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The Webmail Wars

latif writes "Much of the excitement around Gmail has centered around its innovative interface, but a pretty interface is hardly Gmail's biggest contribution. Gmail's real contribution to webmail is its innovative business model. The new business model is what's allowing Gmail to offer 1 GB storage quotas, and still have an expectation of making money. Of course, Microsoft and Yahoo have noticed this too, and one can reasonably expect them to move their webmail services to the new model. An interesting battle is shaping up between the big three webmail providers, and my article "The Webmail Wars" analyzes some possible scenarios and outcomes."

24 of 274 comments (clear)

  1. Battles by AlexTheBeast · · Score: 3, Interesting

    As I have previously mentioned on tech-recipes, I honestly don't see how there is a real war between these webmail services.

    Gmail kills them all in spam blocking and space...

    Plus, now... they have free pop as well.

    The privacy issue is the only thing that has been preventing my complete switch over.

    1. Re:Battles by arbi · · Score: 1, Interesting

      You might have missed the main points of the article. Among them, the article emphasized that MSN and Yahoo will now probably copy Google's features and business model.

      The question is how much of Google's GMail's features are patented, how the patents might hold up in court, and how easy is it to circumvent the patents.

    2. Re:Battles by Chess_the_cat · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Oh, and one other thing. Conversations are not a good way to organize e-mail. If you're looking for an e-mail you must know which conversation it was in. It's difficult if you have a few conversations with the same person. If you don't know which conversation it was in you must check each, expand it so you can see each e-mail and manually read through them. Sure the search feature might find it but 1. It only finds the conversation, not the e-mail so you'd still end up reading the entire thread and 2. What search terms would you use to find an e-mail like the following:

      Jim, Meet me at 6pm Tuesday.
      Later.

      When it's the time and date you want to find out.

      --
      Support the First Amendment. Read at -1
    3. Re:Battles by BetterThanCaesar · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I don't stick 3 or 4 different labels on documents and throw them all into the same drawer.

      That's like saying you don't use email because you wouldn't blockquote when answering real letters. Of course you don't stick labels to real-life files. Do you know why? Because your filing cabinet wouldn't sort them by these labels. The computer (i.e. Google), however, can and will.

      --
      "Stop failing the Turing test!" -- Dilbert
    4. Re:Battles by jafiwam · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Experts-exchange is a slimy outfit anyway.

      They repost usenet articles as being written as their "experts" without mentioning it's Usenet.

      Their users spam usenet with useless crap that is the modern version of the AOL'ers first visits there. (Where the [AOL] Me too![/AOL] thing came from.)

      I can imagine the mail admins at Yahoo.com got tired of them for other reasons.

      If I had my way, EE would get chased off the net with extreme predjudice. You should stop using them rather than stop using Yahoo.

    5. Re:Battles by douthat · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The grand-parent wasn't talking about file-system links like the ones that have existed for decades, he's talking about copy-on-write.

      Example:
      If I were to run the following commands on a *nix system today, here's what would happen:

      cp ~/foo.txt ~/bar.txt
      the above line would copy the contents of file to another area on the hard disk and insert a record into the file tables. If this is a 10GB file, then your hard drive just lost 10GB of free space.

      What the grand-parent was suggesting was, instead of copying the contents of the file at the time the command ran, copy the contents only when the new (bar.txt) is modified.

      Example:
      cp ~/foo.txt ~/bar.txt
      The above command would increase the resource count of the contents of foo.txt and NOT copy the contents to bar.txt. It would also set some "copy-on-write" bit to on for bar.txt

      echo "some more text " >> ~/bar.txt
      only at this at this point would the contents of foo.txt be copied to bar.txt

      Now, lets pretend we didn't run the above echo command.
      echo "some more text" >> ~/foo.txt
      since foo.txt holds the same content as bar.txt, the contents will now be copied to keep the contents of the two files distinct.

