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Electoral College Abolition Amendment and IRV Bill

scoobrs writes "Two bills, H.J.R. 109 and H.R. 5293, were introduced in the US House by Congressman Jesse Jackson, Jr. (D-IL). The first is a constitutional amendment abolishing the electoral college. The latter is a bill providing for instant runoff voting in all federal elections by 2008."

44 of 329 comments (clear)

  1. Thanks! by Canthros · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'll be sure to write my Congressman to vote against both!

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    Canthros
    1. Re:Thanks! by Tyndmyr · · Score: 4, Informative
      Ditto for that!

      The electoral college does need to remove winner take all...but this aint gonna solve that.

      And why, oh why, did they choose IRV? Possibly one of the worst systems they could have chosen. Alright, you could make an arguement that it might be better than the current system, but its vastly inferior to concordent(which is unfortunately complex) and my personal favorite, Approval Voting.

      On the bright side, Im glad people are taking note of this, though I fear this will be used as a reason to ignore other pushes for election reform.

      --
      Support more choices in goverment-Vote 3rd party.
    2. Re:Thanks! by Canthros · · Score: 3, Informative

      I suppose I'm a hardliner; I favor leaving the broader system as is.

      I think the electoral college works fine, and the state-level winner-take-all approach forces candidates to appeal to a broader base of voters in most states (New York and California being anomalies in which very large urban areas completely dominate the whole state).

      Likewise, I see nothing wrong with the present voting system. It's simple, and it works. While I don't disagree that this can limit national support for third party candidates in marginal situations, I am also fairly convinced that the existing style of voting works plenty well provided that there is broad enough support for the third party in the first place. Which is to say, if a third party candidate were to provide a platform that was interesting to a broad enough number of Americans, I am pretty sure that they could win the Presidency. Especially if they can cough up the funds to campaign effectively.

      --
      Canthros
    3. Re:Thanks! by aqkiva · · Score: 5, Informative

      I was for eliminating the electoral college until I read this: Math Against Tyranny. It also makes the analogy to baseball runs vs. games. Alan Natapoff has mathematically shown that voters have more power with the current system where power is defined as the ability to tip an election in any one direction. Basically, if it was purely a popular vote, the only way your vote would matter is if the rest of the voters split exactly down the middle. Given the size of the US population, the probability of this is extremely low. Especially given that people tend to lean towards one candidate or the other, the chance of deadlock is essentially nil under a popular vote. That means each voter has no power to tip an election and thus politicians have no reason to listen to them. Dividing into smaller groups means that each group is more likely to deadlock and so each voter has more power. Thus, what happened in Florida in 2000 was a good thing. In fact, the best thing to do is to re-divide up the nation into groups such that every single group would be very likely to deadlock. The winner would then take-all from each group, making it so that all politicians would have to work to win votes in every single group.

    4. Re:Thanks! by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Third parties are always seen as spoilers, which drives down the desire to vote for them. How much more support would Nader be receiving this election if Florida did IRV in the 2000 election, and he wasn't seen as the guy who put Bush in office? It takes more than four years to put together a political party, field candidates, drum up support, etc.

      Perot was a bit of a nut, but I think the Reform Party might have gone somewhere if he hadn't been seen as sapping strength away from the '92 Bush Sr. campaign.

      IRV is simple enough (just rank the candidates from favorite to least favorite) and it would keep people from having to vote tactically, thus weakening the two party system.

      I'm also against a winner-take-all approach for the Electoral College. If I live in a state where 75% of people vote Republican and 25% vote Democratic (coincidentally enough, I do), then the best way to represent the will of our state is to divide the electoral votes proportionally.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    5. Re:Thanks! by Golias · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not only that, but consider that the metro areas of New England, Southern California, and Chicago alone combine to represent enough votes that a candidate could win the popular vote just by getting their support and little else. The needs, interests, and even civil rights of people living in "fly-over land" could safely be ignored, so long as a national candidate can bring the bacon home to those urban centers.

      I'm for George Bush, and this year it looks like there is a strong chance of him losing the election the same way Gore lost it last time: coming up short on electoral votes in spite of winning a narrow lead in the popular vote. In spite of the fact that my prefered candidate might lose the election as a result, I consider the preservation of the electoral college and our system of electing presidents far more important than which candidate wins this particular election.

      People who tell you "this is the most important election in our lifetime" are just raising the hype level to encourage us to vote. There are many differences between Bush and Kerry when it comes to political philosophy, but in terms of policy likely to be enacted over the next four years, the differences are very small.

      Bush want to renew the PATRIOT Act as-is. Kerry wants to Amend it. Congress is determined to amend it, so Bush would not get his way if elected. Either way, the PATRIOT Act gets tweaked.

