Fusing Design with Technology
PreacherTom writes "Since the creations by Walt Disney of Space Mountain and EPCOT, progressives have attempted to show us a picture of how technology will affect our future lives. More often than not, these pictures become laughable after 20 years. Not for Royal Philips Electronics, who at their Simplicity Event in London unveiled their picture of the seamlessly technological future, including e-blackboards, cosmetic skintone scanners, and (sure to make the mouths of geeks water) the amBXT Immersive Gaming Experience."
Gah! It's been seven minutes already! Won't SOMEBODY FP, so I can moderate you down???
Don't piss off The Angry Economist
Bear is driving!
How can that be (first post)?
2. "Progressives" - "I don't think that word means what you think it means." These days, "Progressive" means "a liberal, but we can't call him a liberal because that phrase is too unpopular with voters." Do you mean a futurist? A student of progress? Uh, who died and made you Hari Seldon? You have absolutely no way of knowing that Phillips' vision won't look equally laughable 20 years down the road. History suggests it will be just as laughable. If you could see the future, you'd be investing in the stock market, not posting to Slashdot.
The future will not only be stranger than we imagine, but stranger than we can imagine...
Lawrence Person (lawrencepersonh@gmailh.com (remove all "h"s to mail)
http://www.lawrenceperson.com/
I can explain it for you, but I can't understand it for you.
Who said it would take 20 years?
the fa is about philips changing its focus to health and lifestyle design-driven products.
must... stay... awake...
"The last decade was the information society, but going forward, health and well-being will be a leading theme and driver of economic growth" says Philips CEO Gerard Kleisterlee.
Sounds like he is comparing apples to oranges here - information is a tool which can be used very effectively for achieving health and well being. So yes, while one can say that last decade was focused on information, I still see a huge room for improvement going forward - namely we need much better information classification to aid retrieval (for example, we can't search images, audio, or video unless they've been tagged). This, keeping focus on information is and will be essential for a Loooooooong time to come.
"You mortals are so obtuse." -Q
A loving couple to go to a vending machine for a brand new baby since there's no sex in the future.
How about some pictures? The Business Week article doesn't have any...
http://www.presslink.nl/philipssimplicity/
As long as I can punch griefers in the face and knock their teeth out I'll go for it.
Only because 20 years haven't passed yet.
When we look back on predictions we often find them absurd. Where as the ones we think of mediocre and not very awe inspiring, turn out to be the most valid. In such cases those who predicted the future were the ones who were down in there working to make it happen. They knew what was possible or at least what they thought they could make happen. Instead of sitting back and waiving their hand hoping others would make their dreams come true. They thought of the future as a progressive change instead of a revolution of technology at every turn.
Li'l Eva and Adolph's photo album http://images.businessweek.com/ss/06/10/philips_si mplicity/image/share.jpg is nice, and who could possibly resist the Ambient Experience Catheterization Lab http://images.businessweek.com/ss/06/10/philips_si mplicity/image/ambi.jpg? Nothing here that actually improves life, but it sure could make it look brighter.
PEOPLE FOCUS. Consequently, Philips is changing, says Stefano Marzano, CEO and chief creative director for Philips Design, "from a company in which technology called the shots to one in which the focus is firmly on people."
To some degree this has to be regarded as poppycock. The corporation will never be focused on people, because people are merely instrumental to profit.
What this means is that the corporation will abstract what it sees as the relevant details of you, then place you in a pigeonhole. Information technology allows many details to be extracted, and the number of pigeonholes to be much larger than the two or three that pre IT era companies had to content themselves with.
See what I mean?
The result can be surprisingly good. In just the context of the relationship between the consumer and the company, this is on balance a good thing. The corporation must have a strategy for making a profit, and this requires that they categorize their customers. More categories means better service.
In the wider context of society, there are dangers in this reductionistic view of humanity.
It is one thing to devise products that will fit the needs of specific groups of people, but increasingly marketing is focused on creating relationships and knowing individual customers. This involves a kind of surveillance, which is offered by companies like ChoicePoint. But information that may serve well to put you in a company's marketing pigeonholes, particularly when it is purchased by the government for security or other applications that affect you as a citizen. One of ChoicePoint's subsidiaries, DBT, was involved in the disastrous attempt to purge the Florida voting roles of convited felons in the 2000 presidential election. That effort improperly disenfranchised 8,000 voters in an election whose margin of victory was 537 votes.
Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
So where is my flying car?
It's easy to extrapolate present trends (often to their illogical conclusion). Harder to predict disruptive innovations that result in discontinuities.
[Insert pithy quote here]
So the future is going to have people waving their hands around to get anything done? Sounds like everyone's going to be an amateur symphony conductor. At least the picture phone didn't make it's appearance again. What I can't figure out is why all these companies is people want the future to be FUN, not easy. If it's easy, it's boring!
I also can't figure out why there are so many bleepin speakers in that speaker system. I count 8, 4 of which they could be used as engines on a small plane and the other 4 have stupid lighted boxes on the top.
And as usual the future is all about fancy gadgets to improve the corporate profits. There's nothing here about humans evolving, just technology.
"these pictures become laughable after 20 years. Not for Royal Philips Electronics"
Right, because of course in the future RPE will have been the first company to predict the actual future, not just today's future. They're just different from all the others, just because.
Unless they opened this exhibit in 1986, and predicted a future of cellphones ruining movies, Internet porn replacing TV, theocrats destroying science, and no flying cars. Oh, and a 1986-future-2006 with people still believing "* of the Future" exhibits are real predictions, instead of marketing whatever can't be justified to do in the present.
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make install -not war
Let's see:
1) a video post-it board
2) a heart-cath setup
3) picture frames
4) looks like a UV light she's shining in her eyes (the Cataract-a-mator?)
5) a TV for the kids
6) a wall-sized lite-brite(TM) for the kids
7) a bedside light
8) an animated bathroom scale
9) an oddly-shaped home stereo
and
10) a home-amusement system tht changes color
Nine out of ten are simply toys to keep you amused / distracted, and the tenth something your hospital can over-bill your insurance company for.
WHY should serious individuals pay any attention to the toys?
Remember when lasers were new (well, I don't, but I've seen the old magazines)?
Science magazines were all saying "lasers have so many uses and are going to be in every part of our life."
I think that to a degree, these people were right. There are plenty of informational uses (optical media), medical uses (laser eye surgery), among others.
But the reality is that day-to-day life hasn't changed, and we don't wake up and use our laser-spoon to eat our laser-ceral in the morning. Look at the average family, and sure they're different from a similar family of 50 years ago, but most of the noticeable differences are social/behavioural, even if those behaviours are based around new technology.
The future is much more boring than what looks good on the cover of Science/Tech magazines. The city of 50 years from now isn't going to be mostly buildings built 50 years from now; most of the city will look 50-80% the same.
- RG
Hey pal, this isn't a pleasantforest, so don't waste my time with pleasantries!
Cocky touch-screen user: "Sounds an awful lot like my finger to me."
"Since the creations by Walt Disney of Space Mountain and EPCOT, progressives have attempted to show us a picture of how technology will affect our future lives."
Uh, how about the preceeding 100 years of World's Fairs?