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Could Nuclear Power Wean the U.S. From Oil?

bblackfrog asks: "Is a Federal nuclear energy program viable? That is, can the USA eliminate our economic dependence on crude oil with a large scale federal program to build and maintain enough nuclear power plants to replace our current oil-based energy needs? The obvious political hurdles are (a) the left opposes nuclear energy, (b) the right opposes federalizing energy, and (c) the oil companies and Saudis wield a lot of clout. This makes a federal nuclear energy program far fetched I admit, however I'm more interested in the economics. Slashdot has covered advances in nuclear power technology. China's doing it." (Read more, below.) "How much energy is required to replace our fossil fuel consumption? What are the initial costs of the program, and just how cheap could the electricity be? How expensive would it be for our industries to convert? How expensive for home and auto conversions? How much of this cost should be picked up by the government? Bottom line: is nuclear power cheaper than our current oil-driven middle-east policy, with all of its blowback?"

23 of 1,615 comments (clear)

  1. Uranium is a finite resource by gtrubetskoy · · Score: 5, Informative

    With respect to conventional nuclear energy, what many people don't realize is that Uranium is a finite resource which will run out way before oil. Based on what's on this page (this was just a quick google, there probably is better data out there), with 4 million t available and at the rate of 34K t per year, there is only 117 years of Uranium left.

    So if it's going to be nuclear energy, it will need to be a process that does not require Uranium.

    1. Re:Uranium is a finite resource by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Can you say "Breeder reactor" you use plentiful U238 and turn it into Plutonium...

    2. Re:Uranium is a finite resource by turgid · · Score: 5, Informative
      You can recycle the plutonium produced by fission of uranium either to make MOX fuel or use it as fuel in a fast reactor.

      The uranium will run out a lot less slowly than oil (in the US) or gas (in Europe) if this is taken into account.

      Unfortunately, public anti-nuclear hysteria will prevent us from properly exploiting these resources until our backs are firmly against the wall. If Bin Laden were to disrupt the flow of gas from Siberia to Europe and plunge the continent into chaos, cold, darkness, sickness and death, maybe the politicians will do something about it. However, until their is a major disaster either involving economics (high oil prices) or logistics (Siberian gas supply) nothing will get done.

      Meanwhile, we're still developing nuclear fusion which is coming along a lot better than most people think...No uranium (or oil or coal or gas) required.

  2. Re:You mean run cars and jets off nuclear power? by Emperor+Shaddam+IV · · Score: 4, Informative

    We could also eat fish from our lakes and streams again. Since the methyl mercury being dumped into the atmosphere from the coal plants and other industry has raised the mercury levels in all fresh water fish to high levels.

  3. Biodiesel by wherley · · Score: 4, Informative

    * can make in USA (no foreign dependence).
    * runs in existing diesel engines.
    * less toxic than regular diesel, in fact biodegradable.
    * creates more demand for US soybean crop.
    * no new infrastructure needed, just more diesel engines.
    * emissions better in almost also cases than existing diesel emissions.
    * can mix in any percentage with existing diesel fuel.

    yes i know it would take *a lot* of soy crop to meet the US oil consumption - but check out some of the research on using algae for biodiesel production at a much higher land density.

    overall there are a *lot* of pros vs. cons regarding this alternative fuel IMHO.

    for more information:
    http://www.grassolean.com/
    http://www.biodieselnow.com/
    http://forums.tdiclub.com/postlist.php?Cat=&Board= UBB44

  4. Re:First you need to ask yourself these two questi by AKAImBatman · · Score: 5, Informative

    1) What will we do with the waste?

    It should be reused for fuel. This allows a reactor to get more energy out of less nuclear material, resulting in both reduced cost and waste. The only reason why the US doesn't do this, is the concern over terrorists or spies obtaining bomb-grade materials.

    2) Do we have enough fissionable fuel to accomplish this?