      Kerry wants a federal health plan similar to what the Clinton's proposed in 1991. Bush wants private insurance plans to follow you as you change or lose your job. The Congress will never adopt Kerry's health plan. Either way, a plan similar to what Bush proposes will probably be passed.

      Bush believes he was right to lead us into Iraq. Kerry believes it was a mistake, but a conflict which we now must win. Either way, we continue our presense there for several more years.

      People make a big deal about the possibility of partisan judges getting on the Supreme Court, but this is the post-Bork era. Any appointee is going to face terrific scrutiny, even if those opposing them are in the Congressional minority. This means that any judge even perceived as "too" partisan has little chance of even getting out of committee for a vote, and will have their name dragged through the mud.

      So what it comes down to is this: If you want the miniscule, tiny, pathetic tax cuts which Bush passed to be rolled back, vote Kerry. If you want another miniscule, tiny, pathetic tax cut or two passed in addition to keeping the useless ones we had in his first term, re-elect Bush. Either way, you will be paying around 30% of your income to the Feds (depending on your bracket), and either way the deficit is not coming down until the economy completes its recovery phase.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

    6. Re:Thanks! by jondoh43 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I disagree with his argument. It sounds like he looks at voter power as a random variable with some distribution, and that under the electoral college, the expected value of a citizen's "power" is greater than without it. However, that's not necessarily a good metric. I'd argue that the variance of power could be extraordinary, and that it is in the reality of red, blue, and swing states. Basically, this corresponds to people with a fuckload of power in swing states, and people with absolutely no power in the rest of the country. Honestly, try telling anyone who voted for Al Gore in New York or California in 2000 that his or her vote made any difference in the outcome of the election.

      I'll admit that as someone who does not vote in a swing state, I'm a bit biased on this matter. However, I'm really not even suggesting that I deserve more power than anyone else. I just want to have an equal amount, even if that corresponds to people having less power on average. Favoring a policy that treats everyone equally really ought to be something that everyone can agree on. It should certainly be a lot more important than making sure that at least somebody has a significant say in the outcome of an election.

    7. Re:Thanks! by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That mathematical formulation makes sense only if you're a lone megalomaniac voter trying to tip the election against the statistical masses. Since it holds true for every voter simultaneously, in a single election, all it means is that no one voter can tip the election, or single unit. Without the fancy math, it means every voter has equal say in selecting the president. That's simple, and fair. What's not to like? Unless you vote in Wyoming, and get almost 4x as many votes as Californians for president. Funny, doesn't President VP Cheney vote from his Wyoming vacation house?

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  2. IRV is worse than popular by Xepo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why must it be *IRV*? Why can't it be condorcet or something a little less flakey than IRV?

    1. Re:IRV is worse than popular by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I tried reading the Condorcet Method summary. It's too complicated when compared to Instant Runoff. You're not going to get any support for a voting system which confuses the electorate.

      I'm trying to imagine sitting down with your "average voter" and explaining how "A defeated B, B defeated C, C defeated A, and due to these complex and technical rules of ambiguity resolution, B is really the winner." She'll decide that the system is just picking the guy the ballot counters wanted, and never voting again.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  3. Why IRV? by Gadzinka · · Score: 4, Informative

    I don't know why modern political-reformists are so fixated on IRV. Of all the technical criteria of "fair voting" IRV fulfills NONE. In this respect it's worse even than "majority vote".

    I mean, why would you want to go with a voting scheme, that makes possible situation that adding votes for a candidate causes him to lose, and converselly, removing votes for a candidate causes him to win?

    Why not go directly with "aproval" or even "condorcet"?

    Robert

    PS Go, read the above link to find out what's exactly wrong with IRV.

    --
    Bastard Operator From 193.219.28.162
    1. Re:Why IRV? by kenneth_martens · · Score: 5, Interesting
      I don't know why modern political-reformists are so fixated on IRV. Of all the technical criteria of "fair voting" IRV fulfills NONE. In this respect it's worse even than "majority vote".

      Reformists are fixated on IRV because that's what the public will actually agree to. Systems like Condorcet's Method voting are technically superior but use a lot of math and are complicated to explain. If you can't explain it in a thirty second sound bite you won't get able to get enough popular support to get it passed.

      The other reason to support IRV is that IRV is a stepping-stone to Condorcet's Method. Current voting procedures and equipment are not able to support IRV or Condorcet's Method. Once we implement IRV we will have the procedures and voting equipment necessary to use any number of superior vote counting schemes, including Condorcet's Method. So by introducing IRV we will have built the framework to allow a move to Condorcet's Method. Then all we have to do is convince the public to support Condorcet's Method--and since we already have the equipment, no one can complain that it will be too expensive to switch.
    2. Re:Why IRV? by quadong · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The table on that page does not provide a direct way of deciding whether one voting method is better than another. To say that IRV is worse than plurality (which is what you mean when you say "majority vote", I think) based on that table is silly.

