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Former Anti-Nuclear Activist Does A 180

palegray.net writes "Wired is running a story on how Gwyneth Cravens, a former nuclear power protester has changed her views on nuclear power as a viable solution to the world's energy needs. Said Cravens: 'I used to think we surely could do better. We could have more wind farms and solar. But I then learned about base-load energy, and that there are three forms of it: fossil fuels, hydro and nuclear. In the United States, we're maxed out on hydro. That leaves fossil fuels and nuclear power, and most of the fossil fuel burned is coal.'"

14 of 912 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Unfortunately... by kelv · · Score: 5, Informative

    Try looking up the Olympic Dam mine in Australia owned by BHP Billiton. Every few years they send the geologists out a few more hundred meters and add another 50 years to the life of the mine when they need to boost reserve numbers for financial reasons. No one knowns how big the deposit is but it is HUGE - I've heard figures sugesting it might supply 30% of world uranium demand for the next century or more.

  2. Good to see. by Vorghagen · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I'm always pleased to hear about an activist (doesn't matter what kind) publicly admit they were wrong after learning more about the subject. Firstly because they took the initiative to actually research something instead of taking as gospel anything those around them say. Secondly because they're big enough to admit they were wrong. I just wish more activists would do the same.

  3. Re:Unfortunately... by Planesdragon · · Score: 5, Informative

    World supply of Uranium 235 has about peaked as well. It's not exactly a long-term solution. 1: Doesn't matter. U-235 can be found on other planets

    2: No, it hasn't.

    3: Doesn't matter. There are other radioactive materials that can be used for fission.
  4. My First Time So Sorry by explosivejared · · Score: 5, Funny

    Your solution advocates a

    (*) technical ( ) legislative ( ) market-based ( ) vigilante

    approach to solving a looming energy problem. Your idea will not work as the current situation stands. Here is why it won't work. (One or more of the following may apply to your particular idea, and it may have other flaws which used to vary from state to state or country to country before a bad federal or international law was passed.)

    ( ) It will be fought by entrenched fishing interests
    (*) It will be fought by entrenched energy corporations
    (*) It will succumb to NIMBY Syndrome
    ( ) Requires immediate total cooperation from everybody at once
    ( ) Technology doesn't work that way
    (*) NIMBY Syndrome will prevent mass deployment
    Specifically, your plan fails to account for:

    (*) Extreme misunderstanding of the technology by the public
    (*) A sensationalist press won't let mistakes die
    ( ) Idiots with boats
    ( ) International reluctance to engage in sweeping change
    (*) Technically illiterate politicians
    (*) Extreme stupidity on the part of people who vote
    ( ) A lack of support from famous Musicians and Actors
    (*) Conflicting environmental interests
    and the following philosophical objections may also apply:

    (*) Meltdowns Suck!
    (*) People have been trying for years to implement your solution and haven't succeeded
    ( ) The money could be better spent curing cancer
    ( ) Ideas similar to yours are easy to come up with, yet none have ever been shown practical
    ( ) Feel-good measures do nothing to solve the problem
    (*) Your solution is expensive
    (*) Your solution may be politically infeasible
    ( ) The money could be better spent implementing [other] solution
    ( ) It makes life harder, not easier
    Furthermore, this is what I think about you:

    (*) We're really close, but still no cigar. I agree with you're idea in general, so maybe one day in the distant future...
    ( ) Sorry dude, but I don't think it would work.
    ( ) This is a stupid idea, and you're a stupid person for suggesting it.
    ( ) Nice try, assh0le! I'm going to find out where you live and burn your house down!

    --
    I got a catholic block.
  5. Fitting cartoon to the subject by SamP2 · · Score: 5, Insightful
  6. Re:Unfortunately... by Synonymous+Bosch · · Score: 5, Informative

    The CSIRO (google them) will be able to tell you that Australia has the bulk of the worlds known Uranium deposits, however Canada is the worlds largest producer.

    This is because the vast majority of Australia's Uranium is, as yet, untapped. This limit is not due to technology or environmental concerns preventing the rights holders from extracting the material from the ground. It's because they are waiting on the market prices to rise.

    There is no shortage of Uranium, it's just that the raw materials are, mostly, in the hands of a very small number of companies who are colluding to exploit high demand while controlling supply.

    You know, just like the Oil companies have done for decades, with great success.

    At this point in time, Uranium demand hasn't even BEGUN to peak. Once everyone starts rushing towards nuclear power and away from fossil fuels, expect to see production ramp up.

  7. Re:What's a prote? by stonecypher · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's a case of someone using bad Latin to sound smart, and failing. Prote is the middle Latin conjugation of Proteo, meaning "first among". They're trying to say she was one of the earliest of the decriers. Unfortunately, given the woman's demonstrated propensity to speak about things she does not understand, they're also probably correct.

    --
    StoneCypher is Full of BS
  8. Re:Unfortunately... by TapeCutter · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Yes, and the CSIRO has been telling our government that the whole country could easily be run from renewables for at least the past decade.

