Fleischmann to Work on Commercial Fusion Heater
deeptrace writes "California company D2Fusion has announced they are hiring Dr. Martin Fleischmann (of 'Pons and Fleischmann' fame). The company belives that they can produce a commercial fusion based home heating prototype within a year. They are also looking at other applications, such as using it as a heat source for a commercially available Stirling electrical generator."
A lot of businesses rely on stupidity of people. Usually on stupidity of consumers. This one just relies on stupidity of investors...
One that hath name thou can not otter
Most of them say that. "Within a year". "Within two years". "Within four years".
But never "now", or "in the stores next week", or "come, see this working!"
It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
Be yourself no matter what they say
Genius. They can't detect any excess neutrons so obviously there's a new, radiation free, type of D-D fusion going on.
"Physics is to math as sex is to masturbation." -R. Feynman
Lets hope Dr.Martin Fleischmann doesn't embaress himself again.
...
What has he got to lose? Work out the possible scenarios
1. Fleischman is a crank and...
1.1 He succeeds by accident.
Success through monumental incompetence is indistinguishable from briliance to the general public.
See Christopher Columbus. Fleischman will spend the rest of his life unjustly rubbing his
detractors' noses in their public humiliation.
1.2 He fails.
Nobody's opinion of him changes. The only people who profess to believe him are credulous people
and those who would exploit them. The people who've been saying he was a crank will be vindicated.
The wait and see people will also feel vindicated, and continue to wait and see, as it's no skin of
their proverbial noses.
2. Fleischman is a misunderstood genius and
2.1 He succeeds by dint of preserverence.
Vindication is sweet. Fleischman will spend the rest of his life justly rubbing his
detractors' noses in their public humiliation.
2.2 He fails through no fault of his own.
Nobody's opinion of him changes. The only people who profess to believe him are credulous people
and those who would exploit them. The people who've been saying he was a crank will be vindicated.
The wait and see people will also feel vindicated, and continue to wait and see, as it's no skin of
their proverbial noses.
The moral of the story will either way: it never pays to give up. The only thing at stake is whether future generations of school children will be forced to produced earnest essays drawing this conclusion from the story.
Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
Wait, that's a crappy argument. I mean, a really, really crappy one.
By that argument, you could say that Ray Davis's experiment didn't work, because it didn't agree with the Standard Model, so it obviously must have been wrong.
Ray Davis built the first neutrino detection experiment and found that there was only about a third of the neutrinos coming from the Sun that you would expect.
We now know that he was right - the Standard Model was (slightly) wrong, although in hindsight it should've been relatively obvious.
Saying "their experiment doesn't work because it doesn't agree with the Standard Model" is horrible science. The Standard Model is a theory. It doesn't describe reality. It's a -guess- for how the world works - a well founded, well supported guess, and the best one we have, but still a guess. If you find that the world works in a different way, that doesn't mean your experiment must be wrong.
There are plenty of other reasons to criticize cold fusion (the lack of repeatability being the main one) but "it doesn't agree with current theory" is about the worst criticism you can give.