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PS3, Xbox Having Disappointing Christmas Season

Both the Xbox 360 and the PlayStation 3 appear to be having a bit of a rough Christmas. For the PS3, it's all about launch jitters. The worst of these jitters is probably the dubious nomination from TIME magazine, who has cited the console as a 'bust'. The 360, likewise, is having problems meeting expectations, especially those of Michael Pachter. He's the gent that expected big sales this Christmas for the console, and he's now trying to figure out why the 360 fell short. What is, perhaps, a larger problem - lack of penetration for the Xbox Live service - is being discussed by Reuters. While the still laudable number of 4 million subscribers sounds impressive, the article points out that the runaway success of the Wii and the overall ratio of possible to actual subscribers should give Microsoft pause. In short, Sony and Microsoft are having good, but not great holiday seasons. Next year, when there's enough stock to go around and big games on the way, we'll see who really 'has the stuff'.

25 of 149 comments (clear)

  1. TIME didn't cite the console as a 'bust' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    They named the 360 console of the year, along with all the other consoles.

    1. Re:TIME didn't cite the console as a 'bust' by falcon5768 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      RTFA. He said they name the PS3 a bust, which they did.

      --

      "Slashdot, where telling the truth is overrated but lying is insightful."

  2. More Gnashing of Teeth by jandrese · · Score: 2, Insightful

    While Microsoft might have a legitimate worry with the 360, it's plainly obvious to me that it's too early to be calling the PS3 in trouble. I mean every single one they've manufactured and shipped has sold shortly after arriving at the store (or well in advance). That's hardly a sales failure (although it is a supply failure). More importantly, rough launches have hardly doomed consoles in the past. Both the PSx and especially PS2 had rough launches and look how they turned out.

    There are a lot of things you can criticize about the PS3, but the sales are not one of them. Really, you can't say much at all about the sales until they start sitting on the shelves for more than 5 minutes. Even if total sales during the holidays are slow due to lack of supply, it doesn't really matter that the total volume is low until the boxes finally stop selling instantly.

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
    1. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by SetupWeasel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I will say this to you: take a gander at ebay. PS3s are selling at only a $50 premium. Compare that to the 360 last year and the far more abundant Wii (selling at a $200-250 premium), and you can see that the demand for the PS3 is worryingly low. The media simply isn't talking about it anymore.

    2. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by eln · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're going to be able to find 360s on shelves because they've been out for a while and Microsoft already has all of its supply problems worked out, so I wouldn't take that as an indication of poor sales.

      As for the PS3, for every forum where people are talking about PS3s selling out in minutes, I can show you forums where people are posting about going into their local big box store and seeing 4 or 5 PS3s just sitting there, with no buyers. I think any of these reports from Internet forums should be taken with a grain of salt, and not used to try and draw any conclusions about the sales of the PS3.

      The Wii has been flying off the shelves, and it looks like anyone who doesn't already have one isn't going to be getting one before Christmas, and the Wii did not have supply issues to nearly the extent that the PS3 did. Even with that, though, it's hard to say how much of the Wii's sales are hype-driven, and how long the craze will last.

      Basically, it's far too early to determine who will come out on top in all of this, but by all evidence so far, you have to put the Wii solidly in the top position right now based on sales, hype, and positive reviews from consumers. However, there is still plenty of time for the trend to go in another direction.

    3. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by LoverOfJoy · · Score: 3, Informative

      At the time I'm looking now, all the ones above $700 don't have any bids at all (except a few large bundles). I just saw a 60 gig model sell for $560 (plus $60 shipping). http://cgi.ebay.com/Sony-PlayStation-3-Game-consol e-GET-IT-NOW-1-DAY_W0QQitemZ180066522847QQihZ008QQ categoryZ62054QQrdZ1QQcmdZViewItem

    4. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by SetupWeasel · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Come off it. The only ps3 consoles selling at a premium according to your own link were those with extras such as included games.

      Many of the listings had no bids at all, just the dashed hopes of a seller with a starting bid (of $650) that no one wants to make.

