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Google Plans to Bid 4.6 Billion on 700MHz Band

NickCatal writes "The Wall Street Journal is reporting that Google plans to bid $4.6 Billion on the 700 MHz radio spectrum being auctioned off by the FCC. What is most interesting is that they are not planning on partnering with other companies to raise the cash, they are going to spend their own cash and possibly borrow some. With partners such as Sprint Nextel and T-Mobile in their 'Open Handset Alliance' is this a sign that they are willing to directly compete with the people they courted to join?"

40 of 148 comments (clear)

  1. Shocking!!! by pablo_max · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Didnt they say they would do this a long time ago? How is this a story again?

    1. Re:Shocking!!! by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Funny

      How is this a story again?

      Because if you bid $4,600,000,000.01 you get the license and not Google.

      --
      Deleted
    2. Re:Shocking!!! by VeriTea · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No, most licenses are divided into regions (RTA's). You bid a price on each region and then cobble together a network out of the regions you won and the spectrum you can trade to other holders that have licenses in the areas you didn't win.

      --
      --- There are two kinds of people, those who accept dogmas and know it, and those who accept dogmas and don't know it
    3. Re:Shocking!!! by MindStalker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No I'm pretty sure with this one the FCC clearly stated is one nation wide license for the entire country.
      Most regional license for few a few million. We are talking 4.6 billion here.

  2. f me thats a lot of money by superskippy · · Score: 2, Funny

    Do even Google have this kind of cash? It's a very big bet for a company to make- if this goes wrong they could sink the whole Google ship.

    1. Re:f me thats a lot of money by Nexus7 · · Score: 5, Funny

      > Do even Google have this kind of cash?

      I think Sergey is going to sell 100 shares.

    2. Re:f me thats a lot of money by Roofus · · Score: 4, Informative

      Googles Market Cap is $198 Billion. I think they can find the capital if need be.

    3. Re:f me thats a lot of money by Bill+Dimm · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to Yahoo's stock info for Google, Google has $13B in cash and it makes $4B per year in profit.

    4. Re:f me thats a lot of money by siliconwafer · · Score: 4, Informative

      At the close of their most recent quarter Google has more than $13B in cash in the bank. They also have no debt to speak of.

      With a market capitalization of nearly $200B, no debt, and a 22% return on equity, Google should have absolutely no problem raising cash if necessary. I suspect they will tap into their cash reserves rather than debt financing or raising capital by diluting existing shareholder equity.

      The numbers are here:
      http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=GOOG

    5. Re:f me thats a lot of money by timeOday · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Do even Google have this kind of cash?
      Do we as customers have that kind of cash? Whoever pays $4.6 BN for it is darn sure they'll turn around and charge even more for us to use it. I would rather see the FCC simply make up some non-interference rules and spare us all the expense.
    6. Re:f me thats a lot of money by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think the opposite is true. You'd be amazed how much spectrum has been opened up and has been bought up cheaply because the big players are waiting for the lower frequency stuff to become available. We haven't heard that much about it because the technologies being deployed, WiMAX and UMTS-TDD, are still in their infancy, and because with the exception of Sprint (which is rolling back its WiMAX plans anyway) no big names with big budgets are involved.

      We're going to see a spectrum glut over the next few years as far as spectrum able to provide mobile or fixed internet access goes. The 700MHz range will always be more valuable than the higher 2.5 and 3.5GHz frequencies that are currently being provided for internet services, but in a context in which virtually every wireless communications provider has moved over to UMTS rev. 8 (LTE) (AT&T, T-Mobile, and even Verizon are all committed to this), you're looking at nationwide wireless internet access using a commodity standard and commodity hardware available on the 700, 800, 1700/2100, and 1900MHz bands, and presumably some variant, in the long run, on 2.5 and 3.5GHz. That's a lot of spectrum. The real technological limits on bandwidth use are likely to be on creating mobile hardware that can process the information fast enough.

