Nobel Prize Winners Live Longer
anthemaniac writes "A new study finds those who won Nobel Prizes between 1901 and 1950 lived about 2 years longer than nominees who didn't win. The researchers conclude that the instantly conferred social status leads to health benefits. From the story: 'The research rules out the possibility that intervening prize-related money itself adds the years through improved prosperity.' If you're thinking of aiming for the prize, pick the right field. Nobel laureates in physics lived nearly a year longer than winners in chemistry."
Except for the 1903 and 1911 winner.
This is a better conclusion: People who tend to win also tend to live longer, due to a separate causal factor.
Now gimme my Nobel Prize. I just corrected a bunch of Junk Scientists.
Don't trust anyone under thirty.
there are so many things wrong with such an analysis. the fact that Nobel prize winners live longer is a correlation, not a cause-and-effect relationship.
You can't immediately blame it on social status. For all we know, it could be because they're being shuttled around the world giving lectures everywhere, such that they get better exercise; it could be that they're being given more money and have a more relaxed personal life to eat better; it could be a lot of other things.
I think it goes with that theory of the brain's "use it or lose it" feature. I bet you live a little longer when you feel you have a reason to get up in the morning and do something. This guy does.
I'd guess that it's around the border of statistical significance.
The standard deviation in the life expectancy of the general population is about 10 years (meaning - 2/3 people die between 67 and 87), although IIRC it's got a lot of skew.
Anyway, the smaller of the two samples is 135 people, so the error in the estimate of that mean is roughly 10 / sqrt(134) ~= 10/12, so two sigma is about 20 months, and the life expectancy difference is 24 months, so it's significant to 5%.
Well, okay, you can't be "more" or "less" significant (something is either significant, to any particular threshold, or it isn't), but is this the only hypothesis he tested on this data? How many data sets of similar size did he comb through? And why only physics and chemistry?
OTOH, if extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, it stands to reason that ordinary claims should be able to phone it in on paltry evidence like that, so I'm willing to believe that the winners lived longer.
The good and new comes from no quarter where it is looked for, and is always something different from what is expected.