      IRV may fail mathematical tests, but I haven't heard of any _realistic_ situation in which it fails. I know, as do we all, of several very important realistic ways that plurality has failed.

      That said, I don't think I would be opposed to Condorcet voting. (However, I'd like to see an introduction to it that is presented in a less dense way than the one at electionmethods.org. You know, something I could send other people to and actually expect them to read.) I advocate for IRV, but I'm really advocating against plurality.

      I would _not_ go with approval because I like some candidates that I "approve of" more than others and I want to be able to express that. Approval is like plurality in that a you are constrained to vote pure "yes" or "no" for each person. I want to be able to say "I kinda like this person, but I'd rather have someone else".

    3. Re:Why IRV? by dpilot · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I believe I could explain IRV to 50+% of the US population, and I think they could understand it. I can't say the same about Condorcet. This is a case where "even better yet" is the enemy of "better". Personally, I don't believe we could sell the US population on Condorcet or Approval at this time, due to *perceived* complexity. At the same time, I believe there is a chance for IRV. But if the proponents of voting reform get all tied up in IRV vs Condorcet vs Approval, or some other scheme, nothing will get done, at all.

      That said, I believe what we really need is a two-step process. First get IRV in place, simply because we probably could, as a first-level reform. Once the American voter is used to it, and sees that the sky hasn't fallen, perhaps 20 years down the road, go for something better. A land that renamed French Fries to Freedom Fries won't trust its voting to a system with a name like Condorcet. (I need to learn more about other schemes. I did check your link, though I don't necessarily agree with everything I read there.) Personally, I believe IRV *is* an improvement over simple majority, and that most of the stones cast against it are odd corner-cases.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    4. Re:Why IRV? by dtfinch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Thankfully, we don't have to sell it to the population, just the republicrat legistlators who will protect their control by any means necessary.

    5. Re:Why IRV? by roystgnr · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Systems like Condorcet's Method voting are technically superior but use a lot of math and are complicated to explain. If you can't explain it in a thirty second sound bite you won't get able to get enough popular support to get it passed.

      Rank your candidates in order of preference, just like IRV. You are allowed to have ties.

      If a candidate would beat any other candidate in a one-on-one race, that candidate will win.

      If there is a group of candidates such that any candidate in the group would beat any candidate outside the group in a one-on-one race, then a candidate in that group will win.

      That's about 20 seconds. (10 seconds if you leave out the last sentence).

      I agree that IRV should make the process of switching to Condorcet simpler, though, and at least it's better than plurality.

    6. Re:Why IRV? by sab39 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      1) IRV isn't better than plurality, it's worse.

      2) "Just like IRV" means that you require the whole thirty second soundbite explaining IRV to happen first, so you exceeded your thirty seconds that way. Actually I think IRV will fail based on that criterion too - thirty seconds is longer than any quote I've seen on the news from any of the presidential candidates, or on any other topic for that matter. I can't remember seeing anything as complex as IRV *ever* explained on the news.

      3) Approval voting: "Just like today except you get to vote for as many candidates as you like". That's less than a *5* second soundbite. Why go to all the trouble of explaing IRV in the first place, when (a) it sucks and (b) approval is so much simpler to explain?

    7. Re:Why IRV? by dschuetz · · Score: 2, Informative

      If 20% of the population prefer Nader to Kerry and Kerry to Bush, 35% of the population prefer Kerry to Nader and Nader to Bush, and 45% of the population prefer Bush to Kerry and Kerry to Nader, then 80% prefer Kerry to Nader and 55% prefer Kerry to Bush, so Kerry wins by every pair-wise comparison and hence would win the election.

      Ah, that seems much easier than what I just wrote. Lemme try and clean it up:

      20% vote: Nader, Kerry, Bush
      35% vote: Kerry, Nader, Bush
      45% vote: Bush, Kerry, Nader

      You end up with three two-way elections: Kerry/Bush, Kerry/Nader, Bush/Nader.

      Kerry beats Bush in 55% of ballots.
      Kerry beats Nader in 80% of ballots.
      Nader beats Bush in 55% of ballots.

      No other candidate beats *both* of the other two in more than 50% of the ballots cast, so Kerry wins.

    8. Re:Why IRV? by dschuetz · · Score: 2, Informative

      Thats fine for a 2-5 person race, but imagine a 15 seat city council election, with over 25 people running, you would have a 10 page ballot.

      No, because the "A > B, B > C, C > D" comparisons are inferred from the ranking. You only need to rank them all at once.

      So a 25-person race would just have 25 names listed, and you put a "1" next to the person you like best, "2" next to your second choice, etc.

      That said, I'm not sure how Condercet works for a multi-seat election like a county council. I guess it's just a question of ranking the final results.

