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Why Smart People Defend Bad Ideas

CHESTER COPPERPOT writes "Scott Berkun writes an interesting essay on 'Why smart people defend bad ideas'. He states a number of interesting highlights on smart people and dumb ideas. From the article: 'In the software industry, the common example of thinking at the wrong level is a team of rock star programmers who can make anything, but don't really know what to make: so they tend to build whatever things come to mind, never stopping to find someone who might not be adept at writing code, but can see where the value of their programming skills would be best applied.'."

125 of 828 comments (clear)

  1. I Will Defend my Bad First Post by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Tom Smykowski: It's a "Jump to Conclusions Mat". You see, you have this mat, with different CONCLUSIONS written on it that you could JUMP TO.
    Michael Bolton: That is the worst idea I've ever heard.
    Samir: Yes, this is horrible, this idea.

    1. Re:I Will Defend my Bad First Post by AliasMoze · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Michael Bolton: You think the pet rock was a great idea?

      Tom: Of course it was! The guy made a million dollars!

    2. Re:I Will Defend my Bad First Post by NevermindPhreak · · Score: 2, Informative

      Why no last name for Samir. Its so easy to remember. Na, yeen, a, na, jar. Nayeenanajar.

    3. Re:I Will Defend my Bad First Post by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Funny

      two sikhs at the same time?

  2. Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ego.

    1. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by Leroy_Brown242 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Many-a-geek has made the mistake of getting behind an idea that was bad, but didn't have the humility to change sides or admit mistake.

      Not just geeks do this, of course.

    2. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You think he did a good job with it? Don't get me wrong - I've been impressed with Carmack as a programmer ever since I was a teenager - but if you follow his weblog, Armadillo Aerospace has been one disaster after another. Even after all this time, he still can't decide on what propellants to use, and he's repeated almost every mistake in the books as far as rocket design goes.

      He seems to be finally getting back on track, and I'm not sure I'd call the project a "bad idea" (if it's fun, how is it any worse of an idea than, say, buying a big mansion or other waste of money?). But it hasn't really been much of a success, as far as rocketry programs go - even SpaceDev's relatively weak hybrid engine would classify as a leap forward in comparison to what Carmack has accomplished.

      --
      All we want to do is eat your brains.
    3. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by zerus · · Score: 2, Funny

      I still think OS/2 Warp was a great idea!

      Ah geez, who am I kidding ;-)

    4. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by Stargoat · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Fear. Many smart people defend stupid ideas out of fear to the damage it will do to their reputation, or salary, or self worth.

      How many people have said, "We must believe in God, for if we do, and he does not exist, nothing happens. But if we do not believe in him, and he does exist, then we are doomed." But, it's fairly clear he does not exist.

      Or the people who back bad government, simply because they are afraid of the consequences? Or their own past statements before they learned more facts?

      These people do not do these things out of pride, or ego. Rather, they are motivated to tell lies solely out of fear.

      --
      Hoist Number One and Number Six.
    5. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by toddbu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It goes further than that sometimes. I see a lot of stuff on /. that's moderated as troll or flamebait that really just boils down to a difference of opinion with the parent post. Meta-moderation helps fix some of this, but I think as a community we should rely more on logic than name-calling to solve our differences.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    6. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by badasscat · · Score: 4, Interesting

      How many people have said, "We must believe in God, for if we do, and he does not exist, nothing happens. But if we do not believe in him, and he does exist, then we are doomed." But, it's fairly clear he does not exist.

      First, I will say that I am not religious. If I had to ID myself, I'd say I'm a Protestant Christian, but the last time I went to church on a Sunday was probably 15 years ago.

      But even as a Smart Person, I'm not sure how it's "fairly clear" that God does not exist. A lot of Smart People have, in fact, pretty successfully argued in favor of the existence of God.

      One of my favorite arguments in favor of the existence of God is Thomas Aquinas' theory of the "prime mover". Thomas Aquinas was a "religious philosopher" who was actually banished from the Catholic church because of his efforts to prove the existence of God. In any religion, faith is paramount, so proof is neither necessary nor desired - if you need proof of God to believe in him (or her, or it), then you're sort of missing the whole point of religion in the first place. (Aquinas was later made a saint, despite his earlier banishment.)

      Anyway, Aquinas posed five proofs in favor of the existence of God, some more convincing than others. The one that I recall as being most convincing, and the one that nobody has been able to refute to this day (because it is based on the laws of physics), is the theory of the prime mover.

      Aquinas argued that for every movement or action, there must be a cause or impetus, something to turn potentiality into actuality. He used the example of wood, which at any time has the potential to be either hot or cold, but can only actually be one or the other at any given time (ok, feel free to bring up quantum mechanics, but the point is the Hitchhiker's Guide Improbability Drive does not really exist - things can't be everywhere and everything all the time). If a piece of wood is actually cold, it can potentially be made hot by fire, which will then make it actually hot but no longer actually cold. So anything can have two or more potential states, but only one actual state, and to change that actual state requires an external force.

      He then argues that this cannot go on into infinity, for if it did, nothing could actually exist because there would be no prime mover to have set everything in motion. (He wrote this prior to our discovery of the "big bang"). Now we know that, in fact, it did not go on into infinity - there was a time when our universe did not exist, and scientists still do not completely understand how it was created. We know that there was a great buildup of energy and matter that exploded into what we now know of as our universe, but we do not know how or why that buildup occured, and likely never will because it would require peering back beyond the beginning of time.

      Aquinas argued that the "prime mover" was God. There is no possible explanation for the creation of the universe that fits the laws of physics. This goes hand in hand with his third proof, that of "possibility and necessity", which states that if everything can either exist or not exist, then there must have been a time when nothing at all existed (we now know that this is, in fact, true). If nothing at all existed, it is impossible for anything to now exist, because nothing can cause its own existence. Therefore, he argued, only God could have caused our existence, ultimately.

      So I don't think this is a case of smart people arguing in favor of bad ideas. It's one thing to be skeptical, but there are as many good theories in favor of God's existence as there are against, and nobody's ever going to have a "smoking gun" either way. (Aquinas was also not arguing in favor of a smiling, benevolent, grey-bearded God with a human-like personality - he was arguing in favor of some power beyond our understanding that displayed intelligence and was able to manipulate matter and energy as it saw fit from beyond the confines of our universe and our natural laws.)

      In fact, I think your post is more an example of why it pays for smart people to be open-minded rather than simply skeptical all the time.

    7. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You have such a small mind that you cannot possibly believe in something you have yet to experience.

      Perhaps he just refuses to believe in something for which there is no evidence beyond the smug assertions of people like you?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    8. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by PakProtector · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yes, you're actually right. God does not exist. Goddess exists. Eris exists. I have personally spoken to her on many occasions, and she as been so kind as to lecture to me on the wrongs of my Kingdom Hearts hating ways, and she has also been nice enough to play a game of Pump It Up! with me at the arcade. And man, can the Goddess move.

      God isn't dead -- he never existed.

      All Hail Eris!







      This message brought to you by Brother Neutron Bomb of the Shortened Path of the Discordian Sub-Committe of the Committe for Obfuscation of the Unitarian Jihad.

      --

      Edward@Tomato - /home/Edward/ man woman
      man: no entry for woman in the manual.
      "Qua!?"

    9. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by spac3manspiff · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Fear leads to anger, anger leads to hate, and hate leads to the Dark Side."

      linux == TheDarkSide?

    10. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by crazyeddie740 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If I understand this "prime mover" idea, you're saying that every event has a cause, and that only God could have started the ball rolling by causing the first event.

      If time is infinite, then there is no need for a first event. The Big Bang is not the beginning of the universe or the beginning of time. It is simply where our current theories come to a halt. The Big Bang theory was developed by tracing the trend of the expanding universe backwards through time. If one assumes that there were no changes in this trend, then we arrive at time in the finite past where every thing in the universe was at a single point. This point had infinite density and temperature.

      Our current physical theories aren't capable of coping with infinite densities and temperatures. They produce a divide-by-zero error, a singularity. The Big Bang isn't the beginning of the universe, but rather the end of our theories.

      There is one theory that the Big Bang was caused by our universe colliding with our universe. There was never a singularity, a point of infinite density and temperature. Instead, our two universes crumpled and only intersected at certain locations. At those intersections, the vacuum energies of the two universes combined, producing areas of very high, but not infinite, density and temperature.

      The theory also states that this collision might not have been the first one. Or the last one.

      Whether or not this theory is true doesn't matter. It is enough to know that it shows that time isn't neccessarily finite. If time stretches back infinitely into the past, there is no need for a first event.

      Likewise, time might be finite but boundless, looped in on itself. The last effect becomes the first cause.

      Lastly, if every event requires a cause, and God caused the first event, what caused God?

      I don't think any assumption can be proven by reason alone, but only with evidence. We can't disprove the existence of God, but we haven't been able to prove His existence either. It is most difficult to prove a negative. But that's where Occam's Razor comes in. All things being equal, God is not the simplest explanation for the world we see around us. According to Occam's Razor, we should not assume that God exists, at least until more evidence comes in.

    11. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by greay · · Score: 5, Interesting

      >He then argues that this cannot go on into infinity, for if it did,
      >nothing could actually exist because there would be no prime
      >mover to have set everything in motion.

      No, you got it wrong. It cannot NOT go on into infinity. Going on forever quite easily solves the problem, because there's always something to act & cause the reaction.

      If the Universe is /finite/, you need something to break the rules, which is what Aquinas does. And he does that with God.

      All of Aquinas's proofs boil down to that (well, that I remember, at least): he creates a situation that sounds logically impossible to resolve rationally, and thus creates the need to resort to an Actor who doesn't have to play by any rules. Problem solved. The Universe is allowed to exist again.

      (oh, and another problem that no one ever seems to address: let's assume, for now, that his arguments are in fact logically sound. Irrefutably so. He never offers any argument to convince us that what he calls "God" is, in fact, anything at all like what we traditionally consider Him. The only requirement is that it doesn't obverve certain laws of physics or other rules of the Universe that we know. It could be a giant unicorn. Or an Infinite Improbability Drive. Or a peculiar, unknown class of matter, like dark matter, with properties that don't follow the laws of physics as we understand them.)

