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Investors Bailing On SCO Stock, SCOX Plummets

HailDorothy writes "SCO's stock price is plummeting in the aftermath of Judge Kimball's ruling that Novell owns the UNIX copyrights, as we discussed earlier. '[W]e will continue to explore our options with respect to how we move forward from here,' SCO said in a public statement issued in a futile attempt to calm investors. SCO's stock price has fallen 70 percent during trading today, reaching a 52-week low. It looks like the end is near for SCO, which still owes Novell 95 percent of the SVRX UNIX royalties it collected from Microsoft and Sun through the SCOsource program. As Judge Kimbell noted in his ruling, it's unlikely that Novell will ever be able to collect on those royalties."

43 of 368 comments (clear)

  1. Woohoo by jshriverWVU · · Score: 4, Funny

    *opens champagne*

    1. Re:Woohoo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The amazing thing is that having been found liable for slandering Novell's title, they're still doing it.

      http://www.sco.com/company/profile.html

      "SCO owns the core UNIX operating system"

      Uh, no. How long do they get to keep saying things like this before they're up for contempt of court too?

    2. Re:Woohoo by Soloact · · Score: 4, Funny

      I wonder how much longer they'll be able to afford the bandwidth to keep that site online.

  2. Victory! by beheaderaswp · · Score: 4, Funny

    Ah the sweet smell of victory!

    Now bring on Microsoft!

    Wait... um....

    Damn... this ain't gonna be so easy.

    Where's the Tylenol?

    --
    Another consultant who stuck it out.

    "We are the Priests, of the Temples of Syrinx..."
  3. Wow! by Jugalator · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The most surprising thing here to me is that this implies some share holders actually believed SCO had a case here.

    --
    Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    1. Re:Wow! by beheaderaswp · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Face it. If you get your information from press releases you deserve what you get.

      --
      Another consultant who stuck it out.

      "We are the Priests, of the Temples of Syrinx..."
    2. Re:Wow! by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The most surprising thing here to me is that this implies some share holders actually believed SCO had a case here.

      Well, here's how it was explained to me:

      SCO is so dirt-cheap right now that you can basically play with it without risk. At a dollar a share, you can buy a block of 100 shares and if it tanks you've lost a whopping $100. However, if by some miracle they actually managed to win, maybe that $100 would become a few thousand. Basically, it had a huge potential upside with almost no downside and a lot of people bought it just to see what might happen.

      Well, that upside just vanished and the stock plummeted. You could also interpret this as meaning that 70% of SCO's market value was based on potential lottery winnings, and when the lottery date came and went without SCO winning, its price dropped to compensate.

      But IANA stock analyst, so take that with a grain of salt.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    3. Re:Wow! by pilgrim23 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Obviously they could not tell their Caldera from a hole in the ground....

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    4. Re:Wow! by Chris+Burke · · Score: 5, Funny

      But IANA stock analyst, so take that with a grain of salt.

      Okay, but now I'm thirsty and I still don't know if I should trust your advice!

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  4. SCO implodes, Rove resigns ... by Average_Joe_Sixpack · · Score: 4, Funny

    If a naked Morgan Webb giving away free Wii systems, then we'll know our time has come.

    1. Re:SCO implodes, Rove resigns ... by unchiujar · · Score: 5, Funny

      I would rather have her hold on to my Wii system. That is all.

      --
      Shakespeare poems - infinite monkeys with infinite time.Computer tech support - a few trained ones working from 9 to 5.
  5. 95% by tomhudson · · Score: 4, Informative

    " looks like the end is near for SCO, which still owes Novell 95 percent of the SVRX UNIX royalties it collected from Microsoft and Sun through the SCOsource program."

    Actually, the deal was that SCO remits 100% to Novell, then Novell pays them a 5% commission. Kimball ruled that SCO broke their fiduciary duty to Novell; SCO is no longer able to claim the 5% commission.

    The only question left is how much of the Sun and Microsoft licenses were for Novell's stuff?

