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Green Energy Almost Cost-Competitive with Fossil Fuels

js7a writes "As reported in the Houston Chronicle, the sharply rising cost of natural gas and other fossil fuels has caused the cost of renewable energy to finally reach the price of nonrenewables. However, wind still has some catching up to do: 'a 10 percent wind- and 90 percent water-generated mix is about $9 per month less expensive than the 100 percent wind plan.' As more wind generation and grid transmission capacity is built, wind will eventually become more competitive than hydroelectric, but hydro and other sources will be required to balance grid demand in calm areas. Slashdot has been following this trend."

15 of 843 comments (clear)

  1. Which means by PhysicsGenius · · Score: 5, Insightful
    that green is actually cheaper. Why?

    1) Fossil fuels have huge investment, economies of scale and infrastructure already, which bring prices down. As sustainable energy gets more popular, it will get even cheaper.

    2) Nobody ever factors in the cost of cleanup (at best) or total extinction (at worst) into the cost of fossil fuels. If you add the cost of removing the byproducts and side-effects to each column, sustainable energy pulls way ahead.

    Not that I expect the current administration to do anything about it.

    1. Re:Which means by EnronHaliburton2004 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Fossil fuels have huge investment, economies of scale and infrastructure already, which bring prices down.

      Not to mention the expense of war and other actions taken in the oil-producing nations. When you factor in the wars, support of favorable governments, destablizing unfavorable governments, fighting insurgants, or pissing off people enough so they run to the waiting arms of Osama bin Laden; oil becomes very, very expensive.

      If the oil magically disappeared from the Middle East, the US and western military would not be there.

    2. Re:Which means by jafac · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Never mind how much it costs to go to war to secure oil supplies. (never mind speculation about Iraq. I won't go there. But for god's sake, look at WWII. Japan attacked the US because the US embargoed Japan's oil supply when Japan invaded China).

      Wars are pretty expensive things, even when you don't factor in things like suspension of civil liberties, or loss of life. But these costs aren't factored in at the pump. Free Market my Fucking Ass.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  2. Here it comes by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Cue an endless cycle of /. comments to the effect that wind energy is not as environmentally friendly as you think, and it costs more than you hope, and every other alternative to oil is problematic, and blah, blah, blah.

    I'm glad to see research continuing into alternatives. Just because something isn't 100% ready yet is no reason not to pursue it. Just think what weaning the U.S. off oil-dependence (yes, long term thinking here, try not to let your hat fly off your head) would do for its world politics. Whoops. Never mind. This is a message from the oil companies reminding you not to think that way. We now return you to your reality-based TV program.

  3. Re:Economist/scientific predictions become truth! by flossie · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I've lost count of how many greenies I've driven insane by telling them that letting people use all the oil they can get their hands on is a good thing, in that it will drive people to use alternatives sooner due to supply/demand curves.

    That might be a good theory if the aim was to start using renewable energy as quickly as possible. However, that is not the main objective. Environmentalists want to transfer to green energy before we pump too much more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Using all of the oil reserves over many millenia may be sustainable. Releasing all of that carbon in one quick burst most certainly is not. Dynamic systems usually respond better to gradual sustained inputs than to large magnitude step changes. The climate is no exception.

  4. damage by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That's price, not cost. The cost of petro fuels includes bills for things like Iraq wars, hurricanes/floods/droughts, oil spills... We'll be paying that off long after the oil's gone.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  5. Re:Not exactly "green" yet by RealProgrammer · · Score: 3, Insightful
    • ... impact windmills have upon migratory bird populations can be devastating. ... unsightly...

    Proving once and for all that nothing is perfect. Man has been altering ecosystems ever since we noticed we could eat the moving things, too.

    If windmills kill birds in California so people can live longer in Arizona, I don't see the difficulty. The danger to birds is nothing like the danger to salmon from damming spawning streams, or even to miners from breathing coal dust.

    I think you need to adjust your perspective a bit. People are more important than birds. Mechanical hazards like a big moving fan blade are much more environmentally friendly than belching smokestacks, or even than whitewater rapids turned into reservoirs.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
  6. Not really... by raygundan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Have you ever seen a commercial windfarm? The blades are enormous, slow, and waaaay above the ground. The "base of the pole" is relatively small. You could build houses among them without difficulty-- and at least in the midwest, they are typically built in farmland that still functions as farmland. The single windfarm I've seen in california was built in what was clearly middle-of-nowhere desert. The only other thing I saw near it was a parking lot/graveyard for unused commercial airplanes.

    Generally, windmills are a way to make the land do something extra, rather than less than it is capable of.

    Of course, there's always the offshore farms, too-- and that's even better. The plans for the farm off the coast of new york puts them far enough out you can't see them from land. They're gigantic, so complaints about "hazards to navigation" fall a little flat-- if the boat's captain can't avoid a ginormous windmill, how does he expect to navigate around invisible sandbars and shallow areas?

    All that said, I'd love to see working fusion, too, and have nothing against well-run fission plants-- but why not put windmills on farmland or desert? Or even housing editions in the suburbs? The space is there, and adding windmills to the average middle-of-nowhere midwestern farm does very little to its farming output.