    12. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by zors · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you were actually familiar with Aquinas' writings, you'd know that Aquinas himself admitted that this was true. He never argued that one could deduct the existence of the Roman-Catholic God by reason alone. Central to Christianity is the act of revelation, God revealing Himself to us. /Roman-Catholic.

    13. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by Frogbert · · Score: 4, Funny

      Asshat!

    14. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Some of us smart people are capable of something called "disassociation". It's where we can and do argue either side of an argument because the whole argument is not about convincing other people, but to glean new ideas from the interplay.

      Personally, I hate it when people get so damned attached to their ideas that they consider the questioning of their ideas to be a personal attack on them. I love it when people argue with me and attack my ideas. And when I'm wrong, I'll learn from it... but I'll still defend my ideas fiercely and attack yours because I don't like integrating an idea into my thinking until I've proven to myself that I can't tear it down.

      Why do stupid people think the idea is more important than the debate?

      --
      -1 Uncomfortable Truth
    15. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So... he doesn't believe that something exists until proof smacks him over the head.

      Why, do you have some proof to offer? Ok, forget proof, how about some evidence?

      Isn't that basically the definition of one with a small mind?

      My definition of a "small mind" would be one that is willing to accept a proposition for which there is no evidence.

      what do you think of people who thought the world was flat?

      I think that you have a lot in common with them.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    16. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by m50d · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It doesn't work because if you disagree on a meta-mod you lose modding ability. And if you mod a good post up but it has an overall negative rating, you will get M2ed down. The M2 system promotes groupthink, mostly the first moderation you receive determines your final score, +5 if it's positive, -1 if it's negative.

      --
      I am trolling
    17. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by bheading · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "How many people have said, "We must believe in God, for if we do, and he does not exist, nothing happens. But if we do not believe in him, and he does exist, then we are doomed." But, it's fairly clear he does not exist."

      It's beside the point. Which God do you believe in ? There's a big selection, and pretty much all of them say that if you believe in the wrong one you'll be in big trouble. So how do you choose ?

    18. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by m50d · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The latter. Most drivers already work as a scsi device - usb mass storage, cd burners, etc. The only one which doesn't, the ide disk driver, was completely rewritten halfway through 2.4 and could very well have been done using the scsi interface. The two layers could be maintained for a while, but the scsi one is better done and could be more efficient by being "promoted" up a layer. Instead linus keeps ide separate, deliberately breaks scsi emulation cd burning (nice one, never mind people who actually want to use the kernel, linus' preferences and ego are far more important) and now appears to be trying to get usb mass storage rewritten as a different block device, for no reason at all other than ensuring his broken design carries on.

      --
      I am trolling
    19. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by MobyTurbo · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I don't think any assumption can be proven by reason alone, but only with evidence. We can't disprove the existence of God, but we haven't been able to prove His existence either. It is most difficult to prove a negative. But that's where Occam's Razor comes in.
      William of Occam was a theist, a Franciscan friar for that matter. I'm sure he's not happy about the most common (ab)use of his Rule of Parsimony.
    20. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by doc+modulo · · Score: 2, Interesting
      To start with an example, let's discuss the pro's and cons of application folders. That is, a program's files are all kept inside 1 directory instead of being installed by spreading files all over the operating system file structure. Apple uses application folders in OS X.

      Arguments FOR:

      * Human minds and their memory are weak, anything that can help them grasp what constitutes an application is a good thing. It's easy to keep in mind that everything that's in a certain directory is part of that program. It's almost impossible to remember all the names and locations of the files when a program spreads itself out all over the OS. For a clear mental picture of an application, appfolders are superiour. Think of Murphy's law, something WILL go wrong and fixing an appfolder program is then easier than fixing a traditionally installed program.

      * Security: It's easier to configure an operating system so that everything in one directory is limited by permissions XYZ. If you have files spread out over the filesystem, they can have their individual permissions changed accidentally. Lower permissions = application breaks. Higher permissions = security risk. In addition, changing the permission of an application is more complicated.

      * No more dependencies: Everything the application needs is present. Dependencies suck! They increase efficiency but they suck because they can make an application not run, or not even install. Dependencies are like spaghetti code on an OS level.

      * Usability: Looking at it from a higher level, appfolders have better usability for PC users (all of us). To "install" you just drag the appfolder. To install a traditional program, you'll have to use an install wizard. This wizard is not compatible with the UNIX principle of "everything is a file". This wizard does it's magic, you'll have to hope everything works out well (often doesn't) and if you uninstall a program you'll have to keep your fingers crossed again, hope that the installer finds every little file again to delete. Although it's not rock-hard logic, think about this: Apple has the most user friendly system at the moment and they use appfolders. No matter what the other problems will come up because of using appfolders, there is no doubt that from the end-user's perspective, appfolders are user friendlier. Whatever side of the argument you are one, you'll have to agree that more user frienlyness is better than less user friendlyness. PCs should take away work and problems, not add to them.

      #

      Arguments AGAINST:

      * Efficiency: Having every library that a program needs inside it's own appfolder will probably lead to duplication. The exact same library will probably be inside a couple of different appfolders wasting HD space. On top of that, if you load a traditionally shared library into RAM, it is available to be used by another program as well. This trick will save RAM if 2 or more traditional programs use the same library and are running at the same time.
      - Counter argument: Although HD inefficiency is present with appfolders, HD space limitations are not as bad as they have been in the past. Also, there is undoubtedly a simple system that can overcome RAM waste, for example, you can make a big hashlist of all the libraries in a central spot. Before a program starts, it will look in that list to see if a library it needs has already been loaded in RAM.

      * Duplication of effort and compatibility: Most of the applications that have been released so far have been traditional installation applications. Converting to the appfolder system would require a lot of work and a lot of convincing of people. Humans are bad at changing the way they think.

      #
      Please copy the arguments into your post and add to them, in the end we might have a complete overview of the subject and we can make an objective decision on whether appfolders are a good idea overall or not. I'm in favor myself.

      Links for more data:
      -

      --
      - -- Truth addict for life.
    21. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by Lord+Ender · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Please read this book.

      This argument, as you recounted it, makes lots of logical errors. Extrapolating his small view of planet earth (wood in particular) to the entire universe is silly. Assuming everything must have a beginning is quaint. "We don't understand it yet, therefore God" thinking makes me want to cry for humanity. Any line of reasoning is worthless if it is built upon unproven assumptions.

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    22. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by the+morgawr · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I'll go slow since I seem to have lost you:

      1. GP: If you believe in a god you are ignorant.
      2. Me: Newton, Maxwell, and Einstein all beleived in god
      3. Me: Therefore, by your preposition all three are ignorant
      It appears that #3 is a contradition of #1, therefore by a proof of contradiction #1 cannot be true.

      Additionally:

      GP: Scientists don't believe in a god

      This is appeal to authority which can in some cases be cited as evidence. However it can be refuted by demonstrating that other experts in the same field (in this case scientific ones) dispute the claim. So I cited other experts.

      --
      The policy of the United States is worse than bad---it is insane. -- Ludwig von Mises, Economic Policy(1959)
    23. Re:Why Do Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by nine-times · · Score: 4, Interesting
      If I understand this "prime mover" idea, you're saying that every event has a cause, and that only God could have started the ball rolling by causing the first event.

      If time is infinite, then there is no need for a first event.

      Actually, the idea of a "prime mover" is an older philosophic idea, the oldest recorded discussion being from Aristotle. Aristotle actually argues that time must be infinite in both directions, but this doesn't hamper the existence of a prime mover. In order to understand the prime mover, you have to understand Aristotle's ideas about "cause".

      The prime mover is the formal cause of everything, but not the efficient cause of anything. In modern times, we've forgotten such distinctions and only talk about efficient causes.

  3. Jukebox guy by AntiPasto · · Score: 4, Funny

    I knew a guy that programmed a music "jukebox" ... didn't have the heart to tell him that at most parties I went to the people just had a winamp and a folder open.

    1. Re:Jukebox guy by ciroknight · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, I had a friend that did the same thing.. and I didn't have the heart to say a word.

      He's currently working for Apple pulling in a quarter million a year, while I sit here in Engineering school.

      --
      "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
    2. Re:Jukebox guy by dgatwood · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I programmed a music jukebox once... except that what started as a mechanism for triggering mpg123 with a reasonable random scheme changed over the course of about two years into a radio station automation app....

      Just because something starts out seeming uninteresting, that doesn't necessarily mean that it will end up being useless. And even if the project doesn't go anywhere, the experience you gain in writing it can end up serving you down the line, whether through code reuse or just through gaining a better general understanding of various technologies that you use along the way.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    3. Re:Jukebox guy by Stealth+Potato · · Score: 4, Insightful
      You might have a point, but I'd like to pose these questions: who is worth that much? Managers? Marketers? Executives? What makes a CEO worth as much as 500 programmers? These questions could be rhetorical, but I'm not really sure. :-)

      In any case, six-figure salaries aren't really uncommon for senior programmers / engineers with a couple decades of experience.

    4. Re:Jukebox guy by StarsAreAlsoFire · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There are people in this world who simply could not be replaced with any number of 'normal' employees -- because most employees want a 9 to 5 job and a paycheck, and that's it. From Starbucks to NASA. Some people make their jobs their lives -- hey, whatever makes you happy.

      And.. I want to say *ANY 'employee' making over a few mill a year, but really it is just MOST people being paid such is being paid as a form of recognition, not because the person being paid cares about the money itself.

      And a CEO with vision can be worth infinitely more than 500 programmers -- because a company without a PURPOSE goes bankrupt and there are no more programmers (div by zero ;~) ).

      That said, writing a contract that lets a CEO commit murder and still get paid is pretty damned stupid.

    5. Re:Jukebox guy by h4rm0ny · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Doesn't that open room for more people to earn 2 million?