  6. It's not over yet... by surfingmarmot · · Score: 4, Funny

    Fake Steve Jobs scooped it: he claims SCO has filed a new lawsuit--it's suing itself and its executives for incompetence in bringing about and losing the UNIX lawsuits. He's kidding, but I'll bet they thought about it a least for a minute or two ;-)

  7. How much of Microsoft/SUN is SVRX? by Excelcia · · Score: 4, Informative
    The text of the story is technically which says:

    SCO ...still owes Novell 95 percent of the SVRX UNIX royalties it collected from Microsoft and Sun However, it is a little misleading in that it has to be determined at trial what percentage of the Microsoft and Sun deals were for SVRX. All the trial judge said is that some amount of those deals is for SVRX. Because the judge determined that the deals weren't entirely SVRX, he couldn't determine any sort of dollar amount. It could be a trivial amount, it could be substantial.
  8. Someone bought those shares today. by khasim · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If I'm reading Google's finance page correctly, almost 6 million shares changed hands today.

    http://finance.google.com/finance?q=scox

    Stock cannot sell if someone isn't buying. Who's buying?

    Now I know about "short" and "long". But that's more easily described as a bet where you bet the stock will go one way and someone else bets the stock will go the opposite way. I understand about people having to buy stock to cover a mistake in a short/long. But that's an awful lot of shares being purchased.

    I don't believe that there were than many people betting that it would go up again. Not with the approximately $9 million dollars it would take to have that stock last Friday.

    Who's buying the stock and why are they buying it?

    I can understand everyone wanting to sell it. I don't understand anyone buying almost 6 millions shares of it today.

    Unless it's another scan by SCO to buy stock options from their executives. Trying to empty the company's coffers before Novell gets its cut or IBM beats them.

    1. Re:Someone bought those shares today. by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 5, Funny

      Who's buying the stock

      Me.

      and why are they buying it?

      Gag gifts for the next decade and the pretense of luxury. Some people snort coke with a twenty dollar bill. I curb my dog with stock certificates.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    2. Re:Someone bought those shares today. by stox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A lot of today's buys may have been people closing their short positions.

      --
      "To those who are overly cautious, everything is impossible. "
    3. Re:Someone bought those shares today. by danpat · · Score: 5, Informative

      For people who don't know what a "short" is, it's where you borrow stock from the real holder, then sell it right away. Some time later, you buy it back at the new market price, and return it to its owner. The difference in what you sold the original stock and what you re-purchased it for is your profit. If the stock price rises, you lose money. If it drops, you make money.

      My guess would be that a large number of short positions were closed today. Lots of people had shorted SCOX (i.e. borrowed them, then sold them at some earlier date). Today, when the price dropped, they re-bought the stock at the current market price and returned them to their owners.
      I personally haven't had enough experience with the market to know how big an influx of short closers it would take to drive the stock price back up again.

    4. Re:Someone bought those shares today. by KingSkippus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Who's buying the stock and why are they buying it?

      If something's cheap enough, there will always be someone willing to buy it.

      If it gets low enough, someone could snag it if for no other reason than to liquidate its assets. All of those desks, computer monitors, and coffee machines have got to be worth something.

    5. Re:Someone bought those shares today. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Now I know about "short" and "long". But that's more easily described as a bet where you bet the stock will go one way and someone else bets the stock will go the opposite way. I understand about people having to buy stock to cover a mistake in a short/long. But that's an awful lot of shares being purchased.

      I don't know about the volume of stock being shorted, but I remember several people on /. saying that they had tried to short, only to find that there were no shares available. I wouldn't be surprised to find out that a lot of the volume today was shareholders cutting their losses and shorters covering their shorts and making a killing. Certainly I can't think of any other reason why somebody would be buying the stock today. Of course outside the short-sellers there aren't all that many people anxious to buy SCOX, that's why the price plummeted. The ones who did buy outright instead of covering a short are probably hoping for a dead-cat bounce that will let them make some money in the short term.

      It's too bad I just wasn't in the financial position for a medium-term investment a few years back. After the initial speculation (it -was- theoretically possible that SCO's code had gotten into Linux, much like it was theoretically possible that SCO owned the copyright for UNIX), there was a lengthy period where it was clear to us geeks that SCOX had no case (when they were finally forced to produce some evidence, and came up with nothing better than a few lines from standard header files) but wouldn't have been to the majority of investors. This was also around the time their stock was riding high. This would have been a perfect time to short. Though, as I mentioned, I'm obviously not the only one who had this idea and it may have already been to late to find any shares to short.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    6. Re:Someone bought those shares today. by ToLu+the+Happy+Furby · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well there were about 2.5 million shares short, so even if they all covered that wouldn't even account for half of today's volume. Plus there's no good reason for a short to cover now--yes, there is value in taking your gains up front rather than waiting for it to drop those last 40 cents, but anyone short this stock has to recognize that SCOX is very likely only a few months from bankruptcy which would mean the stock goes to zero and they don't have to buy back their shares at all.