  7. why so extreme on both sides? by raygundan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why do "nuke nuts" get so into nuclear power that they fail to see how a mixed power system is more practical?

    I love nuclear power. But I don't see why nuke plants should keep us from putting solar shingles on our rooftops-- so what if they only make 50% of the power you need, and only during the day? It's just that much less load on the nuke plants. At the very least, it would soften the peak load from my air conditioner in the summer daytime.

    And why not stick a few windmills in the middle of farmland? Indiana farmland is like a giant, flat, patchwork quilt. It's not the sort of grand scenery you'd mind a windmill in the middle of, and you can farm around the poles just fine.

    Why can't anybody take a moderate, practical look at things and realize that both solutions *together* are our most likely bet to get out of the coal and oil dependency?

    Nobody's going to survive on windmills alone just yet. But why not use them where it's practical?

  8. Re:Not exactly "green" yet by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I'm not saying wind power isn't advantageous; it is renewable. But it's unsightly, can be costly (suitable areas for wind farms are often near the coast, where land is expensive), and is noisy.

    Please rate the sightliness and sound volume of the following energy-related facilities:
    (a) Strip Mine
    (b) Oil Spill
    (c) Nuclear Waste Disposal facility
    (d) coal-fired power plant
    (e) Hydropower reservoir
  9. "Cost Competitive" is a misnomer by skintigh2 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Wind energy is far cheaper that oil. Look at it this way:

    The cost of wind energy:
    Buy land in windy place
    Build windfarm.

    The cost of oil:
    Forge alliance with dictators, oppressors, torturers and terrorists.
    Provide covert funding and weapons to people who will later bite you in the ass, for example: Osama bin Laden, Sadam Hussen, the shah of Iran, the Taliban, etc. etc.
    Station tens of thousands of troups in 3rd world countries full of extremists who get off on killing Americans... during PEACETIME.
    During war station hundreds of thousands of troops in said countries.
    Fight on average 1 major war per decade at the costs of hundreds of billions of dollars to protect oil producing hellspawn from non-oil-producing hellspawn.

    1. Re:"Cost Competitive" is a misnomer by Jeremi · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Dude, they have always hated us, get over it.


      It would be convenient if that were true, but for a long time they didn't think about us ("us" meaning the USA in this case) at all, because we weren't involved in their regional politics. And even if they had hated us, they had no resources to do anything about it, because they weren't sitting on top of a mountain of money that we gave them in return for supplying us with our nation's drug of choice.


      Before complaining about the liberals, you should consider how many of your own positions are actually based on facts, and how many are just ignorant post-hoc rationalizations of the status quo.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  10. Subsidized by TheWickedKingJeremy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I agree - we must keep in mind that the True Cost (tm) of fossil fuels is much larger than most people think. This is because many of the drawbacks of fossil fuels are obfuscated, such as pollution and reliance on foreign and sometimes hostile nations. Also, much of the true cost of using oil is subsidized by the military. After all, we don't have a lot of oil here in the US, so going after world oil supplies has been a cornerstone of our foreign policy for quite some time. While it is true that, pound for pound, oil is the easiest way to harness energy given current technologies, the equation begins to shift when you factor in what we must do to secure that oil. In some ways, shouldn't the resources being spent fighting in Iraq be tacked-on to the "cost of using oil"? Unfortunately, that is a more abstract concept, and hence, people often do not consider such things... its not quite so easy to measure how much one of our soldier's lives is worth in dollars and cents.

    Fossil fuels are *far* more expensive than the market price would indicate.

    --

    my religion lies somewhere between buddhism and super monkey ball - pamphlet?
  11. Re:How about solar farms in the south west by dustinbarbour · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why waste the money placing the solar arrays on empty land? The metropolitan areas in the southwest have plenty of real estate for you to use. It's all sitting on top of homes and other buildings covered in terracota tiles! Seriously.. Why haven't the power companies (with the help of state gov't?) in the area implement a program to get solar panels on rooftops? Cities such as Phoenix, Las Vegas and San Diego and such are missing out on opportunity here. They'd be doubly praised by the environuts: 1) for using solar energy and 2) not destroying any habitat (except maybe pigeons, but who cares about them?). I've had this idea in my head for years, but I never see anything happen in this area.

  12. Amnesia by Red+Rocket · · Score: 5, Insightful


    Dude, they have always hated us, get over it

    Maybe you just don't study history, but have you ever heard of the Crusades? Follow that by the betrayal following WWI where France and England carved up the middle east from the old Ottoman Empire rather than putting them in charge of their own land. Then follow that up with the US forcing dictatatorial rule on them from the Shah of Iran (you know we overthrew a democracy to put him in charge, right?), the Saudi royal family, massive support to Saddam from Reagan, etc., etc., etc.
    It make you wonder why they hate us doesn't it?
    Or maybe history just isn't patriotic enough for you.

    --
    - Hail to our fearless misleader! Fool speed ahead!