Slashdot Mirror


Russia to Build New Spacecraft by 2020

Tech.Luver passed us the word that Russia is now working on a new generation of spacecraft, presumably to help fuel its renewed space exploration ambitions. The Space-based industry is still one of the few areas in which Russia is intentionally competitive, and they intend to exploit that in the coming years. Even still, the new technologies are not expected to see use until 2020. ""A tender to design a new booster and spaceship has been announced," Itar-Tass news agency quoted Roskosmos chief Anatoly Perminov as saying ... Perminov did not give further details of the tender, but said TsSKB-Progress from the Volga city of Samara is likely to bid with its Soyuz-3 design of spacecraft, as well as Moscow's Khrunichev centre with Angara 3P and Angara 5P. The United States beat the Soviet Union in developing multiple-use Space Shuttle rockets, which form its current fleet of manned spacecraft. Russian space officials have said single-use spacecraft like the Soyuz-TM currently used are cheaper and more practical."

26 of 101 comments (clear)

  1. Space Shuttle by cd-w · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The United States beat the Soviet Union in developing multiple-use Space Shuttle rockets, which form its current fleet of manned spacecraft.

    ... and we now know what a big mistake that was:
    • Limited to low-earth orbit.
    • Vulnerable to damage on launch.
    • Over-complex tile-based heat shield.
    • Very expensive to launch.
    • No launch escape system.
    • Not actually very reusable at all.
  2. intentionally competitive? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Which areas is Russia UN-intentionally competitive?

    "Comrade, production is too high! You must reduce performance to the planned levels or we will succeed."

  3. Re:rockets vs shuttle by SamP2 · · Score: 4, Informative

    yeah wow so the rocket is cheaper... pity it carries a fraction of the shuttles payload


    Yes, and you always use a 16-wheeler to drive your kids to school, right?

    The vast majority of space launches which currently use the shuttle, transport people or regular vital supplies (food, water, etc) to the ISS. The shuttle was not designed for, and cannot do any missions other than low-earth orbit (ISS, Hubble, etc).

    In those cases where you really need large cargo (such as lifting components of the ISS), you can use other rockets, such as Delta V or the upcoming Ares-IV (which, by the way, intends to replace the unreliable shuttle in the first place).

    The shuttle was nothing but an attempt to appease the moronic treehuggers by creating the illusion of "recycleable" craft, even though (1) the difference in price between launching a shuttle and a light rocket could pay for reducing emissions in other areas that would bring much greater net benefit to the ecology, and (2) consuming the fuckton of fuel to launch a heavy-ass shuttle that carries two people negates any "cleanliness" achieved by just throwing 75% of the shuttle (boosters go, remember?) instead of the ~95% when rocket goes, capsule comes. In an effort to appease the same treehuggers we were periodically stuck with forced solar panels on rovers instead of nuclear power, which among other things forces our Mars rovers to hibernate through the winter instead of working as usual. Thank God that with New Horizons and further nuclear-powered missions we finally got over the yoke.
  4. Practical Space Access by hyades1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If they want to be practical about getting to space, the old X-15 program had it down pat. Three vehicles, 200 flights in less than 10 years. One fatal crash. You launched the thing from a plane or a balloon. No waste, no fuss. And because you're not constantly throwing something the size of a young apartment building into orbit, a single accident doesn't effectively knock you out of space for years. It couldn't carry much more than the pilot, but only an idiot would doubt that by the third generation (the original RFP's went out in the mid-50's) it would have carried a reasonable payload.

    I think it all started to go wrong for NASA when politicians were allowed to their poke their long, ratlike noses into the business of scientists and engineers. If not for the damned shuttle program, there'd be a crew drinking beer on Mars by now.

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    1. Re:Practical Space Access by grumbel · · Score: 4, Informative

      Isn't there that little problem that the X-15 doesn't give you space access? It scratches space a little bit and then it goes back to the ground, just like SpaceShip One. Its a nifty thing, but you can't get into orbit that way, since neither altitude nor velocity are even close to what they should be.

    2. Re:Practical Space Access by hyades1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think you may have misunderstood me a bit. My point wasn't what the X-15 did then, but what the X-15 approach would have yielded by now. The X-15 program was intentionally limited as part of the decision to use adapted ICBM's for launching manned space vehicles.

      At least some (maybe all) X-15 pilots have their astronaut wings because the higher flights achieved altitudes defined nationally and internationally as "space" (The service ceiling is officially reported at 67 miles). The pilots were given very clear orders about how high they were allowed to go. Even the original model was space-capable, and if reports are correct, in one case the pilot was threatened with career death if he allowed his vehicle to achieve orbit. That would have brought the program into direct competition with Mercury, and that was deemed unacceptable.