      The more likely explanation for most of today's volume is day traders trying to make a quick buck on a suddenly liquid and highly volatile stock. Almost 6 million shares may have been traded, but my guess is that that represents a significantly lower number of shares traded back and forth multiple times.

    7. Re:Someone bought those shares today. by sobachatina · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well- It is in Lindon, Utah.
      Probably not that many coffee machines.

  9. Re:Your Parents by Starteck81 · · Score: 4, Funny

    If my parents used retirement funds to invest in SCO I would cry inside. I raised them better than that.

    --
    "There are four boxes to be used in defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, and ammo. Please use in that order." -Ed H
  10. The Financial Situation For SCO by SEE · · Score: 5, Informative

    As of April 30, 2007, SCO had $19.847 million in total assets (which includes no intangibles), and $12.654 million in total liabilities, according to the Reuters data

    The ruling on the Microsoft/Sun royalties owed to Novell adds roughly $25 million to the liabilities, making SCO worth roughly -18 million dollars, book value.

  11. Re:SCO still in the running. by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 4, Informative

    No, Sco basically said that they retain ownership on the parts they added to unixware( which don't affect IBM's code which predates that). It is relevant in its on going trial against Novell. part of the deal was that novell agreed to non compete with Sco as part of the deal. Sco's arguing that distributing linux ( that does have unix code in it, according to Sco ) unfairly violated the non-compete clause in their contract.

    --
    Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
  12. Re:microsoft trial balloon by Chris+Burke · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You'll notice they won't even tell you which patents of theirs linux infringes now. SCO got bad PR instead of them and IBM got good PR for defending linux.

    No, they won't tell, and they most likely never will unless they get in a SCO-like situation where their actual revenue stream is drying up fast and it's either sue-and-pray or just die quietly.

    I believe this is the primary lesson MS learned from their SCO experiment: The implication of IP infringement is much more effective at scaring people away from Linux than actually trying to prove it. As long as the infringement is a non-specific threat with only a hint of reality behind it, it works on the basic fear-centers of the brains of IT management. As soon as it becomes something real, like a lawsuit, then it instead it invites the managers to use the analytic portions of their brains. FUD and fact checking don't go together.

    The concept of FUD is really nothing new to Microsoft of course, but this was an actual test run of "can we scare more people away from Linux with an actual IP lawsuit instead of just claiming that it is unsafe?" and it turns out the answer is "no".

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  13. Re:They were a corp... by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    You mean a scorpse? scorpsicle?

  14. Re:Darl? by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The crime was apparently filing a lawsuit that didn't pan out.

    Nope. The crime is fraud.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  15. Re:Darl? by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What sort of punishment would be appropriate here? The crime was apparently filing a lawsuit that didn't pan out.

    Sorry... I think you'll find the crimes and misdemeanors fall more under the following categories:
    Libel
    Slander
    Stock Fraud
    RICO
    Breach of Contract
  16. What's going to happen - according to AllParadox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
    AllParadox is a retired lawyer who has been following the SCO cases and commenting; first on Groklaw, and more recently on InvestorVillage. He is actually an expert both on the law and on the SCO cases in particular. Here are exerpts from a few of his posts since Judge K's decision came down:

    IMHO, the probability of these fools filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy is reasonably high. I put it around 99.999%, give or take.

    The forms are already prepared, they just need to be signed and filed. No, I am not an insider, and I am not privy to inside information. I even have trouble getting outside information. But the forms still have been prepared.

    Filing will be soon. Probably next week, if not, then in the week after.

    Furthermore, the chances of that being rapidly turned into a chapter 7 is also fairly high, around 99.9%.


     

    One more option for "Andrea's Husband":

    Sing. Sing like a little birdie. Sing long and loud. Bury IBM in the letters and emails and notes and appointment books and recorded telephone conversations and everything else that will prove beyond all doubt that this whole sordid mess was orchestrated and funded by Microsoft to inhibit Linux and interfere with IBM business practices.

    That will, by the way, save Darl's money. If he proves that the money from Microsoft was only nominally a payment for a UnixSysV license, when in fact it was a bribe paid to SCOX for SCOX to sue IBM, then there is a plausible argument that Novell should not receive these funds as monies held by a fiduciary.

