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The Potential of Geothermal Power

EskimoJoe wrote with a link to an AP article about progress in the development of geothermal energy. A Swiss company is competing with another in Australia to be the first to commercially develop a geothermal power plant. The concept is simple to understand: earth's core heat transforms water into steam, which in turn causes a turbine to revolve. The potential, though, is enormous. "Scientists say this geothermal energy, clean, quiet and virtually inexhaustible, could fill the world's annual needs 250,000 times over with nearly zero impact on the climate or the environment. A study released this year by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology said if 40 percent of the heat under the United States could be tapped, it would meet demand 56,000 times over. It said an investment of $800 million to $1 billion could produce more than 100 gigawatts of electricity by 2050, equaling the combined output of all 104 nuclear power plants in the U.S."

23 of 397 comments (clear)

  1. Misleading by Remusti · · Score: 5, Informative

    The summary is misleading, Geothermal power plants already exist.

    1. Re:Misleading by blowdart · · Score: 5, Informative

      Spotty effects? Iceland's geothermal power plants provide 26% of the power there (the majority is from hydroelectric), plus geothermal heating plants heat around 87% of homes. On the other hand the baths and showers I had there did stink of sulphur.

    2. Re:Misleading by ozmanjusri · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Then again, having not read the article, I suppose this could be describing injection into dry rock

      It includes injection, but the key part is drilling into hot parts of the earth's crust, fracturing the rock, then injecting water into the fractured rock and harvesting the steam.

      Both the summary and TFA are a little misleading. HDR is being tested in many parts of the world, including Japan, France, Australia and the US. The Australian site is here; http://www.geodynamics.com.au/IRM/content/home.htm l.

      It's a promising approach to clean power generation, but it won't work everywhere. HDR relies on a steeper than normal thermal gradient. Temperature rises with depth at a rate of about 20c/km on average, so hole depths without the steep gradient are too great for power generation to be economically feasible.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    3. Re:Misleading by jcr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      IIRC American Indians, many African cultures, and even our old agricultural society were much respectful of the environment.

      Bullshit. The American indians simply lacked the technology to have a significant impact on their environment until they got horses, at which point their population expanded and they routinely exhausted hunting grounds, and became far more mobile as a result. As for African cultures, the majority of the Sahara desert became so because of goats, which were protected from predators by humans.

      The fact is, it's the industrialized world that first became concerned about the environment, because we're rich enough to have the luxury of considering issues beyond subsistence.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    4. Re:Misleading by OddesE · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If they dump excess heat in a nearby river it has a very real environmental impact. Lot's of fish get into trouble if the water they live in rises in temperature too much. In holland we have had a few occasions where the national grid operator, TenneT, gave a 'code red' because electricity supply was becoming endangered, because power plants could no longer dump excess heat in the rivers because the temperature got too high. At some point they can't dump the heat anymore and have to shut down.

    5. Re:Misleading by krilli · · Score: 5, Informative

      Hi, I live in Iceland.

      We use hot water pumped directly from shallow wells for the hot tap water. It contains sulfur.

      It's close to 100C, so you can use a heat transformer to warm up the non-sulfuric cold water for showers, etc. Some houses here do.

      --
      Jag pratar lite svenska.
    6. Re:Misleading by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      People are people, and trying to ascribe any characteristics to a group like "indians are more in tune with the environment" is nothing but racism.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    7. Re:Misleading by Xemu · · Score: 4, Informative

      As for African cultures, the majority of the Sahara desert became so because of goats, which were protected from predators by humans.

      Wow, that's so misinformed I can only laugh. Do you have any idea on how many goats that would take?

      Sahara, for example, was born 4000 years ago because of a climate change. Land use by man was not an important factor in the creation of the Sahara. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/390097.stm

      --
      Tell your friends about xenu.net
    8. Re:Misleading by Ian+Alanai · · Score: 3, Informative

      IIRC American Indians, many African cultures, and even our old agricultural society were much respectful of the environment.

