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Can-Spam Increased Spam

andy1307 writes "According to New York Times, spam has actually gone up [Free registration required. You gave real info, right?] since the CAN-SPAM act went into effect. There is a graphic in the article that illustrates this increase. Before the CAN-SPAM act was passed, spam was about 60% of all e-mail traffic. Now it's 80%. In a we-told-you-so quote, Steve Linford, the founder of the Spamhaus Project, says CAN-SPAM legalized spam by giving bulk advertisers permission to send junk e-mail as long as they followed certain rules. Slashdot covered this story last year. For companies that offer offshore "bulk advertising" servers, business is booming. A survey from Stanford University estimates the global cost of spam in terms of lost productivity to be at 50 billion $ and 17 billion $ in the US alone. CAN-SPAM does give prosecutors some leverage to go after the merchants - but it must be proved that they knew, or should have known, that their wares were being fed into the illegal spam chain. " The BBC has a related story talking about rates of spam, viruses, and scam mail.

31 of 362 comments (clear)

  1. Correlation != Causality by winkydink · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A fact that seems lost on most journalists these days.

    --

    "I'd rather be a lightning rod than a seismometer." -Ken Kesey

    1. Re:Correlation != Causality by Trepalium · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not just journalists, either. Anyone with an agenda loves to forget these things, too. If you look at their handy graph, it looks like fairly linear growth both before and after CAN-SPAM, so blaming the law may be a little out of order.

      --
      I used up all my sick days, so I'm calling in dead.
    2. Re:Correlation != Causality by Ironsides · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When "journalists" begin considering one democratic election to be sufficient justification for not posing appropriate questions, one realizes that most everything is lost on "journalists" these days.

      (For the USA) As I understand it, this started in the mid 80's during the Regan Administration. (Not because of Regan) When Network News started to consider themselves more as Entertainment rather than Information.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    3. Re:Correlation != Causality by badasscat · · Score: 5, Insightful

      A fact that seems lost on most journalists these days.

      And I see that R'ing TFA is still lost on most Slashdotters these days...

      This is not an article about how CAN-SPAM has increased spam. It is an article about how spam has increased despite CAN-SPAM. That is a very different thing. Several viewpoints are given from all sides involved on why it's happening, but at no time does the article itself suggest CAN-SPAM is the cause - only that it has not been an effective deterrent.

      I think that's something we can all agree on.

    4. Re:Correlation != Causality by TheRaven64 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It depends what you are blaming on the CAN-SPAM act. If you are blaming it for increasing spam, then you are abusing statistics. If you are blaming it for failing to live up to its promise to reduce spam you are entirely justified - not only did it fail to reduce spam, it failed to reduce the rate of increase of spam.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    5. Re:Correlation != Causality by halivar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And I see that R'ing TFA is still lost on most Slashdotters these days...

      Including whoever named this /. article.

  2. Correlation != Causation by jkujawa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's likely that spam would have increased anyway.

    1. Re:Correlation != Causation by pclminion · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It's likely that spam would have increased anyway.

      Exactly. Look at the graph. What exactly do they think that graph shows? To me it looks like a perfect trendline.

    2. Re:Correlation != Causation by suso · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, what this graph shows is the failure of the CAN-SPAM act to do anything.

  3. Could this have nothing to do with Can-Spam? by tabkey12 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We don't want to know if the relative amount of SPAM has increased - that is no surprise given that it is supposedly a good (if unethical) business model. How about whether the rate of increase has changed - that would be the only analysis that would show CAN-SPAM legitimised some spam messages.

  4. Slashdot, Jxyama. Jxyama, Slashdot. by LordPixie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Welcome to Slashdot. Where correlation does not mean causality for things like piracy, but does for things like legislation inducing spam. The trick is to remember that the evidence supports your position, and then figure out why.


    --LordPixie

  5. Oh well... by garcia · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A growing number of so-called bulletproof Web host services like Mr. Gillespie's offer spam-friendly merchants access to stable offshore computer servers - most of them in China - where they can park their Web sites, with the promise that they will not be shut down because of spam complaints.

    And this is exactly what we have been saying all along. No matter what laws are passed, no matter what we do to combat spam, the spammers will always find another way to make a buck.

