Bayesian Filters Predict Sundance
JohnGrahamCumming writes "The LA Times reports on a company's use of Bayesian filtering to predict the winners at the Sundance Film Festival. They use a modified POPFile email filter and claim an 81% success rate."
In the stock market there are no winners...only fools to a greater or lesser degree.
I'm not a Spam guru so please excuse me if I'm wrong, but isn't 81% a horrible result? Perhaps not for movie prediction but in Spam filtering?
Perhaps they should use spam filtering for weather reporting. That way, the "dart throwing monkies" will end up with more accurate results than they do now. "There's a 30% chance of rain." I have always wondered if a passing grade in meteorologist college coursework was 30% or better.
I got your South Park reference, but I guess Slashdot doesn't stoop to humor that low.
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