    9. Re:Why IRV? by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 2, Informative

      That said, I'm not sure how Condercet works for a multi-seat election like a county council. I guess it's just a question of ranking the final results.

      Pick the winner as per normal.
      Delete him from all ballots.
      Repeat until there are no more slots to fill.

      (The same repetitive approach can work with concordet, plurality, or IRV)

    10. Re:Why IRV? by the+morgawr · · Score: 2, Informative
      Can anyone who's had more than 20 minutes with Condercet comment on this?

      Not the way I'd explain it but it is pass-able. Personally I prefer simplified examples.

      Why I'm NEVER going to support IRV in a National Election:

      We used to use run-off voting in our Fraternity Elections before we swapped to Condorcet. What run-off voting does is eleminate compromise candidates early on. In a national election this will favor the more extream candidates over the moderate ones.

      Example:

      We have three candidates X,Y,Z. Let's say the voting goes like this:

      40% Like X the most.
      40% Like Z the most.
      20% Like Y the most.

      However, 30% of the voters for X, would rather see Y win than Z and 30% of the voters for Z would rather see Y win than X. The remaining 10% only want their candiate to win. So the break-down of the ballots looks like this:

      10% - X --- They only like X, Y & Z are equally bad.
      30% - X,Y --- They prefer X but like Y more than Z
      10% - Y,X --- They like Y but lean toward X
      10% - Y,Z --- Y with leaning toward Z
      30% - Z,Y --- Like Z; like Y less than Z but more than X
      10% - Z --- Only like Z, Y & Z are equally bad.

      Now, this is a democracy so our voting should try to make the maximum number of people happy (alternatively, we could define fairness as minimizing the number of unhappy people, more in a moment). Ideally Y should win, because the most people support him, the fewest oppose him, and he would win one-on-on against both other candidates.

      However with plurality or IRV we end up with a tie between X and Z (because the "compromise" candidate is eliminated in the early round).

      Condorcet solves this problem by breaking each election up, into a bunch of one-on-one elections and figuring out a winner in all of these simplified cases.

      Condorcet has certain interesting properties by design: it is essentially stratagy free (being dishonest with your vote does not get you any ground), and it will find an Ideal democratic winner if one exists. However it does have several practical limitations (that are mostly irrelevent to smaller groups but could cause problems if used in something as big as a Presidential election): Because it is ranked, adding one vote can swing a very close election in unexpected (but technically correct) ways, as such, you cannot break the counting up as you can with plurality or approval the counting must all be done on all ballots simultaniously (this is no problem for a small group but for a large election, it would require computer-systems to count up the vote), and finally, some people claim that Condorcet implicitly compromises on behalf of the voter.

      Note that Condorcet is not perfect; it is however the closest to perfect that exists.

      There is another method that has most of the good points of Condorcet but trades away some of them to get a few practical benefits: Approval. Approval voting asks the voter to mark all candidates who he approves of for office (the goal being to minimize disatisfaction).

      Unlike Condorcet, under Approval voting, adding one more vote does not cause an unexpected outcome (but the outcome might not be technically correct); Approval voting also allows the vote counting to proceed in smaller groups and have the result total up and make sense. Additionally it forces the voter to decide what they are (or arn't) willing to compromise on.

      However approval voting is subject to some voting stratagy and a successful implementation relies on explaining the strategic aspects to the voters. Because of the strategy element, Approval voting is not as accurate as Condorcet for small groups and groups that don't follow polls.

      An example of a good stratagy is to watch the polls and vote for everyone you prefer to the front runner, then vote for the front runner if you prefer him to the second-place candidate.

      --
      The policy of the United States is worse than bad---it is insane. -- Ludwig von Mises, Economic Policy(1959)
  4. From the makers of the Butterfly Ballot by tdemark · · Score: 4, Insightful

    People have a hard time with something as simple as a butterfly ballot, and now you want them to rank their choices?

    Wow, talk about being optimistic about the voting public.

    Even if IRV is the most "accurate", I think Approval voting is lot simpler to understand, especially since it is used in many of the local elections (school board, etc), so it is familiar to most voters.

    - Tony

    1. Re:From the makers of the Butterfly Ballot by (SM)+Spacemonkey · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Australians have managed to rank their candidates. In place of that, you can put a "1" against the candidate you want to win, and the preferences go the way that candidate dictates. Thinking, and catering to the absolute lowest common denominator only encourages that behaviour. Pull the masses up to a higher standard, and it will become the norm. Or perhaps expecting progress is against our "freedoms".

  5. We're not a Democracy, so don't change it! by jbarr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Abolishing the Electoral College in favor of a straight popular vote is a bad thing because it eliminates the representation from small populations. The Founding Fathers were not stupid. They devised a solution to a problem that still exists today: Ensuring that large populations do not dicate law to smaller populations.