    One of the spammers quoted in the article claimed that he didn't care about the lawsuits... He was making too much money to stop.

    If you're making too much money and they somehow make a law that actually works stick do you think that they are just going to go away? Yeah, I do, to other countries where those laws won't mean anything...

    Keep those firewalls banning entire countries (.kr and .br) and keep banning /16's and /8's until it is gone. The spammers are here to stay.

  6. Stats appear at least vaguely correct.. by James_G · · Score: 3, Insightful
    For what it's worth, the graph of spams seems to mirror quite nicely the spam stats I've been tracking for a couple of years.

    I have to wonder if you can really say that CAN-SPAM made it get worse. To me it looks like there was a brief drop off, and then it resumed the normal climb. Do we seriously believe that a significant amount of spam wasn't sent before CAN-SPAM, because the originators were worried about it being illegal? Seriously?

  7. Coincidental Correlation by kajoob · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc

    Definition:

    The name in Latin means "after this therefore because of this".
    This describes the fallacy. An author commits the fallacy when
    it is assumed that because one thing follows another that the
    one thing was caused by the other.

    Examples:

    (i) Immigration to Alberta from Ontario increased. Soon
    after, the welfare rolls increased. Therefore, the increased
    immigration caused the increased welfare rolls.

    (ii) I took EZ-No-Cold, and two days later, my cold
    disappeared.

    Proof:

    Show that the correlation is coincidental by showing that: (i)
    the effect would have occurred even if the cause did not
    occur, or (ii) that the effect was caused by something other
    than the suggested cause.

    References

    (Cedarblom and Paulsen: 237, Copi and Cohen: 101)

    --
    Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur
  8. Not quite... by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The figure shows that SPAM increasing rate was more or less the same before and after the CAN-SPAM law.

    Ok, in plain text: It didn't accelerate SPAM. It just didn't do anything to stop it.

  9. The problem wtih trying to outlaw spam by KiltedKnight · · Score: 3, Insightful
    When you try to outlaw it in the US, someone will move it to Russia, China, or some other country that would just love to get the money from someone who wants to buy bandwidth, server space, computing power, etc.

    The only way we'll actually see a reduction in spam is to put true measures in the MTAs such that there is absolutely no way to mask the sender's address or host, and completely disallow any form of relaying. Then, you have to start setting up the MTAs to not accept any mail delivered by older versions.

    Yes, I realize the impact this would have on the internet and e-mail delivery... but if you want to eliminate it, or at least be able to truly identify the sender, this is about the only way to actually do it.

    --
    OCO is Loco
  10. Re:what's to attribute specifically to CAN-SPAM? by spellraiser · · Score: 2, Insightful
    No, the article doesn't really answer these questions. It only has anectodes and theorising, such as this:

    "Can Spam legalized spamming itself," said Steve Linford, the founder of the Spamhaus Project, a London organization that is one of the leading groups intent on eliminating junk e-mail. And in making spam legal, he said, the new rules also invited flouting by those intent on being outlaws.

    Not everyone agrees that the Can Spam law is to blame, and lawsuits invoking the new legislation - along with other suits using state laws - have been mounted in the name of combating the problem. Besides Microsoft, other large Internet companies like AOL and Yahoo have used the federal law as the basis for suits.

    It's hard to know what to believe, really. Personally, I tend to lean towards the notion that spam is simply too large a problem, and the money involved is so great, that combating it with laws alone is simply futile.

    --
    I hear there's rumors on the Slashdots
  11. Correlation, not causation by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seriously, spam would have increased without CAN-SPAM. There's no way to establish that CAN-SPAM actually contributed to spam increasing. The increase in spam since the inception of CAN-SPAM only shows that CAN-SPAM isn't succeeding in reducing spam, not that it's causing an increase in spam. /.'s editors should at least TRY to write a decent headline, instead of the usual distored, sensationalist bullshit.

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  12. Re:Here's the problem by Xzzy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They're not making money by making sales. They're making money by being paid to advertise (spam).

    Response rate for junk-mail in the real world is something like 2%, maybe less. Yet advertisers throw piles of money into doing it, because the income that 2% brings them is worth it. To them.

    Spam is even easier.. there's no material cost involved to print up paper. Assuming spammers charge normal advertising rates, their profits are up a considerable amount.