    The CSIRO also identified the base load issue as a red-herring - hint: in a geographically large country such as Australia, the US, or Canada, the wind is always blowing somewhere. Wind & Hydro provide the base load for other renewables (solar, tidal, wave, geothermal), just as Hydro currently provides a fast switch "base load" for coal fired plants (that require scheduled shutdowns for maintenance and even then they still break down from time to time).

    However our politicians after doing their best to ingnore the issue (lest it affect our coal exports) have been busy colluding with the likes of GWB and GE for the last few years in an attempt to monopolise the nuclear fuel industry.

    It seems to be working quite well if you consider the price hike in Uranium over the last 5yrs or so. IMHO the main reason for this state of affairs is not money but the fact that renewable energy can not (easily) be used as an international political lever in the way that fossil fuels have been since WW2.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  9. Re:"Activitist?" by Cassius+Corodes · · Score: 5, Funny

    That means that she believes in the theory of activity. Activitist is a term made up by people who are anti-activity (i.e. the couch institute) to make it sound like a political cause. They propose an alternative "stationary activity" theory which in practice just an euphemism for sitting down.

    --
    Control is an illusion, order our comforting lie. From chaos, through chaos, into chaos we fly
  10. Re:Unfortunately... by Synonymous+Bosch · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The problem with renewable resources is the people in power, by not being able to control nature, have no means to control production.

    Our society will embrace socialism before it embraces renewable energy as a replacement for fossil/nuclear power.

    This isn't renewable energy's problem - just our society.

  11. Re:And there is still the unsolved issue of... by gnuman99 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There is no *waste* that lasts 100,000 years. Most of the isotopes currently viewed as waste are very good sources of energy. Current reactors are not even built to utilize most of the fuel but to generate nuclear weapons hence the so called *waste*. For example, UK now has a problem with all the *waste* Plutonium being generated by its power plants!! That is the insanity! Plutonium is a better power source than U-235 if you have a real energy reactor. One of the few truly civilian reactors are the CANDU reactors designed in Canada. They utilize heavy water and breed Plutonium and use it for energy at the same time. No Plutonium *waste* there. Heck, they are used now to get rid off the US extra nuclear stockpiles - stuff that can't be handled by US reactors mailing because of the Plutonium content.

    Secondly, don't be freaked out about radiation so much. If you were transparent to radiation such that a Geiger counter would see all the radiation going off inside of you (where the damage is done), it will go into a nice high pitched, continuous whine. You sid/madam, contain enough radioactive radioactive potassium for about 5000 events per second. Add that nice trails of cosmic muons hitting out every 0.5-1 second (enough to go right through you and ionize LOTS of stuff), and you are positively glowing :)

    Also, coal has 2-3 ppm uranium and about 5ppm thorium (means, 1,000,000 pounds of coal have 2-3 pounds of uranium and 5 ponds of thorium). Since US burns about 2200 times that http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/coal/page/special/feature.html, US alone is releasing about 5000 pounds of Uranium and 10,000 pounds of Thorium into the air. Ok, there are those precipitators, but only about 50% effective on these things (unlike soot). So, about 1 metric ton of Uranium goes poof, into the air *NOW* in the US.

    Anyway, most of the so called *waste* can be recycled. You only end up with maybe one small barrel of waste per large nuclear plant per year. That is much cheaper to watch that one can for 10,000 years than letting all the mercury from the coal power plants pollute the lakes such that we can't even fish there anymore. Sad.

    http://www.computare.org/Support%20documents/Publications/Fission%20Fuel%20Conservation.htm

    BTW: Uranium is not HOT. ANYTHING that has a 10,000 year half-life, by definition, is NOT hot. HOT stuff has a life time of seconds or minutes or maybe up to a few days. Hot stuff is used in medicine.

  12. Re:And there is still the unsolved issue of... by kestasjk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Spell it with me people: S-O-L-A-R

    It comes down to this:
    - a roof has a large surface area
    - sun ain't going to burn out any time soon
    - solar panels can't be made into bombs

    I don't understand why we are still arguing about this. Well maybe you should find out why before posting then. Do you really think solar is a viable option but we're not considering it just because we don't want to make our roofs look ugly? There's a reason no-one is using solar power on a large scale.

    sun ain't going to burn out any time soon Nuclear fuel isn't going to run out any time soon either.

    solar panels can't be made into bombs You really think nuclear power plants are needed for governments to create bombs? Japan has the largest nuclear plant in the world, but is strongly opposed to nuclear weapons. The number of nukes has decreased massively since the Cold War, so if your logic goes more plants = more bombs = bad the data completely contradicts you.
    Most types of reactors aren't useful for creating nuclear weapons; reactor grade fuel doesn't have to be enriched as much as a weapon grade fuel, because you don't want reactor fuel to be critical. Conveniently it's much harder to enrich uranium to weapons grade nuclear fuel than reactor grade fuel.

    Fuck nuclear. Oh, yeah, great "all we have to worry about is this extremely toxic waste... but that's not a problem because all we have to do is store it safely! it'll never get into the water supply! we'll always have room to store it! people will never make bombs out of it. there'll never be another hiroshima/nagasaki/chernobyl" Yeah, that's pretty much how the argument goes.. Though there's no need to mention hiroshima and nagasaki because nuclear power has nothing to do with it.