      I seriously doubt 700MHz will ever be as valuable in five years time as it is today.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    7. Re:f me thats a lot of money by Frank+Battaglia · · Score: 3, Informative

      Not necessarily. The purchaser will most likely utilize the spectrum in the way which makes the most profit. For Google's business model, that may entail unencumbered access to get as large a user base as possible for directed advertising.

    8. Re:f me thats a lot of money by encoderer · · Score: 2, Funny

      In summary...640k ought to be enough for everybody ;)

    9. Re:f me thats a lot of money by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Informative

      There are approximately 300 million people in the USA, so this works out at just over $15 per person. If they get 20% of people to use their service, it's $60 per person (over the lifetime of the licence). I strongly suspect that they can make this much profit. The cost of building the infrastructure is likely to be much more than this.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    10. Re:f me thats a lot of money by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Of course not! It's just spectrum isn't going to be the major issue affecting bandwidth use over the next few years; creating low power technologies capable of processing the information quickly enough is more likely to be the major factor. And yes, technologies improve, but operators also have to keep making cell sizes progressively smaller as they fill in coverage holes, effectively creating more bandwidth without increasing spectrum usage.

      And I haven't even covered the huge increases in unlicensed wireless services available, as systems like FON make it easier to make your own wired bandwidth available wirelessly to third parties without the security and liability issues of open WAPs.

      The bottom line is that there's currently more spectrum available than we have hardware to use it, and that trend is going to be true for many years to come as the FCC opens up more spectrum; as existing spectrum used by legacy systems is converted over to more modern technologies; and as operators roll out towers to fill in coverage holes and black spots. I'd say it's going to be at least a decade before we start feeling the pinch.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    11. Re:f me thats a lot of money by sowth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The FCC isn't going to do that. Now their primary function is to steal the radio spectrum from the people and auction it off to the highest bidder.

      I'm beginning to think there is no point following FCC rules. If the government is going to be greedy thieving bastards with our radio spectrum, why not just become freebanders? WTF? I thought the FCC was supposed to regulate the airwaves for everyone's benefit? If they just take them away to sell them, then they are just another scheme by the corrupt goverment to separate the citizens from their rightful use of public commons and get money out of it.

    12. Re:f me thats a lot of money by StringBlade · · Score: 3, Informative

      There are already network transparency provisions on this frequency which makes it particularly appealing for consumers to buy devices designed to run on this spectrum. Last year Google petitioned the FCC to include four conditions of sale for this spectrum including network transparency for devices (meaning you can't be locked in like you are with Sprint/Verizon/AT&T/T-Mobile when you buy a phone) and something about requiring the high bidder to provide access to competitors for a reasonable price.

      The FCC shot down two of the four suggestions, but the network transparency provisions stayed in. I'm holding off on buying a new phone for a while because if I can get a device (from any carrier) on this frequency I know I'm not locked in by the technology according to the conditions of sale.

      Verizon and Sprint are fighting this condition in a lawsuit against the FCC.

      --
      ...and that's the way the cookie crumbles.
  3. maybe compete, but I don't see google by ByOhTek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    becoming a cell phone provider any more than an internet provider.

    Most likely it'll involve them leasing out the band to other users to prevent a monopoly. Maybe giving a discount to users of Google's cell phone tech and/or adding special features that (by owning the band) it can ensure will be available anywhere there is a tower that handles the band.

    --
    Self proclaimed typo king, and inventor of the bear destroying coffee table (patent not pending).
    1. Re:maybe compete, but I don't see google by Da_Biz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      From the article:
      Some carriers have privately expressed skepticism about Google's ambitions, saying it is vastly underestimating the challenges of operating a network, providing customer service and gaining traction as a new entrant in a crowded wireless market.

      Forget Google! The existing carriers continue to underestimate the challenges of operating a network. I have friends spread out across many carriers where I live (Sprint, Verizon, Deathstar), and I've gotta say, the customer service still sucks mightily.

      The way text messaging is priced is nearly tantamount to highway robbery: it requires very little bandwidth, and I suspect that most people purchase plans with more than enough minutes to avoid overages. One would think that text messaging would be cheaper (easier on bandwidth), but the way "unlimited" messages are priced, along with outrageous charges for overseas texting, is ludicrous.

