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Two Snowflakes May Be Alike After All

An anonymous reader writes "LiveScience is reporting that it may be possible for two snowflakes to be alike after all. For anyone who studies probability, this seems reasonable, given that the article mentions that 10^24 snowflakes fall in any given year. The article contains links to fascinating snowflake pictures. From the article: 'A typical snow crystal weighs roughly one millionth of a gram. This means a cubic foot of snow can contain roughly one billion crystals ... "It is probably safe to say that the possible number of snow crystal shapes exceeds the estimated number of atoms in the known universe," Nelson said. Still, while "no two snowflakes are alike" might hold true for larger snowflakes, Nelson figures it might ring false for smaller crystals that sometimes fall before they have a chance to fully develop. "How likely is it that two snowflakes are alike? Very likely if we define alike to mean that we would have trouble distinguishing them under a microscope and if we include the crystals that hardly develop beyond the prism stage--that is, the smallest snow crystals," Nelson said.'"

9 of 180 comments (clear)

  1. Nancy Knight, 1988 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Nancy Knight, 1988

    "The old saw that no two snow crystals are identical was disproved in 1988, when National Center for Atmospheric Research scientist Nancy Knight found two that apparently were. The twin crystals were found by accident when Knight was examining samples collected at 6 kilometers (20,000 feet) over Wisconsin for a cloud-climatology study. Thick, hollow, and columnar, the crystals seem to have been Siamese twins that grew attached to each other. No satisfying explanation has yet been found." -

    http://www.proquestk12.com/curr/snow/snow395/snow3 95.htm

  2. Re:Years ago... by Whiney+Mac+Fanboy · · Score: 5, Informative
    as you'd expect, if two flakes of snow form under virtually identical conditions you end up with two virtually identical flakes.

    From snowflake chemistry

    Is it true that no two snowflakes are identical?

    Yes and no. No two snowflakes are exactly identical, down to the precise number of water molecules, spin of electrons, isotope abundance of hydrogen and oxygen, etc. On the other hand, it is possible for two snowflakes to look exactly alike and any given snowflake probably has had a good match at some point in history. Since so many factors affect the structure of a snowflake and since a snowflake's structure is constantly changing in response to environmental conditions, it is improbable that anyone would see two identical snowflakes.
    --
    There are shills on slashdot. Apparently, I'm one of them.
  3. This isn't new, it was news 18 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    See Cecil Adams at the straightdope http://www.straightdope.com/classics/a3_392.html

  4. Re:Number of atoms in the universe by FallLine · · Score: 4, Informative
    "It is probably safe to say that the possible number of snow crystal shapes exceeds the estimated number of atoms in the known universe..."

    This sort of thing does my head in. Anyone else trying to keep up?
    Makes sense to me. The operating word is possible, as in the number of possible arrangements of unique snow crystal shapes likely exceeds the estimated number of actual atoms in the universe that we know of. This isn't terribly different than saying that number of possible lego combinations exceeds the number of legos in the world (well, I don't really know how many lego combinations are possible.... but you get my point). Though IANAA & IANAM :-)
  5. Re:Interesting science... by Deadstick · · Score: 3, Informative
    Oohhh-kay...one cubic decimeter is about 0.016 cubic feet, so one cubic foot of snow weighs about 1000/0.016 = 62500 grams.

    Freshly-fallen snow is roughly 1/10 to 1/5 as dense as liquid water, so one cubic foot of snow weighs about 6250 to 12500 grams. At one million crystals per gram, that's -- guess what -- about 0.625 to 1.25 billion crystals per cubic foot.

    Who made one cubic foot equal to 1000 grams?

    Mother nature. Air is part of her recipe for snow.

    rj

  6. Picture of Identical Snowflakes by Whiney+Mac+Fanboy · · Score: 2, Informative

    The National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) has a pic of the identical (attached) snowflakes on their kid's page.

    They look more like nanopumps than snowflakes to me!

    --
    There are shills on slashdot. Apparently, I'm one of them.
  7. Re:Number of atoms in the universe by jd · · Score: 4, Informative
    It's to do with exponentials. Let's say that a particular snow crystal can form in one of fifteen ways. ((That's all the possibilities depicted on this chart). Then, two such crystals covers 225 possibilities (minus those that simply can't be joined for whatever reason). A snowflake with a hundred crystals would have fifteen to the hundred (ie: one googol) possible permutations.

    However, is our starting number of 15 reasonable? The standard snowflake crystals are all formed at temperatures just below freezing under fairly normal conditions. The rate at which the water cools will have a major impact, as will any airborne particles around which the snow crystals can condense. (Particles may cause a break in the symmetry or may force the ice to contain patterns that simply aren't possible when only hexagonal ice crystals are present.) There again, anything dissolved in the water will change the chemistry as well. As not everything freezes at the same temperature, it is entirely possible for snowflakes to acquire bubbles and other oddities where something has remained liquid even as the water froze.

    Then, there are the exotic states of frozen H2O which are not considered "ice", per se. Water that has frozen under really strange pressures or at extreme rates will not form regular ice crystals, but form other solid states instead. Slashdot has covered a few of these in the past. Is it possible to have a snowflake form from such states? Maybe. Then you add a whole new set of possibilities to the mix, although it would be unlikely that you could get a mixture of regular ice and these exotic states. (Not impossible, though. If the higher-level clouds chucked down snow in the exotic states, which then got added to by regular snowflake crystals, then you could indeed have a mixture. Not sure this could happen on Earth, but there may be planets where this is common.)

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  8. Re:Number of atoms in the universe by muridae · · Score: 2, Informative
    At least as fast as 10^n, in fact, a lot faster.

    (37065N-89115)(46^(N-4))+(2N-1)(2(^N-1)) in fact, and that is just for N number of bricks in a tower N-1 bricks tall. I think they predict the final value to be around 100^n

    Check the math here if you want.

  9. It ain't necessarily so ...bro by dns_server · · Score: 2, Informative

    According to a book that i'm reading "It ain't necessarily so ...bro" by Dr Karl Kruszelnicki (Ignoble award winner, Radio host on Triple J (Australia)). "In 1988 the scientist Nancy Knight (at the National Center for Atmospheric research in Boulder, Colorado) was studying cirrus clouds. During a snow storm in Wisconsin her research plane collected snowflakes on a chilled glass slide coated with sticky oil. Two of the snowflakes where identical (atleast under a microscope, atleast)." page 148