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When Hybrids Do (And Don't) Make Sense

prostoalex writes "Recently NPR, CNN Money and Wall Street Journal Online have all dedicated some time and space to discussing hybrid vehicle pros and cons. It seems that hybrids do not make much financial sense if (a) you're buying after getting yourself into a debt with not really good interest on a car loan, (b) your battery requires replacement after being out of warranty, (c) your daily commute is not too long, so the price markup you pay for a hybrid does not translate into long-term gas savings." From the CNN article: "They may make a social statement you're interested in, but if you want to save money because of rising gas prices, you're heading down the wrong road, at least for now."

37 of 720 comments (clear)

  1. Some key points missed on NPR discussion by dfn_deux · · Score: 4, Interesting
    (c) your daily commute is not too long, so the price markup you pay for a hybrid does not translate into long-term gas savings.
    Well considering that AFAICT all the currently available gas/electric hybrids on the market get considerably worse mileage on the freeway than they do in stop and go traffic, I doubt that the argument of a long commute equaling a greater total savings always holds true. It seems that the break even point is quite a bit longer of a commute than the article would imply and also a prius is much much more expensive than other gas vehicles that make considerably more sense for long distance commuters I.E. nearly any production motorcycle or a number of used subcompact models such as a Honda CRX HX, or Geo Metro. The comparison gets even worse when the inaccuracy of the EPA estimated mileage ratings come into play. Some sources are reporting that the EPA estimated mileage for the current generations of hybrids is as much as 42% more than the real world mileage, while the margin of error for compact gas only vehicles is only about %30.
    The main advantages of owning a hybrid now are that early adopters will drive the market to create a demand for innovation in the marketplace. The NPR discussion did point this out, but failed to hilight (at least some of) the reasons I have noted above, though I must admit I was too busy pay attention to the road on my *really long* commute to be sure that I didn't miss some of the speakers' points.
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    1. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by blackmonday · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's not street vs highway mileage. It's "stop and go" versus running free. Hybrids are great in stop and go traffic, because you're running off the battery. If you drive an open road, a Corolla or similar small car would make more sense.

      Part of the perceived problem is that the traditional mileage ratings don't apply to hybrids very well. Hybird drivers fleeing from the Hurricanes (on the ultra-congested roads) got much further away than the others, because their fuel supply was lasting 12-13 hours, IIRC.

    2. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by timeOday · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I have communted daily, year-round on a motorcycle for the last 5 years and I have to say, I don't believe motorcycles as we know them will ever be widely adopted in the US because motorcycles are:

      1) relatively unsafe. No matter how carefully you drive, you could be that much safer driving equally carefully in a car.
      2) somewhat uncomfortable in all but perfect weather - no climate control at all
      3) useless for haulage. If you're a primary caretaker of kids, this alone is a deal-breaker
      4) not fantastic economically unless you ride a humble bike and do your own maintainence. Motorcycles are not like cars, they do not go 100K miles with just oil changes. Paying a few hundred dollars every few thousand miles to adjust the valve timings isn't something car drivers are accustomed to any more, nor are tire changes every 8K miles or so. Each tire costs about $110, as much as an SUV or high-quality car tire.
      5) inconvenience of dressing in battle gear before every little trip. It musses your hair and wrinkles your clothes.

    3. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by Sloppy · · Score: 5, Funny
      going down hills charges them too, more than going up hills depletes them.
      If that's true, then I have an idea for how to build a perpetual motion machine. It looks like our society's energy problems are about to go away.
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    4. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by Akaihiryuu · · Score: 3, Informative

      I've owned a Prius for over a year now, and I can say that even under the worst circumstances it gets better gas mileage than my last car did under the best circumstances. Gas mileage is a bit lower on the highway than in the city (electric only is only good up to 34mph), but it's not *that* bad. I consistently get 45-50mpg on the highway, and I consistently get 50-55mpg average city/highway. The lowest my weekly average has ever gotten, during the dead of winter, with the heater blasting (which makes it run the engine more - the water pump is electric but the engine has to start whenever the coolant drops below a certain temp), is 45mpg. The only way I can see to get the mileage lower than that would be to drive it like a race car. I guess if you floor it constantly and use the brakes a lot rather than let the regenerative brakes work, you could drop it below 40mpg, but I don't think I could do it without trying.

    5. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by Technician · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Part of the perceived problem is that the traditional mileage ratings don't apply to hybrids very well. Hybird drivers fleeing from the Hurricanes (on the ultra-congested roads) got much further away than the others, because their fuel supply was lasting 12-13 hours, IIRC

      I can second the slow no go gas time. I put an inverter in mine. I used it last summer camping to run lights and a fridge by locking a key in the car and leaving it running. Over a 3 day campout I used less than a quarter tank of gas. If I was running from a storm, and stuck in traffic, I could go a long ways by ditching the AC.

