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The Laptop Supply Chain

Carl Bialik from the WSJ writes "When a U.S. consumer orders a laptop from HP or other big sellers, how does the machine get made? Often via a complex supply chain in Taiwan and China, shaped by rocky cross-Strait relations, according to the Wall Street Journal: 'Outsourcing to low-cost, high-quality Taiwanese manufacturers has helped make Dell and H-P the world's top two PC companies in terms of sales...But the relationship between U.S. computer firms and their third-party manufacturers can be tricky. In the struggle to retain an element of control over their suppliers, H-P, Dell and others play contract manufacturers against each other to keep prices falling and ensure no supplier gains too much leverage.'"

44 of 232 comments (clear)

  1. Build by xerid · · Score: 3, Funny

    I build my own. This way I can play, too.

    1. Re:Build by ID000001 · · Score: 5, Informative

      There are barebone notebook with just the case and motherboard these day (Many avaialble at www.newegg.com for instant) and let you have some flexiablity in setting up a notebook yourself as far as component goes. Brand like Acer, ECS are very popular.
      Still much more limiting then a desktop PC, but it is a far cry from a few years ago where you can only have one model of video card and one properity casing CD-Rom drive you can upgrade to a writer for $200.

    2. Re:Build by xerid · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Check out this Tomshardware link

      http://www17.tomshardware.com/howto/20050504/

  2. uh? by Mr_Silver · · Score: 4, Interesting
    In the struggle to retain an element of control over their suppliers, H-P, Dell and others play contract manufacturers against each other to keep prices falling and ensure no supplier gains too much leverage

    ... and how this is different from every other industry?

    As a consumer, if you want your products nice and cheap, then these sorts of negotiations are par for the course. If they didn't do it, you'd take your money elsewhere.

    --
    Avantslash - View Slashdot cleanly on your mobile phone.
    1. Re:uh? by dsginter · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If they didn't do it, you'd take your money elsewhere.

      There's really no "elsewhere" in the laptop market. All manufacturers make dirt upon initial sale but then rape the customer when they break the LCD or need a replacement battery. This is why the laptop industry needs an open laptop form factor - LCD swaps would be about $150 and batteries would be $20.

      FWIW, I actually do laptop repair on the side and I've noticed that every battery pack contains the same 3.6V cells. There *is* a standard, the vendors just put the cells into proprietary cases so we can't interchange them.

      --
      More
    2. Re:uh? by mikael · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Look at the X-ray photographs of laptops. Another one here.

      You can clearly see that each "single" battery, is a serial arrangement of eight smaller cells.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    3. Re:uh? by Migrant+Programmer · · Score: 2, Informative

      You can clearly see that each "single" battery, is a serial arrangement of eight smaller cells.

      You don't say?

      battery
      noun ( pl. -teries)
      1 a container consisting of one or more cells, in which chemical energy is converted into electricity and used as a source of power : [as adj. ] battery power.

    4. Re:uh? by mikael · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, the number didn't need to the same same - could have been six, seven, nine or whatever.
      They could have used 60+ Lithium coin batteries and still remained within the package size and price.

      At discount prices, the individual cells cost around $5 each, giving you $40 for a battery with eight cells, while the manufacturers charge around $200 for a packaged laptop battery, but only $50 for a digital camcorder.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  3. Who knew? by MarkGriz · · Score: 5, Funny

    "... shaped by rocky cross-Strait relations"

    Who knew that laptop technology was influenced so much by country music. And, why is he so cross anyhow?

    --
    Beauty is in the eye of the beerholder.
    1. Re:Who knew? by Skater · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Are you sure it's not Dire Straits?

  4. That's great! by dextroz · · Score: 5, Funny

    In a few years, no one on continental America will know how to put a laptop together :-/ But they'll be great at tracking DHL/AirBorne and of course flipping burgers ;-)

    --
    Where's my free iPod!? Until then, I'll settle for a kiss...
    1. Re:That's great! by bombadillo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Progress has always left some jobs behind. Buggy whip and block ice jobs used to be well paying

      These jobs were replaced by technology. Their roles were antiquated. Fortunately, advancments in technology opened up the door for other career paths.