    The estimates are that we'd have a ~100 year supply of Uranium if all power was switched to nuclear power today. This figure does not take reprocessing and non-uranium fission into account.

  5. Re:First you need to ask yourself these two questi by Ironsides · · Score: 4, Informative

    1) We can recycle the nuclear waste we have. Yes, it is possible. What we essentially do is re-enrich and purify it. The problem with this is that it is that it is the same process used to create weapons grade material. I think that is the only reason why it is not done. If we start refining the waste, the amount of toxic material left over shrinks rapidly to less than 1% of the volume.

    2) Nuclear power supplies about 20% of the total power generated in the US. There is a lot of uranium and plutonium in the world. We have enough in order to supply it. Epsecially if we start re-enrichment of the waste.

    --
    Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
  6. Re:First you need to ask yourself these two questi by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Informative
    1. Well, from earlier studies, the best location for waste fuel is in north west texas. However, it was decided 3 years ago to locate medium-high waste in nevada, which is more earthquake prone.
    2. As to fissionable fuel, we have 3% of the uranium in the world. Australia and I believe Russia have deposits that are absolutely huge in comparisons (IIRC, Australia has something like 25% of all known deposists), so no problem. But Uranium will not last long. Instead, to lower the costs, you would have to use a breeder reactor. But of course, that produces plutonium. But if all reactors were breeders, we would have some 7000 years worth of fuel. Not bad

    Personally, I think that we need to start getting a more balanced policy. That would include not only nukes, but more alternative as well as money to research on energy storage. Sadly, over the last few years, the US admin cut a lot of alternative research and has invested in oil all the way.
    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  7. Re:Power? by MacGod · · Score: 4, Informative

    saving resources upfront (minimal packaging) is much, much more effective than say recycling.

    Exactly. What most people don't understand is that reduce, reuse, recycle is listed in that order for a reason. Reduction is the best policy; if you can't do that any further, reuse what you can; failing that, recycle.

    Recycling is better than landfill, but it's not the best answer, either.

    --
    "Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one " -Albert Einstein
  8. Weapons grade? Who are you kidding? by Engineer-Poet · · Score: 5, Informative
    Breeder reactors produce an abundance of weapons-grade materials.
    A common lie of anti-nuke activists. Weapons-grade uranium is concentrated to over 70% U-235, and weapons-grade plutonium is > 93% Pu-239. PWR-grade uranium is about 3% U-235, and neutron capture in breeders contaminates the plutonium with much more than 7% of Pu-238, Pu-240 and Pu-241. You can't make a bomb out of 3% U-235 (it cannot go prompt-supercritical because it needs a moderator) and the high spontaneous-fission rate of the higher isotopes of plutonium makes it impractical to make bombs from them (too much heat generation, little chance of the implosion system getting its job done before the chain reaction starts and takes the mass sub-critical again).
  9. Re:First you need to ask yourself these two questi by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 4, Informative
    3. The amount of waste would be a small percentage of the starting amount. So for every *ton* of fuel (that's one HELL of a lot of energy!), you'd end up with a few dozen kilograms of stuff left. Of the remaining "waste", a large portion of it would be stable materials.


    No, you get about a ton of waste fuel from a ton of fuel. The mass->energy conversion is a tiny fraction of the fuel's mass. And once the U or P atoms are split, the daughters can't be split again.


    And then you have the problem that the neutron flux inside the reactor makes _everything_ radioactive. And _everything_ in the fuel processing cycle becomes radioactive.


    All that radioactive stuff is waste. It must be stored carefully, for long periods of time. And noone has a solution that works both politically, geologically, and medically.

  10. Re:And what'll wean us from nuclear power? by Dun+Malg · · Score: 4, Informative
    Yes, I seem to remember reading somewhere that, at the world's current load, there is only enough nuclear fuel to last about 100 years (that's the world, mind you, so who knows about just the US)

    That's just U-235. U-235 accounts for only 0.7% of the uranium available. The other 99.3% is U-238. U-238 can't be used as fuel in our current reactors, but can be used in breeder reactors. What's more, spent fuel from current reactors can also be fed into a breeder reactor. With breeder reactors that 100 years turns into about 100,000. And we haven't even touched on non-uranium fueled reactors yet.