      Data plans are only now approaching levels of pricing sanity--and I'm grateful for that.

  4. why? by bzudo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    why disclose how much you are going to bid? that's like playing poker and revealing your cards. i won't google to win, but why let the other guys raise 4.6 billion and 1 penny?

    1. Re:why? by petes_PoV · · Score: 3, Insightful
      because it doesn't work like that.

      There'll be many "rounds" of bidding. The initial bid is just to see who's interested. After that, the stakes will rise with each interested party desperately trying to squeeze more finance out of their partners/banks/owners to raise their bid.

      At some point one will either not be able to raise any more ca$h and quit the bidding rounds, while the other go on. Some will realise that at the price they will have to pay, their business model breaks and they won;t make any profit.

      Eventually someone will "win", but this will be a phyrric victory as the amount of money they will have to pay for a licence will be so high that they'll either go bankrupt, have to join up with some other bidders (who pulled out earlier) or not have enough monkey left to actually build the systems they wanted to implement.

      --
      politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    2. Re:why? by Ducu2002 · · Score: 5, Informative

      4.6 billion is the minimum price the FCC is willing to actually sell for, as in if nobody bids as much as 4.6 the FCC won't actually sell. So by saying to the FCC we'll bid 4.6 they assure the FCC they'll get the price they wanted. In exchange for this assurance Google got 2 out of 4 condition for free access to the frequency.

    3. Re:why? by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Eventually someone will "win", but this will be a phyrric victory as the amount of money they will have to pay for a licence will be so high that they'll either go bankrupt

      The whole system fucking sucks. Why exactly are AT&T and Verizon even allowed to take part in this auction? Both of them have TONS of spectrum in the cellular, PCS and even AWS bands. Why is there no justification process attached to bidding on a limited resource and no mechanism in place to keep greedy monopolies from hoarding all of the spectrum to shut out newcomers?

      Did you know in some markets that AT&T holds over 75% of the available cellular and PCS spectrum? They justified this back in the day by claiming that they needed to run three networks -- AMPS (analog), TDMA and GSM, even as they were forcing their customers to vacate the old AMPS and TDMA equipment.

      I find it depressingly ironic that I have to fill out paperwork to justify my IP requests to ARIN, but a far more limited resource that theoretically belongs to everybody is just auctioned off to the highest bidder with no consideration as to whether or not it's in the interest of the public. Hell, even the limited "open access" rules that have been purposed are even being fought by Verizon, because they'd rather lock you into their hardware, their content and their service then allow an open market to flourish.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    4. Re:why? by Blahgerton · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The whole system fucking sucks. Why exactly is the radio spectrum even up for auction? There fixed that for you. Gotta love our government, selling the people's property.
    5. Re:why? by Bogtha · · Score: 2, Funny

      Eventually someone will "win", but this will be a phyrric victory as the amount of money they will have to pay for a licence will be so high that they'll either go bankrupt, have to join up with some other bidders (who pulled out earlier) or not have enough monkey left to actually build the systems they wanted to implement.

      Yeah, I hate it when I go to build something and realise that I've run out of monkey.

      --
      Bogtha Bogtha Bogtha
  5. Not an Act of War by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    With partners such as Sprint Nextel and T-Mobile in their 'Open Handset Alliance' is this a sign that they are willing to directly compete with the people they courted to join? Perhaps it's just me but I thought the 'Open Handset Alliance' merely strove to see a common development platform with standards in relation to code, transferring data & hardware. I don't think this suddenly warrants the companies to throw in their lot together and go in together on everything.

    The band that a company owns seems to be a completely different business investment.

    Case in point, when a company 'joins' the World Wide Web Consortium, it isn't considered unfriendly for them to go buy another T1 line for their company or even purchase software from a company who doesn't support W3C.

