NASA Quakesim Predicts 15 Out of 16 CA Quakes

Saint Aardvark writes "NASA's QuakeSim project has successfully predicted15 out of 16 of California's earthquakes with magnitude > 5, including 11 since the map was published in 2002. "So far, the technique has only missed one earthquake, a magnitude of 5.2, on June 15, 2004, under the ocean near San Clemente Island.""

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Discussion of this on NPR

[BrewerDude]

The San Francisco NPR station, KQED, had an interesting discussion on this yesterday on their Forum program.

Check out the archived version here

From the blurb:

Following recent seismic activity in California and the threatened eruption of Mount St. Helens in Washington State. Forum takes a look at scientific advancements in the study of earthquakes and volcanoes.

Host: Michael Krasny

Guests:

• Dr. Donald Turcotte, professor of geology at UC Davis
• Dr. Manuel Nathenson, scientist in charge of the Volcano Hazards Team at US Geological Survey in Menlo Park
• Dr. Roland Burgmann, associate professor at Berkeley Seismological Lab at UC Berkeley Dr. Susan Hough, seismologist at US Geological Survey in Pasadena and author of "Earth Shaking Science: What We Know and Don't Know"