      EPA does not provide a listing of how much gas a car burns sitting at idle. This the the rate that that got people about 50 miles to a tank of gas leaving Houston. I wish the EPA sticker listed gallons/hour for all the driving done by not touching the gas, but pressing and releasing the brake. With the Prius, and the AC off, I believe it could go for days. Most other vehicles overheat and suck the tank dry in less than a half day.

      If I had to flee a storm, I would much rather do it in a Prius.

      --
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    6. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by Spoke · · Score: 3, Informative
      Some sources are reporting that the EPA estimated mileage for the current generations of hybrids is as much as 42% more than the real world mileage, while the margin of error for compact gas only vehicles is only about %30.
      These people who are getting crappy mileage in their cars are bad drivers.

      They are the people you see constantly speeding up and down, speeding on the freeway at 80mph+, are hard on the accelerator and hard on the brakes and zipping from stoplight to stoplight.

      I've yet to find a car which doesn't meet it's EPA mileage estimates when driven even only somewhat smoothly.

      Tips to improve your Gas Mileage really should be tought in basic drivers ed as they would make driving a lot less stressful as well as being more fuel efficient.
    7. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by cagle_.25 · · Score: 3, Funny

      My wife the pediatrician calls them "Donorcycles".

      --
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    8. Re:Some key points missed on NPR discussion by mrchaotica · · Score: 3, Informative
      However, I do not believe that heavy braking itself has anything to do directly with mileage -- the quantity of fuel consumed per mile traveled.
      Braking directly affects milage because every time you apply the brakes, you're wasting the momentum that you burned gas acquiring. Either conserving momentum by using the brakes less, or being light on the throttle so you don't acquire such momentum in the first place, will save gas.

      It has nothing to do with how hot the brakes get, except that the heat is the direct result of the wasted energy.
      --

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  2. short distance? charge it. by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Several people have been charging their hybrid's batteries overnight from the AC mains, and for a situation where the commuting distance is short, this makes plenty of sense. You may never even have to start the engine, which will still of course be available for longer trips.

  3. If you're after better fuel efficiency by Kafka_Canada · · Score: 4, Informative

    Buy a diesel. And if it's hard or impossible in your region, petition your idiot politicians to loosen up the emissions regulations (diesel emissions, even on older diesels, are generally speaking a lot better than gas emissions, yet diesel's more highly regulated).

    Better efficiency (often) than hybrids overall, it's good on highways too, and it's far more cost-effective, too.

    --
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    1. Re:If you're after better fuel efficiency by dfn_deux · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't know where you are located, but here in California diesels aren't subject to any emissions or equipment testing for registration, while gasoline vehicles are subject to frequent and increasingly difficult testing standards. Also, the claim that diesel is cleaner only holds true when using more cleanly refined diesel than is currently widely available in the US and even then only holds true when speaking of CO2 or HC emissions and quickly falls flat when particulate emissions are taken into account...

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    2. Re:If you're after better fuel efficiency by iamlucky13 · · Score: 3, Informative

      In 2007, a big set of new federal regulations will come into play for road diesel, cutting the sulfur content drastically and requiring catalytic converters in new cars. That will drop diesel emmisions per gallon burned to right around that of gas.

      The problem that won't go away in 2007 is the winter demand for heating oil, which cuts into the diesel supply, since they're refined from similar weight crude content. Further natural gas development would help, but too many people are paranoid about it.

  4. Re:Or maybe... by dfn_deux · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think you'd be hard pressed to prove that on a whole buying a used car which gets decent mileage is going to have a greater enviromental impact than is put forth just in energy production to manufacture a new vehicle (of any power train type) let alone the impact of getting the raw materials from which the vehicle is to be composed from. The sweet spot right now is buying a compact car built in the past 10 years which has had good regular maintainence. This will provide nearly all the creature comforts as are found in newer cars (with a few extravagant exceptions I.E. GPS, DVD, back up radar, and the like) along with the lion's share of modern emissions equipment and reasonably low fuel economy with known (basis for estimate of) future maintainence costs and reliability.

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  5. How convenient does the "right thing" have to be? by jmason · · Score: 5, Insightful

    a Kung Fu Monkey blog entry from a month ago said this:

    Kevin Drum recently quoted a study which re-iterated that there's no "real" advantage to buying a hybrid. It's only just as convenient - so if you're driving a hybrid, you're doing it for some other reason than financial incentive.

