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PS3 Predicted to Lead Market Through 2011

Posted by ryuzaki0 on from the you-missed-the-analysts-right dept.

eldavojohn writes "The Yankee Group (a Boston Technology firm) recently announced that it predicts Sony's PS3 to lead the market with a 44% share through 2011. Most interesting is their prediction that the Wii will maintain only 16% of the market share. From the article: 'The analyst group believes Sony will lead in next-gen market share by 44% in 2011, with Xbox 360 taking a close 40% share, followed by Wii with a wee little bitty 16% share.'"

2 of 314 comments (clear)

  1. Contradicting themselves? by rolfwind · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Also of note, the group believes fewer total consoles will be sold this next go-around due to higher console prices than were sold during the PS2, Xbox, and GameCube era. I thought the industry was suppose to grow? Either way, the Yankee Group also predicted constant Microsoft price undercutting. Next-Gen writes: "Microsoft is 'well-positioned' to cut the price of the Xbox 360 in spring 2007, potentially undercutting the $500-$600 PS3 by a wider margin. This pricing pressure from Microsoft is likely to continue throughout the course of the PS3's lifecycle, according to Yankee."


    Um, high prices, yet PS3 will dominate? MS will undercut PS3? What about Wii?

    Honestly, these numbers are suspect just due to lack of any real data points. The Wii is not the gamecube. The PS3 is not the PS2. And the Xbox360 does not equate to Xbox. The variable are different this time around.

    Personally, the Wii is the first console I'm planning on buying since the Playstation 1, and it's the 1st one I am hoping to spend a decent amount playing since SNES (I only ended up owning 3-4 PS 1 games, got it more out of habit than actual want and dropped out of gaming since).

    I think the Wii will wipe the floor with either. Graphics, at the level they are at, have ceased to be the most important factor to me, unlike 10 years back. Now it's all about fun.

    This post probably will be only echoing a point a million others have already and will make, but isn't that evidence in itself?
  2. A new law... by MrTester · · Score: 5, Interesting
    From now on, all marketing firms are required to have a % of correctmarket predictions following their name on all articles.

    i.e.

    "The Yankee Group (10%) (a Boston Technology firm) recently announced that it predicts Sony's PS3 to lead the market with a 44% share through 2011. Most interesting is their prediction that the Wii will maintain only 16% of the market share. From the article: 'The analyst group believes Sony will lead in next-gen market share by 44% in 2011, with Xbox 360 taking a close 40% share, followed by Wii with a wee little bitty 16% share.'"

    Those that do not comply will be publicly flogged and generally shunned.