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Handheld Supercomputers in 10-15 Years?

An anonymous reader writes "Supercomputers small enough to fit into the palm of your hand are only 10 or 15 years away, according to Professor Michael Zaiser, a researcher at the University of Edinburgh School of Engineering and Electronics. Zaiser has been researching how tiny nanowires — 1000 times thinner than a human hair — behave when manipulated. Apparently such minuscule wires behave differently under pressure, so it has up until now been impossible to arrange them in tiny microprocessors in a production environment. Zaiser says he's figured out how to make them behave uniformly. These "tamed" nanowires could go inside microprocessors that could, in turn, go inside PCs, laptops, mobile phones or even supercomputers. And the smaller the wires, the smaller the chip can be. "If things continue to go the way they have been in the past few decades, then it's 10 years... The human brain is very good at working on microprocessor problems, so I think we are close — 10 years, maybe 15," Zaiser said."

8 of 240 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Yes, it will run linux by JK_the_Slacker · · Score: 5, Funny

    However, these STILL won't run Vista at full speed.

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  2. Why supercomputers? by Ckwop · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Isn't a super-computer a relative term? I mean, I don't know the exact figure but I would that my Dual Core Intel box at home is probably a good deal faster than a super-computer from the 80s. It is probably hundreds of thousands or perhpas millions of times more powerful than the computers used in the Apollo programme. Surely the measure of what is a super-computer and what isn't must be based upon what the fastest machines are in the world at that time.

    Perhaps what he means is that what we currently do with supercomputers today will be able to be done with low cost computing. I can certainly see that being true. In fifteen years, it may be possible to adequately simulate nuclear weapons tests, climate models, or protein folding from a run-of-the-mill desktop.

    However, the improvements in computing speed will also apply to super-computers. With that extra power you can run more refined models so I can't see how this could obsolete the traditional bulky super-computer.

    In short, I can't really understand the super-computer slant of the article. Why not just talk about general-purpose computing instead?

    Simon

    1. Re:Why supercomputers? by Helios1182 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Talking about general purpose computing doesn't make headlines. Thats why.

    2. Re:Why supercomputers? by FudRucker · · Score: 5, Funny

      you can always tell a supercomputer by the big red "S" on its chest...

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      Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
    3. Re:Why supercomputers? by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 5, Funny

      Because it doesn't result in as much attention grabbing. If I told you in 15 years, you would have a faster general purpose computer, that wouldn't be newsworthy now would it?

      Here are the measurements of my super computer

      200,000 Libraries of Congress, or 17 great lakes.
      15 Empire state buildings, stacked end to end in a giant circle.
      The power consumption of 3 New York Cities.
      All the potatoes in Idaho.
      Seating for 1.5 747 jumbo jets!
      And enough punchcards to circle the moon!

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    4. Re:Why supercomputers? by Red+Flayer · · Score: 5, Funny

      200,000 Libraries of Congress, or 17 great lakes.
      Thank you for provided that equivalent. I had no idea that 200,000 LoCs (a measurement of data equal to 20 terabytes) equals 17 GLs (a measurement of liquid volume equal to 2.3 x 10^16 L).

      A little back-of-the-napkin calculation, and we can deduce that if those measurements are equal, then there are 110 bytes per Liter of water.

      This makes sense -- if we freeze that Liter, each byte is approximately equivalent to a 1 cm x 3 cm x 3 cm chunk of ice, which I could easily fit into my mouth -- you might even say it's bite-sized.
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  3. The Not Too Far Future by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Funny

    10-15 years from always, I'll wake up to my alarm clock, powered by cold fusion. I'll stumble down stairs and get the keys to the hover car from the kitchen and grab my hand held supercomputer. On the way to work, I'll play Duke Nukem Forever as my car flies me along the correct path.

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    1. Re:The Not Too Far Future by infolib · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I had a lecturer who explained that when applying for grants you'd always like the research to have imminent application. On the other hand, if you put the deadline too early you, or the people who granted the money, might have to face responsibility for the failure. In between was there was a sweet spot, which he gauged to be around 15 years or so. Ever since then I've honored him by referring to this phenomenon as the "Flensberg Optimum".

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      Any sufficiently advanced libertarian utopia is indistinguishable from government.