      The real story is that the original 1959 edition could, as you put it, "scratch space a little bit" repeatedly and land with no big deal. If allowed, even the original configuration could have done much more. Blown the doors off its competition, Project Mercury, without even cracking a sweat.

      The X-15 flew 200 times for only $300 million. That was nearly half a century ago. I think it's reasonable to assume that they could have made an improvement or two to make the thing truly space-capable if we'd gone down that road.

      For an apples-to-apples comparison, put the X-15 up against its direct competition, the Project Mercury space vehicle. You could barely shoehorn an astronaut into Mercury, it flew only 6 times (two of those sub-orbital). The program cost a billion and a half dollars.

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    3. Re:Practical Space Access by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Informative

      The X-15 program was intentionally limited as part of the decision to use adapted ICBM's for launching manned space vehicles.

      Nonsense. The X-15 program was never intended to go into orbit - it was built to do exactly what it did do, explore hypersonic and high altitude flight. (Though it could only do one or the other on any given mission.)
       
       

      Even the original model [X-15] was space-capable, and if reports are correct, in one case the pilot was threatened with career death if he allowed his vehicle to achieve orbit.

      ROTFLMAO. The X-15 was no more capable of reaching orbit than the minivan sitting in my driveway is. As it is, the 60 odd miles altitude it reached was the extreme outer limits of it's altitude performance.
       

      The X-15 flew 200 times for only $300 million. That was nearly half a century ago. I think it's reasonable to assume that they could have made an improvement or two to make the thing truly space-capable if we'd gone down that road.

      The proposed (and never built) space (orbital) version of the X-15 was an entirely new craft. New engines, new heatshield, new structure, new life support, new guidance, etc... etc... It was anything but an 'improvement or two' on the X-15 as built.
       
      I don't know where you got your information on the X-15, but to put it simply - it's utterly wrong. You have an extremely inflated and utterly incorrect idea of it's capabilities.
    4. Re:Practical Space Access by rbanffy · · Score: 2, Informative

      It would be impossible to make the X-15 LEO-capable with one or two generations. You just can't pack that much rocket into that small vehicle and expect it to achieve orbital speeds. There is a limit on how much energy you can carry with you. It's not only about how high you can go, but how fast.

      The only device that could pack the kind of punch needed to launch useful payload to LEO with a X-15 sized vehicle would be a nuclear-thermal device. NERVA and ROVER had problems of radioactive exhaust and would be damn hard to justify unless there were no alternatives. Current designs can be much more cleaner and it could be possible to build something the size of an X-15 that could boost itself to LEO with a useful payload.

      Another interesting approach could be to make the carrier plane fly faster and higher still with air-breathing engines (so that it would not require carrying oxidizer for the first part of the launch) easing the burden on the spacecraft propulsion system. Still, keep in mind that Mach 2, 3 or even 4 would be only about a fraction of what you need to get into LEO.

  5. Re:rockets vs shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    yeah wow so the rocket is cheaper... pity it carries a fraction of the shuttles payload Shuttle's payload? Russia did develop the Energia rocket to launch their Buran Shuttle (which was launched once unmanned). This rocket had a 100 ton payload which is just about the bare minimum needed for reasonable lunar exploration. But more importantly they were also developing the Energia II shich would have had the ability to reenter the atmosphere and glide to a landing at an airfield making it completely reusable. They also had a 175 ton rocket under development.

    Though to be fair, NASA still wins in the ideas department with advanced Saturn models, the NERVA rockets, and especially the completely reusable 500 ton Sea Dragon Rocket (which had a full design study). Hopefully the latter two ideas will be looked at again when the different space agencies consider building a spacecraft to travel to Mars.
  6. Re:rockets vs shuttle by jamstar7 · · Score: 5, Informative
    Shuttle carries 26.8 tons into LEO. NASA was budgetted $368 million per launch in 2001, but it actually takes about $450 million.

    The Ariane 5G can lift 17.6 tons into LEO for a cost of about $165 million

    While not mentioned in TFA, the Soyuz 3 would be able to put 17.8 tons into LEO. If they can get the price comparable to the Ariane, they'll have a winner.

    Don't count the Russians out of the race just yet.

    --
    Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
  7. Intentionally competitive by iamacat · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In which areas is Russia unintentionally competitive exactly?