      The net effect of all of this is that the system doesn't have to do I/O expensive operations when they're not necessary, and keeps disk utilization low.

      If I were to copy a 10GB file 100 times over my hard drive, the file system would still note the same amount of free space. The free space amount would only be updated whenever one of the 100 copies is updated.

      So if I wanted to "backup" a huge directory so I can make some changes without the risk of breaking the original, the copy operation happens instantaneously, and the "real" copy operation only has to occur when one of the files is modified.

      I realize I have a tendency to ramble, so here is the wikipedia article on the subject.

      --
      She loves me: 09F911029D74E35BD84156C5635688C0 She loves me not: 09F911029D74E35BD84156C5635688BF ...
  2. Hotmail was good... by dosius · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Back in the days when HoTMaiL was the only webmail, it was good... Then MS bought them out and they turned to shit.

    My webhost gives me e-mail addresses. I just use them. I do have a gmail addy and it's nice. XD;

    Moll.

    --
    What you hear in the ear, preach from the rooftop Matthew 10.27b
  3. Just found out one reason gmail is better by antifoidulus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    gmail supporst non-western characters I just found out. Yahoo does not(despite the fact that yahoo.co.jp for example does). Something to think about in an increasingly interconnected world.

  4. Its also the only service that can logically work by auzy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    There are many other factors too..

    Due to the nature of hotmail and yahoo, and the lack of searching, even deleting 50 emails is difficult. Even worse, the spam detection on hotmail is very unreliable (about 50-75% accurate), meaning its very difficult to manage emails.

    The 200megs storage limit on hotmail can hold about 4000 emails, and since its difficult to handle even 50, I'd hate to leave my inbox unattended for a week.

    Overall, the reason gmail is succeeding isn't just the business plan, but the features make it more usable then hotmail or yahoo. In my opinion though, yahoo is still doing a much better job then hotmail, with its features.

    Having a hotmail account has no real benefits (it has the smaller space, you can get a passport without a hotmail account, they tend to get very spammy, and theres no "hotmail groups" which needs a hotmail account to sign up) and because of all the email addresses, its very hard to end up with a remotely decent email on it. Gmail has started to suffer the same problem, but I severely doubt it will ever suffer it as bad as hotmail or yahoo (yahoo for instance has different domains such as auzy@yahoo.com will accept the same emails as auzy@yahoo.co.uk, but someone might not realise it and sign up for both with different ID's, halving the total domains).

    Its not just about advertising, its about the usage. Everyone has a hotmail account they leave around for junk.. Which means that they are just gathering emails at the moment costing Microsoft in Bandwidth costs.

  5. Yahoo! paid to watch people use e-mail... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    From Oddpost's Oddblog back in July:

    "May we please pay you $75 for the simple privelege of watching you use Oddpost for about an hour and a half? Yahoo! is conducting an Oddpost usability study at their headquarters in Sunnyvale, CA."

    Watch for Yahoo! mail changes coming soon...

  6. I love how everything is a "business model"... by __aavljf5849 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So, Google is using their software to match search keywords to ads on email to, and suddenly that's a "business model"? No of course not, it's a way to get more klick-throughs. It is an *improvement*. Nobody claimes a new "business model" because they have built a better mousetrap.

    A business model is rather from where you get revenues, or how you are organised. I get my money from consulting, and the software I'm building is free. Microsoft charges for their software. THAT is different business models.

  7. Re:Webmail vs "regular" mail by WarwickRyan · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Why do I use webmail:

    a) I can access it anywhere.
    b) It's free.
    c) It doesn't change when I change ISP.
    d) It's backed-up properly by a commercial vendor, which is better than I can offer myself.
    e) Spam filtering is generally great.
    f) POP3 boxes are usually 30mb, which will fill in a week. Gmail is 1gig, that'll fill in a year.

    Personally, I use addresses at my own domain, and just foward the whole lot to gmail. Works a treat, and if gmail fails I'll just forward to my POP3 box again..

