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10,000 Cameras Ineffective At Deterring Crime

Mike writes "London has 10,000 crime-fighting CCTV cameras which cost £200 million but an analysis of the publicly funded spy network has cast serious doubt on its ability to help solve crime. In fact, four out of five of the boroughs with the most cameras have a record of solving crime that is below average. The study found that police are no more likely to catch offenders in areas with hundreds of cameras than in those with hardly any. Could this be an effective argument against the proliferation of cameras or will politicians simply ignore the facts and press ahead?"

13 of 414 comments (clear)

  1. The answer is... by llamalad · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Politicians will simply ignore the facts and press ahead.

    1. Re:The answer is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Politicians will simply ignore the facts and press ahead. The politicians aren't ignoring the facts. These cameras weren't bought to fight crime. That is only how they were sold.
  2. Bad statistics. by solafide · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "In fact, four out of five of the boroughs with the most cameras have a record of solving crime that is below average." All this suggests is that those boroughs have a lot of crime, and as a result extra security cameras were installed. It would be unwise to judge the efficacy of security cameras based on these statistics alone, since surely the very reason the cameras are there is because those areas are already predisposed to crime?

    is the first comment by RandomVisitor on the story at Bruce Schneier's blog. It's really quite true; we can't judge based on these statistics whether it's working or not.

  3. I dont see the point in arguing effectiveness by Pizaz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Once you start arguing effectiveness then all it takes is a new study to show that it's still promising technology and that it just needs to be continued/improved/advanced/made more comprehensive/etc.

    Dont fall into the trap of arguing the effectiveness (or lack thereof) of something that we already know has nothing to do with crime.

  4. on another hand.. by zome · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The study found that police are no more likely to catch offenders in areas with hundreds of cameras than in those with hardly any.

    on another hand, if I want to do crime, I wouldn't want to do it in place that has hundreds of cameras.

    If the cameras help reducing crime rate, then they work.

  5. Re:ignore the facts and press ahead. by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes that's how science works.

    Hypothesise at random, spend a wad or two on well-connected suppliers and contractors, in the absence of empirical validation of the utility or necessity.

    Then declare on failure to achieve any result at all that one has now acquired a valid data point.

    Hmmm.... Better try this again, with a different type of camera! Then - at worst - we'll have eliminated two possibilites, at the bargain cost of 400 Million!

    GET THIS THROUGH YOUR HEAD! Crime is the excuse used to end dissent. If there were political protest of any size, you can bet the participants would have all been ID'd and added to the "terror" database.

    V for Vendetta.

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  6. Police by photomonkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Given the assumption that not all cops are bad, and going further saying that most cops are good, the solution to the crime problem is to get police back on foot in communities.

    You can only stop so much crime blowing through an arterial road at 45mph. But regularly patrolling an area on foot, a good cop will notice that "Mrs. Allison's car is gone, and the front door is wide open" prompting a closer look.

    Also, foot patrol (or bicycle, rollerblade, whatever) cops aren't generally tied up with traffic stops and other non-criminal events. They are free to stop the little crimes (graffiti, vandalism, burglary) that scare off the 'good' folks allowing seedier elements to take over an area.

    But, cops on foot are expensive. And you need a lot of them to be effective. And since they're going after criminals, they're not making the city any money in the form of tickets and fines.

    There are some jobs best done by real humans on location. Maybe your board meeting with the Beijing office can be done via teleconference, but protecting residents and preventing crime cannot.

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  7. Many around here ignore facts as well ... by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Politicians will simply ignore the facts and press ahead.

    Many around here misrepresent and ignore facts as well. That and they have emotional poorly thought out reactions that are rooted more in their politics than it logic. Note the statement:

    "The study found that police are no more likely to catch offenders in areas with hundreds of cameras than in those with hardly any."

    If you apply a modest amount of logic it might occur to you that everything seems to be described in terms of percentages. The fact the percentages may be similar does not mean cameras are ineffective. What is the volume of crime? The absence of such info should make an unbiased reader quite suspicious. Also what were the volumes before the cameras? One of the stated goals of the camera systems is that they would be a deterrent. The volume of crime could be a fraction of pre-camera days and the percentage of solved crimes could be the same.

    1. Re:Many around here ignore facts as well ... by hedwards · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That is correct, one of the things which cameras tend to do, is to push crime to other areas where there are no cameras.

      The other thing is that if people know that there are a huge number of cameras, they are more likely to where hats or utilize other means of being hard to id with cameras.

      I haven't seen the images that the cameras capture, but the images I see from bank robberies and similar when the FBI releases them, are usually grainy and difficult to make out what the person looks like. Good if you want to be incognito as it makes it more difficult to identify scars and such, bad if you want the public to find the person.

      The main thing that a camera system is good at doing is tracking people. And while that is a huge security problem, it can be beneficial to people that have been accused of a crime falsely, as it makes for an easier alibi.

      Overall, though the results don't seem that much different than what one might expect. Even the definition of a below average number of crimes being solved seems a bit tough of a sell, as there really isn't such thing as an average crime, each crime tends to be somewhat different than the others, it could very well be that the dumber criminals moved out, and the smarter ones moved in because of less competition from other criminals for targets.

    2. Re:Many around here ignore facts as well ... by Warbothong · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I'm suprised you didn't pick up on this one:

      "In fact, four out of five of the boroughs with the most cameras have a record of solving crime that is below average."

      If I was in charge of using CCTV cameras to try and prevent crime then I would try and put the most cameras in areas with below average crime solving rates. In that case such comparisons are useless, only comparisons with previous rates for those areas would be useful (for instance the crime rate might go down by 10%, but can still be below average).

      I am not defending blanket CCTV coverage, but likewise I can't let such horrible statistic interpretations go unnoticed. After all, pirates stop global warming.

  8. The longer, more accurate answer is... by TheVelvetFlamebait · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ... the people simply ignore the facts, and politicians cash in on their fears about crime on the streets.

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  9. Re:Cameras don't deter criminals. by 6Yankee · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Wild-ass guess - was that originally intended to nail the Ku Klux Klan?

  10. Re:Cameras don't deter criminals. by frp001 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    >> Technology has made it much too difficult--the real deterrence is the combination of camera
    >> and the willingness to prosecute. ...
    >> Once the technology is deemed good enough, it will be deployed to troubled areas like Baghdad.

    Interesting. Would you care to explain how to prosecute a suicide bomber?

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