    And the reason I hesitate to use the word 'joins' is that when a standard is truly open, you don't have to join to use it. Hell, you really shouldn't even be forced to use it forever. It's open. It's out there for anybody to use or to stop using. That's what attracts me to open standards. I haven't paid IBM or signed an agreement with Microsoft whereby if a new technology arises I have to wait for the agreement to wear off.

    You shouldn't have to 'buy in' to the Open Handset Alliance and I think you're thinking of it in the wrong way when you imply that it's detrimental by not going in with other members on this auction from the FCC.

    If they did a good job making the standards and you don't have to commit to it, other companies will want to use it. They aren't going to care if Google is still trying to make a profit in other realms. Just because Google made an open standard for everyone to use doesn't mean they now need to sit back on their heels and be ultra careful not to upset anyone--and the other companies know this. Hell, everyone needs to make a profit.
    --
    My work here is dung.
  6. Not so much competing against by faloi · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But not being restricted by the people they've partnered with. If they have the rights to the spectrum free and clear of entanglements from other companies, they aren't limited to a single carrier (or group of carriers) for their offerings. They also have a bit more freedom to play around in the sandbox. Likely the companies they've worked with in the past will get some preferential treatment, but it allows Google to have ultimate control (well, except for the FCC of course).

    --
    "It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education." -Albert Einstein
  7. My bet by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    will be that the initial Bid will be for that, but that they will join forces with others, possibly IBM, Apple, etc. to jump this bid up. I think that they want to win this for the simple reason of insurance that ISP can not kill them off. Right now, the Communications/ISP industry is heading towards a gov. issued oligopoly with outrageous prices and lousy service. With an open network, Google can put pressure on all of the industry to move towards an open network. As far as their open system and pissing off their "partners", you did notice that few carriers are there? It is mostly equipment folks. That means that the real partners will be outside of USA. Sprint is doing it, but that does not mean that they will offer it. But if they can have an edge on Verizon and ATT, well, yeah, they will go through with it.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  8. More likely.... by CodeShark · · Score: 2, Interesting
    By ponying up their own cash, they are putting a gun to the heads of virtually every US telco, because it basically says to them "Google's got bandwidth of our own that doesn't pay you one red cent. So we don't have to play ball with any of you."


    But if a telco chooses to "play nice" and open their network to the OCA based, presumably uber-cool handset and applications, folks may just stay with an existing provider and then both Google and the Wireless provider both get to make buckets of $$$.

    --
    ...Open Source isn't the only answer -- but it's almost always a better value than the alternatives...
  9. $ for citizens by jshriverWVU · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Personally I'd like to know just as much where this 4.6+ billion dollars is going to end up. The FCC while not an official government body is still somewhat kind of part of the government. Will this money go back to the people since after all it's all our frequencies, we just choose to let the FCC govern it for us.

  10. stop the spectrum tax on the airways by troll+-1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Perhaps the whole problem with the FCC is that they auction the spectrum to the highest bidder.

    No wonder providers lock out third party handsets. They just paid billions for the spectrum, they have every incentive to maximize profits.

    What would be most beneficial to the consumer is perhaps a company that just sold mobile IP addresses and had nothing to do with selling devices. Let consumers choose their own devices in a competitive market for the bandwidth they purchase. Maybe the FCC should stop thinking about billions of short term dollars and start thinking about what's best for consumers and the industry as a whole.

  11. The Hot FM. by jackpot777 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Google. 700 FM. M. M. m. m. m. Can anyone confirm the info on this page: the 700MHz band is currently TV Channel 52. People watching this station in Oklahoma might get some interference. I know - switch to digital TV. But wouldn't it be funny if Fresh Prince of Bel-Air sounded like two farmers talking about tractors!

    --
    Shiny. Let's be bad guys...
  12. reading voice mail by nerdyalien · · Score: 3, Funny

    hope they not gonna read the Voice-Mails like they read our e-mails !!!

  13. Ticking time bomb for the old media by dada21 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The term "old media" is a semi-ad hominem style attack that I like to use against the previously monopolistic media, mostly TV, radio and newspaper. Yet that term holds true to any company that attempts to use the force of law to keep and protect monopolistic practices in any communications market, including cell phones and land lines.

