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Public Markets For Predicting Google's Market Cap

Posted by timothy on from the put-your-non-money-where-your-mouth-is dept.

k2enemy writes "The Iowa Electronic Markets have created two markets where traders may buy and sell contracts based on beliefs of Google's market cap at the end of the first day of public trading. The first market, GOOGLE_LIN, trades contracts with liquidation values linearly dependent on the market cap. The second, GOOGLE_WTA, trades six unique and exhaustive contracts in a winner-takes-all market. The markets are currently suggesting a market cap around $30-35 billion. The IEM is also popular for its political markets, which have been very successful (more accurate than polls) at predicting political elections."

1 of 169 comments (clear)

  1. Re:FUD by Gigahertz · · Score: 5, Informative

    The minimum shares is 5, not 500, so a small investor with a little more than $500 can get in on the IPO.