Interview with TiVo CEO Tom Rogers
Thomas Hawk writes "Bloomberg did an exclusive interview with TiVo's Tom Rogers this week where among other things he discussed the possibility of TiVo offering a subscription only pricing model (i.e. no upfront cost to buy a TiVo box), the increasingly important role that advertising, ironically, is playing in their current business model, and details on the upcoming Series 3 standalone HDTV unit due out later this year."
Ideally, a company like Tivo or Google (or whoever, Apple?) would offer ala carte cable programming over IP. This would be a huge win for telco broadband, since it would weaken the symbiotic relationship between cable TV and cable broadband.
If I could get DSL speeds equivalent to what I get from Time Warner, and be able to buy only the channels I want, I'd drop them in a heartbeat, assuming it costs less than $80/mo in total..
It's only a matter of time now until Tivo will go away. I don't think they will be able to compete once the cable companies have good PVR's. (and I mean good ones, not the crappy Comcast ones)
Look at the current state of things...you have Tivo struggling to get their HDTV version to market and Comcast has one already in use in households around the country. The Comcast box is fine, it's the software interface that currently sucks. Once they get that nailed (and I believe they will) they are going to be the powerhouse in PVR's. Them and every other cable company out there. Drives are getting cheap, and as Comcast gets more units out there, they will improve their interface. And you have ReplayTV (who in my opinion has a superior product to Tivo). They just dropped out of the hardware business (like Tivo innevitably will) to go into software only. Their software equals Tivo's, and now we will have that available on the PC (or perhaps sold to Comcast for a new interface?)
Tivo is fine and dandy...they road ReplayTV's coat tails in the beginning and then took the forefront, and eventually became "the PVR" that everyone knows. But honestly, their business model is going to have to change very significantly soon...there's no reason at all to buy a Tivo anymore when I can get a free box from Comcast (which is why they are going to go to the service only option) and once Comcast has a decent software interface, that's just one less box I need in my entertainment center if I have one built into my cable box!
>In my opinion their parent company Murdoch's News Corp. is a bunch rich bastards who couldn't care less about their customers.
This comes up time & time again. You have to remember, you are *not* the customer. You are the product. The customer is the companies buying advertising space.
I hate it, but it's true.
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a company like Tivo or Google
I wish Google would buy Tivo. It would seem to be symbotic for both companies -- since Tivo is trying to get into broadband video delivery, and Google is trying to collect a corpus of video for Google Video. Plus, Tivo would elevate above PVR and into (i know, I know, but it's different this time) set-top box, going beyond the TV recording focus. Plus, the companies would then fare better against MS's assaults on both fronts.
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I have two DirecTivos and couldn't be happier.
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TiVo UK still exists, operates, services, updates, rocks... but for some inexplicable reason one piece of the puzzle is now missing...
The Hardware...
What on *earth* is going on at TiVo UK?
Which deal with which devil leaves the UK market uncontested like this?!
FUD!!!!!!!!!!!!
1. Tivo showed their HDTV box at CES 2005, and again at 2006. It isn't a technology issue, it is a wait for the Cable Card standards and certifcation (2.0 which allows up and down stream still isn't finished!)
2. Comcast and Tivo are working together. Comcast is paying Tivo to port their software to the Comcast Motorola box. The status as of CES 2006 was that key functionality was working. Tivo will get recurring revenue for every subscriber that chooses Tivo interface and Tivo and Comcast will split advertising revenue generated through Tivo's advertising services.
http://news.com.com/TiVo,+Comcast+reach+DVR+deal/
3. Business is fine. Rogers (CEO) said during last Growth Conference in December that the company could ad 500k subscribers on break even cash flow. There are plenty of other networks besides Comcast/Dish/DirecTV that cannot afford to build and design their own DVR.
DVR is evolving. Tivo SA2's all have broadband through USB. Series 3 (shown at CES 2006 and rumored to be in beta) will have built in broadband. Generic DVRs do not talk to your network. Play your MP3s, show your picture collections, let you view RSS feeds, etc...
Tivo defends their "Time Warp" patent in Texas this March against Dish. That is one of the patents in the Patent Office's Museum.
Tivo has a 1% churn rate, a rare feat in cable and television services.
Tivo is going worldwide (TGC).
I have a Series 2 TiVo and have installed Galleon on my PC. I am able to download public domain videos (like the original DOA and the old Superman cartoons) from the Internet Archive to my PC, and pull them to my TiVo from the PC. If the video is not in the MPEG2 format TiVo needs, that's okay because Galleon can transcode it by calling external programs.
.... ummm ... nevermind, nothing to see here, move along.
My point is -- all the technology is here today. Hak.5 and DiggNation show up using BitTorrent (which I leave seeding for 2 weeks to show my support). Galleon transcodes to MPEG2 and serves to TiVo. I go to TiVo, pull down from PC and enjoy. Heck, I bet there are even people out there using some of the BT clients that read RSS feeds to automatically download regular TV shows. I guess I am a big chicken since do IT inside the financial community and would lose my career if the studios sent their lawyers to my door. But if SciFi sold a subscription to buy a season of BSG for $25, I would be all over it even if I had to seed torrents to make it happen. If I could get old episodes of Deep Space 9 or Babylon 5 -- sold. If I could get more Firefly episodes right from Mutant Enemy without going through a studio -- I would PRE-PAY (Hear that Joss?).
Now, here is the problem I see. The TiVo 3 will support more codecs, support HDTV, and have more power. All of this becomes a lot more feasible with a TiVo 3, but TiVo now has a deal with Comcast. Comcast would probably not be happy if TiVo suddenly turned their PVR into the new cablebox of the IPTV revolution. Can anyone say lawsuit?
So, as much as I love my TiVo and the company, if they are stuck in bed with the devil, maybe Google needs to take the cash and go create their own IPTV PVR. Heck, Microsoft could even do it today using MCE and/or xBox 360 if they just