    What I WOULD recommend is working on a better way to handle multi-party elections such as runoffs, etc.

    In addition, Congress should instead be working harder to develop better solutions to validate voters, better solutions to develop more secure, reliable voting methods, and to develop legislation that eliminates the current loopholes in campaign funding laws.

    Remember that the United States is NOT a Democracy, but a Federal Republic. To change that is to change the fundamental foundations of this country.

    --
    My mom always said, "Jim, you're 1 in a million." Given the current population, there are 7000 of me. God help us all!
    1. Re:We're not a Democracy, so don't change it! by dtfinch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Small populations have the advantage in the senate, and even the house, and the presidency. They are favored at all levels of legistlation. They need protection, but so does the majority. I don't see a problem with giving them favor in 2 out of 3. That ought to really gum up the works, making sure that bills are favored by both small and large populations.

      I don't like the idea of making the minority candidate, who's party color is blood red, commander in chief of our armed forces while at the same time giving his party favor in all other levels of legistlation. Giving large populations favor in 1 out of 3 levels provides some balance.

    2. Re:We're not a Democracy, so don't change it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Some federal republic! When states like California pass medical marijuana laws that work only inside California borders, but the federal DEA goes in and busts participants in a system which is legal in California, that completely undermines states rights. When the executive branch is proposing Constitutional amendments to prevent state courts from deciding what kinds of marriages can occur within their state, that completely undermines states rights.

      The federal government has its hands in everything. They set policy these days by taxing the people of each state heavily and then giving money back to the states based on compliance with federal regulations (see also: speed limits, drinking ages, school policies, etc etc).

      If you're going to argue that the U.S. is actually a functional federal republic, I'm going to say the facts don't support that assertion. In fact, your own post suggests that it is Congress' job to develop better voting systems. Wrong. The states are the sole owner of voting within their state. There is no such thing as a federal election under our current system, so why should the federal government be so directly involved in the voting process?

    3. Re:We're not a Democracy, so don't change it! by Apreche · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I agree mostly with this. However, I think an even better option is if every state did a split up of its electora votes in the way that Main does and Colorado is considering.

      On a side note, it is very good that congress realizes this is an issue and is amending it in the usual way. We are only two states away from a constitutional convention, and that is a dangerous and scary thing for many reasons.

      --
      The GeekNights podcast is going strong. Listen!
    4. Re:We're not a Democracy, so don't change it! by WarPresident · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Abolishing the Electoral College in favor of a straight popular vote is a bad thing because it eliminates the representation from small populations. The Founding Fathers were not stupid. They devised a solution to a problem that still exists today: Ensuring that large populations do not dicate law to smaller populations.

      It is true that the Founding Fathers didn't want election by popular vote for fear that large states would dominate. However, the framers did not have it in mind that everybody would get to vote. The original idea was that only the great landowners got to vote in the electoral college, the unwashed masses couldn't be trusted to vote correctly. Keep control of the government in the hands of those who knew best!

      We've come a long way since 1787. We can get the results of a national election in one night. The power of the individual states is waning. People move freely from state to state, and have greater allegiance to their favorite football team than to their state, and possibly their country. People are more informed on issues (debatable).

      The Electoral College leaves many feeling their vote doesn't count. The electors can vote contrary to the will of the people of their state. In my home state, there's a $400 fine if an elector casts a vote contrary to the popular vote results. Wow, that's quite a disincentive!

      --
      Here come da fudge!
    5. Re:We're not a Democracy, so don't change it! by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Would you care to enlighten the ignorant among us and reveal the one true definition of the word "democracy"

      Fine. If you're really too lazy to visit dictionary.com, I'll go there myself and paste the first definition it lists:
      1. 1. Government by the people, exercised either directly or through elected representatives.

      Remember, you can only give one definition and that definition cannot contain multiple parts

      And why is that? Words can frequently have multiple definitions with different meanings. That's how English works. To claim that something is not XYZ, then none of the definitions of XYZ must apply. If any one of the definitions matches, then the person claiming "We are not a democracy" was wrong.
  6. This is a crappy way to run a country by scotay · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Democrats think the Electoral College cost them the presidency. We better change the constitution. Republicans think they have a potential president in a popular Austrian. We better change the constitution. 3rd parties want more votes. Better go PR, IRV, or some other method that lets people vote without "throw away" syndrome. I'm a Libertarian, and I say "Just say no" to these knee-jerk reactions. I feel the same about redistricting. We shouldn't allow ANYONE to attempt to engineer favorable outcomes. They never turn out the way we expect any way. And I say better the devil you know. As soon as we Libertarians stop running marginal candidates, more voters will be convinced to vote for us without throwing away their votes. Despite our crappy ballot access laws, we manage to do alright. When we lose, it's our fault. Let's stop blaming a system that is not half-bad and stop trying to engineer new structural outcomes. It always seems to make the mess bigger.