      We are seeing something different now. These jobs are not antiquated. Many of the jobs moving overseas are still relevent and will be in the future. They are simply moving out side of the country to cheaper labor. The problem I see regarding this trend is that most of the countries lack labor laws. There for we have to be careful and bring those countries up to our standards and not regress to third world/US circa 1900 standards. I would rather read a Dickens novel not live one.

    2. Re:That's great! by bombadillo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I can see your point on assembly. However, we are facing a potential brain drain when highly educated jobs are being shipped out of this country. While it may be good in the short run for the economy it is not good in the long run for the U.S. economy or our position in the world. U.S. companies enjoy the protection and influence of the U.S. government on a global scale. Therefore it would be good for the U.S. companies to keep the brains in the U.S.. However, for that to occur you have to keep some of the less intellectual work domestic. How else will you train the next generation of workers. I like the H1B program and wish they would open the gates a little more. Having highly educated people coming into the U.S. and contributing to our local economies makes us stronger.

      I am well aware of the difference of Cost of living having lived in Florida, Atlanta and London. However, we are also comparing the modern world with proper access to food and good labor laws. You can pay some one much less in Missippi than NewYork. However, both locations have good labor practices. What concerns me are the countries that do not have those standards and have no incentive to improve their standards. Having people work in sweat shops in unsafe conditions is not a matter of cost of living it is a matter of regard for life. low regard of life really shouldn't be justified by cheap labor.

  5. Lower price... by ID000001 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    means at least the saving are pass onto the consumer. Admittedly though, there are not a whole lot of choices when you buy a laptop. More often then not you will not be told where the laptop are made unless you can see the underside of it.
    Since customer perfers price over quality in general, it is not really the companies fault to find the cheapest supplier.

    1. Re:Lower price... by ID000001 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And mind I add. There are no way to easily put "Quality" on the flyer or other adverstiment. They certainly can't say "We spend more time building this notebook then the other".
      Until you can put a number on Quality and compare it to other, an advancing technology like this might not be the best place to put your effort in build quality. Word of mouth will still work, but by the time the early adaptor got comfortable with the product and starting to tell people how great they are. Model with more battery life, faster process or lighter case will be available. Buying 2nd hand product doesn't benifies the company one bit.
      Maybe we need to have a standardize torture test for consumer products to ensure their quality are comparable. When enough people are aware of that number, then companies might not just find the cheapest supplier available and try to find someone who actually build a better product. In my experience IBM have the most durible notebook around, ironically enough. They are the one who outsource the least.

  6. Interesting... by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    From TFA:

    Outsourcing to low-cost, high-quality Taiwanese manufacturers has helped make Dell and H-P the world's top two PC companies in terms of sales. International Business Machines Corp., which outsourced less than half of its laptop production, according to Merrill Lynch, and operated its own factory in China, consistently lost money on its PCs. It sold the business this year to China's Lenovo Group Ltd., which has used Taiwanese companies to make most of its notebooks in China.

    So, IBM used to keep most of it's own laptop production in-house. Which may partially explain why the ThinkPad's are, by far, the best laptops around. Let's see what happens to the ThinkPad now that Lenovo runs the show.

    1. Re:Interesting... by lucabrasi999 · · Score: 4, Informative
      Lets put it this way, if IBM had upped their prices to the level they needed to in order to make the same money as HP and Dell, would you pay that extra money to get the quality? And would enough people pay that extra to help IBM succeed in a volume business, or would their prices have to rise still further to ensure profits in a niche.

      Pre-Lenovo, the IBM laptop tended to be significanly more expensive than any of it's major competitors (not counting Apple). Therefore, IBM had already included the higher quality of their laptop in the price. The ThinkPad is a very popular purchase amongst corporations. Companies were willing to pay the extra price for the perceived quality and service that IBM provided.

      IBM products were good, but too cheap for IBM to make money on it.