      I.e. Someone says, I'm making my two-million now, so I can stop working so hard, but I can see there is scope for more, so partner, why don't you get in on some of this?

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    6. Re:Jukebox guy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well then that's not a fucking large corporation like Apple which is the theme of this discussion. Jesus Christ, do you people even pay attention to the topic, or do you throw in wild arguments just for the hell of it??!!

  4. This extends to the rest of life by Capt'n+Hector · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There are a lot of people who can literally do ANYTHING, and partly because of this they end up doing NOTHING. Kind of like a horse caught between two bales of hay.

    --
    Quid festinatio swallonis est aetherfuga inonusti?
    Africus aut Europaeus?
    1. Re:This extends to the rest of life by Scrameustache · · Score: 4, Funny

      There are a lot of people who can literally do ANYTHING, and partly because of this they end up doing NOTHING.

      Well, I feel less guilty about my slackerism now, thanks! : )

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    2. Re:This extends to the rest of life by redheaded_stepchild · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yay! I can now tell people I'm omnitalented instead of just indecisive!

      --
      Don't use the Troll mod just because you disagree with me.
    3. Re:This extends to the rest of life by ciroknight · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Isn't that what they feed everyone in school; "You can do anything if you just put your mind to it"?

      In my younger years, I took this to mean "Do everything, because you can". Now that I'm in college, that entire lesson was bunk, and now I'm stuck with a bunch of what I'd consider useless knowledge.

      The "Pretender" gene, as I often call it (after the TV series) is something a lot of us are blessed/cursed with. We have the ability to sit down at a computer and code anything, then get up, walk into a garage or workshop, pick up a hammer and build something, then go to a rally and speak about how you can change the world if your party will support you.

      The problem with it is futility. Others like me, myself included, find it futile at times to do anything, since we've done everything we're interested in doing. Us general-purpose, disposable task people have to cast ourselves into single purpose, repetitive task people, and that's really hard for us, in college, and in life.

      Sadly, I don't see an easy solution. Except I won't be telling my children that "They can do anything". I'll tell them "you can do something. but it's up to you to choose what that something is."

      --
      "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
    4. Re:This extends to the rest of life by Quirk · · Score: 2, Informative

      That would be Buridan's Ass between two piles of hay.

      --
      "Academicians are more likely to share each other's toothbrush than each other's nomenclature."
      Cohen
    5. Re:This extends to the rest of life by Artifakt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That's the essence of what the military calls command presence. When there are two passes through a mountain range, and they are both very much equal obstacles, a good commander swiftly declares, "That one, it's obviously better!", and gets everyone moving.
      If you don't have enough clear criteria to evaluate a situation to your satisfaction, don't waste time evaluating it by ambiguous criteria. If the situation looks very much 50-50, then either choice is as right as right can be.
      'Either bale might be wrong' paralizes - 'either bale must be right' frees.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    6. Re:This extends to the rest of life by Chazmati · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A friend of mine was taught a nifty lesson from her parents. It's in the vein of your "You can do anything..." quote, but maybe more apt, with a minor change.

      The quote was "You can have anything you want--but you can't have everything you want."

      Substitute "do" for "have" and booya!

    7. Re:This extends to the rest of life by ciroknight · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In fact, it's quite the opposite of what you're thinking. A post like that isn't ego driven; it's frustration. Nothing has pissed me off more in life than "trying to find a purpose", ie something to do with my life, since I know I can "do anything if I put my mind to it". The problem isn't capability of our youth. I feel like anyone else; we all can learn to do anything if we choose to, but the question is "how do we choose to?" So instead of teaching us how to choose a task, our schools pack us with so many choices that it's generally impossible to choose.

      I chose something because it's what I spent most of my time doing, even if I don't really enjoy it.

      Implicit understanding of my philosophies kind of drove your post off into a misunderstanding of what I'm getting at. Not all kids, myself included, know exactly what to do. My high school graduates less than a hundred students a year. Fourty of them leap off into state schools and different colleges. Twenty jump into vocations and tech schools. The other ten of us, the few that never really excelled at any one thing, the few that were completely and totally average in every subject (or in the case of my friends, completely and totally ABOVE average in every single subject) had no clue what to do. So we scatter off into collleges and universities, spending who knows how much on even more education towards even more indecision.

      I don't consider myself superior, nor do I find myself below everyone else. I'm just your standard, middle class American with student loans and misunderstandings. Ever seen American Beauty??

      --
      "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
    8. Re:This extends to the rest of life by whorfin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The point of this phrase is not "you can do everything without trying", but "you are capable of achieving any (one) thing, if you focus on succeeding"

      I've seen enough talentless but driven people succeed to realize that talent and skills are gifts, but you gotta use 'em properly to get maximum benefit from them.

      --
      Laugh while you can, monkey-boy!
    9. Re:This extends to the rest of life by kerrbear · · Score: 2

      The problem with it is futility. Others like me, myself included, find it futile at times to do anything, since we've done everything we're interested in doing. Us general-purpose, disposable task people have to cast ourselves into single purpose, repetitive task people, and that's really hard for us, in college, and in life.

      Why not use your talents to alleviate human suffering? At least that has value.

  5. The article sans references in case of /.'ing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Why smart people defend bad ideas

    By Scott Berkun, April 2005

    We all know someone that's intelligent, but who occasionally defends obviously bad ideas. Why does this happen? How can smart people take up positions that defy any reasonable logic? Having spent many years working with smart people I've catalogued many of the ways this happens, and I have advice on what to do about it. I feel qualified to write this essay as I'm a recovering smart person myself and I've defended several very bad ideas. So if nothing else this essay serves as a kind of personal therapy session. However, I fully suspect you'll get more than just entertainment value (Look, Scott is stupider than we thought!) out of what I have to say on this topic.
    Success at defending bad ideas

    The monty python argument sketchI'm not proud to admit that I have a degree in Logic and Computation from Carnegie Mellon University. Majoring in logic is not the kind of thing that makes people want to talk to you at parties, or read your essays. But one thing I did learn after years of studying advanced logic theory is that proficiency in argument can easily be used to overpower others, even when you are dead wrong. If you learn a few tricks of logic and debate, you can refute the obvious, and defend the ridiculous. If the people you're arguing with aren't as comfortable in the tactics of argument, or aren't as arrogant as you are, they may even give in and agree with you.

    The problem with smart people is that they like to be right and sometimes will defend ideas to the death rather than admit they're wrong. This is bad. Worse, if they got away with it when they were young (say, because they were smarter than their parents, their friends, and their parent's friends) they've probably built an ego around being right, and will therefore defend their perfect record of invented righteousness to the death. Smart people often fall into the trap of preferring to be right even if it's based in delusion, or results in them, or their loved ones, becoming miserable. (Somewhere in your town there is a row of graves at the cemetery, called smartypants lane, filled with people who were buried at poorly attended funerals, whose headstones say Well, at least I was right.)

    Until they come face to face with someone who is tenacious enough to dissect their logic, and resilient enough to endure the thinly veiled intellectual abuse they dish out during debate (e.g. You don't really think that do you? or Well if you knew the rule/law/corollary you wouldn't say such things), they're never forced to question their ability to defend bad ideas. Opportunities for this are rare: a new boss, a new co-worker, a new spouse. But if their obsessive-ness about being right is strong enough, they'll reject those people out of hand before they question their own biases and self-manipulations. It can be easier for smart people who have a habit of defending bad ideas to change jobs, spouses, or cities rather than honestly examine what is at the core of their psyche (and often, their misery).

    Short of obtaining a degree in logic, or studying the nuances of debate, remember this one simple rule for defusing those who are skilled at defending bad ideas: Simply because they cannot be proven wrong, does not make them right. Most of the tricks of logic and debate refute questions and attacks, but fail to establish any true justification for a given idea.

    For example, just because you can't prove that I'm not the king of France reincarnated doesn't make it so. So when someone tells you "My plan A is the best because no one has explained how it will fail" know that there is a logical gap in this argument. Simply because no one has described how it will fail, doesn't necessarily make it the best plan. It's possible than plans B, C, D and E all have the same quality, or that the reason no one has described how A will fail is that no one has had more than 30 seconds to scrutinize the plan. As we'll discuss later, diffusing bad thinking requires someone (probab

    1. Re:The article sans references in case of /.'ing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative
      For anyone who cares, and if the article gets totally /.ed, here are the reference links at the end of the article, that the other AC was too lazy to put in:

      References
  6. Case in Point by Kipsaysso · · Score: 3, Funny

    Slashdot

    --
    This is another way of starting a sig with this and ending it with that.
    1. Re:Case in Point by HardCase · · Score: 3, Funny

      Are you sure that the Slashdot case involves smart people defending stupid ideas?

  7. No they don't. by halcyon1234 · · Score: 5, Funny
    Us smart folk have great ideas! Wonderful ideas!

    Like that time everyone wanted to give a multi-billion dollar corporation hundreds of millions of dollars to make another season of a mediocre TV show. That was a great idea, wasn't it?

    Oh, and then there was the tens of thousands of dallars they gave to that guy who ran a copyright-material-file-trading-site. That turned out smashingly well.

    And-- umm--- hrm.

    {pause}

    ............ good article.

  8. Politics by SengirV · · Score: 2

    Insert GOP/DNC joke here.

    --

    Prof. Farnsworth - "Oh a lesson in not changing history from Mr I'm-My-Own-Grandpa!"

  9. well... by hsmith · · Score: 3, Insightful

    a lot of it has to do with ego, and a lot of it has to do with committing to something and saying "this is what we are going with"

    some people invest a lot of time into ideas and when they see their ideas threatened, they throw up the defense like no other. it transends programming all the way up to world politics.

    i am guilty of it, but i have gotten better at admiting my mistakes and using it as something to build upon. it takes a lot to realize when you are at fault and you fucked up.

    1. Re:well... by kfg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      it takes a lot to realize when you are at fault and you fucked up.

      And this is how you get to be "right." The entire first section wasn't talking about smart people at all. It was talking about smartasses,which he seems to be admiting he is recovering from, as being a smartass is generally derived from the selfdelusion that one is smart.