  7. Re:Ya know... by alwayslurking · · Score: 2, Informative

    This article suggests approval;

    The Mathematical Association of America and the American Statistical Association each elect their committees by a new method called approval voting.

  8. Electoral College by sab39 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Better than eliminating the electoral college would be to require each state to allocate its electors proportionately instead of winner-take-all for the state.

    That would completely eliminate the concept of a "battleground state" as it exists now, and "florida" situations in the future - there would never be a situation where a small increase in real votes could net you 21 electoral votes in one shot. Any recounts would be, at most, fighting over one electoral vote at a time instead of a whole state's worth, because the margin of error is never so large that it would cover more than that proportion of the state's voters.

    I think this would probably have to be federally or constitutionally mandated, because individual states that apply it to only themselves instantly *dis*advantage themselves: where they might previously have gotten lots of attention from the candidates because 20+ electoral votes were up for grabs, the candidates would now concentrate on the states that *hadn't* implemented the change.

    1. Re:Electoral College by lobsterGun · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, it would turn every state into a potential 'florida situiation'. Recounts would be forced in all states where a relativly small number of votes could turn an electoral vote.

  9. Who cares? So few vote... by mad_ian · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I wouldn't mind the electoral system, if there was also a REQUIREMENT to vote and maintain your citizen ship.

    I'd rather see the entire populous vote for a gibbering idiot than see less than a quarter of it vote for the same idiot.

    ~Donald

    --
    ~Donald / Just RTFM
  10. Re:Colorado will become irrelevant if they pass th by mrtrumbe · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Don't you think there is a problem with rural voters getting more of a voice than urban voters?

    I'm all for the protection of the rights of the minority, but that isn't the same as letting the minority have a bigger say in how the country is run than the majority. And that is the current situation: rural voters have a disproportionally large say in how the country is run. There are fewer rural voters, yet they have (approximately) the same amount of pull as urban voters.

    What would happen if 95% of all Americans lived in cities? Would the 5% of rural voters still get 50% of the representation? That would mean rural voters have 20 times the influence as urban voters. 20 times! Those are going to be some hefty argriculture subsidies!

    I am left wondering why geographical boundries should determine representation. Why should 5% of the population have the same amount of say as 95% of the population? We don't have representatives based on race or religion, right? About 13% of Americans are black, yet they don't have an equal share of representation as white people. On the logic that minority groups should have equal representation, they should get their representation boosted, right?

    The question I am trying to expose (and to which I don't have an answer) is: what constitutes a minority group that should get equal representation in our legislature? It seems to me that determining a minority on the basis of population density and geography is a pretty arbitrary metric. What makes rural America as a minority group so special as to warrant higher legislative representation (or voting clout)? Why not blacks, too? Or latinos? Or Jews? Or amputees? Or homosexuals?

    It seems to me that the current system is disproportionately assigning representation based on somewhat arbitrary standards. What is a better standard? I'm not sure. But I'd be open to suggestions. Or critiques of my logic. :)

    Taft

  11. IRV is NOT worse than popular by spitzak · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Though I agree there are better things than IRV (approval voting is my favorite), IRV is better than what we have now. It allows 3rd parties to be get almost 1/3 of the vote before it screws up and reverts to the equivalent of popular vote, so at least there is a measure of what support those 3rd parties have.

    1. Re:IRV is NOT worse than popular by Xepo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The problems with IRV are that it can do just the opposite of what you intend in certain situations.

      Rating one candidate *higher* can actually make them lose. This should *never* happen, it's exactly the opposite of what a voting method should do.

      I'll give you sources if you can't find them on your own.

      Eventually, because of these problems, the two major politcal parties are justgoing to be saying "Put our candidate absolutely first or else you're going to be plagued byt hese problems and your vote won't count!" We'll have quite a bit of FUD, and quite a bit of scary stuff that's not FUD.

      Condorcet would be much better. Heck, even approval's not bad.

  12. Bullshit by kajoob · · Score: 4, Insightful

    OK let me break this down for you....

    Senate - each state gets two Senators, Senators are the STATE's representative's, not the people of the states - that's the house. So, each state gets an equal 2% respresentation of the entire Senate.

    House - OK, now the House does represent the people broken up into little districts. But how on god's green earth can you say that the House gives larger representation to smaller populations? I live in Delaware, we have one Representative. That means 1 vote out of 435 in the House. California on the other hand has 56 Representatives. If it were just between us two states, California would win every time. And furthermore, Resprentatives are awarded per population (I don't have the numbers offhand, but it's somewhere around a million citizens per Representative). So as populations change, so does representation.

