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PlayStation 3 to Sell For $399, Going Underground
Merrill Lynch Japan has conducted research that indicates that the PlayStation 3 will retail for $399. According to Gamespot's coverage of the paper, the unit will cost $494 to manufacture. Sony will thus be taking an almost $1 Billion loss in the first year of the PS3's lifespan. From the article: "It is normal for game companies to take a loss on hardware whenever a new console launches, since they typically focus on acquiring market share rather than generating a profit during the first year. During the second year and afterward, they can recover the losses with the savings that come from mass production and with licensing fees from publishers." Meanwhile, Press the Buttons is reporting on a Pro-G article in which SCEE Chief David Reeves states that "I feel proud that E3 went well from the presentations that they did...I feel very happy about that, but I told the troops: OK now we go underground. The PS3 goes underground until it comes out next year."
Unless of course you wait like 3 months until it is $299.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't the loss or profit made on each unit depend initially on the development costs, and then on the actual amount of units produced?
i.e. if the development costs were a theoretical $1000 and each unit has a cost of $1, making 1000 units will be $2 each, whereas making 2000 will cost $1.50?
Coca-Cola, sometimes War.
Well first off, they're not just "dumping" it here, they're "dumping" it in Japan too (and anywhere they can sell it). I think dumping has to do with attempting to invade a particular market by offering goods (ones that are extremely similar to others offered on that market, i.e. the PlayStation brand alone is enough to differentiate it) at well below what they are worth. However, just because it costs Sony $494 or whatever to make them, doesn't necessarily mean they are worth that much. They're only worth what people will pay for them, and I'd bet dollars to doughnuts that Sony's going to be asking exactly what they think people will be willing to pay.
People seem to be taking this for gospel, when both numbers are analyst estimates.
Of course, retailing for $399 on lauch is probable: in Japan, the PS2 retailed for about this. When it came here, it went for... $299. The PS1 retailed for $599. When it came here, it went for... $299.
So let's wait for a real number from someone with a clue, as opposed to an analyst.
Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
Not only is that $100 less, but by the time the PS3 launches, the Xbox 360 will be out long enough to cut its price. It could conceivably go down to $250-275.
For the casual gamer that isn't necessarily married to the Sony brand label, the 360 price point will certainly look much more attractive. To the slightly more technical buyer, one would note that the PS3 price doesn't even include the damn hard drive (sold separately!), while the 360 does.
I don't see a really good "win" scenario for Sony here. If they do price competitively with the Xbox 360, then they'll be taking losses per unit that blow away the losses MS was taking with the original Xbox (and those were crazy enough that MS built their new console with keeping losses in control - and apparently have succeeded).
There's still plenty of Sony faithful that want their Final Fantasys and Metal Gears, but Sony could stand to lose a huge share of the massive casual fan base that made them the #1 console seller this past gen.
(This post was written by a decidedly non MS cheerleader - he likes Ubuntu, Gentoo, and Apple)
I suspect Nintendo knows their market, and it's not the top-feeders. I don't have 1080i, not even 720p, and neither do most of the people I know. Given the penetration rate of HDTV, I'd say that at the lower end it's feasible to ignore 1080i for this generation, if a little risky. For the current generation, Nintendo has occupied a lower space than XBox and PS2, and it looks like they're playing there, again. The XBox2 and PS3 are sounding so expensive that they may actually expand Nintendo's niche, assuming it's well-tuned to its market.
I agree that the XBox2 and PS3 will need 1080i, and everyone in the following generation will.
The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
How about a single unit that provides you with a DVD player, CD player, and Blu-ray disc player, in addition to being a game center?
When the PS2 came out, a lot of people justified the expense by saying "well, it's also a DVD player - that's like $150 right there" (which is what DVD players cost at the time... I know they're cheaper now). No one currently makes a Blu-Ray disc player, but the recorders are around $1500 each. At a tenth the cost for a player (not unreasonable), it makes the PS3 look more attractive.
Digital television will likely become much more affordable. Although HDTV is digital, not all digital televisions are HDTV. HDTV's will likely still be only for enthusisits.