    In my experience, it has a very good prospect of even keeping him out of jail, because the world will be distracted by the main event: IBM v. Bill Gates & Co. Then, a trite line from an old, old, movie will be apropos: "Feeling Lucky, Punk?"


     

    Still, it is possible. There have been criminal cases where the criminal defense attorney was paid with money that could be traced back to drug deals, but only after the fact. The Government went back to the attorneys and extracted back their fees.


     

    Conversion. It means the money in their hands actually belongs to someone else.

    It means that whatever amount is eventually decided to belong to Novell may be recovered.

    It may even be recovered from those people paid with it, if they were reasonably aware of the nature of the conversion.

    I will shout here:

    THIS IS NOT DISCHARGEABLE IN BANKRUPTCY. IF NOVELL ASKS FOR IT, DARL HAS TO GIVE BACK HIS PAYCHECKS. HIM AND YARRO BOTH. Novell has the burden of proof in Darl's bankruptcy, so it is not automatic, but Darl is now a busted flush.


    Based on the misery that is in store for them personally, Darl, Yarro and the lawyers all have to figure out how to save their hides. They might be able to do that if they can point to any evidence that points at Microsoft. That would direct IBM's attention away from them and IBM might be grateful. Otherwise, they will probably lose all the ill-gotten gains they have accumulated so far.
  17. Re:Buy at 50 cents? by Greyfox · · Score: 4, Funny

    SCO shares are now cheaper than toilet paper and are softer and more absorbent. I plan to buy a couple hundred bucks worth just so I can finally put them to the use they so richly (no pun intended) deserve.

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  18. money money money by Gription · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm just looking at this as a stock trading opportunity. Anything dropping like this just has to bounce!

    1. Re:money money money by Curtman · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why exactly would Microsoft buy a company who's liabilities dwarf its assets 10-fold?

      Especially when the company seems so confused about what exactly their assets even are.
    2. Re:money money money by jamstar7 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Give me a break. What is with all these conspiracy theories, it's ridiculous.

      They help create a market for tinfoil hats, of course.

      http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=aa Alcoa up 1 cent...

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    3. Re:money money money by Gription · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why exactly would Microsoft buy a company who's liabilities dwarf its assets 10-fold?

      Especially when the company seems so confused about what exactly their assets even are. With confusion like that in a company it is even possible that they would pay over a billion dollars for a site that mostly hosts pirated video clips. That would have an incredible shroud of legal liability...

      Oops... Sorry, that was Google.
  19. Re:Who invested is SCO anyways? by Sangui5 · · Score: 5, Informative

    See http://finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=SCOX for a list of major holders.

    Mostly, it looks like large investment institutions hold the bulk of SCO shares. Probably these are part of "total market" indexes and mutual funds. Since SCOX is still listed, they would still be a component of such funds.

    The best I can tell, the insiders are mostly gone. The largest holder of SCO seems to be Glenn J Krevlin. There are some articles out there linking him to some other bad smelling companies; the phrase "smoke & mirrors" seems common. SCO sounds right up his ally.

  20. I can't wait to see SCOX in spam by Weaselmancer · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hot-St0ck in the c0mput3r Industry!! Current Profile The SCO group, Inc.'s (OTCBB: SCOX) Symbol: SCOX Current Price: $0.37 3 day Target: $0.70 2 week Target: $1.25 Watch this one trade starting Wednesday Morning and Especially all this week. A huge PR Campaign just started and the price is expected to rise quite nicely. Its only trading at .37 with big increases possible! Judge to rule on possession of huge part of UnIX market! * Act Fast and Early! *

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
  21. Dead cat bounce by jmorris42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > Anything dropping like this just has to bounce!

    Looking to cash in on the 'ol dead cat bounce? Considering SCOX has always managed to bouce back over the $1 mark to avoid delisting I suspect you might be right. Not going to bet money on it though, this time even former cheerleaders like Daniel Lyons at Forbes say they are dead. Darl has a big ol fork sticking out of his forehead.

    Yes they will file a desperate appeal with every court that might possibly have jurisdiction. No it isn't going to help them do anything other than drag this thing out to the end of the year, January at the best. Then it is over and the patent wars will move from saber rattling and into the shooting phase.

