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Space Shuttle One Step Closer To July Launch

Mictian writes "The risk to the space shuttle from launch debris, mainly ice falling off the external tank, has been reduced and is now low enough to be considered 'an acceptable risk,' NASA's shuttle engineers and managers concluded in the debris verification meeting held Saturday at Kennedy Space Center. The board recommended a green light for a July launch, which Shuttle Program Manager Bill Parsons accepted. The independent Return to Flight Task Group will hold its final meeting on June 27th to determine if the remaining 3 (out of 15) hurdles to launch are cleared, as mentioned in previous Slashdot coverage."

27 of 92 comments (clear)

  1. Successor to the shuttle? by October_30th · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So, what's going to happen after the shuttle fleet retires?

    --
    The owls are not what they seem
    1. Re:Successor to the shuttle? by Manhigh · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Crew Exploration Vehicle (CEV)

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crew_Exploration_Vehi cle

      --
      "Open the pod by doors, Hal" > "I'm afraid I can't do that, Dave" sudo "Open the pod bay doors, Hal" > alright
    2. Re:Successor to the shuttle? by xMilkmanDanx · · Score: 2, Insightful

      US scraps space program turning over leadership of technology and science to China/Europe...

      At least hopefully that isn't what happens.

      Someone else already posted about the CEV, so there is at least a planned successor.

    3. Re:Successor to the shuttle? by m50d · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The shuttle has had one planned successor or another for about 15 years, one should have come in about 3 times over by now. Don't hold your breath.

      --
      I am trolling
    4. Re:Successor to the shuttle? by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2, Funny

      MARS OR BUST! However, what kind of vehicle and who pays for it has not been decided. (Don't you just love unfunded government mandates!) I'm sure the Russians will throw in a few bottles of Vodka and a grandstand for the launching ceremony.

    5. Re:Successor to the shuttle? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Been reading a good book called 'new moon rising'. It illustrates some recent history regarding shuttle replacement attempts:

      X-33: Al Gore/Dan Goldin/Lockeed Martin 1996. A reusable space vehicle. Like the shuttle New engine, thermal systems, internal structure, ground processing, guidance, navigation and control. First flight March 1999. X-33 had a liquid hydrogen tank failure in 1999. Forced heavy tank redesign. In 2003 the program was 5 years behind schedule. Funding was stopped and put towards the Space Launch Initiative. (SLI) NASA and Lockheed spent 1 billion + on the project.

      X-34: Suborbital technology demonstrator to go 50 miles up at mach 8. Test bed for hight tech/low cost. Reusable fast-rack engine. Fast track engineering failed. Flight test in 1999 failed to happen. By late 2000 it was in a 2 year delay. Eventually program was scrapped.

      SLI(space launch initiative): 4.8B thought 2006. Work with industry to develop a privately owned reusable launch vehicle. Basically keep using first generation shuttle while developing second generation craft.

      X-37: Reusable technology demonstrator. Test variety of space flight concepts. 2 vehicles would be built. An atmospheric test vehicle and one to be tested in space released from shuttle. Weight requirement failures caused air-force to abandon program. Too heavy now needs atlas V or delta IV. X-37 has wings but NASA now taking capsule approach.

      X-43: Scram-jet test. This was successful. Though, capsule approach likely to be used now. One of the few X projects to actually succeed.

      X-38: AACRV -- assured crew return vehicle. Basically a lifeboat for ISS. Only goes on way...down to earth. This project did not depend on new technology like many other x projects. Successful drop test of craft in 2000. Many other tests successful. One of the few successful x projects. Not deployed because it was dependent on ISS and could only go one way...down. So, cancelled in 2002.

      OSP: Orbital Space Plane. 2003. Carry 4 crew to and from ISS. Shuttle blows up again. NASA mission changed for vehicle that would goto ISS and *beyond* earth orbit.

      CEV: being designed. But uses current technology. Designed to goto ISS and to moon. Capsule design ... Apollo program influences. Still be worked out right now.

      So, there has been much research to a shuttle replacement. Looks like they are going to use existing technologies and get away from 'space/plane' type of designs with questionable technologies.

    6. Re:Successor to the shuttle? by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 3, Funny

      They switch to a Balsa vehicle and VLRB (Very Large Rubber Band) launcher.

