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Hole in Asteroid Belt Reveals Extinction Asteroid

eldavojohn writes "Further evidence for the asteroid mass extinction theory has been discovered as a break in the main asteroid belt of our solar system. From the article, "A joint U.S.-Czech team from Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) and Charles University in Prague suggests that the parent object of asteroid (298) Baptistina disrupted when it was hit by another large asteroid, creating numerous large fragments that would later create the Chicxulub crater on the Yucatan Peninsula as well as the prominent Tycho crater found on the Moon.""

20 of 175 comments (clear)

  1. Re:hmm by skoaldipper · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Timing is everything, which is the main thrust of this article I gather, linking that event to interesting moon and earth geological formations during the same epoch.

    But, if Chicxulub was the 8 ball, and Baptistina the combo shot, I was left wondering at the end of my reading, what was the cue ball, and where was the pool stick? Of more concern, when does the best 2 out of 3 match take place?

    --
    I hope, when they die, cartoon characters have to answer for their sins.
  2. No crap by gerf · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Let's get some logic here:

    1. There are more inter-system collisions than we realize. Example: Schoemaker-Levi

    2. The Sun is bigger than Earth, and therefore would probably get hit 1000% (or more) more often. Example: eclipses show this quite easily

    2.a Corollary: The Sun is the center of the Solar System, not Earth. Example: Copernicus

    3. The big Yucatan collision happened millions of years ago, and since then things have moved a bit. We can't predict movement 10 years from now, much less 160 Million. Example: We still use Pork-Chop plots at NASA

    4. They predict an impact 160 million years ago, 95 million years off the mark. Example: Dino fossils are as new as 65 million.

    Overall, this isn't the most reliable of links and summaries in recent /. history. At least I haven't seen any Global Warming scarey articles in a while. Maybe the Firehose is working afterall?

    1. Re:No crap by Arabani · · Score: 5, Insightful

      4. They predict an impact 160 million years ago, 95 million years off the mark. Example: Dino fossils are as new as 65 million. They believe that the BREAKUP occurred 160 million years ago, not whatever wiped out the dinosaurs. It takes time for things to move from the asteroid belt to the Earth, you know.
    2. Re:No crap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      2. The Sun is bigger than Earth, and therefore would probably get hit 1000% (or more) more often. Example: eclipses show this quite easily It would be extraordinarily hard for any object to hit the Sun. Only if an object was heading directly for the Sun as it entered the Solar System gravity well or if it originally had an extremely eccentric orbit would it be able to hit the Sun. This point may not be obvious to those who haven't studied physics, but the Solar System is a gravity well. If your goal is to hit the Sun (i.e. to touch the atmosphere where you will be aerodynamically decelerated/toasted), then you need to give up a lot of energy. Probes like MESSENGER that want to go into orbit around Mercury need to use more fuel than they would to escape the Solar System entirely.

      From your point of view as a comet or other object in elliptical orbit around the Sun, if you wanted to actually collide with the Sun you would need to strike an object such that it sent you into an elliptical orbit with such a high eccentricity that your orbit passed through the atmosphere of the Sun. The probability of that happening is extremely remote. The probability of sending a collided object through the orbits of any of the planets is not.

      For objects that are not orbiting the Sun when they are approaching (and can't be captured without a collision with a third body), your direction of approach has to be so finely positioned that those mythical sniper shots at 1 mile or more look trivial. In no case will the Sun's gravity make a collision more probable (or in the other case).
    3. Re:No crap by barakn · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Eclipses show this quite easily? What the heck is that supposed to mean? And pork chop plots show how much energy it will take for a spacecraft to escape Earth's gravity, place it on a course to another object, and capture it into orbit upon arrival as a function of different launch and arrival dates. They are most definitely not, as you seem to imply, some sort of error estimate for orbital trajectories. It's sad that you've decided to try to cast aspersions on research done by the Southwest Research Institute, as it is highly regarded in the field, and you don't seem to know what you're talking about.

      --
      "I'm so moist I'm sticking to the leather." -Kermit the Frog on The Late Late Show
    4. Re:No crap by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 4, Insightful

      >We can't predict movement 10 years from now

      NASA does it all the time for deep space probes, Halley's Comet returns are predicted many orbits in advance, and in general celestial mechanics is one of the most exact predictive disciplines. Even tiny deviations, such as those of Mercury's orbit (56 arc seconds per year!), are considered grounds for revising theories of gravity.