    Seriously, has the world gone stupid or something? Ok, MORE stupid. How on earth can you people convince yourself that nuclear waste is acceptable? What is wrong with you? You really think you've seen the light and that all the policy makers and scientists in the world just haven't heard of solar power? They'll slap their foreheads after reading your post and say "Wow ddoctor, why didn't I think of solar?!"

    Waste arguments aside... why the hell are we, as a civilization, pursuing nuclear technology, given nuclear annihilation is probably the #1 most likely reason we will become extinct? Because an energy crisis would cause huge conflict, possibly including nuclear war (oh what an irony that would be). I don't think the effects of global warming would decrease political tensions either.

    Most of all it's because we don't have a choice. Fossil fuels are running out and causing problems anyway. Solar, wind, geothermal, biomass, gerbils running on wheels, etc, won't scale (unless a huge breakthrough in efficiency is made). Hydroelectric power sources are limited, and can have huge environmental impact.
    --
    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
  13. Base load? Feh. by goodmanj · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Base load" is a bad phrase to use for this issue (to the extent it's an issue). Today, the base load is the electrical demand that's always there, 24/7. It's met by sources like coal and oil and nuclear that can't be started or stopped slowly (or are just too expensive to allow to sit idle); we've got stuff like natural gas plants that we switch on quickly to meet the occasional peak in demand. In a renewable energy future, the problem is that occasionally, it's nighttime and the wind slackens off and suddenly you need to get a crapload of power from somewhere. You don't solve this problem with a slow base load station: this is an intermittent spike problem, you solve it with a fast-starting, cheap-to-idle supply like a gas plant. Which brings me to two points:

    1) Who cares if there are a few jobs that renewables can't fill? Use fossil fuels to make up for their shortcomings. Insisting on a 100% renewable future is overly idealistic: I say, if we can fill 95% of our energy needs with renewables, go ahead, use natural gas or whatever when you need to. Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

    2) There are plenty of renewable forms of "gap-filling" energy. People have mentioned biomass burning. Here's another one: TFA quotes the "prote" as saying that "hydroelectric is maxed out." Well, it's not. It's maxed out as far as its *average* power output, because of limits on available water supply to the reservoirs. But we can get a lot more out of it if we use it to fill in the gaps left by solar and wind. Shut off the hydro plants during the day when the solar plants are running, run them twice as hard at night, and you're good to go. Need more nighttime power? Use solar electricity to run a pump to pump water *up* the dam into the reservoir in the daytime, then run the plants even harder at night. The gap-filling potential is almost unlimited.

    3) The main reason modern-day "base load" is so high is because major industrial power users (aluminum smelters, etc) shut off operations during times of peak demand, when they get charged extra for electricity: they make up for it by sucking up cheap power in off-peak hours. Change the pricing structure, so they get charged extra whenever supply dwindles. I can guarantee you that if you tell an aluminum plant "Tomorrow night's gonna be calm: if you want wind power then, you're gonna have to pay triple per kWh", they'll stop the smelters tomorrow night.

    4) There is one overall problem: I'm describing an electrical system with much more variability. Everything, from the hydro turbines and generators to the high-tension lines to the substations, has to be built to handle higher peak power draws. That costs money, but it's not a fundamental problem.

  14. Re:Unfortunately... by dloose · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Unlike a reactor, wind farms typically don't melt down leaving the whole area contaminated for miles and miles around
    I just want to be sure I read your post right: Is it your position that the "typical" nuclear reactor will catastrophically melt down at least once (can reactors melt down twice?), leaving the whole area contaminated for miles and miles? Do you live in some alternate universe in which the US Navy hasn't been safely operating a fleet of nuclear reactors for 50 years? And in this alternate universe, did Three Mile Island leak enough radiation to turn all of Pennsylvania into a mutant empire hell-bent on the destruction of all human beings lacking a third arm?

    But still, when it comes down to building one or the other in my back yard I'd take the wind farm every time if it was actually capable of producing continuous power.
    Wind isn't capable or producing continuous power, so I guess that means you'd rather have the nuclear reactor in your backyard, right?

    Since it's not we need to continue to look for a better answer. Nuclear IMHO, is not it.
    Steady as she goes, right? Nuclear may be good, but it's not perfect, so we should stick with coal, which is bad. Sounds like good logic to me.

    Add to that the lack of available storage for radio active material for several hundered years, all the while ensuring it doesn't leak, isn't stolen and used in a dirty bomb, isn't disposed of improperly, etc. The bad idea we started with just looks worse all the time.
    I just don't understand this position. Coal is the only viable alternative to nuclear at the moment. Coal is worse for the environment than nuclear at the moment. Seems like a pretty easy equation to solve to me. 2 choices: Choice A is bad, Choice B is less bad. Somehow you pick Choice A? Why? Because it's already there? Look, I don't particularly want a nuclear reactor in my back yard either. Thankfully, I haven't heard of any plans to build one there.