    That made me think: what a perfect example of just how fucking useless as a society we've become. We can't even bring ourselves to do the right thing when it's only JUST as convenient as doing the wrong thing. And that's not even considered odd. Even sadder.

  6. when they do: evacuating New Orleans by danharan · · Score: 4, Interesting
    See Why you want a hybrid:
    FYI, Renee and I finally got to Palestine, TX at about 5:45 AM -- 30 hours after leaving our house in Clear Lake. The Prius still has about 1/4 tank of gas...
    And if you're at least of the opinion that adding even more CO2 to the atmosphere might be making these storms worse you can appreciate the poetic beauty. Not all returns are financial.
    --
    Information: "I want to be anthropomorphized"
  7. Re:short distance? charge it. by stuartkahler · · Score: 4, Funny

    This is a great way to cut your fuel costs, assuming you use the AC mains on your neighbor's property.

  8. i decided against a hybrid (prius) by farble1670 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    i looked seriously at getting into a toyota prius earlier this year ... here is my conclusion. the car was way overpriced for the quality. i was browsing the top of the line prius, which went for $27k. no discounts because it's in such high demand. honestly, the quality of the car was of something much less expensive. i think a $15k honda civic (gas) would wear much better. what really got me was the upholstery. it felt very cheap.

    so then you calculate the real cost. say the civic gets 30mpg, and the prius 60mpg (this is really giving the prius to much credit, but just for the sake of discussion). say you spend $40/week in gas on the civic, you'd then spend $20/week on the prius. you save $20/week on gas with the prius. but, you paid $12,000 more for the prius. divide 10,000 by 20, and you get 500, which is the number of weeks you'd need to drive the prius to break even. 500 weeks ~ 9.61 years. now factor in the possible battery replacement.

    i understand that at least part of this conclusion is based on the fact that the prius is in high demand, and therefore overpriced right now.

  9. What happened to progress? by B5_geek · · Score: 4, Interesting

    My first car was a 1993 Honda Civic CX (Hatchback). Driving it modestly netted me ~60mpg.
    I paid $12,000 (Canadian).
    Today to find a car that get that kind of mileage will cost me $25k-$30k.

    WTF is going on? Are economy cars the "next-big-price-gouge"?
    Why are not all Standard cars getting 40+mpg?
    We have more platics in our cars then we did 12 years ago. We have smarter computers that manage fuel consumption better.

    If my company didn't require a car for my job, I would cycle to work everyday.

    To recline is devine.
    I love my recumbent!

    --
    "The price good men pay for indifference to public affairs is to be ruled by evil men." ~Plato (427-347 BC)
  10. Re:Hybrid vs Diesel by networkBoy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Hybrids would make sense for couriers and letter carriers most of all. All day driving, usually stop and go.
    -nB

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  11. You are missing the point by Ogemaniac · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You can help the enviroment far more with the same money. For example, for around $75 a year, several companies will buy pollution credits on your behalf, negating the emissions by your regular vehicle. In most states, the same amount of money can also be used to have your electricity come from "green" sources. Therefore, if you had two cars and a home, you could negate ALL of your primary emissions for about $225/year, which is far less than the cost of owning a hybrid.

    Hybrids, at this point in time, are nothing but a wasteful political statement. There is almost no circumstance where they are socially beneficial, nor beneficial to the owner in any other respect than his or her ability to feel righteous.

    1. Re:You are missing the point by mrbooze · · Score: 3, Insightful

      None of those things actually reduce *local* pollution, if you happen to live in a high Smog type area.

      They're *broadly* better environmentally, but don't necessarily help the *local* environment.

  12. Re:Used VW Diesel Rabbit or TDI Jetta by Linux_ho · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Yup. I wish someone would make a hybrid diesel that focused tightly on aerodynamics and other efficiency factors. I drive about 50 miles per day, averaging 70mph. I'm running biodiesel in a New Beetle TDI, getting > 40 miles per gallon. Lately the biodiesel is cheaper than regular diesel (since its cost has stayed about the same over the last couple years), and it's better for the environment than regular diesel.

    To find biodiesel locations near you:
    http://www.biodiesel.org/buyingbiodiesel/retailfue lingsites/

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  13. Re:Or maybe... by mfarver · · Score: 5, Informative
    "The batteries in hybrid cars are quite toxic"

    Not at all. The current generation of hybrids are all running Nickel Metal Hydride "D" batteries, which are pretty safe overall. See Panasonic's disclosure. The worst chemical in them is the Potassium Hydroxide... which you should avoid contact with but which is not generally considered toxic. (Like the lead used in convential starter batteries)

    You can simple toss NiMH batteries in the standard municipal waste stream, although recycling them is always a good idea.