    7. Re:Successor to the shuttle? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      THe primary difference is that the CEV program is based on today's technology. The previous shuttle replacement plans (NASP, X-33, Delta Clipper, etc.) were all experimental craft that needed several unproven, expensive, and risky key technologies developed before they could be built. This was exasperated by the fact that those craft were being built on relatively low budgets. In the case of the X-33, nearly every component of the craft was one of those undeveloped technologies with no room for error or redesign.

      In the case of the CEV, life is simple. Spiral One will only require that we build a technology similar to what was created in the 1960s. i.e. A capsule. Reusability isn't even specified, but most competitors have taken that route because they can. (The shuttle technologies are not completely going to waste here.)

      Since the capsule will be designed for only carrying (relatively light) humans as opposed to the 28 tonnes of cargo + 104 tonnes of spacecraft the shuttle carried around, the engines will be nothing more than a commercial booster. In the case of the CEV, the booster will only need to manage a mere 20 tonnes to LEO. Which means that the CEV can pull a Delta IV or Atlas V off the shelf for launch operations. (The CEV program does have bugetting for a new rocket, but the point is that any rocket can be used.)

      In short, the CEV is completely the correct idea. Use technology we have today to develop a targetted launch vehicle for humans, and worry about developing other vehicles through regular development programs. For cargo, just use a cargo specific vehicle. The very definition of KISS. :-)

  2. "Acceptable Risk"? by gardyloo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Of course it is. It always has been. Yay for admin-speak.

    1. Re:"Acceptable Risk"? by pcmanjon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't see why it has taken THIS long for them to do anything about it. For the longest time (half year) they just sat around saying "what are we going to do about it guys?" without any sense of direction or determination to get it fixed.

      They were in no particular hurry (don't get me wrong, hurrying is a bad thing) nor was there any urgency to find a solution. It was pretty much, "find a solution at your own convienence"

      NASA has done some great stuff; but they just seem too slow and insignificant these days.

    2. Re:"Acceptable Risk"? by s20451 · · Score: 4, Funny

      How about "The risk is not unusually large for a situation in which you strap yourself to several hundred tons of explosives and light them."

      --
      Toronto-area transit rider? Rate your ride.
    3. Re:"Acceptable Risk"? by demachina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Here is a dose of bad attitude for a Sunday afternoon. I was thinking about going back and finding all the Slashdot articles about the space shuttle returning to flight over the last 2+ years. If you recall after the crash NASA was saying they would be flying again in a year. Well its going to basicly be 2 and half years IF they launch in July and that is a big IF. I hate to break it to you but the Shuttle really isn't any closer to launch today after this new finding, than its been for most of this year. Any one of a about 100 people in about a dozen committees can get cold feet over one of about a thousand safety issues, all of which are totally valid, and its all called off again.

      How about we stop posting articles about the Shuttle launch schedule and just wait until they actully launch the f**king thing.

      Bottomline is the shuttle program team has. after two catastrophic failures, reached a state of near paralysis obsessing over safety issues most of which have been there for ALL of the last 25 years. Either they are sometime soon gonna say F**k it, fly, or they are going to say "but what if this went wrong" and the launch date will just keep slipping indefintiely. At least maybe they have an administrator now who will make them launch someday and do something worthwhile for a change. As nearly as I can tell the Columbia crash totally messed up Sean O'Keefe's head and he was so paralyzed ny the DANGER of manned space flight I doubt the shuttle would have ever flown again with him in charge.

      The cruel reality is that most of the people who work on the Shuttle get paid the same whether it flies or not up until someone finally says enough and pulls the plug on it and I doubt any politician has the guts to actually do that. Even when that does happen all those people will quickly jump to one of the two CRV teams and politicans will be obliged to move all the money there since the jobs program that is the manned space program MUST BE PRESERVED AT ALL COSTS, even if they never launch another man in to space. The CRV is especially cool because there are about 10 years of paychecks waiting there before they have to actually risk launching anyone in to space.

      --
      @de_machina
  3. More info by Robotron23 · · Score: 4, Informative

    The BBC article goes into more detail, including the scrutiny over the decision over the July launch. In particular over ice impacts to the shuttle's heat shielding. Heres the article;

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4622243.stm/

    The only major problem NASA faces with regards to the shuttle is its planned retirement date. Put simply, if weather,mechanical and indeed financial conditions permitted the maximum amount of Shuttle launchs the International Space Station would still not be completed.

  4. Interesting? by ravenspear · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That article is far from "interesting."