      Bullshit. The American indians simply lacked the technology to have a significant impact on their environment until they got horses, at which Quoted for irony, because horses were native to North America, until the ancestors of the original Americans ate them all.

      PS: The pueblo Indians managed to deforest their environment to the point that their culture collapsed.
      PPS: Also there is no such thing as 'American Indian Culture'. The American continents (like Europe) were diverse places with extremely diverse cultures. Positive racial stereotypes are still racial stereotypes, m'kay?
      --
      Whichever way you look at it, it's true. I'm not.
  2. 100 / 1.21 by VirusEqualsVeryYes · · Score: 3, Funny

    It said an investment of $800 million to $1 billion could produce more than 100 gigawatts of electricity
    Cool. Now all we need is 83 flux capacitors.
  3. Huh? by jawtheshark · · Score: 4, Informative

    A Swiss company is competing with another in Australia to be the first to commercially develop a geothermal power plant.

    I think they should go on a trip to Iceland... Frankly...

    --
    Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    1. Re:Huh? by Curtman · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why go to iceland when there is New Zealand which already has working and commercially viable geothermal generation.

      Why go to Iceland, or New Zealand when you can go to Newfoundland and get pissed instead? Who needs to worry about electricity anyway, Alberta will take care of us.
  4. Bullshit! by iamdrscience · · Score: 4, Funny

    This will never work because, as we all know, the earth is hollow.

  5. Just 40% They say.. by Yazeran · · Score: 4, Informative

    Well they may be right that just 40% of the heat flow through the continental shield of the US may meet the energy demand 56k times over, the ticklish part is extracting the energy in an economic way. So far the only places where geothermal energy is usable is near active Volcanic areas where the geothermal gradient is steep enough to allow high temperatures near the surface and thus a high enough energy density to make the investment profitable (Think Iceland and California). All the other places the heat flow is too low to be usable for anything else than house heating.

    Another thing one must address is that the heat flow can only be used where permeable strata exists in the ground making it possible to circulate water to extract the heat. In places with crystalline bedrock, the heat flow can not be used.

    Yours Yazeran

    Plan: to go to Mars one day with a hammer.

  6. Ick, measurements by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A study released this year by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology said if 40 percent of the heat under the United States could be tapped, it would meet demand 56,000 times over.

    Why do science journalists insist on giving human-unfriendly numbers like this? Is 40 percent feasible? No. Does 56,000 times hold any special significance? No. So why don't they say that 1% would meet demand 1,400 times over? It's a lot more realistic and more comprehensible for readers. Or why don't they say that the USA need only tap a thousandth of a percent of its heat to more than completely power the country? That's more relevant.

  7. Re:Global Warming? by Scooter · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I guess we already "make" this heat to power the turbines in power stations(i.e. we transform other types of energy into heat), so I would be inclined to say that using geothermal power would not result in a net increase of heat output on the surface. Unless perhaps, that that now guilt-free and cheap electricity causes everyone to go on a leccy binge for the next 200 years and consumption goes through the roof.

    I recently visited Iceland where they use the country's ample supply of superheated steam to produce electricity (and provide hot water and heating). A related question that sprang to mind was "if the rest of the world did this, what would be the effects of letting all that heat out? Would the amount of heat that we would cause to escape from the planet's core be significant? We need a geophysicist to give a proper answer to that - but I'm a suspicious bugger and all this "free" electricity looks too good to be true - you know what they say about free lunches. Essentially, we'd be using the planet like a battery: it's just a question of how long it will last - millions of years? Thousands?

    One of the other things that struck me about what the Icelanders are doing, is that they may just have struck their country's equivalent of oil. In the past, they couldn't really export their natural resource - steam goes off quite quickly. Then, they figured out how to make electricity with it, which is a bit easier to store and transport, but not out of the country. Now though, it looks like there may soon be a large world market for hydrogen, if fuel cells and other hydrogen consuming automotive engines take off. Iceland has all the ingredients to produce it - seawater, and abundant electricity. There are a number of problems to overcome in transporting it safely, but I reckon these guys may soon be rolling in it.