    Google has proven that the monopoly of distribution can be broken by their network, and their applications. AdSense replaces expensive marketing and advertising departments, Blogger.com replaces the need for physical media and the costs associated. Google Search replaces direct advertising campaigns, and YouTube is trumping the cable networks in giving people a la carte entertainment at a moment's notice. I have high hopes that Google's foray into the wireless market will offer huge gains for those of us who are sick and tired of the old media cell phone technology (locked phones, expensive monthly charges, limited application support, etc).

    As WiFi exploded in use, I continued to be amazed at how relatively unregulated bandwidth worked so well in all the market locales I had WiFi implemented in. Yes, I've heard horror stories by relatively few, but in my office in downtown Chicago, our WiFi network worked seamlessly with dozens of others in the same building. Up to now, I still can't find verifiable proof that other wireless bandwidth segments can't be shared by dozens, or hundreds, of providers in the same vicinity. With the advent of software radios (frequency hopping, output power changes, etc), it seems that the first person to relinquish full control of their bandwidth nation-wide will really hurt the old media strangehold in the wireless market.

    My biggest fear for wireless is the push for more laws to regulate "network neutrality," which I am against vehemently. I believe that paying for access tiers makes more sense than forcing the market to all stay at a certain level of service for everyone at a flat price. It doesn't make sense to me (neither as a businessman, nor as an individual). I'm hoping to see Google offer the bandwidth in markets they can't reach in a relatively unregulated and openly competitive atmosphere. In an adjoining town to mine, Libertyville, Illinois, there are numerous WiFi Internet providers who are doing gangbusters sticking access points on leased towers and giving people in the region what they want (including even free WiFi at a throttled speed) at the price they're willing to pay. The old media companies (AT&T, Comcast, etc) have fought tooth and nail to shut down these hooligans, but the city has held its ground in allowing them to compete. My own town won't allow this to happen (although we do have a bunch of WiFi sharing groups on within 2 blocks of me), so I'd love to see a national push by a major new media company to open bandwidth for all to play with to see what the market can provide with reduced FCC rules created by the old monopolists.

    My big concern is the names Sprint and T-Mobile associated with the post. I use T-Mobile for 60% of my wireless communication (mostly EDGE and voice), and AT&T for the remainder (3G), and while I'm happy, I also use unlocked foreign phones and hardware devices. My friends who use the locally provided versions of the same devices are really unhappy, and don't have anywhere near the amount of customization and freedom that I get by providing my own (expensive) devices.

    I do see a big WMD for the old media ahead, ready to explode. It's called competition, and it will come from all levels: locally, nationally, internationally. I've spent more time on YouTube in the past 2 weeks than watching TV in the past 6 months. I'm prepared with my wallet to pay in advance for broadcasts I like (such as Sanctuary, which I feel isn't there yet), and I can't wait to see what foreigners with a great grasp of English start producing with the technology available. Combine that with a relatively cheap and open range of bandwidth frequencies, and the radio/tv/cell monopolists are dead.

    I can't wait. Who do I write a check to at Google?

    1. Re:Ticking time bomb for the old media by philgross · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My biggest fear for wireless is the push for more laws to regulate "network neutrality," which I am against vehemently. I believe that paying for access tiers makes more sense than forcing the market to all stay at a certain level of service for everyone at a flat price. It doesn't make sense to me (neither as a businessman, nor as an individual). I'm hoping to see Google offer the bandwidth in markets they can't reach in a relatively unregulated and openly competitive atmosphere. In an adjoining town to mine, Libertyville, Illinois, there are numerous WiFi Internet providers who are doing gangbusters sticking access points on leased towers and giving people in the region what they want (including even free WiFi at a throttled speed) at the price they're willing to pay. The old media companies (AT&T, Comcast, etc) have fought tooth and nail to shut down these hooligans, but the city has held its ground in allowing them to compete. My own town won't allow this to happen (although we do have a bunch of WiFi sharing groups on within 2 blocks of me), so I'd love to see a national push by a major new media company to open bandwidth for all to play with to see what the market can provide with reduced FCC rules created by the old monopolists. You do not understand what network neutrality is. The issue is not whether providers can offer can offer different tiers of service for different prices. Of course they can -- they do it now and will continue to do so in the future. The question of network neutrality is whether, after you pay for a certain level of service, the ISP can vary your service based on the destination or content of a given packet. The canonical example is internet service provided by a telco choosing to block or cripple VOIP internet packets, since those compete with its core revenue stream. Without network neutrality, providers would be free to slow down or drop traffic to Google services while speeding up traffic to their in-house services.
  14. beam ads directly to brain by peter303 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Google engineers discovered a method to beam computer ads directly to ones visual and auditory cortext via radio waves. All they need now is the spectrum to implement it.