      Last year, IBM made a profit on the PC and laptop business. But, they only made 1 or 2 percentage points profit on that hardware. I just checked HP's web site and they reported a profit margin of 2.1% on their PC's and Laptops for the first quarter of 2005. So, the margins IBM was making were comparable to at least one of it's main competitors.

      And their opinion was clearly that technical superiority meant nothing in a market that appears to be dominated by price.

      I think you are right on this point, but I would have phrased it differently. IBM's opinion was that laptops and PC's have become a commodity and the profit margins were too thin to justify remaining in that line of business. IBM does still has a "toe-hold" in the PC/laptop business, since it owns a minority share of Lenovo.

    2. Re:Interesting... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      IBM products were good, but too cheap for IBM to make money on it. And their opinion was clearly that technical superiority meant nothing in a market that appears to be dominated by price.

      The market says the cheapest laptop is the best.


      You missed a spot. When you say "the market," you mean the CONSUMER market. A market that, frankly, IBM hasn't expressed any desire to play in for years (disclosure: worked in their personal systems group until about a year ago).

      IBM doesn't want to be a consumer laptop brand. They don't sell retail--you can't buy an IBM laptop from any store. If you watch their commercials, most of the features they're touting (rapid restore, etc.) are features that most appeal to businesses with hundreds of laptops, not consumers.

      The market IBM wants to play in is the business market. And, frankly, most business do NOT have "price is the only consideration!" restricitions. Dell does well in some parts of the corporate space, but things like total cost of ownership and support costs matter MUCH more to business than consumers. And IBM's pretty darn good at that. They're in no way hurting.

      You assume that highest volume and being a strong competetor in the consumer market are IBM's aims, or at least are what's in the best interest of their shareholders. IBM disagrees, and frankly they're probably right. They're not going after the low-margin business of competing with Dell for the cheapest PC on the block. They're going after higher-margin, higher-quality, feature-rich needs in the corporate market. It's a considerably better strategy than Gateway's unfocused "we need to beat Dell at their own game" approach.

      The market research says you're an idiot.

    3. Re:Interesting... by I_can_not_believe_I_ · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's interesting, IBM actually received the bulk of our laptop orders, and *all* off the field and upper management orders. They were reliable, solid (well, bullet-proof really) machines that really seemed to rival Apple in the "just works" category. We know we paid a premium to buy IBM as opposed to Dell or someone, but the difference was worth it, especially when having to replace *another* LCD screen on a Dell that fell apart being hauled too and from the office. I can only imagine how often our field laptops would have required repair/replacement, we looked at going with Toughbooks once, but the additional cost wasn't justified with what the Thinkpads were capable of.

  7. High Quality? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "High Quality Manufacturers?" Seriously, has anyone ever used a HP laptop before... If hospital equipment functioned at the same "High Quality" that HP laptops do then we wouldn't have to worry about pulling the plug on our loved ones. The machines would work for two weeks, start getting really slow, the screen would break, and then it would fail and kill the patient.

  8. Imagine the effects of a Chinese attack on Taiwan. by Infinite+Entropy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I always worried about the effect that any Taiwan-China conflict could have on the supply of computers. It seems almost all motherboards are made in Taiwan and a whole lotta RAM.

  9. Taiwan: Laptops are just the tip... by Nova+Express · · Score: 5, Insightful
    ...of Taiwan's importance to the Gloval High tech economy. Even more important are the roles of Taiwan semiconductor foundry houses like TSMC and UMC. Taiwan dominates the foundry business (IBM and Singapore's Chartered have significantly lower volumes), and with more and more chip design firms going fabless, an ever-greater percentage of cutting-edge chip designs flow through Taiwan. Indeed, it would be hard to find a computer or MP3 player sold today which didn't have a part fabbed in Taiwan.

    Now, imagine what would happen to America's high tech industry if Communist China invaded...

    --
    Lawrence Person (lawrencepersonh@gmailh.com (remove all "h"s to mail)

    http://www.lawrenceperson.com/

    1. Re:Taiwan: Laptops are just the tip... by AndersOSU · · Score: 2, Interesting

      America's tech industry might take a temporary hit, but since its not their assets in Taiwan, they'd quickly find a contractor willing and able to make the parts elsewhere (India).

