John Dvorak On Vista's Launch

An anonymous reader writes "John is at it again, this time with his take on the launch of Microsoft's Vista operating system. John covers the reality from a market perspective, looking at whether the release will affect PC sales, peripherals ... or even Microsoft." From the article: "While there is no way that Vista will be a flop, since all new computers will come with Vista pre-installed, there seems to be no excitement level at all. And there does not seem to be any compelling reason for people to upgrade to Vista. In fact, the observers I chat with who follow corporate licensing do not see any large installations of Windows-based computers upgrading anytime soon. The word I keep hearing is 'stagnation.' Industry manufacturers are not too thrilled either. One CEO who supplies a critical component for all computers says he sees a normal fourth quarter then nothing special in the first quarter for the segment. Dullsville."

Comments

Reaslly ?

[gx5000]

"While there is no way that Vista will be a flop,
since all new computers will come with Vista pre-installed"

Right, I've never bought a New PC and wiped it....never..
EVEN if it came with XP Home and I had three Full XP Pro licenses, I would
STILL use the crappy install that came with the PC as installed by the OEM...
Riiiiiiiiiight !

SO I guess what you are saying is that just because it will be shipped out
with XXX number of PC's, they will be counting those as successes ??!!
Riiiiiiiiiight !

Re:Though he's right

[HolyCrapSCOsux]

It's not really up to the consumers. Unfortunately.
Linux needs:
  Quickbooks (not Gnucash)
  World of Warcraft
  Photoshop (not Gimp)
  MS-Office (or OpenOffice with 100% interoperability and renamed symlinks with "Word" substituting "Write" etc.)
  an IE clone that LOOKS ans ACTS the same as IE (including the bad stuff)
  etc.
  etc.

Users are used to Windows. They are used to the programs that they use in Windows. Why should they change? they don't buy Windows, they buy a computer...with Windows.

If they got a Linspire machine or whatever, they would be mad when the kid's game that came in the box of Life Ceral they bought yesterday doesn't work.

The DEVELOPERS need to make the switch before anyone else can.