    President - Are you kidding me? Like an earlier post said, the founding fathers were not stupid. The electoral college is in place to even things out. My home state of Delaware has a population of slightly over a million people. We're small. Don't blink or you'll miss us. The point is, the electoral college ensures that the President is elected by the States - as in President of the United STATES (not President of the Popular Vote). If the Prez was elected by the popular vote, then the Candidates would be in California, Texas, and New York for the duration of the campaign and would never set foot in Delaware, Rhode Island, Wyoming, Vermont, et al. However, as it stands, because of the electoral college, both Bush and Kerry have made multiple stops to this little tiny dot on the map called Delaware. We only have slightly over a million people, but the STATE has 3 electoral votes so while the candidates spend most of their time in the states with the huge populations, tiny states like ours don't get a lot of attention, but the electoral college makes sure we're not forgotten.

    --
    Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur
    1. Re:Bullshit by OldAndSlow · · Score: 2, Insightful
      We only have slightly over a million people, but the STATE has 3 electoral votes so while the candidates spend most of their time in the states with the huge populations, tiny states like ours don't get a lot of attention, but the electoral college makes sure we're not forgotten.

      Lets see, according to the 2000 census, Delaware's population is 738,600. US population is 281,241,906. So Delaware is 0.26% of the total population. For fairness, Deleware should have 0.26 senators, 1.14 represenatatives, and 1.41 electoral college votes.

      I'd say Delaware's citizens are over-represented. At the expense of the citizens of larger states.

    2. Re:Bullshit by Vystrix+Nexoth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      small states (population-wise) still have fewer electoral votes. if most of the big states (california, texas, new york) weren't virtually guaranteed for one candidate or the other, you'd bet your ass the candidates would focus on that state.
      however, I do see your point... instead of focusing only on major population centers, they do have to at least make a cursory attempt to court voters across bunches of rural states like in the southeast and the rockies.

      however...instead of focusing on the little people, they focus on swing states: the electoral college tends to make them take for granted any state that they are sure to win (or lose) and focus on swing states. in a popular-vote system, candidates would focus on areas like Los Angeles and New York City. instead, they're all focusing on Florida, Ohio, and a handful of other "swing" states. small states which are already in the bag (like most of the rockies) are practically ignored anyway, and small swing states (like New Hampshire) are glossed over. only big swing states, like Florida and Ohio, get much attention.

      also, the electoral college's winner-take-all system encourages the candidates to ignore states that they are sure to win/lose... for example, Texas, which is guaranteed for Bush. in a popular-vote system, Bush could still campaign there and milk some more votes from his supporters, and Kerry could try to siphon some votes for himself too. as it is, it's going to go to Bush either way, so there's no need for Bush to re-enforce his hold on it, or for Kerry to put any real effort into taking the state when he can put that effort towards states he's more likely to win, like FL and OH. furthermore, conservative voters in a liberal state are disenfranchised (and vice-versa) since, unless their state is a swing state, their vote won't be registered except in the popular vote totals which currently mean nothing (as far as determining the president goes) except state-by-state.

      or something. *stops rambling*

  13. State powers by 2nd+Post! · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Easy. The president represents the STATES. United States.

    The State is supposed to represent and protect you.

    If we go to some form of popular vote, that means the power of the states have actually been taken away, and given to the President, in the sense that the President only has to care about big cities: the SF Bay Area, Los Angeles, New York, Boston, etc.

    Right now he has to court the 'swing states', but with popular vote, he'd court 'swing cities'. It changes the balance of power. The Founding Fathers had a two tier system in mind: Federal power and State power, and over the past 200 years Federal power has been growing at the expense of State power, and by proxy personal power since a person has MUCH more pull in a local situation than a global situation.

  14. Re:Colorado will become irrelevant if they pass th by ConceptJunkie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What would happen if 95% of all Americans lived in cities?

    That wouldn't change the presidential vote unless these cities were all in the same state (or a small number of states).

    Congressional districts within states are broken up roughly in terms of the same population for each. I would assume that this would mean lots of geographically small districts and a few large ones.

    Even in the extreme case you describe the system is nowhere near unbalanced as you make it out to be,

    About 13% of Americans are black, yet they don't have an equal share of representation as white people.

    This is only relevant if blacks are inherently different from whites. I don't believe that and I thought our politically correct overlords were trying to teach us all races are equal. I wouldn't vote based on race... I wouldn't even vote based on my religion (which describes me a whole lot more) because I'm Catholic and wouldn't vote for Kerry. Qualities like race, sex or geographic home, hair style, speaking style, or obnoxiousness of a candidate's spouse should not be relevant (I realize they often are). Qualities like political attitudes, philosophical stands, and history of public life (and to a large extent, personal life) should dictate how people will vote. I think the differences in racial politics are really largely based on differences in socioeconomic standing. I would expect middle-class blacks to vote similarly to middle-class whites, and the same for lower- and upper-class people. It just so happens a disproportionate number of blacks are lower in economic standing. If we help all poor people, the blacks will come into parity with other races, and their politics will probably follow suit. I don't see it as a black thing, but as a people thing. But then again I'm a pasty-white computer nerd who understands black culture about as well as I understand ancient Greek. Maybe I'm completely wrong. I just try to see people as people.

