN 1-55615-117-9 (c) 1988

  13. Re:On demand = corporate control. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    I have probably screwed up 90% of my CD collection over the years

    That is because you are a clumsey oaf. You in no way respresent the vast majority of people who can actually manage to take a CD from its protective case, place it in a CD player, remove it again and place it back in its protective case without once scracthing, splitting or snapping it in two. It may sound amazing, but the majority of the population have developed hand-eye coordination.

  14. Re:Gates is not richest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yeah, his assets look pretty impressive. But if you examine them more closely you'll find that he had to assemble them himself and further that they're mostly made out of cheap particle board or other shoddy materials.

  15. New format standard! by Tmack · · Score: 2, Funny
    The physical format WILL change! As Im sure there are plenty of moro^?^?^?^?people out there that go out and buy DVD's and try to play them in their car's cd player or old home stereo deck and wonder why it doesnt work. Keeping the same size media for another video format will only confuse people more. "Is the disc Im holding a CD, DVD, HDVD, BlueRay DVD, playstation/PS2 disc, XBox disc? Can my CD/DVD/8track play it?".

    Seriously though, as for what it will be, I forsee a return to the Laserdisc format! Imagine a disc the size of a laserdisc, but with the storage density of DVD, or even the soon to be released BlueRay/BlueLaser DVD format! Add a few more layers and I bet you could get the disc up to 1TB or more!! That should be enough to cover HDTV video and whatever new formats come out, or enough to pack about 50 DVDs or 200VCDs on one disc! I for one am excited in waiting on the industry to loop back around to the 80's and start pumping out more Laserdiscs!!!

    Tm

    --
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  16. backup by feelyoda · · Score: 2, Funny

    so with my 2TB drive, i'm expeced to backup at max 20GB at a time?

    do you know how long it'll take to backup all my porn at that rate?!!

    --

    Robo-Blogs of the world: UNITE!
  17. Re:Video on demand - slashdot poll by tomhudson · · Score: 4, Funny
    Planesdragon wrote:
    BT isn't Video-on-demand. There's no on-demand part at all.

    You might as well say "VHS is my video-on-demand." You'd be about as accurate.

    To each their own. I said it was my video-on-demand.

    What the current self-styled video-on-demand suppliers are providing is a very limited choice of stuff to watch. That's not video-on-demand in my book. That's "we'll stream you shit we can make money off because it caters to the lowest common denominator".

    Video stores and VHS/DVD rentals give you more "video-on-demand" than what's being offered up now.

    With bittorrent, you can also make requests (there's a part of the "demand" in video-on-demand), or see what everyone else finds interesting. Plus you get to see stuff before the "video-on-demand" people can supply it.

    Current "video-on-demand" services are a poor substitute for bittorrent and a fast net connection. Which would you rather have?

    Now, there's a good idea for a slashdot poll:

    What is your video-on-demand?
    1. Bittorrent
    2. Natalie Portman anything
    3. In soviet russia, video demands you
    4. 1. demand video 2 ??? 3 profit!
    5. I'm blind, you insensitive clod!
    6. I'm a clod, you insensitive clod!
    7. BSDVideoOnDemand is dead!
    8. goat.cx ... agghhh!!! my eyes!! my eyes!!
    9. Doom forever...
    10. CowboyNeil has the remote
  18. Re:have to say.... by Lynxara · · Score: 2, Funny

    It'll never take off in foreign markets, though.

    Can you imagine WMD in some place like Iraq?

  19. Re:HERR GATES IS ALWAYS RIGHT! by AndroidCat · · Score: 2, Funny

    Oh well, if an Anonymous Coward says so, it must be true!

    --
    One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
  20. "100,000 channels and nothing on" by peter303 · · Score: 2, Funny

    So now each show/movie effectively becomes its own channel. So will we have to revise that familar complaint about cable TV? :-)

  21. And all broadcast is converting to HDTV by 2007... by Kazoo+the+Clown · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yeah, right. That's what they told us a few years ago in order to get all that free bandwidth. We need the subsidy to convert to HDTV so we'll be ahead of evil foreign competition (there's an oxymoron for you: "subsidized capitalism").

    Yawn. I predict BILL GATES will become obsolete long before DVDs (Oh, wait, it's already happened)...