    I took particular offense to this passage: The gross glutted wealth of the federal government; the venality and stupidity of our representatives; the lobbying power of big rent-seeking corporations; the romantic enthusiasms of millions of citizens; these are the things that 14 astronauts died for. To abandon all euphemism and pretense, they died for pork, for votes, for share prices, and for thrills (immediate in their own case, vicarious in ours). I mean no insult to their memories, and I doubt they would take offense.

    What a kook! This guy obviously has no background in anything scientific, has absolutely no clue about what the space shuttle or NASA are trying to accomplish and can not analyze anything outside of a patheticly narrow and egotistical political lens.

    Not surprising to me though was seeing this kind of an article come from the National Review.

    1. Re:Interesting? by 0123456 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "This guy obviously has no background in anything scientific, has absolutely no clue about what the space shuttle or NASA are trying to accomplish"

      I have a background in science, I've been a VIP at several space shuttle launches, met numerous astronauts and NASA employees.

      And I agree with everything that he says.

      Maybe you could explain exactly what NASA has accomplished with the Space Shuttle and the Great White Elephant in the sky?

    2. Re:Interesting? by 0123456 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "1. Exploring space (could be key to our future if something ever happens to earth)"

      The shuttle ain't doing much exploring, it's just going round and roung in circles: and it's far cheaper to send robots to do the job of actually exploring than humans.

      "2. Testing and developing new technologies to advance space flight, aviation, and other areas that wind up being useful here (velcro, etc.)"

      The spin-off argument is totally bogus and has been debunked numerous times. The fact that you believe NASA developed velcro shows you don't know what you're talking about.

      "3. Eventually building space habitats that more people will be able to visit. ISS is for scientific purposes,"

      What science, exactly, has ISS produced?

      "but several private companies have already put forward plans to put up space hotels, resorts, etc. A lot of them use technology developed by NASA."

      No-one in their right mind would use NASA technology for a space station: it's way too complex, expensive and maintenance-intensive. The only 'space hotel' likely to fly in the next decade, if at all, is based on inflatable modules, not NASA-style spam-cans.

      "4. AI. Robotics has made large advancements thanks to NASA and the space program."

      For which the shuttle is absolutely irrelevant, except to the extent that it takes billions of dollars away from useful robotic exploration programs to blow on 'Buck Rogers'.

      "5. Developing new propulsion methods. Several preliminary designs for commercial hypersonic aircraft are based on NASA tech."

      For which the shuttle is absolutely irrelevant. Equally, we don't have any 'commercial hypersonic aircraft', so the fact that NASA blew a few bucks studying them is irrelevant too.

  5. Don't rush it by m50d · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I want to get back into space as much as anyone - heck, if there was a chance it would work I'd strap a booster to my back and be launching myself. But cutting corners for PR deadlines was what caused the disaster in the first place. Take as long as you need, NASA.

    --
    I am trolling
  6. Re:Is it worth it? by Council · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I think space missions are cool and all, but here's a pretty interesting article about why it may be wasteful and an inappropriate way to spend taxpayers' money.


    I'll read the article. But:

    The West Wing on Voyager crossing the termination shock:

    "Voyager, in case it's ever encountered by extraterrestrials, is carrying photos of life on earth, greetings in fifty-five languages, and a collection of music from Gregorian chant to Chuck Berry, including "Dark Was the Night, Cold Was the Ground" by 1920s bluesman Blind Willie Johnson, whose stepmother blinded him at seven by throwing lye in his eyes after his father beat her for being with another man. He died penniless of pneumonia after sleeping bundled in wet newspapers in the ruins of his house that burned down.

    But his music just left the solar system."


    Okay, maybe I'm dumb to feel inspired by that. I don't know why it's so touching. But every time I think of it I get goosebumps.

    The Onion said it best. Holy shit, we walked on the fucking moon.

    It may be true that there's no incentive to explore space, in terms of measurable returns. We get spinoff technology, but maybe it would have come anyway. That's debatable. But we walked on the fucking moon. That is one of the biggest moments in any chronicle of our race. Let's keep at it, if for no other reason than that we can. Let's be the one species that survives itself and spreads out into the universe.
    --
    xkcd.com - a webcomic of mathematics, love, and language.
  7. Re:Is it worth it? by Council · · Score: 2, Insightful
    But do inspiration and goosebumps justify forcibly extracting money from taxpayers, and spending the lives of our best and brightest?