    However, in answer to your question, if we somehow institutionalize race into our political system we will never rise above racism we are struggling to escape completely from today. It's bad enough as it is because treating people without regard to color isn't good enough any more.

    --
    You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
  15. Why so much opposition here ? by totatis · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I am quite puzzled about the reactions I read here.
    I remember reading here that the vast majority of slashdotters think the current system for electing the president of the USA is bad. Some complains that voting third party is more or less a waste. Others complain that their home state is so democrat/republican that their vote for the other party won't count. Others complain about the winner take all present in most states.

    Yet, when someone proposes a bill that tries to adress these problems, people here bitch that it is not perfect.

    Althrough I am not American (or maybe because I am not), I think this is a step in the right direction.

    First, about the abolishion of electoral college. I've read many comments complaining that it would lessen the power of small population states. I fail to see how it is a problem. Look at Europe. Most countries in Europe directly elect their president, without consideration about the region where one votes. Yet, you don't see in Europe the tyranny of the cities. Hell, even with this system, the agricultural people have a political clout much higher than their number would indicate. They are not oppressed by cities resident people.
    A citizen is a citizen, and I fail to see why some should get more power in elections than others. Isn't the definition of a democracy (or a constitutional republic) that each citizen be equal ? Equality means same power in elections, me think.

    Second, about IRV. Sure IRV is technically inferior to Condorcet. But Condorcet will not be a way for elections. The vast majority of people don't understand it. Even the short explanations some slashdotters proposed are not simple. If you don't believe me, try to explain Condorcet to some 85 years old grandma, or to someone that dropped school at 14 because they didn't catch maths. These people won't trust Condorcet, they find it too convulted. The fact that it is mathematically superior doesn't get in the line for these people.
    OTOH, IRV can be understood by everyone. Sure it's buggy. But so is the current system. Remember, this is a proposed bill, and representatives will discuss it. That means that it may be corrected to allow more sane methods.

    Remember people, we are discussing two bills ( *two* bills, even if you hate IRV, you can approve the dropping of electoral college), and will be amended and corrected multiple times before passing to final vote. It seems silly to me to oppose them.

    Why not try to be positive, and write your representatives that the idea of the bills are good, and then proposing alternate voting methods ? If you just oppose them, don't complain latter when the only choice you get is a republicrat and a demoblican. Instead, support the senator that proposed the bills, and encourage their perfection.

    America's presidential election is the worst of all presidential elections in first world. Multiple (and sometimes brain-dead) voting scheme, near-impossibility for third parties to get votes, people in democratic states who can't show their support for republicans, people in republican states who can't show their support for democrats, election determined by Florida and a few other key swing states, people having votes that count twice just because they live in a small state, etc...
    That should be corrected, and even if these bills are not perfect (I don't like IRV either), they sure are a step in the right direction.

    What about stopping bitching that the whole world is dumb and accepting that sometimes, to get a good system, you have to be patient and support a temporary solution if it is the right direction ? This is how the real world works, you know.

  16. Re:Colorado will become irrelevant if they pass th by michael_cain · · Score: 3, Informative
    What would happen if 95% of all Americans lived in cities? Would the 5% of rural voters still get 50% of the representation?

    The obvious question to follow up with is "Which cities?" If 95% of all Americans live in Chicago, the West Coast cities, and the stretch from Boston to Washington, D.C., (call it 12 states) then they will be under-represented. Very badly in the Senate, where they would have 24 out of 100 senators, least badly in the House where they would have a large majority of the representatives but still not 95%, and somewhere in between in presidential elections.

    Speaking as someone from a large western state with relatively few people, great scenic beauty, and rich in natural resources, let me say that replacing the current system with one that was based solely on population would be terrifying. I can easily envision the 95% who live in the 12 states (in this example) passing federal laws that do a variety of things: requiring that we strip-mine the resources; requiring that we operate massive land-fills in the non-scenic areas to dispose of waste from the urban states; requiring that we ban all development in scenic areas (even though the large majority of that 95% will never visit them); requiring energy-efficiency standards that make sense in an urban setting but are simply not practical in my state.

    One of the key issues that the Founders wrestled with in writing the Constitution was how to make it difficult for a small group of states with large populations to impose their will on the other states. I would be happy to entertain systems other than the current one. Can you suggest one that guarantees my state's ability to have a meaningful say in governing the nation that doesn't give me "over representation" relative to our population?