      See the paper on being unskilled and unaware of it.

      I shall now continue on that line. . .having read the article I'm left with the conclusion that this guy, and the guys he is talking about, are what I tend to think of as "borderline bright." They're just smart enough to have grand revelations, and thus write articles, books and found schools based on such, that the really smart people have taken as obvious all along. The self help book racks are chockablock full of works by these people.

      Cue this idea up with the "Thank you Capt. Obvious" scientific research story.

      Since the university systems are now geared to pumping these people through the system at maximum volume and pressure (and revenue stream) we now have gobs of "borderline bright" people with far more bad education than they are bright enough to know what to do with. . .who think they're smart, because they're surrounded by gobs of similar people labled as "smart," until they meet up with a really smart person.

      Then they tend to get nasty. Then the marginally smarter ones start to wise up.

      Me, I'm just going to ignore the whole thing and go eat some hay. This bale on the left has certain positive qualities, but then so does this bale on the right. . .

      KFG

  10. INTP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    IMO people that can do ANYTHING are likely
    an INTP http://www.intp.org/intprofile.html personality type. This would explain why they don't always produce much. Merely proving to themselves that they CAN do it is quite enough.

  11. References by Thu25245 · · Score: 3, Informative


    - Difficult conversations, a book about confronting people in tough situations.
    - The argument clinic, Monty Python (If you've never seen it, watch it before reading this script. It's in the 3rd season, disc 9 of the boxed set). Also see the splunge scene in episode 6.
    - Games people play, Eric Byrne. A book on transactional analyis: a model for why people behave as they do in certain situations.
    - The informed argument, Robert Miller. Textbook style coverage of both proper and unfair argument tactics.
    - With good reason, Morris Engel. a short summary of common logic manipulations, explained with a sense of humor (over a dozen cartoons).
    - Why smart people can be so stupid, Salon.com

    Best. Citation. Ever.

  12. Because we CAN! by Grey+Ninja · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's simple. Everyone can have dumb ideas. It's our god given right. And if you think that you are going to pry them from our cold dead fingers, you have another think coming. We can come up with all the bad ideas that we want, and we STILL have more good ideas than the less fortunate. So I say LEAVE US ALONE!

  13. Why are people who defend stupid ideas by ClosedSource · · Score: 4, Insightful

    considered smart?

    Probably because they did well in school. But school (at least in the US) wasn't designed to teach people to think, but to teach them to memorize facts and follow directions.

    1. Re:Why are people who defend stupid ideas by el-spectre · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Smart people make bad decisions too, unless "smart" means "perfect" these days.

      --
      "Faith: Belief without evidence in what is told by one who speaks without knowledge, of things without parallel." - A.B.
    2. Re:Why are people who defend stupid ideas by norton_I · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I found the article somewhat less than compelling, but the question is almost the right one. Smart people do dumb things because they are human -- a species possed of both remarkable logical abilities and considerable instict, but with less ability to tell the two apart than we imagine.

      Everyone has a large set of preconceived notions that form the basis for our understanding of the world. In general, some of these notions will be correct, others incorrect, and some of them will be contradictory. Smart people have these, too, but when confronted with a contradiction are more likely/able to go back and examine all of the assumptions to find out which ones are false, or less widely applicable than previously believed. Even smarter people will do this proactivly -- looking for assumptions they hold that may be untenable.

      The real question (to be fair, also the question the author attempted to answer) is not why smart people defend stupid ideas, but how do we (smart or no) recognize when we are defending stupid ideas and fix it.

      Unfortunately, what the author really addressed is people who don't recognize that they have weaknesses. Those people usually aren't smart. Those are probably people who, as you said, did well in all of their subjects in school.

    3. Re:Why are people who defend stupid ideas by magarity · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But school (at least in the US) wasn't designed to teach people to think, but to teach them to memorize facts

      Where in the US did you go to school? In my experience in college, the foriegn students all have facts memorized long enough to repeat them on the test but have no idea what to do with them. It's the American kids who don't know anything practical and get lousy grades on repeat-it-back-tests but have all kinds of ideas.

  14. The big reason why open source fails the user by mothlos · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There are lots of very capable coders out there who make excelent code for other techies, but for this very reason the UI often sucks. The individualism and "if you don't like it, fix the code yourself" attitude of many open source projects means that people who aren't code junkies, but are excelent at understanding what a user might want get excluded from the process far too often.

    1. Re:The big reason why open source fails the user by JohnFluxx · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I always see these types of posts on slashdot, and yet I never see this actually happen.

      I'm a KDE developer and see many of the processes that go on. We have a kde-usability group with many members and a high volume of traffic. Daily I see long email threads by the developers and users discussing back and forth ideas.

      We have many usability requests filed as bug on our easy to use bug reporting system (from the web bugs.kde.org or from any app Help->Report Bug) and most such bugs are closed quickly.

      I can't say I have ever recalled a developer telling a user "if you don't like it, fix the code yourself". All I see are the developers bending over backwards for the users. Because we enjoy what we do and want others to enjoy it.

  15. Michael Shermer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Michael Shermer wrote in his book "Why people believe weird things" that smart people believe stupid things because they are skilled at defending beliefs they arrived at for non-intelligent reasons. It comes down to intellectual attribution bias and confirmation bias

  16. Backwards! by fm6 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You're describing somebody who is so afraid of making a bad decision, they can't make any. TFA describes pretty much the opposite problem: being unfraid to risk a bad decision, but never being able to admit that it was bad.

  17. Pride. by blackest+sun · · Score: 2, Insightful

    When someone, or a team, puts so much hard work into something pride prevents one from stepping back to say "Wow. That's really messed up. We need to abandon/start over/find a new job"...leadership is lacking. It doesn't necessarily mean that every project needs a dictator. Sometimes a person will step up and provide direction before disappearing into the masses. Sometimes natural chaos works, sometimes a king is sorely lacking. Direction should never be taked for granted, however.

  18. Smart people are often stupid by ucblockhead · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What I've often seen is that really smart people can end up being really stupid because they have not yet run into that challenge that really tests them, so they don't have the experience of having to do real intellectual work. I remember a friend in high school who sailed through everything and got a near perfect score on the SAT only to crash and burn, flunking everything his first year. He'd gotten by his entire life on quick thinking, and had never had to do any real intellectual heavy lifting and when confronted with the need, he simply did not have an practice.

    This is not to say all really smart people do this. But it is a danger among the smart who never really made themselves work.

    --
    The cake is a pie
    1. Re:Smart people are often stupid by corsec67 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Practice makes perfect. But, does a lack of practice make horrible? Quite possibly, through atrophy, or even never having done something.

      During high school, I had such a great memory for what the teacher said that I could just listen, without taking notes, and then without studying anything, get good grades on the test. Throughout college, the classes where I struggled extremely were the ones in which I was expected to learn certain things outside of class. In those classes, since I had no practice of studying, or even the belief that I even should study, I did relatively poorly.

      The people who are smart enough to go through High School without even having to pay attention are in a worse situation than I was, because in college, what the teacher says is very important.

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
  19. The biggest problem by ShatteredDream · · Score: 2, Insightful

    is when people who are very intelligent compared to the rest of the public think they know it all. I think there is probably nothing worse than arguing with someone who thinks that because they are brilliant in one area that they are now all of a sudden uniquely qualified to render an opinion in all areas.

  20. Confusing Leadership with Skill by markx16 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think the issue at hand is that many people confuse leadership ability with skill. Being a good programmer doesn't necessarily make you a good project manager, nor is the best manager also the best coder. It's sometimes the case, and certainly some very skilled people successfully rise into management because their skill translates into seeing the big picture and hence being a good manager.

    But not all really skilled people see the big picture, and that's when ego kicks in. They can't stand taking orders from somebody less skilled than them. People complain about pointy-headed PHB's with no skills getting paid more that them, but the reality is that having 20 coders is a waste if they lack direction, and ideally, that's what the PHB is there for.

    Whether the PHB is actually effective is another story. Leadership is a nebulous thing and much harder to quantify and identify than skill - hence the embarrasing examples that slip through the cracks.

  21. That has nothing to do with intelligence by Scrameustache · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The problem with smart people is that they like to be right and sometimes will defend ideas to the death rather than admit they're wrong.

    I've known smart people like that.
    And fantastically dumb people like that.

    I've had someone argue that the queen of England isn't rich, and get this, when I explained that she's the biggest land owner in the U.K. and she made about 27 million a year last time I checked, he argued that she isn't rich because when she dies someone else will inherit her money (unlike Bill Gates, who'll bring it with him to the afterlife?).

    Smart people just defend their insanity with more flair.

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  22. I do this deliberately by cperciva · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I quite deliberately confront people with, and defend, astonishingly bad ideas. (For example: "If the US government really wants to save as many lives as possible, they should give everybody two weeks' notice and then drop a nuclear bomb in the center of Jerusalem. This would destroy the largest cause of Israeli-Palestinian violence.") I do this not because I actually believe such things, but because I want to find people who are willing to contradict me and justify their positions.

    Sadly, the vast majority of people either disagree without justification, or (even more worryingly) agree without justification -- which just demonstrates how unwilling most sheep^Wpeople are to engage in thought and/or debate.

    1. Re:I do this deliberately by Jeremi · · Score: 2, Insightful
      For example: "If the US government really wants to save as many lives as possible, they should give everybody two weeks' notice and then drop a nuclear bomb in the center of Jerusalem" [...] Sadly, the vast majority of people either disagree without justification, or (even more worryingly) agree without justification -- which just demonstrates how unwilling most sheep^Wpeople are to engage in thought and/or debate

      .... with an apparent genocidal psychopath. I too would nod, smile, and back away slowly to the nearest exit.... ;^)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    2. Re:I do this deliberately by Otter · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I quite deliberately confront people with, and defend, astonishingly bad ideas...Sadly, the vast majority of people either disagree without justification, or (even more worryingly) agree without justification -- which just demonstrates how unwilling most sheep^Wpeople are to engage in thought and/or debate.