    The batteries carry an extended warrenty, 7-8 years IIRC. Accelerated testing has shown that they will probably last considerably longer and the price for replacements has already fallen to about $1500.

    Buying a hybrid might be hard to justify financially (since the gas savings are unlikely to offset the price premium for a long while) but its still a good thing environmentally.

  14. Myth: all hybrids worse on highway than in city by LiamQ · · Score: 4, Informative

    Well considering that AFAICT all the currently available gas/electric hybrids on the market get considerably worse mileage on the freeway than they do in stop and go traffic [...]

    Honda's hybrids all get better gas mileage on the highway than in the city:

    • Honda Insight: 60mpg city, 66mpg highway (source)
    • Honda Civic Hybrid: 46mpg city, 51mpg highway (source)
    • Honda Accord Hybrid: 29mpg city, 37mpg highway (source)

    I've been very happy with the Honda Insight that I bought in 2001.

  15. Nope, sorry. Electricity is still more efficient. by leoxx · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It is a myth that switching to electricity would cause more pollution due to the nature of how the electricity is generated. Even taking into account that the energy comes from coal and the losses due to transmission, electric cars are still more fuel efficient (and thus cheaper and cleaner) than gasoline powered cars.

  16. Adaptive Fuel Economy by PDoc · · Score: 3, Informative

    An interesting trend is that fuel economies tend to be set by the price of the fuel. In other words, car manufacturers only put the effort into improving efficiency when they need to, and that's when people won't take any more. US readers might not believe me on this one, but their fuel is cheap, at least when compared to European prices. And thus, lumbering goliaths (aka SUVs) are still a reasonable proposition. It astounds me when I look at the performance/economy figures for American cars. An example is the new Ford Mustang (a tasty looking car, BTW). The 4L model gets around 200bhp, and about 19/28mpg. My Fiat Coupe is comparible, but gets 260bhp from a 2L engine, and more than 50mpg outside town (I don't live in a city). Hybrids are only there to keep the PR good. Whats needed is a fundamental modernisation of US cars.

    --
    Give a man a fire, and he's warm for a day. Set a man on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life. (Terry Pratchett)
  17. Diesel efficiency by andyross · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Buy a diesel. [...] Better efficiency

    This is a very common misconception. Diesel fuel is denser than gasoline. When you correct for mileage per fuel mass or (even better) per carbon output, much of their advantage on paper fades.

    Diesel engines are still slightly more efficient than typical gasoline engines, owing to the higher compression ratios used by the Diesel ignition process. The higher combustion temperatures, however, produce nitrogen oxides, which are a local pollutant. And of course a poorly tuned Diesel (or, often, just a cold one) generates a ton of particulate ("soot") emissions -- another local pollutant.

    And remember that Diesels idle very inefficiently (they have bigger and heavier pistons, and a finicky ignition mechanism that can't be run as lean as gasoline), whereas a hybird will shut down the engine and idle with no emissions whatsoever (well, minus battery drain due to the air conditioner, etc...).

    The best general advice that I've read is that a Diesel makes the best environmental choice for a long-haul vehicle that rarely idles, or for rural areas with little sensitivity to local pollution. They make rather poorer choices in the urban commute environment.

    Disclaimer: I love my Prius, and it just smells better than the Diesels cars I've known.

  18. Hybrids work fine in the cold by LiamQ · · Score: 3, Informative

    I've gone through four Canadian winters with my Honda Insight, and it has fared just fine, even with temperatures below -30 degrees Celsius. The fuel economy is noticeably worse in cold weather, but the same is true of any car.

    The Honda Insight in brutally cold weather is still better for fuel economy than almost any non-hybrid in ideal driving weather.

    1. Re:Hybrids work fine in the cold by Dhrakar · · Score: 3, Informative

      I live in Fairbanks Alaska. While out driving around, my Prius does just fine. The only problem is that I have to play the which-vent-does-the-air-come-out game (eg; push the button for the window defrost wait till the toes get cold, push the Auto button again until the widow starts to frost over ... rinse/repeat) however, this is only when the outside temperature is colder than about -35 to -40. At -50 the heater just can't keep up -- but then neither could my Ford Tempo :-)
          Luckily, I have a heated garage for it. Otherwise I would be worried about the 12v battery freezing (since it is in the back of the car and I did not want to drill any holes to install a battery blanket on it) when it gets down to -40. I do have a frost-plug heater and oil-pan heater (which get plugged in when the car is parked and it's colder then -10F).