  15. It's part of the government by dewarrn1 · · Score: 4, Informative
    From http://www.fcc.gov/aboutus.html

    The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) is an independent United States government agency, directly responsible to Congress. The FCC was established by the Communications Act of 1934 and is charged with regulating interstate and international communications by radio, television, wire, satellite and cable. The FCC's jurisdiction covers the 50 states, the District of Columbia, and U.S. possessions.
    Proceeds from auctions appear to be paid to the Treasury, although I admit I didn't wade through the entire act and it has been amended piecemeal since enactment http://www.fcc.gov/Reports/1934new.pdf (PDF warning):

    (C) DEPOSIT AND USE OF AUCTION ESCROW ACCOUNTS.-- Any deposits the Commission may require for the qualification of any person to bid in a system of competitive bidding pursuant to this subsection shall be deposited in an interest bearing account at a financial institution designated for purposes of this subsection by the Commission (after consultation with the Secretary of the Treasury). Within 45 days following the conclusion of the competitive bidding-- (i) the deposits of successful bidders shall be paid to the Treasury; (ii) the deposits of unsuccessful bidders shall be returned to such bidders; and (iii) the interest accrued to the account shall be transferred to the Telecommunications Development Fund established pursuant to section 714 of this Act.
  16. Re:Overpriced because by petes_PoV · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Overpriced? you're kidding, the money being talked about so far is a bargain.

    The german mobile auction in 2000 raised over $50Bn (at today's exchange rate). The UK auction in 2001 raised £22.5Bn ($45Bn at todays rate)

    These auctions are more profitable than wars - well, for the governments involved. Not for the poor suckers who "win" them and then have to find the cash

    references:
    http://news.independent.co.uk/business/news/article272264.ece> http://www.nao.org.uk/publications/nao_reports/01-02/0102233es.pdf

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
  17. Re:Overpriced because by JackMeyhoff · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Relative yes, but doesnt mean its not overpriced.

    Vodaphone admitted they overpaid in the UK auction.

    What have they gained from their buy? Shit all really.

    --
    http://www.rense.com/general79/wdx1.htm
  18. Re:Its called revrse MVNO by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 2, Informative
    Sometimes it helps to write sentences that people can understand.

    MVNO = Mobile Virtual Network Operator
    "bi doin" = be doing (I think?)

    OK, let's try that, and a few more fixes:

    It's called reverse MVNO. The Open Handset Alliance Mobile Operator partners will be operating or servicing that spectrum that Google will be doing as a Google MVNO in reverse with the Google brand name. Sometimes it does help to ask a mobile expert.


    Well, it still doesn't make sense.

    Let me rephrase entirely:

    Google intends to lease the spectrum to traditional carriers (MNOs, or Mobile Network Operators). The MNOs will handle things like network operations, billing, and possibly customer support. Google gets to brand the resulting service (e.g. as Google Mobile), develops the hardware and/or software, and gets a share of the revenue made by the MNO.

    This is similar to what Apple has done with the iPhone, except that:
    • Google can brand the service
    • Google owns the spectrum

    The end result is that Google probably will have more control over service pricing, and will probably get a bigger share of the revenue.