    The Shell petrol station in Reykjavik already sells hydrogen. It's not clear who to exactly right now, but Shell obviously believes it has a future.

  8. The numbers by el_flynn · · Score: 4, Interesting

    TFA says the goal of the project is nice, but cost is a big barrier. "A so-called hot rock well three miles deep in the United States would cost $7 million to $8 million, according to the MIT study. The average cost of drilling an oil well in the U.S. in 2004 was $1.44 million, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration."

    Yea, so that's about six times more expensive. But wouldn't the savings be much more in the long run? And more "environmentally friendly"? After all, according to http://www.globalissues.org/Geopolitics/ArmsTrade/ Spending.asp#USMilitarySpending US military spending was over $570 Billion in 2006. So why not spend, oh, say one percent of that figure to go towards coming up with clean energy?

    --
    The Wknd Sessions - Malaysian and South East Asia independent music
  9. Goethermal Reduces CO2 by Ninja+Engineer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    OK, so who let the morons out of the bag? The benefit of geothermal energy is not to reduce the amount of heat energy rejected into the envronment. ALL of the energy we use ends up there anyway. Thermodynamics and such, I won't bore you with the details.

    But every ton of CO2 released into the atmoshere has a devastating effect on our lives. Not that CO2 is poisonous, but if significantly effects the absorption of solar energy. Why do you think there are record floods in South Asia, the polar ice cap is melting and huricane season is no longer simply interesting. It is because the condition of our atmosphere is changing.

    Power produced by geothermal energy does end up producing heat. But it has an almost unnoticeable effect on our environment, and when it is shut off, its effects are shut off. This is absolutely not the case with fossil fuels, especially coal.

    So get to know the science, and be afraid. Be very afraid.

  10. Re:article (or quote) must be wrong by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 3, Informative

    No doubt. And you can see this on NYTimes.com; I emailed them. How long do you think they will take to correct this?

    Why would they correct something that they didn't get wrong? Just because a few slashdotters don't feel that the number cited is correct, you're going to tell them that they're wrong? How about doing three minutes of research to find out for yourself first? Let's hear it for "Citizen Journalism", where truthiness is more important than facts.

    And for those of you playing at home, the relevent passage from the MIT study (press release here) (actual study here) [PDF warning] is this:
    Based on growing markets in the United States for clean, base-load capacity, the panel thinks that with a combined public/private investment of about $800 million to $1 billion over a 15-year period, EGS technology could be deployed commercially on a timescale that would produce more than 100,000 MWe or 100 GWe of new capacity by 2050. This amount is approximately equivalent to the total R&D investment made in the past 30 years to EGS internationally, which is still less than the cost of a single, new-generation, clean-coal power plant.

    --
    This guy's the limit!
  11. The question of scale by plnrtrvlr · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I've seen too many comments about the "effect this would have on magma under the earth if we cool it this way." The answer to these questions is that for a long long time, we'd have virtually no effect. The scale of human activity is just to small compared to the mass of the earth -the heat source for this power generation method. Go back to school and look at the graphics that show just how thin of an area the crust occupies on the earth. http://iga.igg.cnr.it/geo/what-is-for%20IGAnew_fil e/image038.jpg Now imagine for yourself just how thin of an area human activity would impact. The heat being used in these systems is not coming directly from magma, but instead is coming from heated rock far above those layers in the earth: heat that is already being transferred to the surface. The worst case scenario is that we might be able to "overbuild" and lower the thermal gradient for a time in a given area. In a case like this, the worst that would happen is that we would have to shut down the power plant for a time until the heat radiating up from deeper in the earth was allowed to build up again to a point where the gradient became economical for the power plant to run again. We are talking about using heat from solid rock, miles above a magma pool..... rock that is hot because of heat radiating to the surface from the earths core. We would be giving a small percentage of that heat a fast track to the surface.