      I'm more concerned that if the US will be compelled to intervene if China invades.

    2. Re:Taiwan: Laptops are just the tip... by WhiteWolf666 · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Consquences of a China threatening to invade Taiwan?

      The U.S. moves the seventh fleet towards Taiwan.

      For those who don't know; The seventh fleet is the world's largest naval armada, and its currently stationed at a port in Japan.

      I believe it constitutes *multiple* aircraft carrier battle groups, as includes nuclear armaments. That fleet alone would be enough to level most of Asia, let alone China.

      China, although it may threaten, and although it has a nuclear arsenal, does *NOT* have the capability to invade Taiwan. China's *entire* navy consists of the following:

      http://www.navyleague.org/seapower/chinas_navy_tod ay.htm

      he acquisition of these technologies resulted in China's production of more advanced surface combatants during the past decade-- including a single 6,000-ton Luhai-class guided-missile destroyer (DDG), two Luhu-class DDGs (4,200 tons), and nine Jiangwei-class frigates (2,250 tons). These units are equipped with the HQ-7 or HQ-61 short-range air defense systems that likely will be replaced by a longer-range vertical-launch system within the next three to five years. These ships also have integrated tactical data systems, an improved antisubmarine warfare suite that includes embarked helicopters, and gas turbine propulsion.

      Notwithstanding these improvements, the backbone of the PLA surface fleet remains its 16 aging Luda-class destroyers (3,250 tons) and 30 Jianghu-class frigates (1,425 tons) that are largely inadequate to meet the requirements of modern warfare. The planned acquisition of two 7,940-ton Russian-built Sovremenny-class DDGs in the 2000 to 2001 period will improve the PLAN's surface-combatant capabilities. These units are likely to be equipped with an advanced SAN-7 air-defense system, the KA-28 Helix Helicopter, and SSN-22 cruise-missile technology. The PLAN's HQ-61 and HQ-7 systems are based on the French Crotale land-based surface-to-air missile system, and they do not provide surface units with an effective area-defense capability. This deficiency makes PLAN surface units extremely vulnerable to air attack.


      Furthermore, China's airfore consists of 20-30 year old Russia planes in various states of maintenance.

      Taiwan's airforce consists of the latest and greatest American military hardware that their economy can purchase. Consider that Taiwan spends about 1/6 of the amount China spends on their military. This is to defend a small island, while the Chinese expenditure must go towards the entire nation.

      This is in addition to the U.S. unofficial military support.
      List of Taiwanese naval ships: http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ship/row/rocn/

      As of right now, I would not be certain that China had naval superiority over Taiwan *alone*, ignoring that the U.S. navy makes both look incredibly puny. Considering the following facts:
      1. No Naval superiority for China
      2. Air superiority for Taiwan
      3. Massive naval superiority of the U.S.
      4. ~$120 billion in trade between TaiwanChina
      5. Reluctance of China to employ nuclear weapons

      I'd say its *extremely* unlikely that China will seriously consider invading Taiwan over the next 50 years. Saber rattle? Perhaps. Let loose the people's army? No way.
      --
      WhiteWolf666 an exBush supporter. All you new-school,compassionate,save the children Republicans can rot in hell
  10. Summary by HomerJayS · · Score: 2, Insightful

    <insert any type of product here> manufacturers seek to produce their products at the lowest possible cost. They outsource to overseas contractors who in-turn outsource to even lower cost labor in the emerging manufacturing economies of Asia.

  11. Cheap by I_Strahd · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't know about anyone else, but I have a problem buying the cheaper Laptops.
    I inevitabley run into hardware problems on the sub $1000 laptops.
    I would rather pay a little more and not have the down time for my users. Strahd

  12. depends who is the channel leader by BitterAndDrunk · · Score: 2, Informative
    In any supply chain you have a channel leader. Sometimes these are the end resellers of product (automotive companies, Laptop manufacturers). Other times these are midstream manufacturers that are too big to really mess around with (Walmart, Intel and the like when dealing with chip development for closed systems like bar code scanners).