      I think you may be confusing agreement with people who decide that you're a complete idiot (rather than a condescending nuisance), nod politely and look for an escape route. Certainly, whenever someone starts yammering to me about "sheep" (or worse, "sheeple"!), I "agree without justification" and flee as soon as an opportunity permits...

    3. Re:I do this deliberately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sorry

      This is the "argument from authority", which - as a student of Plato - you should know is the weakest of all arguments:

      "There are degrees and areas of expertise. The speaker is actually claiming to be more expert, in the relevant subject area, than anyone else in the room."

      I've met lot's of "smart guys" like you in the tech industry who throw up a whole set of ridiculous notions in the hope that some "idiot" (like me) won't notice how stupid the basic premise is.

      And the whole thing is based on "who's the biggest prat in the room?" You propose something outside the comfort zone of the victim and try to take the audience with you.

      Unfortunately, it such a cheap trick, it's dumb, and you don't do yourself any favors.

      Haven't you ever heard the advice "don't argue with a fool - people watching can't tell the difference"

      A PhD doesn't validate every idiotic opinion you have you know, only the one that was the subject of your thesis.

    4. Re:I do this deliberately by jwdb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I hope you were aiming for funny, not the insightful moderation you got...

      For those who modded it insightful, have you ever heard of playing Devil's Advocate and simply debating for the sake of debate? It's an excellent way to learn the tactics and refine your own ideas, whether you're arguing for or against them.

      I recently argued about the Israel-Palestine issue with two different people - thing is, I took the oppsite side in both. It really makes you think about the situation, and about what you really think the answer is.

      Jw

  23. Smart People Defend Bad Ideas... by AliasMoze · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...because people are not rational. We are sometimes temporarily capable of rationality, but the other 99% of the time we're ruled by subconscious forces. We arrogantly think in terms of making intelligent choices, but modern brain science is showing that decisions are an illusion, that there is only behavior, and that our behavior is out of our conscious control.

    So smart-schmart. Intelligence has nothing to do with it.

    1. Re:Smart People Defend Bad Ideas... by Capitalist1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The fact that most people these days *do* coast along without putting much-if-any effort into conscious thought doesn't in any way show that they are incapable of doing so, or that coasting is inescapable "human nature".

      You're right. Intelligence has nothing to do with it. As long as you're not physiologically damaged, your mental habits are much more important to your overall personality and behavior than any non-quantifiable "intelligence" factor.

      Being human is a *choice*, and most people choose poorly.

      --
      One man's religion is another man's belly-laugh. - LL
  24. Re:Uhmm by markx16 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hmm, so that explains why the (extremely successful) head of the NBA is an overweight Jewish lawyer?

    Skill doesn't automatically translate into leadership. It helps, but it isn't necessary.

  25. I love you self indulgence by Mr.Zong · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I look at it a kinda like this:

    The brain works on weighted probability. These weights change and readjust as we take in information. Taking some liberties with this idea, it seems like a good as time as ever to plug a section of my undergraduate paper: "An Observational Analysis of Machine Cognizance". (Disclaimer: I said undergraduate, haha :P).

    Imagine that human memory works on a sliding scale, one of infinitely negative and infinitely positive collections of like objects. These upper and lower bounds are set by the experiences of the individuals.
    Let's say you have two cats. Cat one is newborn kitten, while cat two is http://www.isfullofcrap.com/albums/Cats/buddha2.si zed.jpg (love those Maine coons).

    By looking at that image, you have just redefined your own maximum in relation to the object "cat".

    The more cats you look at, the more they all begin to look the same and you begin to tune out any old cat that may cross your path. But you'll always remember that big fat cat as the biggest you've ever seen (the maximum values, which can change) and newborn as the smallest cat you've ever seen (the minimum), while the "middle ground" deteriorates under the weight of the average cat. The more cats you see, the less you remember. Not only that, but cats they may appear big to other people, begin to seem normal to you. You've just seen to many damn cats to care anymore (call it desensitizing the mind, or information overload if you will). But you always remember the biggest and smallest. The best and worst.

    Couldn't this just be like the fattest cat scenario? These people have taken in so much that only things on the extreme end of the scale seem to have any relevance, while the rest just seems to be repetitive and mundane?

  26. Why Smart People Should Defend Bad Ideas by Quirk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In order to hypothesize we simplify. Using the idea of Occam's Razor we make a number of assumptions and the assumptions we make have a number of presuppositons attached to them. This is how we hypothesize in order to predict and once our predictions are shown to be correct we theorize. Gregory Bateson investigated these ideas in his book Mind and Nature. Smart people should defend dumb/wrong ideas, if they are concerned about falsification as the leading idea in the progress of scince, because the smarter the person the more likely the argument will be logical and the more logical the argument the more able we are to potentially falsify or verify it.

    --
    "Academicians are more likely to share each other's toothbrush than each other's nomenclature."
    Cohen
  27. Get over yourself. by sammy+baby · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Oh, bullshit.

    Every organization with a sufficent number of tech geeks (approximately three, in my experience) has one obnoxious asshole who is constantly throwing out awful ideas and defending them vehemently. If you haven't, you either work alone, or you are the obnoxious asshole.

    Nowhere in the article does he suggest that deferring to your manager is always the right course, and, in fact, we have this:

    It follows that if your team manager is wise and reasonable, smart people who might ordinarily defend bad ideas will have a hard time doing so. But sadly if your team manager is neither wise nor reasonable, smart, arrogant people may convince others to follow their misguided ways more often than not.


    So, you know. RTFA, and all.
  28. I'll try to help by interstellar_donkey · · Score: 2, Funny

    What he's saying:

    As a condition of being smart, defending ideas is a natural skill. Sometimes that skill takes precedent over rational thought and smart people will focus so much on being right that they will forget to think rationally.

    There, I just saved you 10 minutes of reading.

    Where's my check?

    --
    The Internet is generally stupid
  29. Re:Thomas Edison and DC current by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Thomas Edison was violently opposed to AC

    With all the stupid comments coming from AC's, I strongly agree with him.
    Oh, wait...

  30. numbers game by moviepig.com · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Why do smart people defend bad ideas?

    Lots of ideas become 'good' or 'bad' only with hindsight. (E.g., pet rocks, E-books...) And, 'smart' doesn't always mean 'prescient' ...or 'lucky'...

    --
    Seeing bad movies only encourages them. Watch responsibly
  31. Re:Thomas Edison and DC current by DoorFrame · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That's a lousy example. Didn't he fight to promote DC because he held the patent on DC current and NOT on AC current? It had nothing to do with being a bad idea, it had to do with Edison wanting to cash in on his invention.

  32. Because smart people think outside the box by bergeron76 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Any really intelligent person will weigh all sides of an issue before making a decision.

    The great ones are the ones that select the facet that is the least known, but has no good reason to be unknown; and they make it very well known - either just because, or because they can.

    --
    Don't think that a small group of dedicated individuals can't change the world. It's the only thing that ever has.
  33. Paul Graham by Psionicist · · Score: 4, Informative

    The essay's title is probably derived from Paul Graham's essay Why Smart People Have Bad Ideas. Recommended read by the way, that man has insight.

  34. Daikatana by Twid · · Score: 2, Funny

    In the software industry, the common example of thinking at the wrong level is a team of rock star programmers who can make anything, but don't really know what to make: so they tend to build whatever things come to mind, never stopping to find someone who might not be adept at writing code, but can see where the value of their programming skills would be best applied

    Well, that explains Daikatana

    --
    - "When you want something with all your heart, the entire universe conspires to give it to you" -Paulo Coelho
  35. I think I have an answer to that. by khasim · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Because the majority of the executives and Members of the Board do not capable of identifying what needs to be done or the person who can accomplish it.

    If they cannot define the criteria (other than "turn the company around") how will they be able to find a person who can successfully implement those criteria?

    Instead, they go with "rock star" CEO's.

    Here's a quick example. Get 100 pennies. Toss them in the air. Take out the "bad" pennies that came up tails. You should have about 50 left.

    Do it again. You should have about 25 "performing" pennies.

    Again, now you have weeded out the dead wood and you're left with a dozen or "successful" pennies.

    Again, now you have the half dozen or so "highly successful" pennies.

    Once more and you have the few "rock star" pennies. These are the pennies you pay millions of dollars to turn your company around. These are the pennies that don't make mistakes. These are the pennies that understand management and the market.

    And hiring CEO's is even worse than that. At least with the pennies, they only had a couple of factors influencing them. Companies have all kinds of influences from overseas competition to economic depression to lawsuits and so forth.

    If a CEO makes a decision, and the company increases in value, how do you know that it was anything other than mere luck?

    Maybe his decision was extremely stupid and a thousand other decisions would have increased the company's value even more.

    Which is why one of the first actions of the new CEO is usually to secure the golden parachutes for himself and other execs.

  36. The big reason why the user fails open source by Shadowlore · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are lots of very capable coders out there who make excelent code for other techies, but for this very reason the UI often sucks.

    I write apps for techies and I write apps for non-techies. The UIs and requirements are very different. Apps written for techies and accepted by techies is not proprly judged by non-techies, and vica versa. The arrogance is found in the people in both camps who insist that UI should fit their camp when it was written for the other camp.

    If I write an app for techies and they like it, there is nothing "wrong" with it. Often, "techie" interfaces are aimed at functionality, not "point click drool". Thus any remarks about it being ugly are simply irrelevant.

    The individualism and "if you don't like it, fix the code yourself" attitude of many open source projects means that people who aren't code junkies, but are excelent at understanding what a user might want get excluded from the process far too often.

    And if they aren't the "target market" of the code author(s) that is just fine. Quite frankly much of the apps I write are not intended for end-user non-technical people and I don't care if they don't like it. Nor should I. Making it pretty will NOT enhance my market in the slightest, it will only pollute it. The same goes for end-user non-technical apps I write.

    And finally, there is the "you get what you pay for" comment. Most open soruce apps are done for free. As such, Joe EndUser has no right to be "included" in the process.

