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Scientists Dubious of Quantum Computing Claims

Dollaz wrote with a link to the International Business Times, which questions the authenticity of D-Wave's Quantum computing. We discussed the 'Sudoku playing' computer yesterday, but scientists in the field have expressed a lot of distrust of the company's findings. The machine was not available for inspection during or after the demo, and even if the technology was working as intended there is some doubt that it can be scaled. The article points out that "notwithstanding lofty claims in the company's press release about creating the world's first commercial quantum computer, D-Wave Chief Executive Herb Martin emphasized that the machine is not a true quantum computer and is instead a kind of special-purpose machine that uses some quantum mechanics to solve problems." Good to see people in the field questioning 'breakthroughs'.

35 of 107 comments (clear)

  1. I Knew It! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I knew something was up when it got stuck on a level four Sudoku.

    And then when it coughed and 'had to take a smoke break.' I knew there was a reason no one could look at it.

  2. Well DUH by UbuntuDupe · · Score: 4, Funny

    The machine was not available for inspection during or after the demo, ...

    Yes ... that's how a quantum mechanical system works -- you look at it, you change it. I can imagine these guys in peer review, "Look, this double-slit experiment of yours is really interesting and all, but we can't publish your results unless you record the photons going through EACH slot, on EACH time, otherwise, how do we know you're faking it?"

    I kid, I kid. I think...

    1. Re:Well DUH by idontgno · · Score: 5, Funny

      That's the real problem. Until they look, the computer is in a superpositon of being and not being a quantum processor. They're afraid to look, lest its probability field collapse into an eigenstate of "just marketing hype."

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    2. Re:Well DUH by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 5, Funny

      There is a universe somewhere in which you did not make that joke. And some luckier copy of me gets to live in that universe.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    3. Re:Well DUH by pclminion · · Score: 3, Informative

      Don't confuse the uncertainty of quantum collapse with the uncertainty of the Uncertainty Principle. They are two different concepts. The uncertainty principle derives from a mathematical truth (it would be true even if the world was not governed by quantum physics), whereas the uncertainty associated with wavefunction collapse is a true quantum effect unrelated to the Heisenberg uncertainty principle.

      (The Uncertainty Principle is a consequence of the fact that momentum and position are dual-spaces of each other -- similar "uncertainty" principles arise, for the same reasons, in more mundane fields such as signal processing)

    4. Re:Well DUH by mikael · · Score: 5, Funny

      One ptototype Schrödinger box for sale - cat may or may not be included.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    5. Re:Well DUH by sacrilicious · · Score: 3, Funny
      One ptototype Schrödinger box for sale - cat may or may not be included.

      If it's a Schrödinger box then the cat's included all right... the open issue is that you may or may not be having burgers for lunch.

      --
      - First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then ???, then profit.
  3. Thats my problem with the press release, too: by imsabbel · · Score: 3, Informative

    "instead a kind of special-purpose machine that uses some quantum mechanics to solve problems."

    Well, _any_ mosfet based transitor uses quantum mechanics to solve problems (you get real problems explaining band-formation and the influence of substrate doting classically). That statement is trimmed down to be as slippery as possible.

    --
    HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
  4. How to verify their claims? by stratjakt · · Score: 2, Interesting

    How would you?

    I'm legitimately curious. Such a device has never been built, how do these guys prove they have one? They say themselves they aren't certain if it's quantum-ing up the sudoku.

    --
    I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    1. Re:How to verify their claims? by Timesprout · · Score: 2, Funny

      You need to get someone over at Groklaw to confirm it.

      --
      Do not try to read the dupe, thats impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth
      What truth?
      There is no dupe
    2. Re:How to verify their claims? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Such a device has never been built, how do these guys prove they have one? As Scott Aaronson said, they could prove it by producing the prime factors of a 463-digit composite number.
    3. Re:How to verify their claims? by Surt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think Aaronson has unfortunately done only half his homework. A 16 qit computer can't solve that problem (not fast anyway).

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
  5. Uncertainty? by Quila · · Score: 5, Funny

    He said all the evidence the company has indicates that the device is performing quantum computations, but he acknowledged there is some uncertainty.