    In cases like the above, the channel leader can leverage CMs against one another to drive down price. That's your day-to-day negotiation strategy . Your choices become much more limited when you're not the company leveraging the supply chain. The customer isn't always right, sometimes it's the customer that has to grin and bear it.

    I don't know how on-topic any of this is, but I'm tired and don't want to write my weekly status report.

    --
    You better watch out, there may be dogs about . . .
  13. Summary by 823723423 · · Score: 2, Informative

    [1] Lionel Menchaca, a Dell spokesman, says the Round Rock, Texas, company obtains partly built laptops from contract manufacturers, but does final assembly at its own factories in Ireland, Malaysia or China, where microprocessors, software and other key components are added.
    [2]When a customer in the U.S. clicks on Hewlett-Packard Co.'s Web site to purchase one of its Pavilion zd8000 laptop computers, the order quickly arrives thousands of miles away at a factory in China run by a less-familiar name, Quanta Computer Inc.

  14. *Communist* China? by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Where have you been the last 30 years?

    I think you'll find that China could cripple pretty much all of the American economy should it choose to, and without bothering to invade Taiwan.

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:*Communist* China? by Jerf · · Score: 2, Interesting

      True... but it would probably trigger an almost instantaneous revolution amoung the people who benefit from US relations, which is a lot of relatively rich people.

      Sure, China could "pull the plug"... but guess who gets the worse end of that deal?

      Metaphorically, we get hurt. Badly, even. But they die. (Possibly literally for the gov. leaders.)

      China may threaten this. They may do little things here and there. But they aren't going to pull the plug enough to do more than minorly inconvenience us. (To a large degree, that works out even less in their favor than a complete plug-pull; the less reliable they are the more people build things elsewhere.)

    2. Re:*Communist* China? by Dogtanian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, the Chinese economy may be becoming ever more capitalist, but it's still a totalitarian state with the typically Communist lack of respect for individual freedom.

      Jeez... if it weren't for your Dutch email address, I'd have written you off as a right-wing American. I don't like 'true' communism at all (impossible in practice, and I don't even humour it in theory now), but your implication that capitalism --> freedom (and vice versa) and that totalitarian --> communism (and vice versa) is a typical knee-jerk reaction.

      It's quite possible to have a capitalist system in place under a totalitarian government, you know. The fact they have lack of respect for freedom doesn't make them communist (true in the opposite direction, though).

      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
  15. OCEC? by localman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I wonder if there will ever be an "Organization of the Computer Exporting Countries" cartel?

  16. Feels like a rerun by dkf · · Score: 2, Informative

    of this story.

    --
    "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
  17. The ongoing pattern.. by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What I found interesting was the move to manufacturering the more expensive components in China - that is the next place to look for cost reductions. It'll take a while, but it will happen - leaving Tiawan to do higher end engineering and component fab, with the commodity stuff outsourced (much like we do today).

    China's also developing the engineering talent to do the design work - Siemen's already does cell phone work their; China certainly has the talent to develop into a major player. Of course, political challenges - how do you keep such diverse country in one piece if you lessen the central control.

    If I were India, I'd be worrying about the Chinese developing enough English speakers to capture the call center business.

    --
    I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  18. Ooo! I know! by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 3, Funny
    "When a U.S. consumer orders a laptop from HP or other big sellers, how does the machine get made?

    Magic elves.

    I'm more concerned about the lapdance supply chain.

  19. The big picture: American industrial/tech decline by intnsred · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Having our laptops and PCs made this way may seem great -- for as long as the Chinese keep funding our ever-increasing trade deficit by taking our declining dollars and purchasing our treasury bonds.

    Dell and HP are at least keeping some design and marketing jobs in the US. :-/

    But if they follow the lead of many other American companies (e.g. GE), that design will be out-sourced overseas. American corporations are being destroyed by their own greed and shortsightedness. Many American companies are now only shells -- they're a brand name with a US-based sales and marketing force and everything else done overseas.

    Fool yourself if you want, this is not a sustainable way of doing business. Consumers may think they've got it great now, with prices going down. But those same consumers are transferring wealth overseas and we're only able to do it now because the rest of the world allows the US to get into debt that no developing country could -- we can do it only because of the dollar's dominance.