    Now to tie it all up with the favorite computer analogy: cars. GM (for example) sells cars. They sell cars for the enduser, and cars for the techie. Most people are familiar with the first category. But they also sell race-only versions of some of their cars, such as the C5R or upcoming C6R. The general public has zero input into these models, as it should be. Other companies also make race cars. These are oriented around a specific purpose.

    The Mosler for example is a race-oriented car. Sure you can drive it on the street (and end user could buy and drive one), but it is aimed at being a performance auto for the track. It is the "code written by geeks for geeks" side.

    Then you have the minivans and sedans, for example. They are built for the general consumer (the end user w/o technical skills). Sure a racer can drive one, even adapt it for racing (tens of thousands of Americans do this every year), but as a racer their input is not part of the design process or feature list. Witness the near-universal elimination of options like radio-delete and ac-delete.

    IMO, nearly all these rants about ugly yet functional interfaces versus pretty but reduced functionality but pretty shiney interface fall under the categories above. Everybody wants a hand-built Ferrari for the price of a 10 year old wrecked and stripped Geo Metro. And they blame the "industry" for them not getting it.

    --
    My Suburban burns less gasoline than your Prius.
    1. Re:The big reason why the user fails open source by CyberDave · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sorry, but I'm going to have to go ahead and disagree with the bulk of your post. It's attitudes like this that make me hate using Windows and Linux for day-to-day work (I use my Mac and Mac OS X for my day-to-day work, but work with Windows and Linux systems as required/appropriate for work, school, and other projects).

      Joel Spolsky has a book out called User Interface Design for Programmers. In it, he makes a point of telling a story about a company that set out to design kitchen utensils for arthritic people (I want to say Oxo, but that could be completely wrong, and I don't have the book in front of me to check). The target market was people who couldn't grip a handle as tightly as you or I might be able to, so the utensils were designed with rubbery handles that were easy to hold onto and wouldn't slip, and that were large enough to grip comfortably. As it turns out, these utensils were a huge hit not only with the target market, but also with everyday users: they found the utensils easy to use as well, and the company took off.

      The point of this story is twofold: first, you never know who your target market really is until the product is out in the world. You may find that your intended target just isn't interested in your product, or that some group you overlooked while doing market research finds your product by accident, gives it a chance, and loves it.

      Secondly, and MUCH more importantly, is the notion that by designing something that is easy for a certain group of people to use, you end up making it easier for everyone to use. Everyone wins.

      I consider myself a pretty advanced user (undergrad degree in Computer Science, graduate degree in Comp. Sci. in progress, etc., etc). I use Linux on my PCs and on servers because of the flexibility it provides me. That doesn't, however, that I don't like to have that flexibility hidden from me behind a complex or non-intuitive interface. Consider, for a moment, a program that has a couple dozen options that are binary (yes/no), so that they can be all be chosen by simple checkboxes in a GUI. At first glance, you might think that I would like to have all those options in a single "Options" dialog box. After all, there all the options would then be presented in a single window and I could, in theory, find what I wanted to change quickly and easily. But how do I have to find that option I'm looking for? I have to start going through the options one by one until I find it. And if what I want is at the end of the list, I just wasted a lot of time and got a little annoyed (multiply that annoyance by every time I need to go through this). But what if I arrange the options by, say, function. All the file-related options in one group, all the text-related options in another, all the shortcut-related options in another. Take that a step further, and move each group to its own preference window or tab. Give each section a simple, descriptive name. Boom. You've just reduced the clutter, streamlined the interface, and made your users much happier. Instead of trying to search for "enable syntax highlighting" amongst dozens of checkboxes, I just need to select the text-related tab, scan 6-8 options, and click the checkbox. See, that wasn't so hard, now was it?

      It's people who dismiss with the wave of a hand the benefits of good user interface design that really irk me. A good user interface is not something that just happens to materialize out of thin air. Nor is it something that is really best developed by the same people who actually write the code, either. And sadly, it's the general attitudes of "if you don't like it, fix the code yourself" or "it works well for me, it should work well for everyone" that dooms so many applications. And don't even get me started on user interface conventions (I'll just say that they exist for a reason.

      /end rant

    2. Re:The big reason why the user fails open source by No+Such+Agency · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And finally, there is the "you get what you pay for" comment. Most open soruce apps are done for free. As such, Joe EndUser has no right to be "included" in the process.

      Fair enough, but coding with "Joe" (disclaimer: I am Joe) in mind is what could make the difference between your project languishing on sourceforge with only three users (two of whom could have written it themselves), or being the next big thing in OSS. So you're really only restricting yourself if you take this attitude. Of course, I recognize that as a FOSS coder your time is not being compensated, so "Joe" does NOT have the right to expect that you'll drop everything to code/update that nice UI.

      --
      Freedom: "I won't!"
  37. One Idea to Nail Them All by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Geeks can get infatuated with an idea that seems good, ignoring other good ideas that conflict with it. We used to call this "the tyranny of the single idea" - especially ideas that seem so good that they're treated as a "magic bullet", or (from a perhaps gentler folk era) a "panacea". This seems to be an variant of the Usenet wisdom immortalized in /usr/bin/fortune as "when all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail".

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  38. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by Tablizer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Are the Chinese dumb? No. The average score of a Chinese on a calculus/trigonometry test is significantly above average, outscoring the nearest American.

    That is because they actually use that stuff over there. We don't make physical stuff anymore, and thus don't deal with geometry etc. as much. We make junk bonds and bad movies, and you don't need trig for that.

  39. Maybe... by groman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Maybe... they aren't all that smart. Now, to answer the question why does society recognize absolute cretins as people of respectable intelligence?

    1. Re:Maybe... by zoloto · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That theory is based on what you would consider a respectable intelligence.

      Who's to say you are intelligent simply because you are of the average intelligence? It could be that only those on the ends of the spectrum are worthy of notation and you along with the billions of others that are within the range of "normal" get ignored and thus you feel you have to make others, most easily those of lesser intelligence, appear publicly, you yourself playing 'captian obvious', foolish.

      While most people will look at where you point and say, wow that was dumb or he/she is dumber than we are. Those with a higher realization of worth of our fellow man will look at you, the person pointing, and ask ourselves what happened or didn't happen in your life to make you feel insecure, of not much worth, or simply that you must point out others who aren't smart?

      Are you compensating for something or merely playing devils advocate?

      I would argue that society in general, specific examples aside, do realize the worth of our fellow man and have compassion and respect for their lives with an attempt to do the right things for them. Weather "smarter" or "dumber" than the average, we generally have compassion for people.

      But I would base my conclusions on what I would consider educated and the intuitive nature to think and not just a "drone" of society memorizing materials for tests and spewing out information in an attempt to make ourselves appear smart or intelligent.

      To each his own.

  40. Death of the psyche? by suitepotato · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Low self esteem which is a long-term estimation of self and high ego which is a transitory and ephemeral estimation. You can't replace the former with the latter any more than you can replace a proper diet with nothing but Cheetos and Ding Dongs no matter how much some try. And you can't invent the former simply with empty exercises. You have to examine yourself, be honest in both directions good and bad, and accept the outcome and the options for change as needed and commit to those changes or at least the endless path to the unattainable goals.

    But the usual response is the "sour grapes" one instead. These geniuses feel the world doesn't like them and regard them highly enough. They hate the world for that. They begin to respond accordingly with a haughty sneering disregard for others' accomplishments and abilities outside of their fold. Non-geeks are "lusers" and worse.

    Admit they are wrong? Fark no. That would be embracing the death of their artificial self they've made of ego straw. They can't face and embrace true emptiness that comes with the finality of true understanding and acceptance. They can't because of fear. Non-geeks may be right that they deserve derision and scorn. Non-geeks may be right that technical smarts aren't as good as hot social skills. Non-geeks may be right and they may be... wrong. And if the geek is wrong, then he isn't smart. And if he isn't at least smart, then he has nothing else and consequently would be... nothing.

    I went through gifted classes with kids who exemplified this thinking. Everything was about showing off their smarts. Making a calculator out of flashlight bulbs and switches. Creating new number and word games every single day. Designing new things and creating new programs and writing new reports every day. At all times, they had to be smarter. Any mistakes were not ignored as you ignore the dog barking outside while watching the football game. They were ignored in the style of a child covering their eyes with their hands and plugging their ears with their thumbs at night in the dark in fright desperately trying to ignore the things that go bump in the night.

    Because if they were wrong, then they weren't as smart as all that, and if they weren't smart, then they had nothing and were nothing. This would be the same as accepting total psychic death. If you are nothing, then how can you be?

    This is the mindset of most of the Linux world today. If they are wrong, then Microsoft by default is right and there is no other outcome. They cannot be wrong but learn and grow. They can't see that Windows is easier to install, configure, use, and support than any Unix variant for the average person and try to make Linux as easy. They can't backtrack and admit mistakes and leave it to others to fix their sloppy work on the theory that at least it is free. On this score, Microsoft is smart and sexy because they will after a while admit, say "we screwed up", and shrug and move on. The geek brigades besieging the MS world on the field outside never do.

    Well as someone who went through gifted classes and was maxing out the scores on all the IQ tests they could throw at me in grade school, I can confidently say to them, you can be and in fact are more often than not wrong. And the courage and intelligence to admit this and learn from it is far greater an intellectual exercise than making X11 behave with a new video driver while using Vi on a Chinese keyboard when your first language is French.

    I would further say to these people, let your fear go. You're wrong all the time starting with that you're wrong that being wrong means you're nothing. You are not secretly dumb because your intelligence is less than omniscience or because real world things trip you up as opposed to computer world things. And when you get older, you will get slower and you will seem less brilliant. If you insist on believing that your smarts are all you have, then when they are gone you truly will have nothing.

    Stop the worrying. Save time. Embrace the death of yourself. Begin recompiling self version 2.0.

    --
    If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
    1. Re:Death of the psyche? by argent · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm not in "the Linux world", and I've in the past even recommended Windows over any of the competition when it's been the best choice. So...

