Astronomers Awaiting 1a Supernova
Aryabhata writes to tell us BBC News is reporting that astronomers have sighted a star on the brink of a "1a" supernova. This opportunity presents the first chance astronomers have ever had to view a supernova of this magnitude up close. From the article: "They are so rare that the last one known in our galaxy was seen in 1572 by the great Danish astronomer Tycho Brahe, who first coined the term nova, for "new star", not realizing he was in fact witnessing the violent end of an unknown star. It has long been believed that type 1a supernovae are the death throes of a white dwarf star. But all modern ones have been so distant that it has not been possible to see what had been there beforehand."
It happened long ago and the light is just now reaching us.
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Shit.
IANAExpertOnThisCrap, but... if the burst lasts less than 12 hours, at least a north-south slice of the planet would be spared. If it's just a few minutes, only half the planet would be "fried", and if the Pacific Ocean happens to be facing it, then it's only bad for the relatively small island population, but if Eurasia is facing it, that's gonna be really really bad.
Of course, that's based on the event being near the plane of the ecliptic. If the event was near a pole, then one of either the North or South hemispheres is fried, the other is spared.
I'm also assuming that the gamma rays aren't powerful enough to turn surface matter into radioactive isotopes that pollute the atmosphere and ocean, or to do that to the atmosphere itself. In that case, it's more proper to say that the Earth is poisoned, not fried.
For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
I'm curious. At what range would a Type 1a supernova be lethal to life on Earth?
As far as the size of the galaxy is concerned, 1,950 light-years is essentially in our back-yard. Keeping with scale, are we talking about a firecracker or a stick of dynamite?
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I think your confusing types of radiation here. Gamma rays are electromagnetic radiation and will not create radioactive isotopes no matter how intense they are. Generally, what they are going to do is ionize atoms and heat things up. Damage to biologicals from Gamma rays is via ionization and heat effects.
If there were a very intense neutron burst, that could potentially "activate" some materials, i.e. transmute them into a radioacive isotopes. However, neutron burst are not going to be something we have to worry about at this distance from the event.
The supernova that made the Cas A remnant is estimated at 1665AD or so. There was so much dust in the way that no one even saw it with the possible exception of the astronomer Flamsteed who recorded what he thought was a normal star there but when we look there today there's no star of the brightness Flamsteed saw. Dust can really dim a supernova so much that we don't see it, but since we're looking around with even neutrinos and radio that dust doesn't stop it'll be detected even if it's on the far side of the Galaxy.