    Eventually that dollar dominance will evaporate and we'll realize that we transferred huge amounts of wealth and industrial power to foreign countries, all based on an ideology of greed and "free" trade.

    Now, none of these are my own ideas; this is seen clearly by those on the political left and also by "traditional" conservatives. People like Reagan's Asst. Sec. of the Treasury and former Wall St. Journal editor Paul Craig Roberts have written extensively on this foolish but deliberate economic suicide. The mainstream corporate mass media avoids this -- it may upset people, cause them to question the conventional wisdom, or, worse in their view, impact their short-term profits.

    Laugh and enjoy it while we can; things that can't go on forever don't.

  20. Manufacturer designs making headway by poity · · Score: 3, Informative

    While large manufacturers build machines on exclusive designs from resellers like Dell, IBM, HP, Sony, etc., many of these same manufacturers have thier own branded designs available through smaller resellers.

    These manufacturer designs are cheaper because they are often sold unbranded. They also experience shorter timespans between hardware revisions because they don't have to wait for those exclusive design specs from resellers, and thus often have the latest components in their models months ahead of those from the major resellers.

    ASUS, one of the largest manufacturers in Asia, supplies Apple with Powerbooks, iPod shuffle & minis, Sony with many of their laptops, and have been an on-and-off builder for IBM in the past (there was a report in March of ASUS in major talks with Lenovo to be their supplier in the future), among other famous names. This is one of the many well-kept secrets in the laptop industry.

    ASUS has seen their own laptop line more than double in sales since last year, mainly due to word of mouth between computer enthusiasts venturing into the laptop market.

    Major manufacturers who supply brand name resellers as well as popular specialty shops:

    ASUS
    Mitac
    Uniwill
    Clevo
    Compal

    Some resellers (VoodooPC, Falcon Northwest, Hypersonic, ABS, and Alienware among others) add some paint and a label (and, like good captalists, at least $500 to the pricetag) to these machines to come up with their own specialty models. Many other less visible resellers (MWave, Discountlaptops, ISTNC, Proportable, and others) sell the exact same machines unbranded in customizable barebone configurations for incredibly low prices.

    As computer enthusiasts ditch their unwieldy desktops for portable solutions, we will find manufacturer brands becoming more and more visible to the general public, and large brands will have even more competition.

    --
    your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
  21. Re:The big picture: American industrial/tech decli by RubberDogBone · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That's because companies are only looking as far ahead as the next quarterly report, or maybe the next annual report. That's all the shareholders care about so that's all the companies care about.

    China, Inc. and others are looking much farther down range. China is working on 50-year plans, which currently involve them taking over the world in many different areas of commerce if not military.

    Shortsighted American and Japanese companies worried about short-term profit and loss can't compete against something willing to take losses for decades. Eventually the US companies die or get bought out by China on the cheap.

    If there's ever a war between the US and China -and I think there will be one within the next 100 years- we're going to have a difficult time sourcing parts. China will be sure to ban trade with the US so nobody else will sell to us, and meanwhile the US will have totally gotten out of the R&D, chipfab and assembly business. Nobody will know how to make anything and it will take years to get going again.

    --
    Sig for hire.
  22. Re:division of labor by intnsred · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The division of labor is a good thing, but we're talking about something completely different here. The US built its industry based on high tariffs and high labor costs. The original EU was such a success because they implemented policies which aimed to slowly raise up poor EU countries' wages in combination with a slow lowering of the tariffs in wealthy EU countries.

    Now the voters in two wealthy countries shot down the EU constitution. The opposition was overwhelmingly from the working classes. They're not stupid, they knew that constitution would force them to compete against Turks and other poor countries and their wages would go down the tubes along with the social benefits it took them decades to win.

    I'd urge you to read some independent views on the subject of outsourcing. As I mentioned, Paul Craig Roberts writes extensively on the topic. Hell, even mainstream types like Lou Dobbs have begun to question the "free" trade gospel. Look at the type of jobs which are created now in the US -- they're overwhelmingly in low-paying service industries. Those service jobs do not generate anywhere near the amount of wealth as manufacturing jobs do; as the dollar plummets, those service jobs won't pay for our imported oil, let alone our other import demands.