    5. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by wilgibson · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Not true at all. My friend is the ASM at an EB Games. I talk to him all the time about what they have in and wheat's selling. They get more Wiis the PS3s most of the time and the Wiis sell out within seconds. The last shipment they got people where waiting outside at 6pm the day before to get them, the PS3 just doesn't seem to move like that. The closest Best Buy to me has had the same PS3 for atleast a week.

      The Wii has a supply problem because it has such a large demand. Nintendo is definitely shipping more Wiis than Sony is PS3, it's just that the demand for PS3 is already beginning to stagnate while the demand for the Wii is growing.

    6. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by AKAImBatman · · Score: 5, Informative
      Stores have been getting regular shipments of PS3s every couple of days all of december and online stores have been getting huge batches of PS3s. Stores are not getting any significant new supplies of Wiis like they are with PS3s. That is why you can't buy a Wii right now.

      You're only half right. The PS3 supply problem has been mostly sorted out, but both consoles are being regularly resupplied. The difference is that the Wiis are disappearing the moment the store opens, while the PS3s just... aren't. (Remember, the Wii has several times as many consoles out as the PS3.)

      Scary as it may sound, most people know the exact dates that the Wii will arrive, and thus show up to acquire them. I few dates I was aware of:

      November 24th (Black Friday supply)
      December 2nd (First occurance of consoles being held until Sunday in order to list it in the flyers)
      December 6th (Walmart held theirs until this date because their flyers are on a different schedule)
      December 9th (Most stores cancelled this release to stockpile for the 17th)
      December 17th (huge dump of stockpiled consoles)
      December 22nd (last shipment before Christmas)

      Each of these dates represented a significant number of units for nearly every major retailer. The fewest I've heard of was 9 for a given store. EB Games appear to get their shipments in a more ad-hoc fashion, so reports on specific dates have been sketchy for those.

      In comparison, the PS3s are usually Fex-Exed to the stores in bundles of 3 to 5 units. Delivery is ad-hoc and unpredictable. Surprisingly, the consoles don't appear to immediately sell out. I know several people (one personally) who were there at the time of a PS3 restock. There simply wasn't much interest from the shoppers.
    7. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by The-Bus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sony and Microsoft's positions are bit a reversed from what they were in 2001: Sony had the year old console, Microsoft the new, more advanced upstart. Microsoft was never able to catch Sony's lead.

      Is history repeating? I wouldn't be so sure. In 2001, the PS2 had a triumvirate of absolute monster blockbuster titles: new entries in the Final Fantasy, Grand Theft Auto and Metal Gear Solid series. Each of them sold close to a million copies in December and you could argue that each filled somewhat of a niche. This year, Microsoft has Gears of War which only solidifes what the console is already full of: First/Third-Person-Shooters. Sure, Gears is different than Halo, but these nuances are more for fans of the genre. There's no other exclusive that's selling as well.

      Microsoft's lead in the hardware division is a little bit more positive: they don't have the established base that PS2 had a year later, mostly due to a non-existent Japanese market, but they also have even more of a lead on Europe.

      PS3's big holiday punch is coming next year, again: new entries in the Final Fantasy, Grand Theft Auto, and Metal Gear Solid series. The thing is, if history tells us anything, Final Fantasy may not ship to North America (and won't ship to Europe) until 2008. Metal Gear Solid should ship to North America but may not ship to Europe until 2008. And Grand Theft Auto is now no longer exclusive and launching simultaneously on both platforms.

      If Microsoft can maintain the North American and European hardware lead over the PS3, they may do well next year. Not only is the PS3 big holiday punch weakened, but if MS has the lead, non-exclusives (Madden, EA games, Sega games, GTA) will do better on the 360: Why even get a PS3? A price drop for the 360 is inevitable next year. If Sony follows tradition, they won't drop their price until Spring 2008. And of new IPs shipping next year, Microsoft's seem to be the most interesting ones.

      The original Xbox had a long, hard uphill battle to fight; it was a fight it never won. That long climb is still continuing, but now Sony's hobbled as well and Microsoft has possibly three holiday seasons where their existing library is superior to the existing library of the PS3. Time will tell.

      And of course, while this is going on, Nintendo keeps making money and selling Wiis.