      They can't see that Windows is easier to install, configure, use, and support than any Unix variant for the average person and try to make Linux as easy.

      When you say this are you being a wise person defending a smart idea or a smart person defending a dumb idea? Remember, Mac OS X is a Unix variant too.

      Microsoft is smart and sexy because they will after a while admit, say "we screwed up", and shrug and move on.

      Oh, lord, I wish that was so. They've abandoned some of their best ideas, like the really clean and consistent keyboard/mouse integration they started with, and held onto dumb ideas like the IE/Desktop integration even when they were faced with the possible dismantling of the company as a result. About the only case can think of where Microsoft completely backed down on a really dumb idea was when they quit trying to make Windows work using cooperative multitasking.

    2. Re:Death of the psyche? by dvdeug · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I went through gifted classes with kids who exemplified this thinking. Everything was about showing off their smarts. Making a calculator out of flashlight bulbs and switches. Creating new number and word games every single day. Designing new things and creating new programs and writing new reports every day.

      To keep the brain working at peak performance, you have to exercise it just like you do your muscles. That's exactly what the behavior a highly intelligent person should be exhibiting.

      They can't see that Windows is easier to install, configure, use, and support than any Unix variant for the average person and try to make Linux as easy.

      Everyone who cares is trying to make Linux as easy. Most of the rest aren't interested in making the needs of the average person their goal. I see no real evidence for this generalization.

  41. Paul Graham by skochak · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Infact Paul Graham wrote on this just a month ago..

    Rather Interesting...

    http://www.paulgraham.com/bronze.html

    --
    This sentence contradicts itself - no actually it doesn't.
  42. Re:Why Smart People Defend Bad Ideas by superyooser · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, that was humorously ironic, considering the subject. On second thought, maybe it was very clever. Berkun perhaps put that there as a test (to be graded by feedback) to see if the reader had really comprehended what he was saying by modeling for a moment that which he was condemning (smart people defending bad ideas). I wonder if anybody else caught that.

  43. Re:Thomas Edison and DC current by Tomfrh · · Score: 2, Funny

    That Edison was a real bastard. Did you hear about how he electrocuted an elephant to death with AC in order to show how dangerous AC is?

  44. Re:Question by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Most of the time the point is just "fun". We don't do this to serve you, we do it for our own enjoyment. However, sometimes the point is "to get stuff done". In which case we do just enough to the job done and then we put up what we've got so others don't have to start from scratch. If you need more than my bare minimum then I expect you to code what you need, not come whining back to me that I didn't do what you need. The alternative is to start from scratch, so I think you should consider yourself lucky that I went to the bother of putting my stuff out there (and it is a bother).

    Ultimately, if you can't take open source and tailor it to your own needs then you need to either put up or shut up. Either put up code or cash to get it to do what you want or shut up and use what you've been given.

    On the other hand, if you've already paid someone for some open source software feel free to bitch and moan to that person as much as you like. Feel free to tell everyone that person didn't supply you what you paid them to supply you.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  45. Never pass up on a good thing by Scrameustache · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In my younger years, I took this to mean "Do everything, because you can". Now that I'm in college, that entire lesson was bunk, and now I'm stuck with a bunch of what I'd consider useless knowledge.
    [...] something a lot of us are blessed/cursed with [...]
    The problem with it is futility [...]
    Sadly, I don't see an easy solution.


    In art, it's known as the "white page syndrome".
    You have a clean, white canvas, on it your talents enable you to paint anything. So you sit there, awash in the mental miasma of the endless possibilities assailing you.

    The way I deal with it is to stop thinking and draw a random line, then based on what this restricts the possibilities to, I can build around it.

    And the use I found for my "useless" knowledge is to wait for the conditions under which it will become usefull.
    Maybe you'll be at a job interview and you'll have knowledge of something the interviewer is passionate about: Bang, you have the edge, you get chosen over the other equally qualified applicants.

    My knowledge of all-around trivia actually became usefull when I was employed in a company that did some localisation work, it wasn't what I did there, but whenever the translators were faced with a subject they were unfamiliar with, they came to me. The kids in highschool were hostile to me for being a know-it-all, but at that job it made me quite popular.

    Off course, I still feel this... lassitude, sometimes. I haven't found an easy solution, but since in a hundred years' time we'll all be dead, we might as well be ourselves while we can : )

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  46. The Short Answer by colonist · · Score: 2, Insightful


    Smart people defend bad ideas...

    because there is a difference between knowledge and wisdom.

  47. The Gentle Art of Verbal Self Defense by Ben+Jackson · · Score: 2, Informative

    In part the article talks about how to handle yourself in a conversation with a someone who is wrong but (successfully) verbally agressive. This reminds me of a great book called _The Gentle Art of Verbal Self Defense_ [insert your own Amazon affiliate link here...] which discusses all kinds of conversation techniques for dealing with people who have mastered various annoying habits that seem to keep you from making your point. And if you don't think you need this book to help yourself then you should read it to learn about all the unfair, annoying and childish ways you can dominate a conversation. Just in case...

  48. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by damsa · · Score: 3, Funny

    Damn it, the average score of average American's taking Calculus exams score is mean. We need to do something about it so at least half of those taking the test will score above the median.

  49. Re:Thomas Edison and DC current by Artifakt · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Edison had the chance (repeatedly) to hire Tesla and keep him. Westinghouse ended up hiring him instead. Edison had chances to work with Westinghouse and many others in ways that could have been very profitable, but insisted on being a solo star ticket at practically all costs. Edison chose repeatedly to spend lots of money on patent litigation, demonstrations for the public, and other fluff to try and prove his points (electrocuting elephants isn't cheap!).

    --
    Who is John Cabal?
  50. New Slashdot slogan by MacGod · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Slashdot should change it's slogan from "News for Nerds. Stuff that matters" to "Slashdot: smart people defending bad ideas". Never before have I seen a more apropos description of this very sight than the article linked herein.

    --
    "Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one " -Albert Einstein
  51. Re:Thomas Edison and DC current by Invalid+Character · · Score: 2, Insightful
    (Actually they were neighbourhood pets that Edison stole and electrocuted, but that doesn't make it any less disgusting)
    Or what about how he screwed Tesla over?

    Edison: I'll pay you $50,000 if you redesign and improve this generator design.
    Tesla: Sure, no problem.
    ....some time later....
    Tesla: Done. Now wheres my money?
    Edison Haha! Gocha good!
    Tesla: Nothing? Not even a bit of it?
    Edison: I'm sorry you don't understand American humor.

    Tesla was a far greater man, and has been robbed of his place in history and in the mind of the public.

    --

    --

    Registered .sig quotient : 1337

  52. Dangerously offtopic, and here goes my karma by freeweed · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why Smart People Defend Bad Ideas

    Because their parents, and/or religious leaders, tell them to.

    *puts on asbestos suit*

    --
    Endless arguments over trivial contradictions in books written by ignorant savages to explain thunder in the dark.
  53. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by lartful_dodger · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Maybe not, but it was *their* totalitarian theocratic regime.

    Imagine how people would feel if the Chinese tried to overthrow the totalitarian theocratic regime in Saudi Arabia, or the United States...

    --
    The face of 'evil' is always the face of total need
  54. Why Smart People Defend Bad Ideas? by SensitiveMale · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Three words

    "Pride of authorship"

  55. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by rokzy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    give the USA back to the native Americans or go home and shut the fuck up.

  56. Learning & Unlearning by EEBaum · · Score: 2, Interesting

    When people learn new ways of doing things, they often forget or disregard other possible ways of doing things. Most people assume the new ways they learn are better, and they often are. However, it is a quite easy way to get a group of people in a rut, especially if they only work with each other and, shall we say, "don't get out much."

    This happens in the musical world as well. As a composer, learning new rules and methods leads to writing that better follows and can more skillfully and effectively bend these rules. However, I've noticed that once I learn any given rule, I forever think in terms of that rule. If I ever want to ignore that rule, I am "actively" ignoring it. Once a new method is learned, methods that are oblivious to it vanish from one's repertoire, for better or worse.

    I somehow thought this was relevant to the topic.

    --
    -- I prefer the term "karma escort."
  57. The author should meet some smart people... by hung_himself · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The writer is talking about poseurs and pseudo-intellectuals. You know - the ones you can't *avoid* hearing at parties... These people know that they are not *that* smart and try to protect their image of intelligence by defending every statement. While they believe that they have successfully pulled this off (as in the article...) what they have really done is convinced practically everyone around that they have no clue.

    In contrast, the majority of *really* smart people don't really care if they're wrong occasionally since they *know* that they are smart and being wrong once in a while is no biggie and they'll learn something so that they will be right (again) the next time...

  58. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    http://img210.echo.cx/my.php?image=steps9gg.png Sorry, it just sprung to mind.

  59. Crazy China suppression story by Bill+Walker · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The Dalai Lama's not a particularly violent guy, or he has a great pr team...

    To digress, I heard a truly bizarre story in college. I was taking "Mongols in History" (senior year and my requirements were fulfilled), and one of the students told us this:

    After Tiannemen Square, the Chinese decided to be more discreet about suppressing protesters. During an independence protest in Lhasa in the mid-90's, they infiltrated the crowd, and at a prearranged signal stabbed hundreds of demonstrators in the back. Anyone who subsequently went to the hospital with a stab wound was earmarked as an inssurectionist and quietly executed.

    This story is a totally uncorroborated rumor, but I think I believe it. It's genius in its own way-- brutal, effective, and discreet.

    I'm probably too buried for anyone to read this, but if you do, has anyone else ever heard something similar?

    --
    Please, for the love of God, no more car analogies.
  60. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by Twisted64 · · Score: 2, Informative

    "The average score of a Chinese on a calculus/trigonometry test is significantly above average..."

    Obviously the parent is not Chinese. Nah, just kidding. You could've said "...above the global average..." to make it clearer, though.

    --
    Consciousness is a myth. Trust me.
  61. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Take the Chinese for example. The majority of them insist that Tibet should be occupied by Chinese military forces.