  8. Russia wins the spam gap too by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 4, Funny

    In which areas is Russia unintentionally competitive exactly?

    Spam comes to mind.

  9. If you take some time by yoprst · · Score: 3, Interesting

    to read Russian space-tech related forums, you'll be pretty sure that Angara is a scam. They won the tender(many years ago) with one design, replaced it later with another (probably the only common thing for both designs is that they're rocket designs) and did nothing to implement either of those designs. This: Russian space officials have said single-use spacecraft like the Soyuz-TM currently used are cheaper and more practical still indicates that Russian space agency has not gone haywire yet, and may be capable of producing something useful in the future, but Angara is very unlikely to be one of those useful things

  10. The Space Race is a Rich Nation's Game by reporter · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Russia is not yet a wealthy developed nation. According to the CIA World Factbook, the Russian GDP per capita is $12,200. By contrast, the Polish GDP per capita is $14,400, and the Poles are not investing in a wasteful space race.

    The Russians need to stay focused on modernizing their economy and political system. Russia still has considerable poverty, and the money wasted on the space race would be better spent on welfare programs and the education system. At the same stage of development, the Japanese did not waste money on either a space race or a massive weapons program.

    Unfortunately, the Russians have become obsessed with nationalism since Vladimir Putin came to power. Big, impressive national projects have become more important than simply improving the quality of life for the poorest segments of the population.

    The Russians have a lot to learn from the Poles. The latter are not wasting money on either a space race or a massive weapons program.

    The most important lesson that the Russians can learn from the West is that the greatness of a nation is not measured by the size of the weaponry or the speed of the space ship. Rather, the greatness is measured by the quality of life for the average person.

    The Soviet Union had awesome weapons and space vehicles, yet was the Soviet Union a great nation?

    1. Re:The Space Race is a Rich Nation's Game by Cyberax · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You do realize that Russian space program is mostly self-financing in the first place? You know, people pay money to launch commercial satellites.

      Besides, Russian economy is much bigger than Polish - so $10000000 for space program take less than $1 from each citizen.

      GDP per capita is very misleading: Luxembourg currently leads with $81511 (against measly $43223 in USA). So should USA just stop all scientific programs and channel all money to welfare?

    2. Re:The Space Race is a Rich Nation's Game by thanasakis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, most people would still want to work to have an even better life and acquire more goods. People should be free to work and improve their lives, but not having to be afraid that something unexpected might happen so that they'll end up in the streets.

      Besides, this is not fantasy, those countries I mentioned have implemented schemes that mostly work. I don't see 20-30% unemployment in Sweden.

    3. Re:The Space Race is a Rich Nation's Game by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Healthcare may be relatively crappy in Russia, but at least it's free, and I (or my 7 year old son) won't be left to die in the gutter from common flu if I can't afford a doctor or buy prescription drugs.

      You do realize that if you or your son (or anybody else) is "dying in the gutter" from anything, you can wander into the nearest Emergency Room in the US and get health care that isn't based on your ability to pay. Not that the system is perfect, mind you. Not that you will appreciate the rather largish bill you will eventually receive (if you're foolish enough to give them your correct address), but you will be cared for. Your statement is a bit hyperbolic there.

      Besides we've tried the "welfare state" bit. Unevenly, of course. Full of paperwork and fury. Subject to the whims of the budget and locality (the US is a tad larger than Sweden). It works rather poorly to improve the human condition. In my neck of the woods, most members of the various Native Alaska tribes get some form of guaranteed income (varies from tribe to tribe). That still hasn't eliminated poverty, alcoholism, drug use, physical abuse and all of the other flotsam and jetsam of living on the low end of the economic line. Perhaps if they (and everyone else) got guaranteed six figure incomes, things would be different. I'll vote to try that out if you can figure out how to pay for it.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  11. beat Soviets as well in wasting money by xristo70 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "The United States beat the Soviet Union in developing multiple-use Space Shuttle rockets, which form its current fleet of manned spacecraft."

    The United States (together with Europe) have also beaten the Soviet Union in wasting countless billion of dollars on an International Space Station of very limited research value. Basically they just trying to try to stay alive up there and do 30 minutes of research projects per day. The Shuttle is currently also just a pork-barrel project. Those funds need to be spent in different ways (such as next generation planetary rovers).

    The Russians have managed to keep their total costs for development and launches lower over the decades, by having at least some sort of "mass production" economies of scale.
    Their MIR space station managed to get along for years against increadible odds, for a fraction of NASA money.
    The Russians have very good and practical aerospace engineers. This illustrates the difference nicely: during the space race NASA spent money and effort in developing a pen which could work in weightlessness. The russian astronauts instead of pens used pencils in space.