    5. Re:No crap by 1u3hr · · Score: 4, Insightful
      2. The Sun is bigger than Earth, and therefore would probably get hit 1000% (or more) more often. Example: eclipses show this quite easily

      WTF does an eclipse show? I hope you're not talking about sunspots, which have nothing to do with asteroids. 4. They predict an impact 160 million years ago, 95 million years off the mark.

      RTFA. There was a series of impacts over millenia, Yucatan being the biggest, but not the first. Many of the earth grazers we see now may have originated in the same event.

      At least I haven't seen any Global Warming scarey articles in a while. Maybe the Firehose is working afterall?

      It's not news when it's a known fact. Seeing as how you willfully misinterpreted this article, I'm not surprsed you remain confused about that too.

    6. Re:No crap by somersault · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While I've heard enough arguments on both sides as to not be sure any more (the best argument I've heard is about global warming on other planets, which shows that we're not really having as much of an effect as we thing we are), it seems that a lot of people just try and dismiss the whole thing because they want to continue guzzling gas and polluting the planet. Personally I love driving and all the modern benefits we receive because of our polluting ways, but cutting down on greenhouse gas emissions and our use of oil is a worthwhile cause anyway, unless you just don't give a shit about our descendants.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    7. Re:No crap by Goaway · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You have just accused an entire field of science of being nothing but liars.

      Do you have the kind of evidence needed to back up a claim like that?

    8. Re:No crap by beckerist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's not scientists. It's politicians. MY question: how do we know that it isn't natural and cyclical? All the evidence certainly points to it...

      Back to the asteroid: I have a hard time believing that, in the hundreds of millions of years that those asteroids have been stirring around the sun since "the one" broke off and smacked into us, the belt itself didn't regain gravitational stability. An analogy: take a gigantic bowl of unbaked cookie dough. NOW take a gigantic scoop out of it from the side of the bowl and STIRRRR (for a few hundred million years.) Can you still see the location where the chunk was removed?

      Now let's perform this same experiment with only a single light source, using ALL physics and from the perspective of a grain of sugar about halfway between the light source (in the middle of the bowl) and the chunk...

      ...I don't buy it, at least not yet.

    9. Re:No crap by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the best argument I've heard is about global warming on other planets, which shows that we're not really having as much of an effect as we thing we are That's actually one of the worst arguments against global warming, considering the vast differences between different planetary climates and the very small amount of data we have on them. The only common factor among all planets is the Sun, and solar effects do a rather poor job in explaining the observed temperature trends on any of the planets, let alone all of them. (Well, it does ok for Earth's temperature trends at some periods in the past, but not recently.) Furthermore, there are much more direct links to non-solar causes of climate change on other planets. You have to look at individual cases to see what's going on, e.g., albedo changes on Mars, convection changes on Jupiter, perihelion on Pluto, etc. See Phil Plait's overview. I can dig up more links/references if you like, both on planetary climate trends and on solar influences.

      We have vastly more data about Earth climate and that is where you should look for good arguments for or against global warming. Other planets tell us very little about Earth climate.
  3. Gap in asteroid tracking data -- Earth at risk? by abbamouse · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wonder if this means that our current strategy of tracking asteroids to see if they will impact Earth is the wrong one. Perhaps no asteroids "naturally" hit Earth on their present trajectories. If it takes a collision within the asteroid belt to throw out material that impacts Earth, maybe we should be trying to track the movements of large asteroids to see if they will intersect EACH OTHER rather than Earth.

    I may be misunderstanding the data, and I would never change policy based on a single study, but this suggests that a more sophisticated approach is needed to detect potential impactors.

    --
    Make cheese not war 8:)
  4. Re:hmm (It's called the Scientific Method, Moron) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Do I really have to post anything but my modification to the title of original post? This is Slashdot,the home of snotty nerds who know almost nothing, and love to belittle their intellectual superiors, so I guess I have to spell it out.

    Scientists look at facts and make hypothesis. They publish the ideas and facts that support them, and other scientists read them and add information that either supports or refutes the hypothesis. The sum total of knowledge increases over time.

