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Asteroid To Be Naked-Eye Visible In 2029

An anonymous reader writes "SPACE.com is reporting that asteroid 2004 MN4 will fly so close to Earth in 2029 that it'll be visible to the naked eye. Other than barely-visible Vesta, this is a first. And 2004 MN4 will be about magnitude 3.3 -- like a dim but easily visible star. A moving star in this case. You might remember 2004 MN4 is the one that sparked worry, in December, that it would hit Earth. No worries, NASA says, just a once-in-a-millennium sky show."

23 of 240 comments (clear)

  1. Now? by solowCX · · Score: 5, Funny

    Remind me in 24 years, my memory isn't that great.

    1. Re:Now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Naaw, no need. /editors will dupe this story about 15,000,000 times between now and then.

    2. Re:Now? by legirons · · Score: 3, Funny

      Visible to the naked eye... but still a 2% chance of it being rather too visible?

  2. I Always Wonder... by md10md · · Score: 3, Insightful

    how they can predict that closely 24 years in advance. There's got to be some margin of error.

    1. Re:I Always Wonder... by pjt33 · · Score: 4, Informative

      They've been tracking it for a while, and NASA has some pretty good quadrature software for numerical solutions to the N-body problem. I don't see any particularly precise figures in the summary anyway, and I'm not going to read the article, am I?

    2. Re:I Always Wonder... by CanSpice · · Score: 4, Informative

      Go look at this JPL press release. See the white line in the closeup view? That's the error on the position. If that white line intersected Earth, then there would be some probability that this asteroid would strike us.

      They can predict these things through hundreds of observations from observers around the world. Through mathematical modelling they can calculate what the orbit is going to be. As more observations come in and as the forecast time comes closer the errors go down.

  3. Nuke it by mboverload · · Score: 3, Funny
    We should nuke it anyway, just to be sure.

    Also a good test for our naquadria-enhanced nuclear warheads =)

    1. Re:Nuke it by pv2b · · Score: 3, Funny

      Bad idea.

      The asteroid will turn out to be rich in Nadquada and would cause a much bigger "boom" than expected.

      Although you could always just extend the hyperspace field of the Goa'uld cargo ship... just for a few seconds...

  4. Plan now by tqft · · Score: 4, Interesting

    what do we want to land on it?

    Large stable platform.

    Within Earth orbit (mostly).

    A (radio?) telescope?

    --
    The Singularity is closer than you think
    Quant
  5. Sweet by ckemp.org · · Score: 5, Funny

    My ride outta here, man. It's comin'.

  6. 24 years? pshhhh.... by mboverload · · Score: 3, Funny

    What about Skynet? Are the evil robots just going to put their plan on hold so we can watch the asteriod? I don't know about you, but I would be much more concerned about the polished-chrome evil robots with freakin' lasers, if you know what I mean.

    1. Re:24 years? pshhhh.... by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Don't push your luck. Look at today's article in Technology Review: "The Ascent of the Robotic Attack Jet" O.o

  7. Margin of error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Sure

    +/- 1 Apocalypse

  8. Excellent Chance to Test Anti-Asteroid Technology by reporter · · Score: 4, Interesting
    This new asteroid actually provides an excellent opportunity to test some of our anti-asteroid proposals. They are intended to prevent an asteroid from actually colliding with earth. This new asteroid will not collide with earth but would provide an opportunity to test anti-asteroid technologies.

    Two ideas to test in 2029 are (1) dumping a bunch of white paint on the asteroid from a passing nuclear-powered interplanetary missile and (2) 1 week later, detonate a nuclear warhead loaded on another interplanetary missile that will fly close to but will not impact said asteroid. We had better test these ideas on a safe asteroid instead of waiting for the day when an asteroid aimed at earth actually arrives.

    Given the fact that engineering is not perfect, if we do not actually test these anti-asteroid technologies in advance, then we run the high risk of failure when we use them for the 1st time on an actual asteroid destined for earth. To my knowledge, very few engineering products work correctly on the first try. 'Tis better to be safe than sorry.

  9. There will be other stuff to watch... by Sheetrock · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The northern lights are particularly fascinating, and are visible to about 25% of the Earth with the naked eye during the fall and spring equinoxum -- and take note, a similar phenomenon, referred to as the southern lights, occurs in the lower hemisphere to treat the other 25%.