  13. Re:Here's the problem by gunnk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There is something deeply ironic about a post stating incredulity that people would buy anything from spam... ... in a post with a sig to a "offerprizes.com" -- "free" iPod stuff.

    --
    Life is short: void the warranty.
  14. Re:Duh... by soft_guy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We have to deal with this on an infrequent basis, where people actually do sign up for things, and then whine and snivel when mail comes.

    Then stop creating webforms that automatically check the box saying that people want your spam.

    --
    Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  15. Re:Duh... by Atzanteol · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you believe that, then I have a scary statistic for you. Since that legislation passed more people have died of gunshots in the US! And my lucky red shirt prevents bear attacks with a 100% success rate!

    Corrolation != Cause & effect

    --
    "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge"

    - Charles Darwin
  16. Re:Offering opt out doesn't help by enosys · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Some spammers that offer an opt-out option have a huge number of mailing lists. Sure, you can opt out of one mailing list but that's not going to help much. You'll still be on all the other lists. Yes, you could keep opting out every time you get spam but you'll end up spending a lot of time on that and the spammer can always create new lists. In fact it seems that they every list typically gets used once so you're not accomplishing much.

  17. Re:Duh... by Pig+Hogger · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Well there's that wonderously horrible grey area between unsolicited and solicited spam.
    You seem to misse a point of semantics here.

    Spam is **** NEVER **** sollicited.

  18. resources are out there... by EmagGeek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I used to get easily 50 or more spams every day at one of my accounts... I implemented spamlist.org and now it's more like 5 or 10. Spamassassin on top of that cuts it to 1 to 5.

    They say that spam accounts for so much lost productivity, but they fail to mention that spam has spawned a whole new race of products and services that keep people employed. The Anti-Spam industry is thriving and contributing to world economic growth. As with everything, spam may be a nuisance, but it does have its benefits. As usual, regular users are caught in the crossfire.

    1. Re:resources are out there... by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2, Insightful
      They say that spam accounts for so much lost productivity, but they fail to mention that spam has spawned a whole new race of products and services that keep people employed.

      That's the broken window fallacy.

      It probably hasn't pushed up overall employment, at best it has employed software engineers instead of other forms of employment, and the end users have lost out with what else they could have bought with that money.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
  19. Cause and Effect by LO0G · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm not sure that there's necessarily any correlation between can-spam and spam levels.

    Certainly the spam I'm receiving isn't conforming to can-spam, which would be expected if there was a correlation.

    Most of what I see is either fake viagra, hosting services, free rolexes, or Nigerians that just want me to take their money. None of which complies with can-spam.

    Just because spam has increased in the period since can-spam was passed doesn't mean that can-spam's responsible for it.

  20. Mod parent up! by khasim · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Damn straight.

    Not only was this law SUPPOSED to reduce spam (by the charts, it hasn't) ...

    But it was also supposed to make it easier to prosecute spammers who failed to follow it ...

    AND it REPLACED state laws that were far stricter in their definitions and punishments.

    It's a damn sight more difficult to get a FEDERAL case filed than it is to get one in your STATE courts.

    We need to get rid of that stupid law and let the state courts handle it (they need the money from the judgements, anyway).

  21. Re:Duh... by mastropiero · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "here's that wonderously horrible grey area between unsolicited and solicited spam"

    Not really. Spam is, by definition, unsolicited. The fact that somebody has your email address doesn't give them the right to flood you inbox, and bandwidth. You have to give them permission to do so.

  22. Re:Duh... by LocoMan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The question is how are you sure you didn't give them permission (playing devil's advocate here).... just click once on a form with a checked checkbox that says "I allow whoever.com to give my email to business partners and for them to email me here" and you can ever say again for sure you didn't give them permission to mail you... the hard thing there is to define what does "giving permission" mean.

  23. According to who??????? by theVP · · Score: 2, Insightful
    According to New York Times
    'nuff said. I can't RTFA because I'm not a member of the NYtimes, but I would much rather read an article from a NEWS source or a research paper. NYTimes is nothing more than analysis these days. Calling upon them for a source is like using Slashdot for a reference manual.
    --
    "No one is more miserable than the person who wills everything and can do nothing." -Emperor Claudius 10 BC - AD 54