    Time to check the cat.
  6. He kind of has a point... by Talgrath · · Score: 2, Insightful

    He kind of has a point in that, even if it isn't a "true" quantum computer and it simply uses some quantum processes, it doesn't matter a whole lot to the people interested in buying it. They're more interested in the power to do stuff they can't right now. That being said, the fact that they aren't willing to show the machine to scientists makes me question whether this machine actually uses quantum processes.

    1. Re:He kind of has a point... by Sam+Nitzberg · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Direct test for a quantum computer:
      Solve any problem polynomially reducable to SAT/3-SAT (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boolean_satisfiabili ty_problem)
      without the use of heuristic algorithms. Further, show it being done in polynomial-time with respect to the problem size.

      Naturally, the machine and program would also have to be subject to inspection to show that it wasn't just spitting out a canned response to a problem already worked on and answered by a team of supercomputers elsewhere....

      Fortunately, checking the result won't take too long. The check should be calculable on a conventional computer in polynomial-time.

    2. Re:He kind of has a point... by TMacPhail · · Score: 4, Informative

      I went to the Vancouver demo of this yesterday and it is pretty clear why they couldn't have it available for inspection at an event like this. It is located in a specially shielded room in their lab to reduce signal noise with a cooling system that cools a portion of the computer down to 4mK (extremely close to absolute zero).

      Besides, even if I or anyone else there was able to inspect it, do you really think that we could look at it and say "hey, I don't see any quantum effects"

    3. Re:He kind of has a point... by cpeikert · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Solve any problem polynomially reducable to SAT/3-SAT

      You have your reducibility direction mixed up: even really easy problems (like sorting, or outputting "2") are reducible to SAT. It's the hard problems that SAT reduces to.

      Not that this matters, because quantum computing is very unlikely to be able to solve NP-complete problems. It does seem to help with very structured problems like factoring, though. No, factoring is (almost definitely) not NP-complete.

      Further, show it being done in polynomial-time with respect to the problem size.

      Polynomial-time is an asymptotic notion. It can't be verified for a particular problem size (or finite set of problem sizes). It is purely an analytical concept, not an experimental/testable one.

  7. Uncertainty? by nonpareility · · Score: 4, Funny

    He said all the evidence the company has indicates that the device is performing quantum computations, but he acknowledged there is some uncertainty. Sounds like a joke that flew over the reporter's head.
  8. Good blog responses by Ambitwistor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Quantum computing researcher Scott Aaronson wrote some good anti-hype pieces about the D-Wave PR here and here, focusing on their incorrect marketing claims to be able to solve NP-complete problems in polynomial time. The first link also has an update with comments from Lawrence Ip of Google, who clarifies what the D-Wave people are really claiming.

  9. Marketing department at work... by viking2000 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Let me guess: It is a regular computer that solves a regular problem the regular way. One function needed is a number generator.

    You could pick any device that returns different numbers at different times. It could be a microphone, a geiger counter, a clock og a quantum device

    Now pick the quantum device, and call the whole device a "Quantum computer"

    This is normal in marketing departments. The only unusual thing here is that they got the engineering department to go with them.

  10. Maybe, but... by Flimzy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe it's not a true quantum "computer", but is that bad? The first electronic "problem solving machines" weren't true computers, either. That doesn't mean that this "custom" quantum machine isn't a useful step in the right direction...

  11. I've been saying for ages it's a scam by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 4, Interesting
    It's the electronic equivalent of using soap bubbles to solve the traveling salesman problem. For simple problems you really can use soap bubbles because soap bubbles like to form minimal surfaces. This 'quantum' computer does something similar - it uses a form of annealing to find the minimum of some function with the energy representing the function you're trying to minimise. Cool the system and you find what that minimum energy is. But soap bubbles don't scale.

    So the first part of the scam is this: even if this device wasn't a quantum device at all it would still work to some extent because when you allow systems to cool they fall into lower energy states. If the 'quantum' aspect of things works then it might find that state faster, but without careful monitoring there's no way of telling if the 'quantumness' had anything to do with what it did. In fact, for large systems we know that it won't be very 'quantum' at all because it will interact with its environment and decohere. But it's a perfect strategy for designing a machine that you can claim is quantum, when it isn't. It stinks of scam.

