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Computers May Thwart 2010 Census

smooth wombat writes "With the Constitutionally mandated census of 2010 just around the corner, it appears the Commerce Department's attempt to use handheld computers to gather census information may not come to fruition. Originally, the contract was awarded at a cost of $596 million to Harris Corporation. However, the GAO has now estimated the revised contract, now costing $647 million, could grow to $2 billion and the equipment may still not work properly. There is consideration that the paper and pencil method might have to be employed to complete the census."

3 of 287 comments (clear)

  1. Are you serious? by TripMaster+Monkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Originally, the contract was awarded at a cost of $596 million to Harris Corporation. However, the GAO has now estimated the revised contract, now costing $647 million, could grow to $2 billion and the equipment may still not work properly.

    1.4 billion is one hell of an overrun...and after all that, the equipment may still not work properly?

    Is the Harris Corporation currently hiring? I'd like to get me some of that boondoggle.

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    ~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey

  2. Re:Anyone have any idea... by petermgreen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Government departments often have regulations that require them to put contracts out to tender and give them to the lowest bidder to prevent people handing out government contracts to thier friends.

    The problem is if they put them out for bidding as fixed price contracts they probablly wouldn't get any bids and if they did those bids would be very high. So the bids are only estimates. Of course this makes the bidding a farce as everyone tries to put in the lowest estimate they can and sponge more money later once the governement department is locked in.

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    note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  3. Re:1% error by eepok · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ya, people are really bad when it comes to big numbers. I was a part of a research study as an undergraduate with the following premise:

    You're on a jury for a murder case with the scenario that a tan/brown man seen running away from a murder scene on a college campus. There was not enough of the attacker's DNA at the scene, but they were able to extract a DNA derivative that has matched that of a tan man in custody. Given that this derivative has a 99.9% successful rate, do you feel comfortable convicting the man in custody.

    I was the only one in my group of 12 to say "No, I will not convict based on this evidence." No one else understood that .1% = 1/1000. Nor did they realize that our university alone had 20,000+ people on the campus at any time let alone that it was in the middle of a city of 200,000+.

    Most people know what "fifty" is. Many know what "one hundred" is. Few understand what "one thousand" is. Too few understand the effects of millions, billions, and trillions.
    There's no way I'd convict with a .1% error, there's no way I'd accept a 1% error in the business of millions.