    There are also shooting stars occurring quite often, more now with the space junk we've got floating up there. And there should be at least two comets, which are effectively luminescent asteroids, visible this year as well.

    Just make sure you get away from light pollution if you want the best opportunity to observe these spectacles. About fifteen minutes in any direction out of town will do, and will make you think seriously about more serious astrology (you'd be surprised how much can be done with under $1000 of equipment!)

    --

    Try not. Do or do not, there is no try.
    -- Dr. Spock, stardate 2822-3.




  10. Re:Excellent Chance to Test Anti-Asteroid Technolo by xstonedogx · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We had better test these ideas on a safe asteroid instead of waiting for the day when an asteroid aimed at earth actually arrives.

    I have a differing opinion on what constitutes a safe asteroid. A mistake on this asteroid could potentially be just as devistating as a mistake on one destined to collide with us.

    I'd rather poke a few asteroids that don't come within 22,600 miles of Earth.

  11. Re:Almost a quarter of a century? by Sabaki · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yep, no chance that could go horribly wrong.

    Remind me to take a shuttle off-planet in case they get metric and English units confused again.

  12. Re:Almost a quarter of a century? by dabigpaybackski · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Or just put it in an orbit outside the Van Allen belts. A big, rugged space station there would be nice. Somebody get Virgin Galactic on this, or reshuffle the consortium that brought us the International Space Station boondoggle in favor of a truly worthy multinational project that will:

    a. Give us an opportunity to explore techniques for redirecting asteroids.

    b. Provide a test bed for asteroid mining techniques.

    c. Become an orbiting space station.

    d. Promote international cooperation.

    --
    "OH SHIT, THERE'S A HORSE IN THE HOSPITAL!"
  13. Natures finds a way... by FrostedWheat · · Score: 4, Funny

    No worries, NASA says, just a once-in-a-millennium sky show.

    Sure, that's how all these things start. But then later there is running and screaming!

  14. Check your math by Laconian · · Score: 4, Funny

    this is a first
    once-in-a-millenium

    My friend, if this was a once-in-a-millenium occurance, this would be classified as "a 4,600,000th".

    Or if you be of the Christian faith, a 6th.

  15. Re:Should we believe them? by CaptainCarrot · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Are you kidding? If an asteroid really was going to collide with the Earth in 24 years to you honestly think NASA would pass up a funding opportunity like that? The adminstrators (and aerospace contractors) would all be doing their Happy Dance o' Money like they haven't done since the Apollo program.

    --
    And the brethren went away edified.
  16. Live coverage.. by adeyadey · · Score: 3, Funny

    This is BBC news, its Friday, April 13, 2029, we join Patrick Moore at Greenwich to report on the flyby of asteroid MN4 2004..

    Its clearly visible now, around Magnitude 3..
    Now brighter..

    magnitude 2.. 1..

    My Word! What a treat for all you Astronomy buffs out there!

    Magnitude 0.. -1.. -2..

    It is the Brightest object in the sky now, clearly moving against the background of stars..

    Magnitude -3.. -4..

    But should it be this bright? And is it starting to get warm? Whats..

    (Transmission cuts)

    --
    "You lied to me! There is a Swansea!"
  17. 24 years from now.... by solariax · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't know about you folks, but I don't intend to let another full generation pass before we have basic things in place like a viable off-world colony and the ability to protect ourselves from the occasional ancient space-pebble.... I mean, come on. This will be a fun show but it's another sign from nature.....like aurora, meteor showers, earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunami, the very tides themselves....that the Universe is a very dynamic place and we had damned well better be ready for unexpected, occasionally violent change in the 'world as we know it.' Right now the Bush-driven NASA agenda for the Moon and Mars has us just barely managing to get first boots-on-dirt/regolith by this timeframe (2029-2030) and exactly how often has NASA been on schedule with manned objectives in the past two decades or so (no offense my friends, I support your work 100%)??? As for the core objectives of humanity as opposed to politicians, achieving the lion's share of those goals seems mostly like to come from good ol' "private enterprise" in all its bizarre and wonderful forms. I would imagine that Burt Rutan has a few thoughts on these things....