  8. Using gmail.. Don't like it by freelunch · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I remain disappointed with gmail.

    It still won't open messages in a new window. Is it so unnatural to want to view the message index in one window and open the messages in new windows while retaining my view of the index? I mean, some of us can chew gum and walk at the same time.

    On Yahoo, I can do this simply by middle clicking links. Not on gmail. Javascript and frames hell prevent it. As if that makes it "okay".

    I still can't find an option to get a traditional chronological view of my inbox. Gmail only seems to provide their threaded view. Many times, that view is not optimal.

    No folders. They do not support folders. Sure, they support filters. But I can't use a filter to put mail from a mailing list into a folder. This is good how? What alternative to folders are they providing?

    No option to show full headers by default.

    5% of the time, gmail says it is unavail when I try and login. A retry gets me in.

    It is great as an inbox for registering accounts, etc. But aside for the benefit of the 1GB causing everyone else to raise their quotas, it ain't that great.

    1. Re:Using gmail.. Don't like it by anakin357 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      To get "folder-like" behavior, and this is kinda a hack, label the email conversation, then archive the email. Then click the link on the left and there you go, folders... kinda.

      --
      http://www.fsckin.com/
  9. Yahoo wins by bigtallmofo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Whenever I sign up a non-technical user for a web mail account (so I don't have re-setup Outlook and hear how they lost all their email everytime their hard drive crashes), I always sign them up for a Yahoo account. Hotmail just plain sucks because they open links in email in a frame. Come on now - they've had that "feature" in there for years. When are they going to get rid of it? I thought when MS modified IE so that it didn't accept cookies in a frame they would HAVE to do it but apparently they didn't agree with me. As a result, clicking on links contained within a Hotmail message is useless.

    On the other hand, GMail is really nice. Part of the UI though I'm still up in the air as to whether it's more difficult for me to use because I'm not used to it or because it's just plain not better. For instance, I sent an email to approximately 40 people from my Gmail account and received a single response from just about all of them. Well all of those responses are lumped into a single unit called a conversation that I find very difficult to navigate/cleanup/etc. I know that's the point - that I'm never supposed to delete anything, but I think actually hitting that "ideal" might be counterproductive. So, I stick with Yahoo - especially since they added the ability to login using SSL. Can you believe for years you had to login with your password in plaintext!! And even now the "Standard" login is plaintext - you have to click on "Secure" mode to make sure nobody gets your login and password.

    --
    I'm a big tall mofo.
  10. plug for fastmail.fm by Charles+Dodgeson · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Fastmail is by far the best webmail/IMAP mail service I have ever seen. They really understand IMAP and what works for webmail.

    I have no affiliation other than being a happy customer.

    --
    Prime numbers are exactly what Alan Greenspan says they are -S. Minsky
  11. GMX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    GMX anybody? 1000 MB free space for e-mail, POP3 access and WebDav (Windows: Web Folder) access to use that gigabyte to store files you want to access everywhere?

  12. Re:Not likely by GeorgeH · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "The primary reason google 'scanning my email' doesnt concern me is that google has a reputation for being honest."

    That reputation may not be well earned, somoene reported that his Gmail account was cancelled because he had warez in it. While copyright infringement is illegal, I don't want any of my service providers scanning stuff for illegal activity without a good reason.

    --
    Why can't I moderate something "Wrong" or at least "Grossly Misinformed"?
  13. what good is gmail ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    when its in perpetual beta, and 'normal humans' can't get an account?

    how long has the beta been already? long enuf for M$ an Yoohoo to actually provide services, right?

  14. Re:The entire 1 gigabyte size issue.... by acidblood · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That has to be one of the best ideas I've read on Slashdot in a long time. Congratulations.

    By the way, indexing email attachments is very simple, just do it like a P2P network would: compute a hash on the attachment, store it along with the attachment's size and check for matches.