    Yes.

    Let's have some balls, for once, and go somewhere. We can sit here, doing with shinier toys what we did again and again throughout history, or we can go somewhere. Exploration, man. "And he willed that the hearts of men would seek beyond the world, and find no rest therein." Let's go.
    --
    xkcd.com - a webcomic of mathematics, love, and language.
  8. Re:Is it worth it? by jazzman251 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    have you ever thought that WAR was a "wasteful and an inappropriate way to spend taxpayers' money"??

  9. Re:The risk of ice falling has been reduced! by NOLAChief · · Score: 4, Informative

    Not a damn bit. These tanks are being filled with cryogenic propellants, one at about -290 F, the other even colder. Ice is going to form on the tanks. The whole idea of the insulation is to reduce, not eliminate, the amount of ice that forms. Basically, the tank is so cold it doesn't care if it's 0 F outside or 100 F outside. The ice will form and it won't melt.

  10. The shuttle is about politics, not science by StarWynd · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I grew up in the era when all the shuttle launches were televised and it seemed that every other kid wanted to be an astronaut when they grew up. I was one of those kids and I believed that all the cool science and break-throughs were made by astronauts up in orbit.

    However, during college, I realized that the shuttle program is about 95% politics and 5% science. I got an internship within the space program, but in the unmanned satellite area. After college, I continued to work in the area of space sciences and now I have several missions under my belt. Having seen how things work from the inside, the majority of good science comes from our unmanned satellites that don't make the news and the majority of the public don't even know about. While there are certain scientific benefits that the shuttle program has brought, the majority of the shuttle program has been a public relations campaign and politics.

    While I already believed that every precaution should be taken before sending the shuttle back up, I want NASA to make extra sure that every precaution really has been made because we are risking people's lives in the name of politics and public relations. Don't get me wrong, I don't want people to risk their lives in the name of science or exploration either, but there will always be some risk in exploration. There shouldn't be any risk (with respect to people's lives) just to play politics and get nice photos of Americans and Russians together in orbit.

    I don't want to see the manned program disappear. But I do want to see NASA be as responsible as they can be. I don't know where the "acceptable risk" falls, but I sure hope it's really low.

    1. Re:The shuttle is about politics, not science by demachina · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "The majority of the shuttle program has been a public relations campaign and politics."

      You left out, giant welfare/jobs program. They are cool high paying tech jobs for the most part ... well ... and lots of people pushing giant piles of paper from point A to point B, but it is still basicly just a jobs program. The jobs program includes:

      - All the NASA civil servants in the manned space program, civil servants being hard to fire once you hire them you pretty much have to make work for them and their number almost never gones down but instead creeps up.

      - All the people working for the prime contractor which as I recall is a consortium made up of a partnership between Boeing and Lockheed. (Note Boeing and Lockheed should be vitter rivals and competing with each other but since they formed a consortium for the Shuttle and just announced a parternship for expendable boosters they successfully eliminated all pretense of competition and are now a defacto space flight monopoly and the DOD and NASA have to pay whatever they feel like charging. Those two companies are really formidable lobbyiest so they can almost single handedly arm twist a bunch of Congressmen in to keeping the funds flowing to Shuttle and the ISS most of which goes in to their pockets, and interestingly they make just about as much with the shuttle grounded as if its flying. Most of the people in the manned space program probably don't actually care if it flies because their paychecks keep coming anyway and its less nerve wracking if they don't fly. Maybe their paychecks should be contingent on successful launches with all their salaries for a period being revoked in the event of catastrophic failure, then maybe they would get serious about spaceflight.

      - All the people working in all the NASA centers and facilities, all the prime contractor plants, and a vast army of small contractors. Interestingly they are intentionally spread through nearly every congressional district and there are big centers in politically powerful states like Texas, Florida and California. The work was spread all over just so Congressmen had to back the space program no matter how screwed up or wasteful it got because it meant jobs someplace in their district. Sen. Bill Nelson in particular is a huge supported because he is of course from Florida.

      Maybe all this is what you meant by "political" but I'm inclined to say the manned space program was pretty much doomed when LBJ put Johnson in Houston. He did it purely to heap prestige, jobs and dollars on to his home state of Texas. It also insured the Texas congressional delegation would back manned space flight from that point on. Practicly though its insane that everything done at Johnson isn't done at Kennedy. Much of the bad communication leading to both Challenger and Columbia could be traced to the fact half the people team was at Kennedy and half was at Johnson and the communications between the two warring centers is inevitably bad not to mention the bills they must run up constantly traveling between the two places.