    Secondly: suppose you want to solve a challenging problem with this device. For example you want to search some space for a miniumum of some sort. For this machine to be effective the state space must be pretty large or else you could use a regular classical computer. Consider a billion state problem (quite small really for combinatorial problems). You have to be able to get a system to settle into the minimum energy state despite the fact that there are a billion states nearby all of which have almost the same energy. Just the tiniest input of energy and it'll jump up from that minimum. There is absolutely no way that they can search a large enough state space and still have the minimum energy state sufficiently far from other states.

    BTW This device is quite different from what is conventionally meant by a 'quantum computer', it's more like a quantum, analog computer.

    Real and useful 'digital' quantum computers are a long way off. I expect that the size of quantum computers will grow by a bit or so per year at the most. (When I say 'bit' I mean total memory, not the size of the bus.)

    --
    Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
  12. Article makes things seems worse by aditi · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Scientists are skeptical because it hasn't been submitted for peer review. Yes, but that's true for any new scientific discovery. It's not entirely fair to spin that into "this quantum computer might not really work".
    Also, while the article claims it might not be a "true quantum computer", it never really says how that's different from a "computer that uses quantum mechanics to solve certain problems", and given its audience, can't possibly expect its readers to know. To me, this just sounds like journalists looking for something to hype about.

  13. So, is this the right place.... by FooAtWFU · · Score: 3, Informative
    Is this the right place to plug my animated JavaScript sudoku solver? Guaranteed 100% Non-Vaporware! Inspect it all you like!

    :)

    --
    The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
  14. Re:Sudoku by austior · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I thought they already had a conventional algorithm that could solve Sudoku without utilizing quantum effects? Quantum computers can only solve problems that conventional algorithms can solve. Potentially, they could solve them faster.

    Nature doesn't seem to have utilized the method There are a lot of useful things nature hasn't discovered, like wheels (macro sized) and transistors. The nervous system doesn't take advantage of ANY molecular scale computation, so how could it build a quantum computer?
  15. They didn't do what they said they did by QEDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are several things to note about the announcement. First, the emphasis was on selling that this computer can solve NP-Complete problems, something that it is, to say the least, not right. An adiabatic quantum computer, such as the one they claim they had, cannot "solve" NP-complete problems. It can at most give a quadratic improvement, at most. They didn't even showed that the did this. Solving a particular instance of an NP-complete problem (such as the 9x9 sudoku) does NOT mean that you can solve an NP-comp problem. Either they lied, or there were intenionally using language that was not very precise to give the wrong impression. So the things that they said they can do cannot be done.

    What did they do? Nobody knows. They were very careful to evade the important question: what did they actually accomplish? They never mentioned qubit decoherence times, fidelity, nothing. These are things they can claim without compromising the trade secrets. They gave a lot of emphasis to saying that the computer is part a classical computer, and part a quantum computer, something that nobody really cares about. What is important is to spell out exactly what was the part of the problem the quantum computer solved.

    The CTO has a blog, and he sounds very competent in it. I'm guessing that he just had a lot or pressure from the investors to show *something*. It was just a big show to get some Venture Capitals. Pretty graphics and tech demos are cool for getting fans for videogame consoles and getting VC only, not so much as to make scientific claims.

    --
    "There is no teacher but the enemy."-Mazer Rackham
  16. Can't....resist....straight line....must fight... by UncleTogie · · Score: 2, Funny

    Are you certain?

    --
    Don't tell me to get a life. I'm a gamer; I have LOTS of lives!
  17. Reply button missing by dangitman · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Good to see people in the field questioning 'breakthroughs'.

    This is an odd statement, because that's generally what people "in the field" do. The author says this as though it's unusual to see anybody questioning lofty claims. In fact, it's very common. The first slashdot article about this was met mostly with skepticism.

    Note: Replying to this post, because I am not getting a "reply" button for the story itself. Anybody else experiencing this bug?

