Slashdot Mirror
Investing Tips for College Students?
GenKreton asks: "I am a rising junior in college and decided to take out loans to cover all my costs so I could graduate with money in the bank. My tuition bill is minimal as I have a nearly full ride, but living is always expensive. With that said, I feel like my thousands sitting in the bank could be doing work for me instead of collecting dust till the day I graduate. I have been researching how I could best invest my money so I have immediate access to it if needed, but still do better than a mere savings account. There seems to be a lot of mixed advice and some obvious scams out there. So I ask Slashdot, what is the best plan for a college student to do with his money?"
To invest your student loan proceeds until you can use them.
Real estate, mutual funds, and the stock market are the worst possible investments you could make right now.
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Real estate is caught up in a speculative bubble that will probably pop in the next couple years, bringing terrible pain.
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The stock market is highly overvalued. Stocks have only ever been a good buy at PE ratios of about 10 or less. The US market is at about 21, and profits are at record lows as a percentage of GDP. A cursory examination of the equity price cycle says now is a terrible time to buy. The typical bull market lasts about 15 years and the typical bear market lasts almost as long. Stocks went way up in the 15 years leading up to 1965. Then stocks did nothing until the early 80s. Then they shot up for 20 years. We are in a bear market now (inflation adjusted stocks are 20% below the 2000 high and still dropping). The historical pattern suggests stocks might be a good buy around 2015.
The claim of 10% historical returns from the stock market is complete garbage. Nobody invested at an "average" time. People invest over the course of a 45 year career. If you break the last 150 years down into every possible 45 year investing period and then take the median return from all those periods you get a typical return barely better than bonds. The 10% claim is also complete garbage from the get-go because it ignores taxes and fees.
If you want to buy stocks anyway, mutual funds are the worst possible way to do it. Fees and active trading will kill you. Mutual funds are obsolete now that we have ETFs. The advice someone posted elsewhere to consult with a professional is bogus. Professionals will steer you into their comission generating products like mutual funds. You have to research this on your own, and most of the popular literature is basically industry propaganda.
Someone else criticised you for even taking out student loans. They are wrong. Student loans are free money right now, assuming your income is negligible. The interest rate is way below inflation, which is understated by as much as 5%.
My money is on commodities. I think we're on the brink of a 10 fold gain in things like oil, metals, grain, gold etc. All the major currencies are being rapidly debased and an industrializing world is creating materials shortages. The case is so easy to make, while people selling stocks can only cite historical returns.
If I wanted to make a high risk play, as I might if I were in college and just playing with the money, I would short the NASDAQ.
Ok, the parent was making a joke, but the satisfaction of human vices is almost always profitable. Check out Vice Fund, which according to its site has a three year return of 20.74%.
Give a man fire, and you warm him for the night. Set a man on fire, and you warm him for the rest of his life.