    --
    If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  11. Re:Yes, definitely. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 4, Informative
    Our sixth-largest state is 114,006 square miles. Using your formula of 1 kilowatt per square mile (an easy enough calculation), that's 114,006 kilowatts.

    Kilo, m? Don't mix Units. kw/m^2 is kilowatt per METER squared.

    a square mile is 2589988 square meters? 1609 * 1609 meters roughly. That's 2,589,988 kilowatts per square mile. You have 114,006 sqmi, so . . . *taptaptap*

    . . . carry the three . . . 295,274,171,900 kilowatts

    Discuss.

  12. Re:Yes, definitely. by ptomblin · · Score: 3, Informative

    We had nuclear missiles hidden in trucks rolling all over the country on our highways for most of the Cold War.

    We did? Not that anybody has admitted in public. When they proposed such a basing system for the MX, it was shouted down for security and safety reasons.

    --
    The next Cmdr Taco duplicate will be ready soon, but subscribers can beat the rush and see it early!
  13. Energy saving is the key ... by egghat · · Score: 4, Informative

    not mentioned before in this thread so I'll do it.

    Per capita the US uses more than 12000 KWh per year, Japan ~7500 and Germany ~6000 (source) ). Same for oil: US per capita: 68 gallons, Japan: 42, Germany 33 (source: source). So we're comparing the three of the whealthiest and industrialized nations on Earth and one uses more than two times the energy. There's not a single reason for this depite the fact that the US wastes energy like noone else on this planet.

    When atke into account that less than half of the US energy comes from Oil and that a not that small part comes from domestic sources, I guesstimate that by saving less than a third of the current energy usage the USA could become completly independent from foreign oil. And you would still use more energy than Japan for example.

    This goal is reachable rather easy as you can see in Japan or Germany.

    Sell your SUV, buy a Volkswagen/Audi TDI (will use less than half of your energy). Switch off your AC when you leave or when you don't need it. Change to energy saving light bulbs (will use less than 15% of your original energy usage). Throw away your old fridge and buy an energy saving new one (will use less than half of your old). Etc. pp.

    It's doable. It's easy.

    Bye egghat.

    --
    -- "As a human being I claim the right to be widely inconsistent", John Peel
  14. Re:First you need to ask yourself these two questi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Well, the US just decommissions reactors once they've used up the pressure vessel. The pressure vessel (which holds the core) is removed, put into a big huge steel casing, and trucked across the country to INEL, Hanford, or Nevada. The spent fuel rods are kept on-site in water pools for long periods of time (20-30 years). The rest of the radioactive byproducts are shipped to some burial sites or, again, to Hanford, Nevada, INEL, depending.

    You would think that such a huge chunk of high-strength steel would be impervious, but the neutron radiation does weaken all the parts over time.

  15. Re:First you need to ask yourself these two questi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    All that radioactive stuff is waste. It must be stored carefully, for long periods of time. And noone has a solution that works both politically, geologically, and medically.

    Energy Amplifier
    or more realistically, Integral Fast Reactor.

    Both reuse waste.

  16. Re:Power? by Martin+Blank · · Score: 4, Informative

    Yes, it does, but let's see what led up to the explosion.

    The Chernobyl reactor was poorly-designed. Any reasonable reactor designer would have been able to say as much: the design allowed each and every one of the safety mechanisms to be disabled at the same time. Worse, construction was shoddy at best: parts were often misaligned by several degrees, and when they needed more concrete but didn't have enough cement, they just added more sand, weakening the resulting mix. It was a disaster waiting to happen.