    On a consumer level, take a look at the PBS Frontline documentary "Is Wal-Mart Good for America?"; it's viewable freely online in Real video format.

    When you see the part where Wal-Mart literally tells a mid-western hosiery company to shut down its US plants and move to China, ask yourself: Is that really good for America? Yes, we get cheaper socks. But hundreds of Americans get thrown out of good paying jobs and are tossed into the unemployment line.

    With unfettered "free" trade, we're in a race to the bottom. American workers are literally forced to compete against the poorest workers in the world, workers who, in China's and many others' case, have no labor rights and work under appalling conditions.

    Do you honestly think we can maintain our standard of living in such a situation? We're selling off and mortgaging our economic industrial power to produce things that we could easily produce here. We're in a race to the bottom forcing Americans to compete against the poorest laborers in the world. Who do you think is going to win that competition?

  23. Article Error by Khyber · · Score: 2, Informative

    'Outsourcing to low-cost, high-quality Taiwanese manufacturers has helped make Dell and H-P the world's top two PC companies in terms of sales

    Wrong. Dell and HP only outsource about 1/5 of their stuff to Taiwan. 2/5 ends up in India, the other 2/5 is in Guadalajara, Mexico.

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  24. Re:The big picture: American industrial/tech decli by intnsred · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You don't know much about economics, do you?

    First, the American military is impressing nobody. The swelled head bubble about the US being so militarily invincible has been popped by brave Iraqis defending their country with little more than assault rifles and light arms. The weakness of the US military is shining clear for all to see. While the US is dangerous, the world is no longer in awe.

    Second, the US economy can also be easily popped. If China were to dump the 600-800 billion dollars its central bank holds into the international currency market, the US economy would implode and we'd be pushing around wheelbarrows full of currency to buy groceries just like they did in Weimar Germany. Sound extreme? Not if you read the mainstream economic journals. They all readily admit that such a move would quickly put the US into a deep economic depression.

    Don't believe it? When, a few months ago, South Korea's central bank announced they were "diversifying" their currency holdings to lessen the amount of depreciating dollars they hold, Wall Street responded by dropping more than 200 points in 1 day. The US quickly talked to South Korea and they announced that they were not going to diversify their holdings (only later to do it slowly and privately).

    But fortunately, it would not be in China's interests to dump their dollars, since it would also ruin the Chinese export market to the US. Hell, China's getting rich off from the US, why mess up a good thing? The only way China would do this would be if we were to mess about with Taiwan or something very serious.

    Another weak point is the fact that the US pays for its oil imports in what can only be termed a shell game. We arm-twist oil producing countries to only price their oil in dollars. So Saudi Arabia prices their oil in dollars, we can print all the dollars we want (and we do!), and the Saudis have to take them. In the 80s we forced the Saudis (and similar puppet regimes, e.g. Kuwait) to invest those dollars into the US stock market or in US Treasury Bonds (because if the Saudis were to do anything else with them, it would illuminate how weak the dollar is). It's a shell game, but the end result is that it's another way we're selling off the country.

    This oil scam can be easily popped. It will only take a group of oil producing countries to price their oil in currencies other than the US dollar. If this were to happen the US banking industry would lose huge transaction fees and we'd have to pay "real" money for oil.

    And what do you know, Iran is in the process of setting up an oil market which would use multiple currencies to buy oil. Gee, you think that might explain a bit of the US hostility towards Iran?

    And what do you know, Russia has talked about just that -- pricing its oil in Euros. Even though it's only talk, the US response has been harsh and explains a lot of the recent rhetoric about Russia's undemocratic policies (we had no problem with non-democracy under Yeltsin).

    Of course there was one oil producing country who did break these rules and dared to price its oil in a currency (the Euro) other than the US dollar.

    That country was Iraq.

    But if you think the economic rules of empire don't apply to the "invincible" US military and economy, just ask the British about those rules.