    The authors of the paper were doing simulations of asteroid dynamics. They found a possible event in the asteroid belt that may explain a known increase in meteor impacts in the inner solar system. They noted that this hypothesis fits in with two known large meteors, the proposed dinosaur extinction event and the moon crater Tycho. Their simulations add support to the earth impact hypothesis and the earth impact data indirectly supports their claim. This is how science works.

    So how is this only a 'suggestion' with no real 'facts' to support it? I suggest that you 'get back to me' when you grow up and understand how intelligent people do real scientific inquiry. I know your little wee-wee got all hard when you had a chance to make a first post and trash some adults, but it just makes you look like a spoiled and nasty little child. Perhaps if you ever do anything useful in your life your attitude will change, but somehow I doubt that will ever happen.

  5. Re:The Problems with Tycho as an Impact Crater by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We've actually witnessed collisions in space. And found evidence on earth for them. We've never seen any evidence for electrical arcs between heavenly bodies that would cause craters. So that at least implies that they are more rare, if they are possible. scientists discount interpretations of observations that are not supported by other observations. That is it. Only when an event cannot be explained by any existing model formed from previous observations, will they resort to wild guessing ( see string theory, multiple universe theory, etc).

    --
    Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
  6. Re:hmm (It's called the Scientific Method, Moron) by umghhh · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is a sign of something more. The overall lack of basic logic capability (on /. as well as in real life) is just a fact. I see it every morning when I enter my office and open my mail box. It is fascinating to see educated people telling me for instance that you do not need any documentation and review process on (software) enginering projects. It is just a question of time to see them looking for reasons of failure. Surprisingly this reason is either aliens from outer space or the messangers.

    Of course one shall never confuse simple incompetence and lack of knowledge with stupidity and bad will. The former can be eradicated the later not.

  7. Re:The Problems with Tycho as an Impact Crater by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    No. The problem is the electric universe stuff attracts cranks and crackpots. No astrophysicist believes that electrical effects are insignificant in the universe - they spend most of their time doing magnethydrodynamic investigation, for god's sake. But when some anti-relativity nut latches on, and some anti-quantum nut and all the other nuts, it drags credibility through the mud. Really, you're wasting your time listening to hangers-on and wannabees clustering around the electric universe web site.

  8. Re:Atheism is religion by StalinsNotDead · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Atheism is not a religion any more than accounting is a religion.

    I take it you've never had to turn in an expense report.

    --
    Thanks to the internet, we can now all die alone together! -SomeWoman
  9. How to get Slashdot Coverage by phulegart · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you want strangers to think you are smart, just remember to label an ongoing topic of discussion as Sensationalism, and link it to a list of other subjects that you sarcastically mark as "Hot Topics".

    That way, your destructive attitude (similar in many ways to the destructive force of the asteroids in the topic) will make you *appear* like you actually know something.

    Now, I'm sure that you read the friggin article. Since none of us were there to see the impact in the asteroid belt, you are correct in that there *is* speculation involved. However, it is pretty obvious that it is not PURE speculation, since they are using researched information to form their theory. They quite openly talk about the percentages of probability of the events having happened as they described them, thus stating that although they believe things happened the way they have figured it out, it is possible that they are wrong. But they did not speculate on the composition of what hit us. They did not speculate on the composition of other objects we have been hit by. They did not speculate on the frequency that we have been getting hit with objects. They did not speculate on where we were hit by the one that most likely killed the dinosaurs. They are using some speculation as to the date we were hit, but they are using data that puts it at around the right time for an extinction level event.

    So throwing around a phrase like "Pure Speculation" is pure ignorance. You are just looking to get a slice of that coverage with your "Pshaw. They ain't knowin diddly. They jus lookin fer money an 'tenshun, ah reckon." shtick.

    --
    "I love deadlines. I love the whooshing sound they make as they fly by." -D. Adams
  10. Re:Miranda by PapaBoojum · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Me thinks you mean Minerva.

  11. Re:How to get mainstream coverage by Kupek · · Score: 2, Insightful
    You said, emphasis mine,

    If you want your obscure research paper to receive mainstream media coverage and net you loads of grant money, be sure to link your work to one or more of the following "hot topics":

    From the physorg write up,

    The article, "An asteroid breakup 160 Myr ago as the probable source of the K/T impactor," was published in the Sept. 6 issue of Nature.

    If you don't understand why this juxtaposition is funny, then you're not qualified to make fun of anyone's scientific research.