    --
    Democrat delenda est
    1. Re:Dead cat bounce by rtb61 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Being unable to service that Novell licensing debt, makes it look like they were trading whilst insolvent, they could possibly 'bounce' from a civil to criminal court. Continuing to spend money on lawyers on a losing case whilst they cannot pay an outstanding debt to Novell puts them in more than just a tricky position.

      The share trading that occurred during this whole process is likely to come under review in what is now starting to look like nothing more than a pump and dump scheme ie. sue IBM for billions with no hope of winning but have a sudden influx of funds to fund the case which just happens to come from one of IBM biggest competitors.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
  22. Sad in a way by Natales · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Don't get me wrong, these guys deserve everything that they get for their cheesy actions in the last several years against Linux. However, now, looking at their demise, I can't stop thinking how did they get there, when they were once "the rebels" against "the establishment" back in the day.

    I started my career as a technical support engineer for SCO Xenix in the late 80s, back in the time where Larry Michaels was there. They had the vision and an excellent code base. I had customers running up to 16 Wyse terminals on a 286 system under Xenix running COBOL applications, and even more could be achieved with SCO UNIX on the 386...

    I know this is just a nostalgic thought and that the SCO I'm referring to has nothing to do with its current incarnation. I hope this can be used as a lesson for Canonical and other very successful ventures that can really become the next best thing: don't become arrogant and forget your values and where you came from. Companies change, but at the end of the day, it's all about the people and how you contribute to make your and our lives better.

  23. Re:Who invested is SCO anyways? by bhalter80 · · Score: 4, Informative

    They're still not done this was filed today:

    Form 8-K for SCO GROUP INC

    13-Aug-2007

    Other Events

    Item 8.01. Other Events.
    The SCO Group, Inc. ("SCO", or the "Company"), offered the following statement in response to the August 10, 2007 ruling by U.S. District Court Judge Dale A. Kimball regarding the Company's longstanding dispute with Novell over ownership of the UNIX and UnixWare copyrights:
    "We are clearly disappointed by the Court's adverse ruling regarding ownership of copyrights covering the UNIX operating system. Although the district judge ruled in Novell's favor on many important issues, the case has not yet been fully vetted by the legal system and we will continue to explore our options with respect to how we move forward from here.
    We note that the court ruled that SCO owns the copyrights to the technology developed or derived by SCO after Novell transferred the assets to SCO in 1995. This includes the new development of all subsequent versions of UnixWare up through the most current release of UnixWare 7.1.4 and substantial portions of SCO UnixWare Gemini 64. We also own the exclusive, worldwide license to use the UnixWare trademark, now owned by The Open Group. Also, SCO's ownership of OpenServer and its Mobile Server platforms was not challenged and remains intact. These SCO platforms continue to drive enterprises large and small, and our rapidly developing mobile business is being well received in the marketplace.
    Moreover, the court did not dismiss our claims against Novell regarding the non-compete provisions of the 1995 Technology License Agreement relating to Novell's distribution of Linux to the extent implicated by the technology developed by SCO after 1995. Those issues remain to be litigated." Forward-Looking Statements:
    The statements contained in this press release, including but not limited to statements regarding the Company's pending litigation and expectations concerning the Company's developing mobile business OpenServer and Mobile Server platforms and other statements that are not historical facts, are forward-looking statements and are made under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties. We wish to advise readers that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, developments in the Company's litigation with Novell and IBM, continued competitive pressure on the Company's operating system products, which could impact the Company's results of operations, adverse developments in and increased or unforeseen legal costs related to the Company's litigation, the inability to devote sufficient resources to the development and marketing of the Company's products, including the Me Inc. mobile services and development platform, and the possibility that companies with whom the Company has formed partnerships will decide to terminate, or reduce the resources devoted to, their partnership with the Company. These and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated are discussed in more detail in the Company's periodic and current filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company's Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2006 and Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended April 30, 2007. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update such statements to reflect events or circumstances arising after such date.

    Basically saying don't leave yet we do own stuff that has value see we can even name it

  24. Now Wash Your Hands. Re:money money money by twitter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Anything dropping like this just has to bounce!

    It may make a splash, but most people just flush it.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  25. Re:Darl? by ari_j · · Score: 4, Informative

    Note that most of the things listed in this thread are not crimes as indicated. For instance, conversion is a tort and encompasses more than just theft. Theft is also known as larceny and is a crime. Libel and slander are both forms of defamation and are generally not criminal but rather just civil torts. Etc.