    The #4 reactor was to be shut down for an experiment to determine what would happen in the event of a blackout. The reactor relied on power from other plants to maintain its basic functionality -- office lights, computers, and the cooling systems for the reactors. The reactors fed their own power off to the grid, and other plants were similarly dependent on Chernobyl for their basic functionality. Because of this dependence and the concern for how long they would have before a possible serious failure may occur, they wanted to see how long the inertia of the spinning turbine blades, combined with residual heat from the reactor, would continue to generate power. They thought that perhaps they might gain a little extra time to react in case all power from the grid was somehow lost.

    The experiment was apparently the idea of the plant manager, who had never run a nuclear plant before (being an expert in turbines). His chief assistant had come from conventional power plants. Only a couple of high-level assistants had ever had any experience with nuclear power, and then only with small reactors. No approval for the experiment was ever recieved, but they went ahead with it anyway.

    On the afternoon of April 26, 1986, the reactor output was lowered to about half of normal output, one turbogenerator was brought offline (the remaining one was to be used for the test), and the emergency core cooling system -- the automatic system that moderates the reaction in a critical situation -- was disconnected. A request soon came in to postpone the experiment until late night so that electricity demand would be lower. This was approved.

    At 11pm, the experiment continued. The reactor was brought to its minimum output of 700MW. Above this level, automatic systems keep enough cooling water running through to prevent a runaway reaction. Below it, coolant may not be available in sufficient quantities, and another system will initiate a shutdown. This system was, of course, disconnected.

    The output dropped to 30MW, and radioactive decay began producing excess iodine, which contaminated the fuel rods. This contamination interfered in the chain reaction, making it hard to bring the power back up to acceptable levels. The engineers had to either shut down the reactor or try to bring the power levels back up, and shutting down the reactor would mean that the experiment could not continue, so they tried to power it back up. This meant lifting more of the graphite control rods out to allow the reaction to increase by attempting to "burn off" the iodine contamination. Too many were lifted out -- over the initial protests of one of the engineers -- and the real problems began.

    As technicians increased the flow of water over the rods, the reaction was moderated by the coolant, which meant less steam. Less steam meant less power, which meant more control rods were lifted. More water was also being pumped to prevent buildups in other areas of the system since not as much steam as expected was being generated. The whole system was balanced on a knife-edge.

    Finally, the experiment began. The last safety system, linked to the remaining oeprational turbogenerator and capable of automatic reactor shutdown, was disconnected. Steam to the turbogenerator was blocked, and the turbine began to spin down. With less power, the pumps (already working beyond design capacity) slowed and provided less cooling water to the reactor. Steam, blocked from its normal exit path, built up,

    --
    You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  17. Yes. Have you studied nuclear physics? by Engineer-Poet · · Score: 4, Informative
    Separating plutonium from uranium is a reasonably easy chemical process.
    Separating the problematic (238, 240, 241) isotopes of plutonium from Pu-239 is not a chemical process. Not only is there about 1/3 of the mass difference between the isotopes as between U-235 and U-238, but you need to strip both the lighter and heavier isotopes from the desired one.

    Bomb makers get rid of this problem by very short irradiation of a depleted uranium element; if the Pu-239 is not allowed to build up it cannot be transmuted. On the other hand, building up fuel is the purpose of a power-producing breeder reactor.

    An excellent summary with a table of typical isotopic compositions for weapons-grade Pu and spent reactor fuel is here. It was the first hit I got with the search string "PWR fuel plutonium isotopes" in Google; what's your excuse?

  18. Re:Power? by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Informative

    Three mile Island accident: March 28, 1979
    led to no deaths or injuries to plant workers or members of the nearby community

    Chernobyl: April 25-26, 1986
    Thirty-one people died in the Chernobyl accident and its immediate aftermath, most in fighting the fires that ensued. There have been news reports of additional deaths subsequent to the 31, but details are not available. Delayed health effects could be extensive, but estimates vary.

    We learned our lesson after TMI, and Chernobyl happened seven years afterwards. Mostly due to bad reactor design and stupidity.