    That would probably be due to the fact that information is very strictly controlled in China. If the only source you have for information is the communist media, then the persecution of the Tibetans, the Uighurs, Falun Gong, and the Tienanmen Square Massacre will all seem like the enlightened policies of a benevolent state.

    When I chat with Chinese people via the internet, they all know that they lost a relative or two during the 1960's, but they have no idea that Mao's "great leap forward" debacle killed something more than twenty million people.

    Likewise, they have no idea that that little twerp of a Stalinist runt running North Korea let three million people starve to death so that his pride wouldn't be hurt by getting out of the way of the foreign aid that could have saved them.

    Chinese people aren't stupid, by any means. Just observing the ingenuity with which they work around their totalitarian masters, making a living while paying lip-service to the memory of the man who killed around thirty million of them ("great leader", indeed!), will show you that they're remarkably resourceful.

    What gives me great hope for China, is the way that the Chinese I speak with are so eager to find out what the thugs don't want them to know. Back when Deng ordered the slaughter in 1989, he had to bring in troops from far out in the country, who had no idea what was going on in Beijing, since the local garrison wouldn't have opened fire on unarmed protestors.

    The commies will fall, and they will fall because internal communication is improving by leaps and bounds. One thing a totalitarian regime needs above all else to stay in power, is the ability to lie and effectively supress the truth. That ability is rapidly slipping away from the Chinese government, and sooner or later, they'll fall just like the Soviets. Once that happens, hold on to your hat, because China will accomplish some truly amazing things.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  62. 8 = 6+2 by goon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    And this is why Edward de Bono makes for interesting reading. I wont bother detailing his bio but point you to his website. de Bono spent the early part of his life working on the structure and self organisation of the brain.

    He has spent considerable more time trying to get people to think better. For example in a thinking exercise he tries to explain why people (not just smart ones) argue incorrect results to problems through a simple example:

    • '... Most people cannot distinguish between: 6+2 = 8 8 = 6+2 The difference can be rather important. The addition of 6 and 2 cannot produce any answer other than 8. But 8 can be made up of combinations other than 6 and 2 (5+3, 4+4, 7+1). Why is this important? Because people start to believe that if you have a 'right' answer there is no need to think further because you can never be more than right. Having the right answer means you do not have to listen to other answers because they can never be 'more than right'. The result is a severe limitation on thinking. The point will be followed up in my next message. [Weekly Message (Week 20), Edward de Bono 8th May 2004] ...'


    Good ideas flow from good thinking. Good thinking is (mostly) about changing perception not logic or argument.

    --
    peterrenshaw ~ Another Scrappy Startup
  63. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by listen · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This is utter utter crap. There are at least a hundred million roaming unemployed in China. Just think for a second : about half of the people employed by the state or state owned enterprises before Deng came to power have been sacked as these businesses became unprofitable.

    "
    The narrow official definition of unemployment leaves out millions of people who are out of work, by a common-sense definition. A good place to start is to ask who is out of work and needs a job but is not counted in the official unemployment figures. These are the main categories:
    # Xia gang, or "off-post" workers, not registered as unemployed and still contractually tied to their work-units, possibly receiving short-term very limited benefits.
    # Surplus, unpaid but not officially laid off workers at state-owned enterprises (SOEs), technically hired but economically expendable.
    # Laid-off workers still contractually tied to their work units.
    # Migrant agricultural and rural workers who move to cities, an estimated 94 million of them, or more.
    # Surplus rural workers.
    # Workers who disappear into the informal economy.
    "

    It is of course very difficult to get any sensible information out of China. The only people counted as unemployed are those who had a job in a city and lost it. That rate is about 10% of official urban workers, ie 30 million out of 300 million . The biggest portion left out are the roaming agricultural workers - at the very least a hundred million out of work due to cheap food imports from the US, Canada, the Ukraine etc.

  64. Re:China: Smart != Number Doodling by BewireNomali · · Score: 2, Interesting

    YOU CAN'T TEACH INNOVATION IN SCHOOL....

    Agreed. The reason our country tends to be innovative is referred to in the article. Innovation comes from diversity of source. Having a myriad of people from disparate backgrounds, all with prodigious problem solving abilities... something good will arise from that. You'll get strong ideas from people used to defending their positions and are thus resistant to peer pressure.

    Taking that a step further, you need a leader who KNOWS when the killer idea has been hit upon.

    Gonna reveal my geek roots for a minute: When I was a kid I read these cheesy books by a guy named Piers Anthony - called BIO OF A SPACE TYRANT. The guy's name was Hope Hubris and he rose from a small agricultural colony floating in the Jovian atmosphere to become the leader of the Jovian colonies. It was always pointed out in the books that Hope Hubris, in and of himself, was not particularly talented. He was never great at any one thing, other than at getting the best people united under one cause. For some reason, really smart and talented people put their faith in him to lead them, to champion their cause.

    I've noticed that most people who are great at designing widgets have a noted inability to grasp the bigger picture. I think it's really true that for the most part, leaders and innovators can't be taught. They arise as a consequence of conditions.

    I also agree with you in regards to test scores. Test scores don't measure the quality of our innovation... they measure the quality of our work force. That said, if the United States ceases to innovate, we become inherently disadvantaged because of the inferior workforce we produce because of our less regimented education system.

    In regards to innovation, our society seeks to crush that too... through homogeniety (sp). Stifle immigration and champion media culture, and you have everyone thinking the same things... doing the same thing... being the same things. That again robs us of innovation. Somewhere, some really innovative person has just discovered video games, or MTV, and it's a wrap for that guy.

    In other words, *and I can't believe that I'm saying this* some concepts of the traditionally republican ideal make sense. Free capitalism.... leave everyone to their own devices - make everyone hustle for everything that they have, and you have an efficient economy. This makes sense.
    Unfortunately, we live in a very decadent society. Everyone has too much (even "poor" people), and this makes for satisfied people. Satisfied people don't innovate. Therein lies the trouble, and why we have much to fear from countries like India and China (Africa is next - they also have a billion people, and AIDS is stabilizing. It actually is on the decline in urban centers. If they lose a quarter of their population, they still have 3/4 of a billion people rapidly migrating to urban centers and embracing education. On top of that, the African continent has a treasure trove of natural resources left untapped because of civil strife. China will always be hindered because it cannot power it's population. India will be hindered because most of its population practices a religion diametrically opposed to the ideals of capitalism. Africa can both power and feed itself, and is rapidly embracing Catholicism and Christianity). I'm rambling.

    --
    un burrito me trampeó.
  65. Dumb People also Defend bad Ideas by Morosoph · · Score: 2, Insightful
    And the bad ideas aren't always obvious.

    To a great extent this issue reminds me of the observations made of those more and less likely to believe in the supernatural. Sceptics are likely to miss pattern that exists, and believers are likely to invent non-existent pattern (or so we believe). To spot counter-cultural pattern, then, is also to be more likely to invent pattern that isn't there.

    The trouble being that there are many conclusions that the informed or observant can make that differ from "common sense", and the brain being what it is, we don't necessarily know the steps of how to get there. This doesn't make us wrong... or right; our perception is different.

    I'll pick an example that generates more heat than light on slashdot: how do illegal downloads effect aggregate sales of music and movies? The common man is sure that IP infringement must lead to reduced sales, yet many slashdotters believe this not to be the case, and a few even believe the opposite.

    What is the truth? The form of the question can affect the outcome. For example: restrict your study to (relatively poor) students, and you get the "common sense" result. Aggregate sales using a detailed and sophisticated economic analysis, and you get no effect. But maybe our intellect is misleading us: if we get goods for free, although it might shift our spending onto other music and movies, are we perhaps less motivated to work in the first place? with this larger frame of reference, it appears that the intelligent individual has quite possibly picked a convenient intermediate-sized frame of reference, when a frame of reference that was larger still would (perhaps) reveal 'theft' from the economy as a whole. This is a bit of a conconcted 'counter-example', though: our greed is such that we're likely to keep working to own more, regardless of how much we have.

    What about software patents? Most of us here (myself included) are anti. Assuming (for the moment) that the 'anti' stance is right, why then do so many lawyers believe the converse? I doubt that it's wholly because of their self-interest (although that might bias them); it's because of a particular view of the business of business, of the value and importance of contract and of property, and of incentives and defined rights that meld, to the lawerly mind, with morality, and the natural way of things. To break with this, brings them to presuppose harm, and their experience with the concrete (case by case), rather than the systemic effects reinforces this way of thinking. Is the abstract argument really wrong? That it's harm to think of examples of avenues that will be impeded (they haven't been thought of yet!) doesn't make them any less real. Here, then, the emphasis upon concreteness is itself misleading.

    Another example: minimum wages. I believe that one of my own JEs illustrates this well. I don't think that I (arguing for a minimum) argued at my best, and Red Warrior applied some experience, but neither of us "won", I feel. However, one thing's for sure; most of the pro-free-market intellectuals ignore the 'monopsony' effect of deliberately cartelising the labour force, so that the first level of abstraction is misleading as to the degree of the effect on unemployment. To some extent, then, here the 'simple' reaction that it redistributes wealth the the relatively poor has a lot of truth to it. The intellectual's love of pristine, perfect, simple systems can and does mislead. My stance might itself be flawed. The intellectual's stance often comes from a deeper analysis or intuition, and they could easily be at a loss to explain it. From this difficulty, it's difficult to decide which way is the truth. Not all difficulty is denial.

  66. Begging the question by TuringTest · · Score: 2, Informative

    But if you do that in this context then you're falling to the "begging the question" fallacy (the "What created God" is relevant in terms of the Thomas Aquinas demonstration of the existence of God, explained in the GP's post).

    If you state that God exists by definition, then you can't use their properties to demonstrate the existence of God. Either you accept (as you do) that God is a definition and not a proven fact, or you admit that Aquinas' logic is not sound because God fails to conform to the laws of physics (and thus a physical reasoning can't prove its existence).

    --
    Singularity: a belief in the "God" idea with the "demiurge" relation inverted.