Red Hat to Acquire JBoss
tecker writes "Redhat.com has a banner and press release that states that it will be Red Hat that will buy JBoss and not Oracle as previously thought. The press release states "the world's leading provider of open source solutions to the enterprise, today announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire JBoss, the global leader in open source middleware. By acquiring JBoss, Red Hat expects to accelerate the shift to service-oriented architectures (SOA), by enabling the next generation of web-enabled applications running on a low-cost, open source platform." Could it be that a one company server package that will rival Microsoft's Windows Server 2003 and ASP will finally emerge?"
why would redhat buy this?
it already was open source right...
can't they just... contribute to it.
... give RedHat an instant "in" on the application server market so coveted by BEA and IBM? This seems like it could be an intersting fit, and would certainly save JBoss from extinction by Oracle (as seems to be the trend).
... and put a lid on Fluery
PHP has an even bigger market share, by your logic they should have bought Zend. Well designed systems that are harder to master, like Rails, JBoss and ASP.Net won't drive the trivially easy web languages like ASP and PHP out of business, but there's room for everyone.
Try out fish, the friendly interactive shell.
I assume this is good news for GCJ and/or Classpath, given Red Hat's committment to free software. Surely they will now devote many resources to making JBoss work reliably on Free Java, then we all win!
Assume JBoss is growing at a rate equivalent to the S&P 500 (10.5%) - I'm trying to be conservative here and not get overblown about growth (since values are very sensitive to growth).
Assume RHAT wants to at least maintain its return on equity of it's stock, currently 19%. So the earnings rate on the purchase is 19% - 10.5% = 8.5%
At $350M, that means JBoss has at least $30M in profit ($350M * .085) for this to make sense.
If JBoss is growing at 20% per year and you want a 5% risk premium (accounting for uncertainty in the future of the market for middleware), then the earnings rate becomes 4% (19% + 5% - 20%), which means $14M in current income at JBoss to have it make sense for RHAT.
You can see how growth causes leverage in a price ... since:
... this division is part of the reason why stocks who have high growth expectations are very hard to value (at least using this method, especially when the denominator becomes negative) and why they fall so quickly from high stock prices when their earnings slow. This is why other (more complicated) models may use a higher growth rate in close years, but force the growth rate to slow in later years to the market rate - it helps to avoid the crazy value multiplication that can occur in the simple models.
value = earnings / (required return rate - growth rate)
This line says that somebody thought Red Hat was going to buy Oracle.
While the sentence is confusing and could be better, it states "it will be Red Hat that will buy JBoss and not Oracle as previously thought."
Who will buy JBoss? RedHat, or Oracle? It will be RedHat. Not Oracle.