    This is like making statements about car safety and fuel efficiency for today based on a '57 chevy.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  19. Re:Yes, definitely. by jmischel · · Score: 3, Informative

    Egads, where'd my math go? Sometimes I want to delete and start over....

    At 17% efficiency, 2 trillion kWh becomes 340 billion kWh. 25% system loss brings that to 255 billion kWh. At 100 kWh per day per household, that'd be 2.5 billion households. Okay, so you could generate enough to power every house in the country about 2,500 times.

    I don't know the power requirements of industry. Is it 2,500 times that of personal requirements?

    Still, that'd be a hell of an expensive system: $750 trillion? ouch!

  20. Re:Yes, definitely. by Dyolf+Knip · · Score: 3, Informative

    I think you'll have to admit that an _awful_ lot of these are related to problems with bombs and fallout from testing. Of what's left, less than half are from the US. And most of the remainder are extremely limited in scope. Some of them are simply accidents that merely happened at a nuclear facility and had nothing to do with the nuclear material itself, like stuff involving heavy water. This is not to say that deaths listed here aren't tragic, but it would be good to perhaps compare it to a similar list from other power sources. More than a few people (96) died during the construction of the Hoover Dam, for instance. Two things came to mind from this list. One, Three Mile Island, named the _worst_ accident in the US to date, also listed no casualties and no detectable increase in radiological diseases in the surrounding populace; compare that to being downwind of a nice coal smokestack. Two, France had not one single docmunted case on here, and they get more of their power from nukes than anyone else. So it would probably behoove us to go see what they seem to be doing right.

    --
    Dyolf Knip
  21. Oil is more than energy by Mr_Blank · · Score: 3, Informative
    My post is already over 1000 posts into the the thread so I am not expecting answers or moderation, but maybe I'll get lucky. Luck favors the bold!

    My dad worked at an oil refinery. He told me stories about how the oil was refined and opened my eyes to how many uses besides gasoline for cars. He said that over 300 products were created from the crude. (Interestingly, he also told me that the refinery was profitable just from the sale of coke, the last product off the line.)

    So my question: How will we replace all the non-fuel uses for crude oil? Asphalt, fertilizers, and plastics are a pretty big part of modern life afterall...

    This link lists the products that come out of crude oil:
    What is in a barrel of oil?

    To some, a barrel of crude may look like a gooey liquid whose only redeeming virtue is to be eventually refined into gasoline.

    Researchers broke down a typical barrel of domestic crude oil into what may be produced. By the way, the average domestic crude oil has a gravity of 32 degrees and weighs 7.21 pounds per gallon.

    Here's what just one barrel of crude oil can produce:
    Enough liquefied gases (such as propane) to fill 12 small (14.1 ounce) cylinders for home, camping or workshop use.
    Enough gasoline to drive a medium-sized car (17 miles per gallon) over 280 miles.
    Asphalt to make about one gallon of tar for patching roofs or streets.
    Lubricants to make about a quart of motor oil.
    Enough distillate fuel to drive a large truck (five miles per gallon) for almost 40 miles. If jet fuel fraction is included, that same truck can run nearly 50 miles.
    Nearly 70 kilowatt hours of electricity at a power plant generated by residual fuel.
    About four pounds of charcoal briquettes.
    Wax for 170 birthday candles or 27 wax crayons.

    There are enough petrochemicals left in that same barrel to provide the base for one of the following:

    View Larger Image

    39 polyester shirts
    750 pocket combs
    540 toothbrushes
    65 plastic dustpans
    23 hula hoops
    65 plastic drinking cups
    195 one-cup measuring cups
    11 plastic telephone housings
    135 four-inch rubber balls

    The lighter materials in a barrel are used mainly for paint thinners and dry-cleaning solvents and they can make nearly a quart of one of these products. The miscellaneous fraction of what is left still contains enough by-products to be used in medicinal oils, still gas, road oil and plant condensates -- a real industrial horn of plenty.


    This space for rent.