Social Network Fatigue Coming?
mrspin offers the opinion of ZDNet blogger Steve O'Hear that users may soon tire of social networks — if they don't open up and embrace standards allowing greater interoperability among the different networks. O'Hear writes: "Unless the time required to sign-in, post to, and maintain profiles across each network is reduced, it will be impossible for most users to participate in multiple sites for very long." In an earlier post he went into more detail on the same subject, with extensive opinions from four creators of social networks. A contrary data point comes from the Apophenia blog, in a post noting the tendency among young users to create ephemeral profiles, and not to mind at all if they have to re-enter data. "Teens are not looking for universal anything; that's far too much of a burden if losing track of things is the norm." What does Slashdot think — is data portability among social networking sites a big deal or not?
Facebook and other sites already support importing, exporting, and synching data through RSS feeds and SOAP/XML APIs. They also support importing contacts from other accounts.
Other than the 20 crowd on MySpace, what's the relevancy of these sites? Classmates.com, where you can find the email address of the douche who sat behind you in History class? Yahoo groups, where you can look at a lot of bad, amateur porn?
Is there fatigue over these sites, or just ennui, due to their fundamental lack of any content, other than being circle-jerks?
I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
Arguably?
But seriously, people will keep switching, no doubt about it. What will change is what they switch. Instead of changing small, dedicated services, they will switch larger ones.
I'm even sick of posting journal entries!
"Speaking the Truth in times of universal deceit is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell
Participants will probably settle into communities where they feel most at home, and most comfortable, where they are surrounded by the most like-minded people. For some this will be Fark, for others it will be Digg, Reddit, or Netscape. This is where the wisdom of the masses and the tyranny of the mob will really conflict, I think, and the sites and communities that thrive the most will be the ones where there is some sort of accountability, and some form of moderation.
Of course, I say this as a 34 year-old who's completely fed up with people being unaccountable shitcocks online. The 24 year-old version of me probably would have had a different opinion (and spent the bulk of his time at a different website.)
Well, as with all things, there will be a new generation of social networking. The buzzword may be new(er), but the act of using the Internet to connect with other people (locally or globally) is, well, pretty much what people do on the Internet. (Porn is still a connection, just one-way and occasionally painful.) There was Usenet, the short-lived Geocities era, e-mail, IRC/Webchat, and then we've moved on to LiveJournal and all its permutations, then to Myspace, Facebook, RSS feeds. People will recognize the successes and failures of the current era and move on. It's how it works. Or maybe Myspace won't become a dinosaur and do a massive 2.0 update that wipes away all those horrid profiles and deal with spam better than it has. The problem with Myspace is that its solution for the clogging of its tubes is by... yeah, you guessed it, adding more shit.