Slashdot Mirror
Gordon Moore: Moore's Law is Dead
Golygydd Max writes "Moore's Law will not hold forever, claims Gordon Moore.
In a Techworld article, he points out the limitations of the law, in particular, the limitations as we approach the size of atoms.
He helpfully explains, however, that the law will hold for a few years yet." Still, sticking around for forty years is pretty impressive.
Don't you mean: Gordon Moore: Moore's Law is still alive
He helpfully explains, however, that the law will hold for a few years yet.
Pulp Audio Weekly - Geek News and Reviews
Who is the Gordon fellow? He thinks he is soooo smart that he can comment on the already tried and true Moore's Law.
I'll tell ya, the nerve of some people, sheesh.
"You should always go to other people's funerals; otherwise, they won't come to yours." -- Yogi Berra
still reign supreme. Godwin's, in particular.
(Probably going to get modded down by nazi mods)
Never confuse volume with power.
Oh, well, it's been pronounced dead more often than BSD on Slashdot, so it actually means very little. Even coming from Gordon Moore.
John
Meanwhile I suspect that the number of articles saying Moore's law can't go on forever will double every month on /. starting now.
it may well buy a couple gallons of gas
A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
I'm glad to see we are switching from the Google story of the day, to the Moore's law story of the day!
I guess Ray Kurzeil's predictions that computers will have the same power as the human brain by 2020 will not be met...
I think what is more surprising is how Moore's Law continues to accurately predict the ever increasing number of Slashdot articles on the subject of Moore's Law!
It's only mostly dead.
Here's are some thoughts from me:
Iran captures three CIA agents
Until Murphy's law probes the oposite. ;-)
WTF am I doing replying to an AC at 5 A.M on a Friday night?
It states that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every 18 months, doesn't it?
I must have missed the bit where it states that the size of chips stays constant. There's no requirement for transistors to get smaller to keep up with Moore's Law. The chips could get bigger.
.. but there are lots of other technologies, esp quantum... where once established you can doubble the calculation capacity every 18 months without very much dificulty.
Modern computers already match us in terms of raw power. However, our operating system is *way* cooler, and we get better peripherals :)
No comment.
Will anything hold forever?
Krazy Glue and anyone on the phone with Symantec.
I'm not good in groups. It's difficult to work in a group when you're omnipotent. - Q
But think how fast it could vegetate!
The real strength of computers is that they can make mistakes so much faster than we puny, limited humans. A vegetative system system with a hundred billion neurons would obviously be superior to us puny humans because it could make human-scale mistakes unimaginably quickly, as it sat there, quietly vegetating ... inert.
Right! A vegetative system system with a hundred billion neurons would obviously be superior to us puny humans because it could sit there and do nothing, and do it very fast indeed.
See what I've been reading.
I guess nothing. Remove the feeding tube.
-- Thou hast strayed far from the path of the Avatar.
Now if they could shrink the size of atoms... THAT would be innovative!
The Dead Collector: Bring out yer dead.
[a man puts Moore's Law on the cart]
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Here's one.
The Dead Collector: That'll be ninepence.
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I'm not dead.
The Dead Collector: What?
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Nothing. There's your ninepence.
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I'm not dead.
The Dead Collector: 'Ere, he says he's not dead.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Yes he is.
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I'm not.
The Dead Collector: He isn't.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Well, he will be soon, he's very ill.
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I'm getting better.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: No you're not, you'll be stone dead in a moment.
The Dead Collector: Well, I can't take him like that. It's against regulations.
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I don't want to go on the cart.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Oh, don't be such a baby.
The Dead Collector: I can't take him.
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I feel fine.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Oh, do me a favor.
The Dead Collector: I can't.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Well, can you hang around for a couple of minutes? He won't be long.
The Dead Collector: I promised I'd be at the Robinsons'. They've lost nine today.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Well, when's your next round?
The Dead Collector: Thursday.
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I think I'll go for a walk.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: You're not fooling anyone, you know. Isn't there anything you could do?
The Dead Moore's Law That Claims It Isn't: I feel happy. I feel happy.
[the Dead Collector glances up and down the street furtively, then silences the Law with his a whack of his club]
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Ah, thank you very much.
The Dead Collector: Not at all. See you on Thursday.
Large Man with Dead Moore's Law: Right.
Mid-Eastern Pennsylvania Gaming Convention
it's just noone puled the feeding tube yet.
You can't handle the truth.
I think you underestimate the rate at which human brainpower is decreasing... ;-)
A marriage is always made up of two people who are prepared to swear that only the other one snores.
does it really matter? they both allow things to double in size...
Intel quietly rescinds its $10,000 offer for an original copy of Moore's Law.
-- Boycott Shell
Heck, we have laws in this country that were passed less than a year ago that have been broken already LOL.... I remember when I was a kid, someone printed in the local newspaper some "old obscure" laws of our town still on the books. One was that during the week of the fair, you had to walk your vehicle (horse and buggy) across the railroad tracks. Well, me and my buddies figured if it was a law, we sure didn't want to break it. We got a couple long pieces of rope, tied it to the front bumper of my moms car (back then cars had these heavy things on the front and rear of the cars called bumpers). When we were making the circle around town, everytime we came to the railroad tracks, we'd put the car in neutral, jump out and pull the car across the railroad tracks. It was pretty funny the 3 times we did it....but on the fourth the cops showed up and asked us what the H*LL we were doing. We told him walking our vehicle across the tracks like the law says. Needless to say, he didn't see the humor in that....
Of course Moore's Law is dead. And I predict that in 18 months it will be twice as dead.
But at 1:23 p.m., Fox News Channel anchor Shepard
Smith reported that {Moore's Law} had died. At least
initially, he did not cite sources.
By 1:30 p.m., Fox reporter Greg Palkot in Rome was
sending signals of caution, saying the report had not
been confirmed and the network was checking into it.
"The exact time of death, I think, is not something that
matters so much at this moment for we will be reliving
{Moore's Law} for many days and weeks and even years
and decades and centuries to come," Smith said.