      --

      Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

    8. Re:More Gnashing of Teeth by 0xdeadbeef · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Will you people get off it? No one has brand loyalty to Sony but you fanboys. There are no hordes of people itching to get a PS3 the second they can find one. People simply do not give a shit, because all they really care about is the games.

      The adoption curve will probably look exactly like the 360, and both systems will have disappointing numbers until they lower the prices.

  3. PS3 BluLaser Issues Are Over by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Stores all over North America have been getting restock every couple of days. The eBay scammers were counting on Sony having continued production problems past the holidays. That has turned out to be a false hope resulting in crashing eBay prices for PS3s.

    Microsoft apparently is flooding the channel with 360s to try to be able to make an effort to be able to claim they reached their sales goals for the first year. People are reporting giant stacks of 360s sitting in aisles in stores this past couple of weeks - my local Frys has the biggest stack of consoles I've ever seen as of a couple days ago. As the article talks about, Microsoft is having a real hard time moving systems even with the 100 dollar rebates they've been paying stores for for the last couple of months.

    Most interesting is the lack of supply of Wiis. People have speculated it is because Nintendo is having to switch the wrist straps. Whatever the reason, something is up. No one is reporting hardware failures like the 360, so it will be interesting to see what happened. I would not be surprised if the numbers for December are a whole lot closer between the PS3 and Wii than anyone imagined they would be.

  4. Nintendo sold me an Xbox360 by Kelbear · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Anecdotal story, but I may speak for others:

    I am fascinated by the Wii, and already own two games(Zelda:TP and Super Monkey Ball) for the Wii...and I still do not own one. There just aren't any that aren't sold on the internet or on a freezing cold line at 3am.

    So rather than going home empty-handed to sit out my holiday vacation days in boredom...I picked up an Xbox360 to tide me over till February when the Wii (hopefully) where the Wii is available on the inside of stores rather than the outside.

    So my desire for the Wii managed to boost Xbox360 sales. Having an Xbox360 made a large number of games available to me, and it led to purchase a series of games I'd been curious about but never cared to pursue. So Nintendo can also be thanked for netting me 10-12 games(though only about 6 are new).

    Naturally my story will not be common, but I don't think it will be all that rare. I just happen to have an excess of disposable income due to my circumstances and underdeveloped propensity to save.

  5. You can get an Xbox 360 for $200 by KingSkippus · · Score: 2, Informative

    I just mentioned in another thread a few minute ago that Micro Center is offering a $100 rebate on Xbox 360s, both the core and pro systems. For the core system, that would end up being $200.

    Now, that being said, beware the nickel-and-diming:

    • You have to pay $300 up-front and wait for the rebate to get to you, and make sure you take the check and deposit it in the bank. It's a bit of a hassle, but hopefully for $100, you won't forget.
    • If you pick up a few accessories and a game or two, that could easily push you $200 or more higher.
    • You have to put up with their pushy salespeople trying to sell you an extended warranty contract. Don't buy it. Aside from the fact that all of these contracts are totally bogus, Microsoft just extended the manufacturer's warranty from 90 days to a year.
    • If you want to play online, you'll also have to subscribe to Xbox Live, which is an additional fee.

    So if you're just looking for something that will play the fancy new Xbox 360 and classic old Xbox games, you can get it now for $200. If you're looking to build it out to any degree, you should indeed probably wait.

    /really wants a Wii also

  6. What it's not... by Zalbik · · Score: 2
    I think the XBox 360 suffers from a "what it's not" identity crisis.
    • It's not a new way to play games
    • It's not a BluRay (or HD-DVD) player.
    • It's not fully backward compatible
    • It's not a Linux platform.
    • It's not friendly to casual gamers
    It's just the XBox...only prettier. There's no easy way to market that...

  7. Re:I'm not buying any NextGen Console by ximenes · · Score: 2, Informative

    You can convert HDMI to DVI with a simple $5 cable from monoprice.com. It is disappointing that the Wii only supports up to component, but who knows what will develop later on. Someone could come out with a VGA cable eventually.

  8. Re:Wii by bynary · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I had a Xbox 360...and then I borrowed my brother's Wii console. Not only did my wife actually stayed in the room while I was playing she actually played a couple rounds of Wii Bowling with me. The next day I listed my Xbox on eBay and plan to buy a Wii at the earliest opportunity.