      If you want to restore your faith in people who are in aerospace for the love of it, the Discovery channels runs Black Sky; The Race for Space" once in a while. Someone with a camera roamed around Scaled Composites as they worked on SpaceShipOne, the first private launch of a man in to space to win the Ansari X prize. Its great stuff for geeks and engineers. The head aero engineer is a new hero of mine. He really knew his job and they have footage of him spotting a trim problem that would have lead to a fatal crash if he hadn't caught it in realtime. He has a great, dry sense of humor too, and looked to be a great role model for young people who want to go in aerospace or engineering. Towards the end he had a great comment I can only paraphase. He pointed that we've reached the point that people feel like they can't do anything amaz

      --
      @de_machina
  11. In the Sixties... by feloneous+cat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I grew up reading everything about NASA. I was fascinated by it as it was a CIVILIAN space agency (in contrast to the military). This is all but forgotten today, but it is important because that is the charter.

    Unfortunately, it went from "the best and brightest" to "how do we do with less". Now NASA is going with "eh, it seems like an acceptable risk" but you know the folks that say that are thinking "as long as I'm not the one on that shuttle".

    It is attitudes like this that has allowed other countries to catch up (and even surpass) the U.S. While we are arguing over whether evolution should be taught in schools, other countries are pulling ahead of the U.S. (and why not, as American corporations apparently feel that Americans are not worth hiring).

    Apollo 17 was the last mission to the moon. It only got noticed because it was the last mission to the moon. Shuttle missions are hardly even noticed now by the general public. As far the the public is concerned NASA barely exists.

    Sadly, I fear that in my lifetime NASA will either be absorbed by the DoD or close its doors altogether. That will be a sad day for this country and for science.

    --
    IANAL, but I've seen actors play them on TV
    1. Re:In the Sixties... by cyclone96 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Disclaimer: I work for NASA JSC in Houston. On the Shuttle and Station programs.

      Now NASA is going with "eh, it seems like an acceptable risk" but you know the folks that say that are thinking "as long as I'm not the one on that shuttle".

      I'd like to let everyone know that nobody has this attitude at NASA. The astronauts are not some faceless people we are packing into the orbiter, they are our coworkers, friends, and families.

      We eat lunch with these people, we share late nights at labs and in Mission Control with them, we have parties with them, they live next door to us, our kids go to school together. Several of my friends or their spouses are astronauts.

      I make decisions at my job that can affect their safety everyday, and I never take it lightly. Just like you would not put your buddy at work into a hazardous situation if you could avoid it (well, spaceflight by definition is hazardous, so let's just say we try to keep the risk as low as humanly possible).

      Many years ago I was conducting a training session for a crew member I knew pretty well. During a break, he waved me over to talk with his wife (who just popped in) and a guy in a nice suit, he needed me for something.

      It was a NASA attorney. The flight was 4 weeks away, and they needed a witness for his will. It was a very somber moment to hear that being read aloud with his wife there, knowing that he was about to strap himself onto a flying bomb. Of course, the risk to him was just something that was part of the job, just like when he was in the military.

      These folks know the risk they are taking (and boy, do they hate it when the press implies that flying is "too dangerous"), willingly accept it, and we all knock ourselves out making sure we do everything we can to keep them safe.

      --
      Worst...sig...ever!
  12. X-33 VentureStar by mnemonic_ · · Score: 2, Informative

    The linear aerospike nozzle tests of the X-33 were quite successful though the composite fuel tanks failed. The experience gained by the propulsion engineers should be very valuable for any next-gen rocket stuff.

  13. Re:The risk of ice falling has been reduced! by NOLAChief · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That's a good question, and I'll be honest. I have no idea. To take a wild guess or two, I'd say 1. Weight. Pork lard does weigh something, and even a thin coating over the entire surface area of an ET puts you in the order of hundreds of pounds (Case study: Look at the first couple of flights. The tank is white. Later flights it's orange. They decided the white paint wasn't doing them any real benefit, but was costing them ~500 pounds in weight, so they left the orange insulation exposed.) 2. Coatings may have been tried, but the chemicals may have reacted poorly with the insulation.