Microsoft to Buy 5% of Facebook Valuing at $10bn
l-ascorbic writes "The Wall Street Journal is reporting that Microsoft is poised to buy 5% of Facebook for $300 million to $500 million, valuing the company at up to $10 billion. Microsoft already handles advertising for the site."
$10 billion for a site that has 34 million active users ~= $300 per user. Hmm. I think this site is highly overvalued. But let MS waste their money if they want.
How the hell is Facebook worth $10 billion? Less than a year ago, they were estimated to be worth $1 billion...does anyone seriously think this site can bring in real revenue?
...just require 34 million active Facebook users (who are probably mostly young, rabid web users of other sites too) to install it.
How long till we see some cool new site feature -- or, hell, even an existing, basic feature -- reworked ("enhanced") to require Silverlight?
Unlike Zuckerberg, Jobs actually innovated and evangelized real technology. Facebook rehashed a viral formula in a niche market and grew it successfully. Facebook is valuable because the site is popular, but this can change on the whims of a user-base. Facebook has made no significant technological contribution to the internet and overvaluing popularity is a huge mistake for long-term investments---it's almost like we don't remember 1994-2001 anymore.
I've come to see Facebook as being the "white pages" for eMail. People change their eMail addresses constantly - usually due to changes in employment or SPAM overload. What is needed is a way to find your friends current eMail address. This is the role that Facebook serves. If I need to send a message to a friend I can just use Facebook and it matters not how they have changed their eMail.
I'm not suggesting that this is a perfect solution but it does help explain the popularity of these sites. It is the reason why I joined Facebook.
Willy
there's no way facebook is worth 10billion. they dont' produce anything.
If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....