    It wasn't a tough sell at all.

    If you haven't played one...do so.

    --
    http://www.bynarystudio.com
  9. From the other side of the Atlantic... by Andy_R · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's hard to say if Sony is having a bad Christmas or not round here, as their 'we can't be bothered' attitude to Europe means they forgot to send us any. The Wiis are all sold, which means Microsoft are probably picking up extra sales from worred parents who would be left without a 'big present' for little Timmy if that nice salesman hadn't convinced them to go for the Xbox 360.

    Apple are either being incredibly clever holding back the iPod shuffle knowing the 'next present up the ladder' is their own Nano, or they seriously miscalculated demand, since they are practically unobtainable here.

    I think the real problem for the Games market is that there were no really 'big' must-have games this year. I'd have bought a Wii if the Mario Game was out, a PS3 if it and GT5 was out, and a Xbox360 if hell froze over. My spend on games this Christmas is zero, and I'm not the only one.

    --
    A pizza of radius z and thickness a has a volume of pi z z a
  10. Re:Wii do. by archen · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's nothing on those game discs that could have been fit on a DVD at this point...

    Even if Bluray comes later it becomes irrelevant for games. It's the game console addon problem. Addons do not work for consoles, because game developers will always aim at the base model. When you have an install base of 1 million PS3s that don't have bluray drives in them, who in the hell is going to publish games on a bluray disk and exclude those customers? Especially since they're most likely the early adapters who go the most crazy over new games.

    Thus Sony knew that if they wanted to put bluray in, it had to be all or nothing. Gabling on a laser that isn't widely produced or they didn't have stockpiled was obviously not the greatest decision short term.

  11. what would improve the consoles' popularity by ILuvRamen · · Score: 2, Funny

    we need videos of people throwing Xbox 360 and PS3 controllers through their TVs on youtube. That seemed to have working for the Wii. And before you're all like "no, nah ah!" this is Microsoft and Sony we're talking about, they'd probably be like "yup, that must be the wii's secret to sucess" If I saw a commercial with Bill Gates whipping around a 360 controller then smashing it into the camera lense and breaking it, I'd be more inclined to buy a 360.

    --
    Google's Super Secret Search Algorithm: SELECT @search_results FROM internet WHERE @search_results = 'good'
  12. Re:Wii do. by rwven · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I see you're a ps3 graphics fanboy.

    When the two 'big games' that supposedly show off the 'true power' of the 360, PGR3 and Gears of War:

    * PGR can't even run at full 720p resolution
    * Even with the low resolution it still is only 30fps
    * A jaggy mess in actual gameplay
    * Only bogus 'photo mode'/non-gameplay movies/images are released for the game
    * Actual gameplay captures of Gears of War simply do not exist on the Net - nothing but high rez bullshit marketing shots
    * Just as much of a jaggy mess as PGR in actual gameplay


    PGR3 is not some MAJOR game for the 360, by the way. Most players don't even like it. I bought it and resold it within a week because I hated it so much. It was a launch title, so it got plenty of hype. Nothing more.

    * PGR3 not running at 720p has nothing to do with the 360. It's a result of the developers deciding to run it that way. It DOES run higher than SD which you apparently didn't quite get. It's rendered at 1024x600 sized up to 720p (1280x720) which isn't a larger jump anyway. SD is much lower than that. There are also many, much more graphically demanding games out there than PGR, and they're running at full 720p. Burnout Revenge for instance. (funny you should mention it though though...isn't the PS3 having trouble running at 720p?) Enjoying your PS3 at 640x480?

    * Oh, is your eye faster than the rest of ours? Motion is percieved at anything faster than 11fps... They've stated all kinds of framerate issues with many of the new PS3 games anyway. To actually have it affect gameplay you're gonna have to get below 20FPS...which doesn't say much for the PS3.

    * Jaggy mess? The 360 has guaranteed 2x MINIMUM anti-aliasing in ANY game. It's also manditory and enforced by Microsoft. If you looked into the 360's archetecture you would know that it also comes with NO performance his WHATSOEVER which is why almost all games have 4x support (the 360 has a separate post processing effect processor Things like motion blur (and plenty of other things) can also be completely performance free if the developers wish). The PS3 has OPTIONAL AA support and it's all handled by the main GPU. Your jaggy mess comment is just as clueless as your previous two. Jaggies are dependant on resolution...and AA pretty much does away with that problem.