    --
    ... and then they built the supercollider.
    1. Re:Reply button missing by orkysoft · · Score: 3, Informative

      There's a Reply link in the floating thingy.

      --

      I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
  18. Re:Don't worry everything is cool by Nirvelli · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yeah, sure. Next you're gonna tell me that she was playing Duke Nukem Forever on it.

  19. Misconceptions about NP-Completeness by et764 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Depending on what you mean by "solve," I think you are a little mistaken on what it means for a problem to be NP-Complete. NP-Complete problems are actually relatively easy to solve. For example, take 3SAT, were you have a bunch of boolean variables, x[1] through x[n], and then a bunch of string of clauses ANDed together, as in (x[1] OR x[2] OR NOT x[3]) AND (x[24] OR NOT x[37] OR x[42]) ... To solve 3SAT you just have to tell me whether there exists some combination of variables such that the expression is true. You can just enumerate all 2^n possible combinations of variable assignments and see if any of them work out to be true. The problem is, it doesn't take very large values of n before it will take you longer than the time civilization has been around to try all the combinations. 3SAT is easy to solve, if you just want an answer. What's still an open question is whether we can come up with an algorithm that can solve it efficiently, where efficiently means in O(n^k) time for some k, rather than O(2^n).

    For a problem that actually can't be solved, try the Halting Problem.

    Now, the cool thing about NP-Complete problems is that any other problem that's known to be in NP (meaning we can solve them, just some instances will take a ridiculous amount of time to do so) can be efficiently transormed, meaning transformed in polynomial time, into an NP-Complete problem. This means if you can really solve general instances of Sudoku in polynomial time, you can take an instance of the 3SAT problem, efficiently transform it into an instance of Sudoku, then efficiently solve the Sudoku problem and then transform the answer into a solution to the 3SAT problem. If they have really built such a machine, this is a big deal.

  20. They didn't hire me so they must know something by Jay+78 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I actually interviewed with these guys a few months back. I can tell you I was quite impressed with the facility and they came off as very bright. I also got a tour of the facility so I'll share what I know. The chip core is stored in a large tank roughly 2m tall and cooled to very very near absolute zero. That is then held inside what is in essence a very large faraday cage. All the refrigeration and electronic equipment is kept outside with only passive sensors allowed in the room wherever possible. Apparently electrical noise and stray heat has been a huge hurdle. From what I understood they saw themselves as building chips that would be housed on site and used remotely so it doesn't surprise me that they didn't have a setup that was available for public viewing. The company culture was essentially work till you drop and hope the stock options make you rich.

    1. Re:They didn't hire me so they must know something by Mock · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I was at the Vancouver showing.
      I've done a lot of smoke and mirror shows myself, and this demo did not smell funny at all.

      The headline "Scientists Dubious of Quantum Claims" is rather sensationalist for what they're actually saying in the article.
      Can you really fault them for not wanting to move a computer that has to be housed in a special chamber, cooled to near absolute zero, and be havily shielded from any outside interference?
      Besides, judging by the questions people asked, not a single person in the audience could have verified that it was a computer and not a big refrigerator.

      What I saw were a group of really smart people who are onto something real, and need to drum up enthusiasm for a later release of their product.
      Their machine appeared to do what they claimed it did, and while it is quite easy to fake it, I didn't get such an impression at the demo.

  21. Re:Gee, You Think? by imsabbel · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Well, the thing is, a _real_ quantum computer would also be to fragile to move. Thats a reality in ultra-low-temperature equipment of the needed sensitivity.

    And still, even if they were on-site, if they wanted to cheat, how would you check that its really the QC that does the calculations? Even if there is a cable going into it, who says the real data didnt elsewhere? Or somebody put a laptop somewhere inside the QC?

    There is simply no way to verify the claim without taking the whole assembly apart, which of course would be impossible on a single prototype.

    (just saying. I dont believe their claims either, but your argument isnt as good as you think it is)

    --
    HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
  22. Quantum Computing Blogs by Dr.+Hugh+Everett+III · · Score: 2, Informative


    See also the Quantum Pontiff