    Someone might complain about the possibility of collisions under this scheme. Now if a secure hash function were used (not MD5 as it has been broken) then the system would be, for all practical purposes, shielded from collisions: even a smallish 128-bit hash would require approx. 2^64 different attachments to be present in the system, before the probability of finding a collision by the birthday paradox would be non-negligible.

    This is an unthinkable amount of messages -- even if all 6 billion people on earth were to send 10 messages a day, each with different attachments, it would take almost a million years before Google would need to worry about collisions. But of course they could check the size of attachments before declaring a match, making it even harder to find collisions (as if it wasn't hard enough). The statistical distribution of message attachment sizes is hard to predict, but it would easily add another few orders of magnitude to the amount of messages required to produce a collision.

    --

    Join the NFSNET. Our prime goal is making little numbers out of big ones. http://www.nfsnet.org/

  15. It doesn't matter by Walkiry · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was one of the "lucky" ones that had a 6 Mb Yahoo mail account (it was later trimmed down to... 4 Mb?) since I've had it for like 6 years.

    6 years. But then Goggle comes and in a matter of days my account is upgraded to 100 Mb. They couldn't really afford to do that for the last 6 years, yet as soon as a competitor shows up they start offering upgrades.

    Well, too bad, I'm going to Gmail and their targeted ads and I feel no remorse leaving behind Yahoo and their sucktastic advertising.

    --
    ---- Take the Space Quiz!
  16. Great... by ChairmanMeow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So now not only will my Hotmail account get lots of spam, I'll also get to see banner ads proclaiming the virtues of V|4gr4...

    --
  17. Re:The entire 1 gigabyte size issue.... by hacker · · Score: 3, Interesting
    "Since google is already good at indexing web pages and caching stuff, if they applied the same sort of index/cache issue to emails and your gmail account was just really a list of references to the stashed messages, I bet they could reduce the space even further."

    In fact, this is almost precisely how they do it. They take each incoming message, hash it, and store that hash and original message on their shards in their data management system, with a very fast lookup. Every time a new message is received or delivered, and matches an existing hash, the pointer to the original message is put into the user's mailbox. If a user deletes the message, the pointer to that message is removed from that user's mailbox.

    This means if 30 people subscribe to the Linux Kernel Mailing List (notorious for being incredibly high-traffic), and 1,000 messages are received in a day.. only 1,000 messages are stored, not 30,000. This not-only saves space, but it saves mailbox lookup time and increases speed of the system overall.

    Now, apply this to the spam problem. Spam email to one person (such as shopping advertisements for Sears) may not be spam to another person ("Hey, I need a new lawnmower at Sears!"). So those who mark it as spam, get the spam heuristic scoring weighted higher and applied to their incoming message hashes, and those who do not mark those same messages as spam, get a lower weighting.

    The system is actually pretty brilliant.

    Now, in response to the other person who claims that their 3MiB email sent to their sister and friends created copies of the message in their "Sent" folder, that makes perfect sense, because the message is different if you send it on different days or with different contents ("Hey Sally, check out these pictures!" "Here's some pictures for you, Bob."). They should be treated differently in the sending user's mailbox. But to the recipient, the attachment itself, is not getting duplicated.

    The precise reason Google can offer 1GiB mailboxes for every user, is because that 1GiB is "over-provisioned" across thousands of other users, much like how an ISP oversells their own bandwidth, knowing that all their customers won't saturate the entire pipe 24x7.

  18. It isn't the storage! by unconfused1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Someone else must have mentioned this also, but having not seen it in the first couple pages of replies...I'll say it again.

    It ISN'T the storage amount that makes Gmail great. It is the method that Gmail does web-mail in the first place.

    Gmail takes the hit off the server and puts most of the process of rendering pages on the browser itself. Their use of Javascript is brilliant. Something they likely learned from Mozilla.

    Who cares if Hotmail adds 98MB more storage...their rendering time will still suck. Same with Yahoo and the others.