    * I've seen TONS of screenshots of PGR3 at IGN and Gamespot and other review sites that don't look ANYWHERE near as good as the game ACTUALLY does. I'd sure like to see where you get off saying it's "bogus."

    * There are gobs of actual gameplay screenshots. Tried looking at any gamesites lately? The problem is that you don't seem to realize that ALL the shots you see are rendered in the game/game engine. The screenshots also don't anywhere near do justice to the actual game. Try watching a sidebyside GoW and R:FoM video and see how much the GoW graphics beat the living tar out of R:FoM. By the way, the "hi-rez" shots you're talking about are 720p screenshots... 720p is 1280x720 resolution...

    * Again...read the comments about AA above. You're just making stuff up.

    Are you just stuck on moron or something? I'm not fanboy at all, but what you said is just idiotic to the max. Gamespot did a sidebyside graphical comparison of crossover games on the PS3 and 360 and at this stage of the game the PS3's looks are a good deal below the graphics of the 360. Apparently the only people denying that are fanboys like you.

    This isn't to say that the PS3 will never compete, but IF the corresponding launch titles on either system were indicative of "true" graphical power, the 360 is well beyond the PS3.... Do a little research and next time don't come here and make a moron out of yourself.

    http://www.gamespot.com/features/6162742/ For example.

  13. Re:I'm not buying any NextGen Console by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 2

    Er, PS3 has DVI in the form of HDMI, they're signal compatible and straight pin adaptor cables are easy to find.

    HDMI is signal-compatible with DVI-I and DVI-D, which are used to interconnect with digital LCD panels. Most low-end LCD panels and practically all CRT displays use the DVI-A signal standard, which is just analog VGA with a different connector and is not compatible with HDMI.

  14. Make free online service include multiplayer play by poopie · · Score: 3, Insightful

    all the premium live service really adds is online multiplayer capabilities

    Which is the *ONLY* thing that 99% of the console players want out of an online service!!

    Make it free to play online already!

    Offer stupid extras or game downloads or other crap as premiums, but don't charge for basic multiplayer game functionality.

    That goes for all of the other console mfgrs as well.
  15. Sams Clubs In Ohio have no PS3's. by Nazmun · · Score: 2, Informative

    We've been getting shipments of everything but the ps3. WE've had tons of 360's ordered hundreds for the holiday and they are selling but we've barely had any ps3's. The ps3's status is worse then the 360's last year. We knew we would be getting at least one shipment a week if not more. Three months after launch we were never out of stock for the 360's. I've not heard a thing about us even getting more ps3s.

    Parent's aren't even interested in asking about the ps3's and when they do it's something like. "Well, we also want to get a ps3 but you guys probably don't have it right?"

    I don't know who's got in in shelves but they aren't really available here in central ohio.

    --
    Hmmm... Pie...
  16. A PS3 Remote would not work by LKM · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I see no reason why Sony or a third party couldn't come out with a similar controller, similar to the add-on gamepads, Air-Guitars and Microphones we've all come to know and love on our PS2s

    Except... there ar three or four games at most for each of these add-on "gamepads." Even the EyeToy didn't get more than a few mediocre games. On the Wii, every game can and will use the remote to some degree, because developers know they can rely on it being there.

    And as we've seen, ideas usually don't suddenly appear. They need to be refined over time. Look at FPSs on the Wii: CoD got the aiming pretty good, Red Steel implemented some additional remote features (such as "calls" you get during multiplayer games or throwing of hand grenades using the nunchuck), and so on. The second or third versions of these games will perfect the control scheme. You can't just create two or three games for such an innovative controller and expect them to be perfect in every way - that's why most EyeToy games are either pretty bad, or pretty bland.

    How many different versions of the GameBoy, GameBoy Advanced, and DS have come out so far

    It should be noted that no new revision ever fundamentally changed the hardware. They made new versions of the GB, GBA and DS smaller, prettier and included a brighter screen, but they never increased the screen's resolution, or made them faster.