  12. Revisionists unleashed! by dbIII · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The shuttle was nothing but an attempt to appease the moronic treehuggers

    Another attempt to blame a bunch of rare and disorganised hippies with no political power at all at the time for some dubious political decisions mostly about spreading the pork. The shuttle design is most likely a lot older than the poster and "moronic treehuggers" don't even have the political clout to get Kyoto signed now let alone sabotage a space program decades ago.

    1. Re:Revisionists unleashed! by mbone · · Score: 4, Informative

      The big space shuttle design flaw (the solid rocket boosters) was driven by a very stupid Air Force mission requirement (single orbit return to base
      reconnaissance missions) which to put it mildly was not thought out, and which was not challenged sufficiently by NASA.

      At the time, reusable rockets were widely seen in the space establishment as the way to cut the cost of on-orbit delivery. What people hadn't
      thought through was the cost of ground support, which is very high for the Shuttle. Even if the Shuttle flight hardware was free, it still wouldn't be economical to operate compared to Soyez. Realistically, as soon as the shuttle launched we should have started designing the next version, taking into account what we had learned from the first attempt. We are now 20+ years behind the curve now, and it shows.

  13. NASA Space Pen urban legend by TimSSG · · Score: 5, Informative
    http://www.thespacereview.com/article/613/1

    The Million Dollar Space Pen Myth is just that, a myth. The pens never cost a lot of money and were not developed by wasteful bureaucrats or overactive NASA engineers. The real story of the Space Pen is less interesting than the myth, but in many ways more inspiring. It is not a story of NASA bureaucrats versus simplistic Russians, but a story of a clever capitalist who built a superior product and conducted some innovative marketing. That story, however, is a little harder to sell to a public that believes what it wants to believe. Tim S
  14. Re:rockets vs shuttle by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Your numbers for the Space Shuttle are misleading in comparison to the others.
    No they're not, they're the whole point about what's wrong with the shuttle. If your job is to put things into orbit don't take bloody wings with you - it's a waste of payload.

    100 tons to LEO is nice, it's a pity 70% of it is useless.
    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  15. Exploration wins in the end by plnrtrvlr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Egads people..... The shuttle has a long list of problems and shortcomings. It's expensive and it isn't as reliable as the designers had hoped, NASA and the politicos who control the purse strings have finally come to a consensus on this point. Can we finally stop beating a dead horse? Every space-craft that we've launched -and by "we" I mean the human race, not just Americans- has had strengths and weaknesses. It's early in the game here people: a good analogy would be that the Europeans are just realizing that Columbus found a "new world" and not a shortcut to the far East. There have been a lot of people who have realized the right way of doing things for a long time, but like those early Europeans coming to the new world, it takes time to convince the people who have the money. There was a lot of begging for money, saying "I've got a plan that will work." Furthermore, there were a lot of failed starts in the new world: settlements that collapsed and vanished or packed up and left... This is not the time to say that spending money on manned space exploration is a waste so let's give up: of course it's wasteful right now, we're still figuring out the best way to go about it! There are those in Russia that have come to realize that someday the economic health of good ol' terra firma will depend on what we do in space, and they hope to be on the leading edge and therefore profit from it: I say good luck to them, the world needs their efforts. There are those in the USA, Germany, China, Japan, India (the list goes on) who agree and want their contries to be on that leading edge too: good luck to them as well. There are going to be a lot of false starts and a lot of wasted money, but in the end, we will find the best way by trial and error and forge ahead until space becomes the next economic powerhouse, the powerhouse that takes the world into new prosperity and health.

  16. More practical ways for nations to compete? by argent · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Like military invasions?!

    If every dollar George spent in Iraq had gone to space instead, we'd all be better off.

    1. Re:More practical ways for nations to compete? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      If every dollar George spent on Iraq was burned or used for tapestry we would still be better off.

  17. Re:What happened to Kliper? by tftp · · Score: 2, Informative
    The whole story here.

    But to summarize, the project was offered for bids in 2006, and none of the bidders could meet the specifications. Then European space agency came along and offered to work together on something else (KK Soyuz and ATV) and that was technically achievable. So the Klipper project got postponed until 2010-2015, and the resources reassigned to the ESA work. We don't have technology yet to build Klipper with planned capabilities and for planned cost (reusability strikes again, probably.)