    That said, I am sure that someday in the distant furure, such concerns would be warrented. I can forsee a day when the power needs of the earth and the technology is such that we would be tapping heat more directly from the mantle or core in amounts that we might be able to affect the magnetosphere by cooling the mantle/core significantly. This is not a problem for these projected plans. I would be doubtful of our ability to cool even a localized area enough that we could accomplish something like "eliminate the possibility of the Yellowstone supervolcano erupting." We have to keep in mind the scale of our activities compared to the size of the earth. Our ability to communicate only makes the earth seem to be small....

    Finally, on the subject of heating the earth: all electricty generation and consumption creates heat. We take fossil fuels from deep inside the earth and burn them, generate electricity and consume it, converting it back to heat as we do. This is all heat that would not have otherwise ever been found on the surface of the earth. Or we can take heat that is rising to the surface of the earth anyways, fast track it to the surface, generate electricity and do the consumption/conversion thing. Yes, we bring heat to the surface, but since it was on its way to the surface anyways, it seems a no brainer to me.

  12. Re:article (or quote) must be wrong by xeno-cat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Even with your numbers, for the cost of the USA's war on Iraq we could have clean safe energy forever.

    Kind Regards

    --
    "A few great minds are enough to endow humanity with monstrous power, but a few great hearts are not enough to make us w
  13. The problem with oil company conspiracy theories by Solandri · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Beyond that, oil companies may have no interest in developing a resource that would devalue their existing oil wells, and their leases on the oil fields beneath them. Geo-thermal power would be the monopoly of no country, no region.
    The problem with your conspiracy theory is that it involves a developing technology which the oil companies are perfectly suited to take advantage of (that was rude of you to selectively edit this out when you quoted me). They are the foremost experts at evaluating underground geology, drilling, getting liquid up from the bottom of a well, and sending liquid back down into a well. If they decided to invest in developing geothermal technology now, there is no way anyone else could catch up to them, and they would insure that they control the gateway to an (effectively) infinite energy source. They'd have to be crazy not to do it and risk someone else taking the lead from them. Unless there are other factors hindering the idea.

    Another thing to keep in mind is that with an effectively infinite energy source (with non-infinite power output), lower cost does not automatically mean lower profit. The laptop I'm typing on probably has more processing power than all the computers in the world back in 1975 combined, but does that mean my laptop is the only computer that was sold last year? No, Intel and AMD are selling more processors than they ever have. Lower energy cost just means people would come up with more ways to use energy, not continue to use the same amount of it.

    It would probably bankrupt all existing car manufacturers, since electric-car competitors can be nimbler if small, and would need very little from currently patented automotive tech.
    Hardly. Transportation energy sources have several requirements to which gasoline is well suited. Cost, high energy density (both volumetric and weight), ease and speed of distribution (refueling or recharging), and safety are some that come to mind. A cheap energy source like geothermal would take care of the cost requirement, but energy density (range) and distribution (time to recharge) would still remain a huge hurdle to electric vehicles. Also, most existing car manufacturers are at the forefront of electric vehicle development, and if they aren't they'd just buy up any electric car competitors to insure they stay competitive.

    the technology is not fully there yet - that's what the MIT panel said would take $1 billion and 10-15 years to develop.
    Right, which is why this is, as I asserted, a political problem; not one of oil companies conspiring to hold back technology.
  14. Remember "The Core"? by Chmcginn · · Score: 4, Informative
    No, not the part about the burrowing ship & the nukes and everything. If we actually managed to make a noticeable difference in the outer core/mantle temperature, it would weaken the Earth's magnetic field.

    That being said, Earth is about 6E24 kg. The specific heat of silica & iron (the two most common minerals) is .7 & .45 J/gk - average it to .55. That would mean 3E24 J for a 1 degree drop. 3600J is a watt-hour... so 2.1E19 J is a terawatt-year. That means it would take about 140,000 years of 1TW 'drain' to cool the entire (interior of) earth about 1 degree. Even assuming that all human electricity was generated via geothermal energy, it would take somewhere in range of millions of years.

    So, yeah, I wouldn't really worry about it.

    --
    Have you been touched by his noodly appendage?