  19. Re:Hybrid vs Diesel by amliebsch · · Score: 4, Informative

    What I can't figure out is: why not make a straight diesel-electric hybrid? No transmission, just diesel-->generator-->motors + batteries. The diesel wouldn't have to be nearly as powerful as, say, a TDI, because the batteries could handle short peak loads, then recharge during cruising/coasting/braking. The diesel could run continuosly at it's peak efficiency, as long as power was demanded. The cars would cost far less to produce, without the need for a transmission. It seems to me that such a car would be cheaper, faster, more fuel efficient, and more reliable.

    --
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  20. Re:The Prius does have an electric water pump by Technician · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Obviously running the engine a lot in stop and go traffic affects the gas mileage a bit in that car, but the lowest my weekly average has ever been is 45mpg (combined city/highway, my drive to work is about 50% of each). That's still better than the best my old Contour ever got under the best circumstances (37mpg).

    The worst I got in my Prius was 28MPG. That tank included a 12 hour shift being used as an emergency generator for the house during an Ice storm. It ran lights, a fridge, a freezer, the fireplace fan, and the TV.

    If I just drove places, I would have gotten better mileage. The best mod for a Prius is an inverter.

    To get that mileage, I turned off the heater because there was no need to defrost the windows or heat the car. Why burn the gas? In that generator mode, it would start up every 20 minutes for so and run for 3 or 4 minutes and shut down again.

    --
    The truth shall set you free!
  21. Re:The Prius does have an electric water pump by allanc · · Score: 4, Funny

    Which raises the question... why did you bother running your freezer during an ice storm?

  22. Re:Cold shoulder by FirstOne · · Score: 4, Informative

    "Unless the heater in the Prius is somehow different from about every other vehicle's on the road, it cannot run on electricity. A car heater is run by blowing air over basically a small radiator (heater core) that the 190F engine coolant cycles through. If the Prius's engine shuts off, the water pump will probably stop and so will the heater. "

    Err ... no.. The Prius's Heater is quite different.. (IMHO ... Far Superior). .

    Machine Design 2004 Toyota Prius

    "After 1,500 miles of driving in some of the coldest January temperatures on record, I'd summarize the 2004 Toyota Prius as a quiet, roomy car that happens to have a hybrid drivetrain and an excellent heater. Quick heat is no fluke. The Prius stores some coolant in an insulated reservoir when it shuts down. Later, when restarted, the stillhot coolant circulates into the engine primarily to reduce emissions, but an additional benefit is near-instant heat. This is one of several unusual features on this car.";

  23. Ignore the parent; it's baseless conspiracy stuff by CGameProgrammer · · Score: 4, Interesting

    All freight locomotives and many passenger locomotives are diesel-electrics. A diesel engine spins a generator that generates power for electric motors, and those motors alone drive the vehicle. So there's already a huge diesel-electric market in the U.S.

    The actual reason there are few diesels in the U.S. is due to our strict environmental controls; they are lax for trucks but strict for cars, so there were no diesel cars here for a long time until VW's new TDi.

    The reason there are no diesel-electric hybrids is because all the hybrids are being created by Japanese manufacturers, and they create gasoline cars. German manufacturers like diesel, and indeed they are creating many diesel cars, and there are even plans for some of them to create diesel-electric hybrids, though they're still largely reluctant to embrace hybrids. They seem to view hybrids as Japanese and diesel as European, which is stupid -- both are good technologies.

    --
    ~CGameProgrammer( );
  24. How length of commute affects a Prius by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 3, Informative

    One point people miss is that the designers of the Prius, at least, were pursuing low emissions with fuel economy being a nice side effect.

    When the exhaust system is cold, there's a tradeoff between fuel economy and emission control. The car's software chooses emission control. Drive a Prius for 15 minutes and look at the central display's bar graph of fuel economy over time. It looks like a staicase, where each 5-minute average is much higher than the one before. Until you get the catalytic converter fully warmed up(*) you won't see the advertised mileage. In a five or ten minute commute you can even get a Prius to average less than 40 mpg.

    (*) The car's software is so determined to keep the catalytic converter at its most effective temperature that it will start the gas engine even if the car is stopped and the battery is charged, just to keep the catalytic converter warm.

    If all your trips are under 10-15 minutes then buy a Prius for the reliability, comfort, or low pollution -- you won't get the gas mileage.

  25. Re:Cold shoulder by DavidTC · · Score: 3, Funny

    I thought those were hybrids? ;)

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