  25. Re:The big picture: American industrial/tech decli by intnsred · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, I'm aware that the Yuan is pegged to the dollar. But in the case of a dollar collapse, the Yuan could easily be detached and allowed to float like any other currency.

    As to the Chinese Yuan devaluing if the Chinese stop it from being pegged to the dollar, that just doesn't make sense. Are you sure you don't have that backwards?

    The US gov't is trying to get the Chinese to allow the Yuan to float freely like other currencies. The Chinese refuse, primarily for two reasons:

    (1) The Yuan would rise and thus make Chinese exports more expensive on world markets (which is the public reason why the US gov't wants the Chinese to float the Yuan; this is 180 degrees opposite of what you claim).

    (2) It would open the Yuan up to currency manipulation by wealthy capitalists, int'l banks, and currency traders, such as we saw in the East Asian financial collapse during the 1990s. The Chinese saw what happened to their neighbors, and, well, they aren't stupid.

  26. Re:division of labor by intnsred · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If outsourcing is bad for America, then isn't outsourcing bad for your state, your hometown and for your family?

    Whether outsourcing -- in this case meaning outsourcing jobs overseas -- is bad for your hometown/family, etc., depends on a number of factors. Obviously, if my work is in a company reliant on exports, I'm going to think it's good.

    But overall, stats from both the US gov't and labor organizations reflect that we're losing more jobs overseas than we're gaining jobs from exports or from other job creation. (Bush *still* has a net job loss record during his presidency.)

    things i suspect aren't true:
    - the US built its industry based on high tariffs and high labor costs.


    Check any decent history of the 1800s. You'll find that tariffs were a huge source of gov't revenue and was -- decade in and decade out -- the perennial political issue. Working classes, in general, wanted low tariffs to have access to cheap goods, and capitalists wanted high tariffs to protect their industry (the capitalists typically controlled gov't and politics).

    As for high labor costs, again, any good history of the 19th century will cover that. Though not recorded in typical US history books, there was a huge "push-pull" dynamic going on with European labor. Many Europeans came to America for free land and opportunity and became immigrants. But there were also many who were "pulled" to the US attracted by the high wages, and then were "pushed" back home during times of depression. Good economic texts will also document the labor costs as a driving force for US industrial automation and innovation.

    - jobs being created in the US are overwhelmingly in low-paying service industries

    I've mentioned Paul Craig Roberts repeatedly, so I'll quote a part of one of his articles, The US Labor Force: One Foot in the Third World: "In May the Bush economy eked out a paltry 73,000 private sector jobs: 20,000 jobs in construction (primarily for Mexican immigrants), 21,000 jobs in wholesale and retail trade, and 32,500 jobs in health care and social assistance. Local government added 5,000 for a grand total of 78,000. Not a single one of these jobs produces an exportable good or service. With Americans increasingly divorced from the production of the goods and services that they consume, Americans have no way to pay for their consumption except by handing over to foreigners more of their accumulated stock of wealth. The country continues to eat its seed corn."

    "Only 10 million Americans are classified as 'production workers' in the Bureau of Labor Statistics nonfarm payroll tables. Think about that. The US with a population approaching 300 million has only 10 million production workers. That means Americans are consuming the products of other countries labor."

    So that's the May 2005 stats. And I'll refrain from adding that it takes about 150,000 jobs per month to be created just to break even (the number of people turning 18, increases in population, etc.).

  27. Re:nuclear war is good for the planet by listen · · Score: 2

    Erm, no, that is the point. You can't. I think you need to reevaluate what you think constitutes a legitimate argument. Do you understand the concept of a logical fallacy?

    You are stating that :

    Division of labour is good for everyone everywhere at any scale

    OR

    Division of labour is NOT good for everyone everywhere at any scale

    SO

    As division of labour is clearly good at some scales, the first statement must be true.

    Clearly you have excluded the middle : that it can be good at one scale and bad at another, or good for some people and bad for others. Therefore your argument is fallacious. If your response is to attempt to reinvent or argue against logic itself rather than modify your premises, then there is no hope for you.